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Janet Ritz

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A New Climate Reality: What Happens Now?

Posted: 04/10/2012 4:50 pm

In a prior post, A New Climate Reality, I wrote how difficult it has been for specialists to face the more personal aspects of climate change. Some of those who know the science and say, yes, this is really happening, are more easily drawn to the lure of cold data over harsh reality, while those who don't believe take out their fear on those who do in a bizarre spate of bullying that seems to have become the norm in our sadly coarsened society.

The world changes so fast, it's difficult to see it in context. Scientists watch from a mathematical point of view, points on a graph, comparative analyses, blips on radar from sensors slapped on the bows of ships. Dry bits of brain matter fight the brain freeze caused by information overload of drought in the Southwest, typhoon-caused floods in Bangladesh, tornadoes in the Midwest, and where's all that snow coming from? It begins to look horrifyingly familiar: one person's agony is another's data.

That may change. A year ago, the world shivered in unexpected blizzards the scientists warned were like a de-frosting freezer as the cold air of the warming arctic rushed south. Just wait until next year, the caution came, when enough of the ice is gone and we really start to heat up.

NPR tackled this recently on an episode of Fresh Air entitled: "Sunny Days are Here Again -- But is that Good?" where they posit that the early spring is more than just warm weather:

"When we look at where the extremes have occurred in the U.S. over the last year, we see them essentially everywhere: droughts in the West, floods in the Northeast [and] tornadoes in the middle... It really is the case that there is no place on the map that is immune to climate change and disasters."

Will those who deny climate change peer out of their windows at the pleasant sunny days they know don't make sense for the time of year and admit to themselves that the visceral unease they can't quite shake means something? Will those less fortunate that hadn't believed stare at the rubble of their homes, their crops, their forests, their livestock and make the connection?

We've tossed the climate dice and the odds are against us. We can all do everything we should about the air, the water and our footprint. I recently changed everything to LEDs and solar attic fans and benefited with significantly lower electric bills. Good for me and the planet.

It won't change the course we're on for more generations than we'll be around to see. The new climate reality is that we've blown it. Climate change has arrived. The damage is done and is about to grow exponentially as the methane trapped in the melting tundra is released.

While we must do everything we can to mitigate the risk for the future there's another duty that befalls us all -- to help those impacted, to speak the truth, to change the paradigm of the coarsened society back to the values of our parents and grandparents when courage, compassion and empathy were worthy values.

It's worth it for us to do this, not only for the conscience of our immortal souls, but for our safety as climate change has been declared a risk to national security. Wars have been fought over resources more than ideology and resources are the scarce commodity in this changing reality.

We pulled together during World War II to win a battle against true evil. We've been at war for over a decade now with little sense of sacrifice on the part of the American people, while our soldiers, sailors and airmen fight in regions where oil is the prize with a price of climate.

The next decades will bring evidence even for the most passionate of disbelievers. Whether they'll raise their heads out of their self-inflicted sand to reach out to those who've been harmed more than they have is yet to be seen. It will be necessary that they do so as it will take a very long time to repair what we've done to our ourselves.

 

Follow Janet Ritz on Twitter: www.twitter.com/janetritz

In a prior post, A New Climate Reality, I wrote how difficult it has been for specialists to face the more personal aspects of climate change. Some of those who know the science and say, yes, this is...
In a prior post, A New Climate Reality, I wrote how difficult it has been for specialists to face the more personal aspects of climate change. Some of those who know the science and say, yes, this is...
 
 
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03:50 AM on 04/14/2012
British scientists drill for ice core samples at the pole to read back in time the weather patterns but were limited because of the length of the drill ,the americans have the deep core drill and found that the weather cycles could be read over a longer period pf time it was found that the sun had 2 cycles =an 11 year cycle and cycle that lasted for hundreds of years ,so the temperature was and is cyclic.
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03:36 AM on 04/14/2012
with planet /global warming came air conditioning ,aircon units produce heat so how many aircon units have been installed onto building since the 70s ? take a look at buildings that house banks of computers they have a lot of aircon units and take a lot of cooling then some bod comes up with figures for the temp in a city saying they were cooler in the 70s , the met office has loads of aircon units on their building then they measure the temp from the roof , ever stood in front of a condence unit when it going flat out ,it puts out a lot of heat . seems to me that with all of these people working in airconditioned offices with banks of computers all being kept nice and cool dont even realize that they are heating up the environment .
03:16 AM on 04/14/2012
1970 /71 usa goes to unleaded fuel what they did not tell us was that unleaded burns at a very high temp so much so that all of the valve seats had to be replaced with hardened ones ,then we had cat converters with the emission engines ,prior this the exhaust was unobstructed ,with a cat it causes a massive heat build up ,in a test at the London fire brigade 2 open containers one had lead free in it the other had 4 star they were both lit and left to burn for 5 minuets the leaded fuel one was put out with a co2 extingusher but the unleaded could not be put out .

Times this heat output by every vehicle on the planet and you have a considerable heat figure to consider ,so why was this figure left out of all of the equations on planet /global warming ?
Now we particle filters for diesel engines causing even more heat retention .
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undsoweiter
but I know where to look it up
09:20 PM on 04/11/2012
The climate is a complex system. Like any complex system, it has a great deal of inertia.
Once one gets it moving, it has an equal amount of momentum.
Governments should invest heavily in emergency equipment.
We are going to need it.
It's hard to feel much sympathy, however.
Since the sixties, some of us have been saying, that if we continued to do X(burn fossil fuels) then Y(very bad things) would happen.
Well, here's Y.
Enjoy.
04:47 PM on 04/11/2012
The Green Industrial Complex
-------------------------------------------
The Green Industrial Complex consists of the UN, Exxon, BP, GE, (and 50 other energy companies all of which make big $$ on green energy), combined with most of the governments of the world. This is a formidable force.

Fact is that the planet has not warmed for 12 years. It is warming on a time scale of decades, though, and has been since well before humans started making CO2 in large amounts.

Storms are not getting any worse, there are no methane releases, and generally the weather is doing what its always done - be a source of conversation and worry.
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Martin Musetsky
06:59 PM on 04/11/2012
Wow. What planet is that again?
02:39 PM on 04/11/2012
My WAG(wild assed guess) is that a runaway positive feedback in the carbon cycle started to occur in 2007.
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Kenneth Alton
01:31 PM on 04/11/2012
What happens now? The smart adapt.

Many plant nurseries shifted their stock years ago, selling plants that are one zone warmer and selling more draught tolerant cultivars(I know, because I've slowly altered my garden and winter mulching practices to adapt, preserving what I can, digging up of what I cannot). Farmers have changed what crops they plant, what seed stock they use, or what kind of plantings go in what fields. Insurance companies have altered coverage, raised flood premiums, abandoned certain policies, or even pulled out of doing business in certain states. And so forth.

Some adaptations are relatively quick and easy to institute. Some will take more complex efforts. The smart will adapt, move, and prosper.
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Conspiracy2Riot
Go ahead, try and eat that fiat currency
01:16 PM on 04/11/2012
"The task of an activist is not to navigate systems
of oppressive authority with as much integrity as
possible. The task of an activist is to confront and
take down these systems of oppressive authority."
--Lierre Keith

"We have been too kind to those who are destroying the planet.
We have been inexcusably, unforgivably, insanely kind."
-- Derrick Jensen

Industrial Civilization is Incompatible With Life
http://deepgreenresistance.org/civincompatiblewithlife/
10:53 AM on 04/11/2012
The head of GISS (Goddard Institute) is in China. He's one of the chief Kooks of NASA (Not Accurate Science Anymore). He's describing the US as a "fake democracy" that should be boycotted to destroy our ecomony. He calls Red China the world's best hope to save the planet. Fifty former NASA scientists just wrote an open letter saying that the science was bogus, and that NASA's reputation for legitimate research had been damaged if not destroyed. Check the story out on Powerline Blog. The Global Warming scammers are digging in for the long haul. The author of this article is now saying that the proof will come out "in the coming decades." Yet our economy has to be destroyed now by Kyoto and Cap and Trade. Meanwhile, Americans are forced to burn food in our cars, and millions of poor people starve to death every year because of it. And we "deniers" are the bad guys. Wake up. East Anglia destroys data to avoid a subpoena. NASA picks data sources to get the results they want. NOAA moves thermographs out of a shady yards and next to a/C compressors and incinerators. Blatant fraud, and millions die. Crimes against humanity.
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Martin Musetsky
05:54 AM on 04/19/2012
There was so many lies on your post that it's hard to keep count. Jim Hansen said so such thing. He warned that China is burning more coal than anyone else and his trying to help them change that so they don't burn the planet. ClimateGate was debunked. The scientists received apologies from all sources except for those who continue to lie. Your post is the crime. Flagged.
07:38 AM on 04/19/2012
Dear Mr. Muasetsky: Go flag yourself. I stand by what I wrote. Please cite some reliable source that says Climategate was "debunked. Please answer the following. Did EAU Prof. Jones e-mail a colleague that if he was served with a FOIA (frdm of info) request, he'd destroy data? Did he discover that the data had been "lost" after he was served with one? Does he still refuse, as he has for years, to share his raw data so his findings can be verified? Did 50 (49?) former NASA scientists write an open letter to the NASA director warning that the doomsday scenarios were not based on solid research, and were endangering NASA's reputation and that of the scientific profession? I can prove that all of those statements are true. Can you disprove any? Since my post was a week ago, I'll have to go back to find verification of Hansen's statements.
12:28 PM on 04/19/2012
“China and the Barbarians Part I.” “Democracy of the sort intended in 1776 probably could have dealt with climate change, but not the fossil-fuel-money ‘democracy’ that rules the roost in Washington.” I think “fake” democracy fairly describes what he wrote.

He suggests treaties establishing carbon taxes, but they require ratification by “the dysfunctional Congress.” “However, there is a way around that…” he continues. China could, “ in its own interest” establish “rising internal carbon fees.” It could then enlist other nations to follow its lead. Acting together, they could impose punitive duties on imports from countries that don’t have, “an equivalent carbon fee or tax.” “The United States then would be forced to make a choice. Address its fossil-fuel addiction…or risk descent into second-rate and third-rate economic well being” A blueprint for economic blackmail of the US by China. I think one word, “boycott” sums it up nicely.

Op-ed piece in South China Morning Post 11/3/10. “The climate crystal ball is clear…” he begins. That sums up his scientific method, I think. The image of Johnny Carson as the Great Carnac comes to mind. “Is there any hope….,” he asks. “Yes. China is the best hope.”

Calling someone a liar in writing is libelous. I learned a lot of libel law when I was a partner in the firm that represented William Loeb and the Manchester Union Leader. Saying they’re “misinformed” is safer. Also civil.
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grappler1987
Heaven is a gift, not a reward
09:32 AM on 04/11/2012
"tornadoes in the middle"

We are no doubt warming but some of the anecdotes don't makes sense. Yes, there are tornadoes in the Midwest but they were worse when I was a kid. Yes, the number of tornadoes last year seems high but times were worse in the early 70s.

http://www1.ncdc.noaa.gov/pub/data/cmb/images/tornado/clim/EF3-EF5.png

The best evidence of global warming is global temperatures.

http://data.giss.nasa.gov/gistemp/graphs_v3/Fig.A2.gif
09:16 AM on 04/11/2012
Question for Ms. Ritz. Considering we are see some of the effects of climate change and it seems we have significantly changed our atmosphere, shouldn't we be focusing on adaptation to these new conditions instead of trying to prevent something that has already happened? I mean if we went completely renewable and everyone had an Volt, humans would continue to spew CO2 and other gas into the atmosphere at record rates. China and India would easily replace any reduction we make in low emissions, and its hard to tell a developing nation they can't have electricity or heat or air conditioning (kind of moral colonialism).

Wouldn't our efforts be better spent trying to set up plans for the side effects of climate change. Much of the side effects will not occur instantaneous. For example if ice sheets continue to melt and sea levels rise, we would not be inundated in an instantaneous flood. Instead seas would rise gradually - over years. Would we be better to recognize at risk areas - say New Orleans - and build better flood walls?

Since the effects are already present, isn't many of the things - like light bulbs and hybrids - we are doing misguided. I just think it would be better to work on adaptations since we clearly missed the chance to stop it.
BlackbirdHighway
Brawndo's got electrolites!
11:33 AM on 04/11/2012
"instead of trying to prevent something that has already happened?"

The best estimates are that we are now only seeing about 10% of the climate change that will happen in the coming decades if we don't reduce carbon emissions.

The reason we should take those estimates seriously is that climate scientists predicted the current conditions 30 years ago, and those same scientists are the ones predicting what is going to happen in the future.

That is why we need to reduce emissions. We will be forced to adapt as well, since some of the effects are already occurring right now.
12:44 PM on 04/11/2012
But if every thing we do to reduce our emissions is over-ridden by the developing world (We go green but the rest don't) why waste the time and money on what amounts to a self serving gesture with no effect on overall pollutants - they will still rise!. I mean China and India will continue to increase emissions, Africa is only starting to develop. The want electricity and air conditioning too. I say lets stop doing petty self serving gestures like buying a certain light bulb and use the money to make sure our cities don't sink
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Gabe A Davis
I am an American.
12:45 PM on 04/11/2012
No they did not. In the seventies it was a FACT that is was a global cooling. That was barely over 30 years. You can find articles about it in some science magazines and others such as news week. These global warmings have been barely going on in the past decade.
08:14 PM on 04/10/2012
The sad truth is that we as a nation, and we as a civilization are simply not equipped to deal with issues like climate change because: (1) the world runs on fossil fuel and money trumps everything, and; (2) we as a species only react when it's too late, but in the meantime, if we don't keep a tight lid on our international diplomacy, some rogue nation is going to launch a nuke when the wells run dry, and the mountains no longer provide potable drinking water from melting glaciers and such. It's all heady stuff, and it underscores just how backward and deeply narcissistic our country is, as the solutions would cost money, and that's all that matters in today's world.

Indeed, our parents went to war in 1943 to try and save the planet from an axis of evil that would have destroyed the world. We lack the resolve and the moral courage our parents possessed to match such a sacrifice.

We need a third political party centered squarely around green politics. That and human rights for all.
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Martin Musetsky
08:31 PM on 04/10/2012
Fanned and Fav'd.
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Linus521
In wildness is the salvation of mankind
02:18 AM on 04/11/2012
What provides Earth and mankind with all his "life-support systems" or the eco-nomy of all life? We have sacrificed the ecology of the Earth and the science for merely two issues, climate change and new energies, which are as interlinked to Earth's ecosystems as the stars to the heavens.

Ecosystems regulate and moderate the climate and naturally sequester the climate warming, heat trapping gases. When we kill ecosystems for dead solar panels and dead windmills, we kill ecosystems as surely as if we dropped a bomb on them!

If modern man is in the business of killing ecosystems for concrete, cities and dead fields of solar panels and planet gobbling, biodiversity killing windmills, how is it we forgot the first green, the deep green? Nuclear energy kills far less acreage of ecosystems for high energy yield than all the rest!

Today, man has forgotten the first green, the big green that seeded the environmental movement or the salvation and protection of Earth's living, life giving body or ecosystems and their plant and animal biodiversity. Today, the big green is being sacrificed for the climate, like raping our fragile desert systems, for as dead as Mars fields of solar panels and windmills. Killing all the reasons man breathes for the climate?

We cannot sacrifice Earth's ecosystems and their biodiversity for energies. They must be utilized where people live -- only on rooftops, shopping centers, and parking lots because our lives and all the reasons we breathe, depend only upon ecosystems.
09:23 AM on 04/11/2012
What I find totally ironic, is that the green movement use to focus mostly on preserving ecosystems. In the 90s the rainforest and tiaga forests were a principle concern. We know that having these valuable green belts act as gigantic vacuum clearer for the air. I honestly don't see the economy going totally green any time soon. Why have given up on preserving these valuable stabilizing mechanisms. Is the green movement afraid to take on Brazil and Russia or Canada for that matter. Instead they are pushing policies that to mean seem too little too late. I am really confused because if we were to preserve our natural forest it would tremendously mitigate some of our economic activity? Some times the green movement upsets me because it seem to have become more a upper middle class guilt machine, than an actual conservation and solutions organization
Genders
Love, Tolerance, Enlightenment
10:43 PM on 04/11/2012
You want nukes, you care less for our ecology. Nukes mine more area than it would take deserts to provide all humanities energy needs.

We cannot sacrifice millions to cancer, and our entire civilization to proliferation from nuke power.

Rooftop solar, offshore wind and waste bio fuels use NEGATIVE land.

You are a fraud.
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niumarmion
a temporary being
07:43 PM on 04/10/2012
People pondering future generations should consider this reality to spare those generations agony.
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ClimateHawk
Think before posting.
06:15 PM on 04/10/2012
Right you are. Thank you for spelling it out so clearly.
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darttabb
Alcohol, Tobacco, & Firearms. Where's the chips?
06:07 PM on 04/10/2012
Wow. I haven't seen hand-wringing like this since the coming of the ice age in the '70s.
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Jim Milks
Ecologist
09:07 AM on 04/11/2012
Try to update your talking points, as that particular one is dead wrong. From 1965 to 1979, there were a grand total of seven global cooling papers published. In the same time span, there were forty-four global warming papers published (Peterson et al. 2008: http://aerosol.ucsd.edu/classes/sio217a/sio217afall08-myth1970.pdf). Time and Newsweek may have sold magazines touting global cooling to the public but the scientists were far more worried about global warming than global warming.
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darttabb
Alcohol, Tobacco, & Firearms. Where's the chips?
11:12 AM on 04/11/2012
Excuse me? Exactly where did I say the 1970's global cooling reports were true? They did in fact, however, cause hysteria (reference your link).

Your "far more worried about global warming than global warming" is about as Freudian as it gets.
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Dallas Dunlap
07:51 AM on 04/12/2012
darttabb - Two different things going on in the 70s. Some scientists believed that sulphate aerosols were cooling the planet by blocking sunlight (which they were, in the 70s) and that there was a dangerous short run cooling trend in progress. Most scientists believed that global warming from greenhouse gases would predominate. No scientists believed in an imminent ice age, as in continental glaciation. And, all of them agreed that there was a global warming signal.
There was some debate, but the majority of scientists believed that the warming trend would overcome aerosol cooling. When passage of environmental laws reduced aerosol pollution, global warming decisively won out.
The popular media, with "coming ice age" stories, sensationalized the discussion. There was never a belief among scientists that a literal ice age was a near term problem.