iPhone app iPad app Android phone app Android tablet app More

Featuring fresh takes and real-time analysis from HuffPost's signature lineup of contributors
Janet Tavakoli

GET UPDATES FROM Janet Tavakoli
 

BP Oil Spill Fine Upset: Likely to Soar Tens of Billions

Posted: 10/11/2012 1:14 pm

Just after mainstream financial news outlets reported that BP p.l.c. is close to a settlement for the 2010 Deepwater Horizon explosion that killed 11 workers and caused the worst oil spill in U.S. history, there is more bad news for BP that could cause its fine to soar tens of billions of dollars.

Sweet Deal for BP Likely Derailed

It was all going so well for BP and it denies being negligent, an important consideration when determining the scale of damages. Under the Clean Water Act alone, the civil fines reportedly range from $5.4 to $21 billion, so BP wants to be at the lower end of the range. Moreover, there are clean-up costs and various lawsuits, so one wants to set a precedent as close to the minimum as possible. If fines could be levied through the Oil Pollution Act, BP could take a tax deduction on the cost. This was shaping up to be a sweet deal for BP despite the fact -- or perhaps because of the fact -- this is an election year.

"Gross Negligence and Willful Misconduct"

But let's not forget the Department of Justice's findings. The picture for BP is horrendous, even if financial reporters have developed amnesia. The DOJ gave examples of "gross negligence and willful misconduct," and a "culture of corporate recklessness." Regarding the interpretation of a pressure test on the well, the DOJ asserted:

That such a simple, yet fundamental and safety-critical test could have been so stunningly, blindingly botched in so many ways, by so many people, demonstrates gross negligence.

Pattern of Negligence

If the pattern of negligence outlined by the DOJ weren't enough, Norwegian authorities are "investigating" the circumstances around an oil and gas leak off the coast of Norway. At issue is the safety of BP's production platforms. It raises the issue of whether BP is appropriately maintaining facilities, mothballing facilities that have outlived their useful lives, and training and retraining workers in safety protocols.

New Oil Sheen in the Gulf of Mexico for BP and Transocean Limited

CNN reported a four-mile-long oil sheen near the spot where the Deepwater Horizon rig exploded in April 2010. That's over the Macondo well.

Earlier I wrote: "It's too early to say BP is responsible, but it's appropriate to ask the question, especially since U.S. Senators have petitioned President Obama in a bipartisan letter to make sure the proposed legal settlement with BP is fair and in accordance with the spirit of the RESTORE Act, designed to help the coastal states damaged by the spill."

Well today we know. Coast Guard samples show the new oil sheen matches samples taken from the Deepwater Horizon spill. That puts BP and Transocean on the top of the list for potential costs associated with this new problem.

The gravity of the situation is not yet known. The entire area should be reinvestigated to check for leaks and potential weak spots.

Taken as a whole, there's no reason for the U.S. to give ground to BP when it comes to assessing fines and damages. The difference between the low end of the ranges discussed and the high end of the ranges is in the tens of billions of dollars.

Disclosure: I own puts on BP and a minor position in legacy shares.

 
 
 
FOLLOW BUSINESS
Just after mainstream financial news outlets reported that BP p.l.c. is close to a settlement for the 2010 Deepwater Horizon explosion that killed 11 workers and caused the worst oil spill in U.S. his...
Just after mainstream financial news outlets reported that BP p.l.c. is close to a settlement for the 2010 Deepwater Horizon explosion that killed 11 workers and caused the worst oil spill in U.S. his...
 
 
  • Comments
  • 36
  • Pending Comments
  • 0
  • View FAQ
Comments are closed for this entry
View All
Favorites
Recency  | 
Popularity
Page: 1 2  Next ›  Last »  (2 total)
photo
HUFFPOST SUPER USER
hipocampelofantocame
retired pediatrician
10:48 PM on 10/12/2012
Considering that BP had the same thing happen to an oil platform 2 years earlier,
also cause by a faulty mud (concrete) cap which blew out, I believe that all offshore
drilling should come under the jaundiced eye of a responsible overseeing committee.
The first blow out was in the Caspian Sea, and was covered up by BP in collusion
with the Azerbaijan government This was uncovered by WikiLeaks. This should make
us more cautious when dealing with greedy and unscrupulous corporations.
photo
HUFFPOST SUPER USER
jsgaetano
Legum servi sumus ut liberi esse possimus
04:33 PM on 10/12/2012
If there was any justice in the world, the costs of BP's willful negligence would be so high it would bankrupt their company.
This user has chosen to opt out of the Badges program
photo
MSROADKILL612
love auto biographys. any appS to write mine?
08:02 AM on 10/12/2012
Just for the record, BP arguably started in Australia

A brit called knox made a fortune from a mine here & rolled it on drilling in now iran
HUFFPOST SUPER USER
My Way
06:40 AM on 10/12/2012
BP continues to spend millions of dollars on a TV ad campaign trying to show that they give a damn about the people of the Gulf region, that they are a responsible company.
photo
HUFFPOST SUPER USER
John Kline
01:55 PM on 10/14/2012
And I get sick to my stomach every time I see it. No fine or punishment is too high for BP.
05:30 AM on 10/12/2012
TAKE THEM DOWN! Then repeat, repeat, repeat with CORPORATIONs, CAPITALISTs, BANKSTERs and the THIEVING 1%ers!
RealistBC
Micro-bios must pass muster.
12:35 AM on 10/12/2012
I wouldn't hold my breath that Obama will pursue his good friends at BP and collect a dime of this money.
HUFFPOST SUPER USER
realitytrumpsbull
Two 'alves of coconut!
10:51 PM on 10/11/2012
I think BP should be requested to monitor the spill site itself and be physically responsible for spill abatement, and have that be the extent of further punitive damages. Otherwise, gasoline at the pump is going to go 5 bucks a gallon. I also think that future efforts should be made, to bring as much oil drilling onshore as humanly possible, to facilitate emergency crew access in the event of an event. The problem with having these offshore rigs is that they're so remote that response time and response feasibility starts to become just short of ridiculous. Bring it onshore if/when/where possible, so that there's a possibility of spill containment in a reasonable period of time. Offshore drilling is risky, but it's what the industry has to resort to if the politics of the day prevent emplacement of drilling equipment onshore.
This user has chosen to opt out of the Badges program
photo
Romeover
Civilization is for weaklings.
06:50 AM on 10/12/2012
I think the fox should be requested to monitor the chicken coop itself, and be physically responsible for cleaning up the blood.
10:10 PM on 10/11/2012
Now you know why gas is going to $10 a gallon pretty quick.
photo
AsItEverWas
Communism is a rightwing conspiracy
03:50 AM on 10/12/2012
It already is in Europe
This user has chosen to opt out of the Badges program
photo
Romeover
Civilization is for weaklings.
06:51 AM on 10/12/2012
We can only hope. With gas at $10 a gallon, we'll see this country's dependency on foreign oil diminish rapidly.
photo
HUFFPOST SUPER USER
ClarcKing
Citizen
08:49 PM on 10/11/2012
BP deserves expropriation, nothing less.
photo
HUFFPOST SUPER USER
J T K
Quis custodiet ipsos custodes?
01:25 AM on 10/12/2012
To my knowledge it's been over a hundred years since that's happened (I think in the 1800's the government seized one of the railroads) and that would set a very bad precedent. I'd be willing to bet that while eminent domain has unfortunately been upheld, actual sovereign theft (which is what expropriation is) of an entire company would be blatantly illegal if not unconstitutional. That's not to mention that it would be a betrayal of the principles that our nation was founded on and purportedly still stands for.
photo
HUFFPOST SUPER USER
ClarcKing
Citizen
07:57 AM on 10/12/2012
I don't know what you represent, however its against the law for anyone/corporation to conduct an offensive against the United States, that includes 'using the law' in order to accomplish or conduct war. You wonder how the nation is in such a mess, the rich and powerful use the law.
BP knew or should have known from its own history of its technology that a burst would probably ensue. This is an act of gross negligence at least and an offensive by a then British transnational corporation against the United States. Now consider the human costs, the destruction to our food supply, the US coast line, the ocean and Gulf, the habitat of millions of humans, we have not even considered the damage done to Mexico and the implications of what you stated as a defense against appropriation.
photo
Cimms
Escaped from NC.
05:41 PM on 10/11/2012
They will get it back in the next Big Oil subsidies. Corporate Welfare must end.
05:19 PM on 10/11/2012
Yes!!! Use the money to invest in sustainable, non-fossil fuel, wind, weatherization and low-energy home construction.
05:14 PM on 10/11/2012
It actually goes even deeper than this. Greg Palast, an investigative journalist who works for the BBC among other places, has revealed that pretty much the same exact negligent situation happened a few months BEFORE the Deepwater Horizon by B.P. in the Caspian Sea.

This is very significant. This changes the negligence charges against BP to something more, perhaps negligent homicide. B.P. had prior warning of their faulty processes and control well before they ever dug that well in the Gulf.

http://www.youtube.com/watch?feature=player_embedded&v=_sgCG7H6U1E
http://www.gregpalast.com/bps-secret-deepwater-blowout/
http://www.gregpalast.com/bp-cover-uppart-2-bribery-george-bush-and-wikileaks/
This user has chosen to opt out of the Badges program
photo
cats530
16 Trillion To Banksters Per GAO Audit
07:11 PM on 10/11/2012
YES! I loved Vulture's Picnic. Thank you. Fanned
04:47 PM on 10/11/2012
Yet another reason to re-elect Obama; can you imagine a Romney DOJ going after BP? Fine them highly enough so that they go out of business, I say.
05:16 AM on 10/12/2012
Sure, just as soon as they do the same to Goldman Sachs. How much was Union Carbide fined for Bhopal?
photo
HUFFPOST SUPER USER
Kevin Gregory Hannigan
Self-annointed political pundit
04:05 PM on 10/11/2012
If what the DOJ has handed out it in fines on the banking industry is any precedent BP will most likely get the lower end.
photo
AsItEverWas
Communism is a rightwing conspiracy
03:50 AM on 10/12/2012
Sad but true
photo
snowballinhell
Humans have a 100% chance of extinction
03:27 PM on 10/11/2012
Can you tell us exactly what this means to you? 'Disclosure: I own puts on BP and a minor position in legacy shares.'

Ordinarily, I would ask you divest yourself of stock for ruthlessly negligent companies, but perhaps if people who hold BP stock would just hold it until the price falls when we the people get our payback, then and only if stockholders lose will we ever obtain any sense of justice for the damages due to the catastrophic oil well blowout. The health of our citizens and our environment have suffered enough. All we are left with is the slim hope that BP will be forced to pay fines and penalties that seriously reflect the magnitude of the mal behavior. Anything less will be a triumph for BP and a loss of integrity for our nation and we the little people.
08:27 PM on 10/11/2012
The fact that she owns puts on BP stock does not mean that she owns BP stock. Rather, it means that she is betting that BP stock will go down in value.

Thus, in light of the fact that her article has a negative slant that could help to cause the price of BP stock to go lower, her disclosure that she is likely to profit if BP's stock price goes lower is potentially significant, and she should be commended for making that disclosure.
photo
snowballinhell
Humans have a 100% chance of extinction
10:17 PM on 10/11/2012
It would be more credible if she didn't have a stake in the deal. It may be OK that she is betting against BP - and declaring such publicly, but taking a adversarial relationship does cloud the waters of her article. I say that even when I hope her information is credible. 
10:21 PM on 10/11/2012
talkan is spot on.

The disclosure is best practice in transparancy for financial writers.

I am not surprised because her work is of the highest integrity.
photo
HUFFPOST SUPER USER
J T K
Quis custodiet ipsos custodes?
01:16 AM on 10/12/2012
Making the stockholders lose out is a bad thing considering that the stockholders that deserve to lose (executives and the like compensated in shares or stock options) are going to be a tiny fraction of the total shareholders. Most of the people who will be hurt by the price going down will be regular investors, either directly or indirectly because the funds they hold that in turn hold BP shares will take a hit.
02:17 AM on 10/12/2012
If you own shares you own part of the company and are responsible for selecting and appointing the executives. Your are responsible and liable up to the extent of your holding.

That's often forgotten these days when stocks are seen as merely a respectable form of gambling, but it is still the case
photo
snowballinhell
Humans have a 100% chance of extinction
02:39 AM on 10/12/2012
I know it. But what is the alternative? Let BP off the hook? I don't think so. It's time small investors understand that if you ca't afford to loose your money, don't invest in the stock market. That was a lesson I was taught many years ago by a friend who worked for Standard and Poors.