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Janet Tavakoli

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Gold Game Changer: J.P. Morgan Accepts Bullion as Money

Posted: 02/07/11 09:36 PM ET

J.P. Morgan Chase & Co. announced on February 7, 2011 that it will accept physical gold as collateral for investors that want to make short-term borrowings of cash or securities.

Presenting gold to satisfy demands for performance bond collateral has been allowed on the London CME in a limited way since October 2009. As of November 22, 2010, the Intercontinental Exchange Inc. (ICE) has accepted gold bullion as collateral on all credit default swaps and energy transactions.

I don't recall the G-20 declaring gold a new currency. Yet JPMorgan Chase and a couple of financial market exchanges have effectively declared that gold is an alternative currency.

In other words, gold is money.

Abolish Credit Default Swaps on Sovereign Debt

In an earlier post, I wrote that Congress should act immediately to abolish credit default swaps on the United States, because these derivatives will foment distortions in global currencies and gold. Credit defaults swaps on the United States currently settle in euros, but there is talk of creating new contracts calling for settlement in gold. Congress should immediately ban all credit derivatives on the United States, since the opportunities for mischief making outweigh the hedging value.

Most traders in U.S. credit default swaps don't think the U.S. will default as long as we have money printing presses, so they are speculating on price movements in U.S. Treasury bonds due to potential increases in interest rates. If speculators manage to get contracts to settle in gold, speculators on the winning side of a price move will demand collateral paid in gold.

Destruction of the Volcker Bubble Deflator

In 1979/1980 the Hunt brothers tried to corner the silver market. In March 1980, Paul Volcker (who was then Chairman of the Federal Reserve) went to DEFCON 1 and directed banks to cut off funding to precious metals speculators. That directive included billionaires like the Hunt brothers. The Hunts couldn't borrow money against their long silver positions to meet their margin calls. Volcker popped the silver bubble and the Hunt brothers were bankrupted.

Since gold is now accepted collateral, there will always be a way to borrow against one's gold position, so speculators that create leveraged long gold positions can always find a way to fund margin calls. The Volcker bubble deflator is no longer relevant.

Trifecta of Absent Financial Regulation: CDS, Currencies, Commodities

How much mayhem could "creative" minds generate in the credit default swap markets, the currency markets, and the gold market? Quite a bit, since customized credit default swaps can be embedded in all manner of financial investments, and they can be written to offload unexpected risks on naĂŻve investors.

The Dodd-Frank "financial reform" bill doesn't address customized over-the-counter credit default swaps, and the bill doesn't do anything at all to reign in speculation in the currency markets or the commodities markets.

See also:

"How to Corner the Gold Market", TSF, March 30, 2010

"Washington Must Bank U.S. Credit Derivatives as Traders Demand Gold, Part 1," HuffPo, March 8, 2010

"Washington Must Bank U.S. Credit Derivatives as Traders Demand Gold, Part 2," HuffPo, March 12, 2010

Disclosure: I currently own some long positions in precious metals including gold. This is not an offer or solicitation for purchase or sale of any security and is not an investment recommendation of any kind and should not be construed as such. These comments reflect my views as of February 7, 2011, and are subject to change at any time based on market and other conditions.

Endnote (February 9, 2011): See also: "Repairing the Damage of 'Fraud as a Business Model,'" TSF Address to the FHFA's Supervision Summit in Washington D.C., December 8, 2010.

 
 
 
 
 
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This user has chosen to opt out of the Badges program
06:31 PM on 02/20/2011
Apologize for ignorance when it comes to the ins and outs of trading anything but this is a sincere question:

People used to think that land, real estate, homes were a store of wealth and a hedge against inflation. Then as the value went higher and higher they borrowed more and more against the "collateral" and bankers turned the collateral into more and more paper and traded it around - pension funds ect. got invested and the rest is history.

Many people around the world have accumulated physical gold for the same reason and now they are offered a way to cash out and borrow against their collateral. Physical gold turned into paper and pension funds ect. getting invested - if it goes down in value ("it will never go down") - more wealth destroyed - what is next oil? food? But gold, oil, food can never go down right just like land - homes?

Looking back people would have been better off selling homes at the peak and not holding on to them and certainly not borrowing against them. People would have been better off not buying homes and people who held on who didn't borrow were wiped out too.

Where does this end? Who wins in the end? Maybe I am asking what is the difference between pieces of gold and pieces of paper. Pieces of equity and pieces of debtors. Value in the thing or value in the borrower's ability or willingness to pay. Who owns who
02:52 PM on 02/08/2011
Your mention of Colonel Sanders and the chickens is very appropriate.

For the handful of billionaires in Wall Street, we are like chickens. For them, we are here on earth so that they can collect our (retirement) eggs, and they do not seem to mind eating some of us or putting us outside in the cold.

Those supper rich billionaires cannot be bothered with how unfair it is for one person running a bunch of paper shuffling scams (legal or not) to end up with a billion that was created by years of hard work done by millions of people.

Those billionaires seem to feel comfortable with the Darwinian notion of “survival of the strongest”. I am pretty sure they would change their view when “the strong” is a crowed of angry people, and their body guards take off with the Ferrari and the expansive artwork.

I think Madoff is evil. I think most of the others are not really evil. I am sure they are very nice to their pets. I think they simply lack a much of depth and understanding that results from normal and real interaction with "ordinary people". For them, people are replaceable commodity put there to serve their needs. We are their chickens.
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AvgJoeBlow
We are smarter than any of us.
12:28 PM on 02/08/2011
Again my question is: Who's Gold?
Our's?
You mean the stuff in Fort Knox that know on one has verified or audited in 50 years?
Or does the FED claim it now? Since we abdocated coining money to them.
Fiat Currency is paper thats the stuff the Treasury Prints for the FED
Money is Gold and Silver has been since recorded history.
Apparently, this generation and Janet are about to learn this distinction the hard way.
-AJB
10:55 AM on 02/08/2011
Once upon a time there were controls on the number of contracts that could be traded in the commodities market. The contracts give their owner the option to take physical delivery of a specified amount of the underlying commodity. The number of contracts was limited to correspond to global supply so that all contracts could be filled if they were exercised. Now 'investors' are noticing 'delays' in delivery when they try to exercise. But if there's not enough gold to go around to fill the excess number of contracts, it's not a worry. Some financial institution will sell you insurance to protect your contract. When financial institutions begin to 'accept' gold, they are acknowledging what the speculators in the market forgot. In a market subverted by deregulation, the scheme is unsustainable and the all you have is a piece of paper that says you 'own' gold. Good luck especially to all those who bought because it represented safety in troubled times.
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10:45 AM on 02/08/2011
What no one wants to talk about is the absolute INSOLVENCY of JP Morgan.

Just because they can hide their losses, by dumping their worthless toxic MBS (derivatives) onto Fannie/Freddie, use accounting tricks etc. to hide what the Federal Reserve's own website says: 100 trilllion in derivatives, does not mean at some point they will have to face RECEIVERSHIP/BANKRUPTCY RE-ORGANIZATION.
ThatsTheTheWayItIs
religion, ideology, partisanship are delusional
11:55 AM on 02/08/2011
All US mortgages have been securitized, for a long time. They are holding all US mortgages, not just the new bad ones. "Derivatives" wrongfully became a bad word, I'd love to own lots of them myself, they pay a lot of interest.

It's like holding corporate bonds from all US companies. Sure lots are going to go under, but probably not enough to even lose money in any year. That was the bet with housing, but prices fell nationally for the first time in 70 years, and are near bottom. We won't another crash like this. It's like the stock market after 1929, people who remembered it never invested again, like my parents. We Boomers were the first to forget, so the stock market got pumped again and crashed in 2000. There won't be another housing boom, we know better now. No boom, not bust.
12:43 PM on 02/08/2011
You must be a Republican.
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HUFFPOST SUPER USER
Shaun Hensley
The American Experiment has failed
01:39 PM on 02/08/2011
Prices are nowhere near bottom.
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HUFFPOST SUPER USER
Hiqutipie
Independent... Don't talk just Kiss ...
10:18 AM on 02/08/2011
Thanks for your wonderful work Janet: You warned them before the crisis about derivatives & they didn't listen & now its the New Commodity "Gold" that they are gambling with in which they are the only winners, Again!!! You're a True American Hero Janet!!! All you need is a horse..."The Bank Raiders are Coming, The Bank Raiders are Coming"

If these people at the fed don't understand the nature of derivatives which they obviously don't & can't even keep up with, they shouldn't be on the market...They are "Gambling" with the countries future again & the Feds are asleep at the wheel!!! Another WTF moment in American History!!!

These people keep on creating more & more dangerous games with these dam derivatives and no one seems to be there to stop them or put on the breaks. WTH works for who. Forget about the Regulators...just Fire them...They probably still don't know who won the Superbowl!!!

The Hunt brothers was an amazing story, how some of the richest men in the world got caught in their own web trying to corner the market on Silver & then got it pulled from under them. Now we need another Volker to do the same on the derivative market!!! Who's the next "SuperHero"?
09:32 AM on 02/08/2011
Currency being shifted to gold. Wow, that's remarkable. I have loaded up on gold stocks. Just bought EMLL, I thought it was a great investment for myself.

http://www.alexastock.webs.com
08:56 AM on 02/08/2011
Gold has always been money, silver too. Goldman is just making it official. Transfers of gold and gold as collateral have happened behind the scenes for centuries, now it is a little more out in the open. No big deal. Gold has been an official and unofficial means of exchange since antiquity.
07:45 AM on 02/08/2011
Ms. Tavakoli, thanks for the informative post. If the U.S. banned CDS's on it's own debt, what prevents institutions in other countries from creating and selling them to, say China, for example? Of course, I have yet to see our government do anything to hurt JP's profits, so won't be holding my breath on the ban.

The story though is JP accepting physical gold as collateral. Aren't they also the custodians of the GLD fund? Talk about opportunities fo mischief, yes?
07:38 AM on 02/08/2011
they must have issued gold ETF
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AmosKnows
Educating The American Idol Masses
04:23 AM on 02/08/2011
When they start accepting wheat and oats as collateral you'll know were in real trouble.
HUFFPOST SUPER USER
CroatianCritter
is keeping people honest
11:57 PM on 02/07/2011
This should come as no surprise. People in this country do not understand economic thinking that printing money just creates some form of value. There is all kinds of "invisible hands" that adjust the value of our money based on production, value and other factors. When you have an idea that economics can be controlled through some arrogant ideals, the scientific aspect of this thinking eventually will rear around and smack us in the face. This world is finite. It has finite resources. You can't continue to grow forever because it is impossible based on economic conditions. So, what do you do? That is the million dollar question that no one has been able to solve.
10:06 AM on 02/08/2011
it's possible to create the illusion that resources are finite even when they are not finite. hoarding is one way to do this. another is to have people invest in lawns instead of gardens.
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HUFFPOST SUPER USER
Shaun Hensley
The American Experiment has failed
01:40 PM on 02/08/2011
Name a resource that's infinite.