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Janet Tavakoli

Janet Tavakoli

Posted: August 15, 2010 10:53 AM

Arianna Huffington's new book, Third World America: How Our Politicians are Abandoning the Middle Class and Betraying the American Dream, paints a grim picture of the State of the Union:

"Every day, Americans, faced with layoffs and tough economic times, are forced to use their credit cards to pay for essentials such as food, housing, and medical care -- the costs of which continue to escalate. But, as their debt rises, they find it harder to keep up with their payments. When they don't, banks, trying to offset losses in other areas, turn around, hike interest rates, and impose all manner of fees and penalties..."
Third World America, (P. 77)

Our mediocre grammar school and high school educational system continues its downward slide. The Great Recession is squeezing school budgets. We are failing our children, our most important resource of all.

In 2009, the American Society of Civil Engineers gave the nation's infrastructure a near failing D rating:

"Flip on a light switch, and you are tapping into a seriously overtaxed electrical grid. Go to the sink, and your tap water may be coming to you through pipes built during the Civil War. Take a drive, and pass over pothole-filled roads and cross-if-you-dare bridges. The evidence of decay is all around us." (P. 95)

The over-hyped American Recovery and Reinvestment Act of 2009 earmarked only $72 billion of the $787 billion appropriation of taxpayer dollars to projects to improve the country's infrastructure.

Meanwhile, multi-national corporations avoid taxes, sheltering $700 billion in foreign earnings to end up with a measly $16 billion (2.3%) tax bill. GM is among those companies, yet it took almost a half billion dollars in bailout loans. Boeing and KBR Halliburton are among the defense contractors that avoid taxes, while enjoying government contracts worth tens of billions.

Banks (not Fannie and Freddie) Crippled the Housing Market

Fannie and Freddie do not make loans. They purchase mortgage loans and earn fees for guaranteeing payments on the loans. According to the Mortgage Bankers Association, in 2006, Fannie and Freddie accounted for 33% of total mortgage backed securities issuance. In the first half of 2010, they accounted for around 64% of new issuance. They were forced to pick up the slack and buy more when Wall Street's private label securitization Ponzi scheme blew up.

Fannie and Freddie are Wall Street's dumping ground. They would have had problems on their own, but their problems would not have been close to their current scale, and they did not create the housing bubble.

Congress twisted arms to make Fannie and Freddie buy more than $300 billion of phony "AAA" rated mortgage-backed securities from banks, not counting loans that didn't meet their stated requirements. Today Fannie and Freddie want banks to repurchase tens of billions of these loans, since they fail to meet representations and warranties, and the banks are fighting this obligation.

Top subprime lenders included Wells Fargo; Countrywide, purchased by Bank of America; Washington Mutual, now part of JPMorgan Chase; CitiMortgage, part of Citigroup; First Franklin (now closed), purchased by Merrill Lynch, which was purchased by Bank of America; ChaseHome Finance, JPMorgan Chase; Ownit, partly owned by Merrill Lynch, which was later purchased by Bank of America; and EMC, part of Bear Stearns, which was purchased by JPMorgan Chase. Most of the rest depended on massive loans from Wall Street. Many of these lenders were sued by states for fraud and paid billions in settlements.

According to Inside Mortgage Finance, the top mortgage backed securities underwriters during 2005-2006, only two of the subprime abuse years, included now defunct Lehman Brothers ($106 billion); RBS Greenwich Capital ($99 billion); Countrywide Securities, which is now part of Bank of America ($74 billion); Morgan Stanley ($74 billion);Credit Suisse First Boston ($73 billion); Merrill Lynch ($67 billion); Bear Stearns, which is now part of JPMorgan Chase ($61 billion); and Goldman Sachs ($53 billion).

The above doesn't even include the credit derivatives, collateralized debt obligations (CDOs), and structured investment vehicles (SIVs) that amplified losses. Yet, Arianna notes how America imploded while bankers soared:

"Someone like [Robert] Rubin is able to wreak destruction, collect an ungodly profit, then go along his merry way, pontificating about how 'markets have an inherent and inevitable tendency -- probably rooted in human nature -- to go to excess, both on the upside and the downside.' This from the man who, as Bill Clinton's Treasury secretary, was vociferous in opposing the regulation of derivatives -- a key factor in the current economic crisis -- and who lobbied the Treasury during the Bush years to prevent the downgrading of the credit rating of Enron -- a debtor of Citigroup." (P. 150)

Robert Rubin operated an economic wrecking-ball from prestigious positions of influence including former co-chairman of Goldman Sachs, director of the National Economic Council, former Treasury Secretary under President Bill Clinton, board member and senior "risk wizard" counselor at Citigroup, member of the President's Advisory Committee for Trade Negotiations, member of the SEC's Oversight and Financial Services Advisory Committee, unofficial econmic adviser to President Obama, and co-chairman of the Council on Foreign Relations.

Rubin is just one example of the many bankers, who helped destroy the economy while creating a connected financial oligarchy.

Hide Billions of Losses, Take Bailouts, Collect Billions, Skip Jail

Instead of apologizing for screwing up, the banks demanded the Great Bailout. At the start of the meltdown, the IMF and the U.S. administration estimated losses of $2 to $2.5 trillion. Unemployment and the losses are now shockingly worse. What was merely a recession escalated into the Great Recession.

How big are the actual losses? No one knows.

After destroying the value of major banks, culprits used their enormous political influence -- funded with taxpayer dollars -- to get Congress to force the accounting board to change accounting rules (as of April 2009) so banks don't have to recognize losses until they sell the assets.

According to William K. Black, after the much tinier S&L crisis, there were over 1,000 successful felony prosecutions, several thousand successful enforcement actions, and roughly 1,000 successful civil actions.

This time Congress gave us the Great Cover-up. Bank officers dodged jail time and collected billions in bonuses. As one of my South American friends observes, he's witnessed this third-world corruption before, and this time it's in English.

Banks Stall the Recovery and Prolong the Great Recession

Unemployment marched upward, delinquencies soared, and banks stalled foreclosures. The longer banks delay foreclosures and sales, the longer they can avoid acknowledging losses. Phony accounting and zero cost funding from taxpayers created an illusion of recovery.

Stalling helps banks while they pressure Congress to bail out failed mortgages with taxpayer dollars. Instead of working out mortgages with homeowners, they can wait for a government program to buyout or subsidize their failing loans. The markets aren't recovering, because banks own colossal chunks of mystery-meat assets.

It's a black hole of debt. If banks were forced to price these assets at market values and sell them, the market would clear, and the market would make a faster recovery. When Japan did this (Japan failed to make banks mark assets at market value. - Clarifying note added August 22), it stalled its economy for twenty years, and it still hasn't recovered.

Voters Must Demand the Solution

Voters must demand that Congress uncovers and publicizes facts and prosecutes the financial system's massive multi-year frauds. This will mean thousands of felony prosecutions, enforcement actions, and civil actions.

Congress completely failed in genuine regulation and enforcement. It must start over on financial reform, regulate derivatives, commodities trading, update Glass-Steagall, and more. It will have to break-up the Too Big to Fail financial institutions.

CEOs of our Systemically Dangerous Institutions (SDI's) fail to manage them, because no one is capable of doing it. Like a morbidly obese junk food addict, banks won't even get on a scale. Our banks refuse to properly measure (account for) the problem.

Third World America elegantly summarizes the way forward. Arianna Huffington names the culprits and gives a roadmap for solutions. The rest is up to us. We deserve better than a third world economy divided by ultra-rich on one side and debt-ridden middle class and dirt poor citizens on the other. Citizens must demand a clean-up of corruption and a foundation for healthy growth.



Third World America will be published September 7 and is available here.

 
 
 
 
 
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06:08 PM on 08/28/2010
If you want a sneak peak at third world America, look to the inner-cities. Post-Katrina New Orleans, for example.

http://mattpulver.wordpress.com/2010/08/28/third-world-america/
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05:42 PM on 08/22/2010
The point that is being missed in all the discussion is how the heck did so many liars and thieves get elected in the first place. Also, why is our justice system working harder for the crooks and criminals than it is for justice? Our problems go much deeper than voting out bad representatives. We need to overhaul our entire way of life. Voting has been exposed as a fraud in many instances and you see politicians being bought and paid for all the time. We need more than a vote to change things! We need to arrest and convict the people responsible. No fines, no reprimands, send them to jail and clear the decks for better representation and leadership. That also goes for our military complex, bank leaders and big corporate leaders as well as our government.
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05:33 PM on 08/22/2010
The bad debt began when the government started dictating to the banks that everyone should own a home and to loan them the money even if the banks knew they could not pay it back. The government needs to stop forcing the banks to make bad loans.
06:27 PM on 08/22/2010
That would be Barney Frank, who said "everything is just fine"a week before the colapse.
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10:03 PM on 08/22/2010
Exactly. Fanned.
02:53 PM on 08/22/2010
Interesting. I started reading this article expecting to disagree vehemently with the author. Supposing that her prescription would be for more bogus "compassion" from some faceless DC bureacracy.

I don't neccessarily agree with all of the author's assesment of how this fiasco occured. I think there's more blame for the perverse incentive of government garauntees. But I do agree with her prescription for the government's role in correcting the mess, and that prescription is punishment for fraud:

"Voters must demand that Congress uncovers and publicizes facts and prosecutes the financial system's massive multi-year frauds. This will mean thousands of felony prosecutions, enforcement actions, and civil actions."

That is the proper role of government: punishing transgressions upon the liberty of others. Fraud is theft by deception. It does not deserve a government gaurantee, it deserves a government prison cell.

And for you all huffinities who despise libertarians, this woman's prescription is exactly the same as Ron Paul's. Bad debt must be liquidated so that a real recovery can begin.
12:21 PM on 08/22/2010
Great article. Ms. Tavakoli has had an unique insight on the mystery world of derivatives, the Wall St. ponzi scheme, and the ensuing coverup. I am confused by the paragraph that starts with "It's a black hole of debt", about forcing the banks to price the assets at market value and sell them so that the market would make a faster recovery, but then says Japan did that 20 years ago and still hasn't recovered. Is that the best we have to look forward to, 20 years of recovery? Or is she saying Japan failed to make the banks do this.
02:55 PM on 08/22/2010
She's saying the Japanese banks tried to hide their losses and pretend that the debt they held would be repaid eventually.
08:48 AM on 08/22/2010
Thank you Janet. This should be required reading for all US citizens.
12:17 AM on 08/19/2010
The id of our country led us into the quagmire of Iraq and allowed the vampires of Wall Street to almost bleed our country dry. The money to pay for this will be extracted from our collective hide as taxpayers for decades to come, and indeed our country may never fully recover. It would have been a good thing if the suddenly vociferous patriots in the tea party had found their voice for fiscal responsibility during those blatant raids on the national treasury. I have no idea what it will take to inch our country away from the brink of financial ruin, but only a highly delusional mind possessed of the most virulent form of chutzpah would at least in the short term see our salvation in less government oversight of and more tax breaks for those who brought us so close to ruin.
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Akhet
Is kind of like 2Pac+Doctor Who
03:52 PM on 08/22/2010
Ya know! #2
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tlcpro
Work is not work when you love what you do.
09:51 AM on 08/17/2010
Great piece! If only the right people in the right places would understand the situation this well. Change is needed and those who caused this mess should be made to pay; including those in the Bush administration who relaxed the rules so that their bedfellows could make a killing at our expense. The Obama administration needs to get tough on these criminals, just as they must crack down on ilegal border crossings.
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01:33 PM on 08/18/2010
They do understand the situation. But they don't work for us so denial is the name of their game.
pup sydney
needs of regular folks, Italy; cancer;
08:03 AM on 08/22/2010
we read the articles they
a)do nothing (dems)
b) do worse (GOP)
this can not continue, I hope we find the energy to create a truly progressive party with one and one objective only: to straighten up the boat and put the economy on track according to the laws of this country as they were intended and not as the plutocracy perverted them.
exmate
Life is about playing a poor hand well.
08:38 AM on 08/17/2010
Banks are nor responsible for everything that is wrong these days and borrowers need to clean up their act too....but

“Less of what is being done by financial institutions need to be done. There should be fewer mortgages. More people should rent. Those institutions which approve loans should assume most or all of the risk ofr default. Borrowing to finance a worthy project that will generate more money is one thing. Borrowing for instant gratification is quite another and only results in having even less money for the things you want because of interest charges. Lenders may have larceny in their souls but in a way, so do borrowers.”
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tlcpro
Work is not work when you love what you do.
05:29 PM on 08/18/2010
More people should rent? Come on. Renters are paying the mortgages of their landlords. Everyone who wants to own their own home has the right to that goal. Why on earth should more people rent. Renting is throwing your money away. Home ownership is an investment. Many people mortgage their homes to send their kids to college. Without a home to mortgage, many kids would never see an education past high school. Renting is a dead end for the renter.
exmate
Life is about playing a poor hand well.
08:23 PM on 08/18/2010
All those people who lost their shirt in the housing bubble would have been better off renting.
07:26 AM on 08/17/2010
Dreams cannot be assassined. Paradoxically you can only wake up from it.
exmate
Life is about playing a poor hand well.
08:41 AM on 08/17/2010
Dreams are just fine but the desire for instant gratification of their coming true is part of what is doing in the middle class.
08:59 AM on 08/17/2010
Wall Street bankers were in a position to do the most damage, and they did. They wanted get-rich-quick bonuses and were prepared to lie to get them.

Dreams can be killed (metaphorically). As Jean Rostand said: "One kills a man, one is an assassin; one kills millions, one is a conqueror..." If you prefer, you could substitute "conqueror" for assassin.

Millions have been harmed, and many of those millions borrowed and invested prudently. They are now innocent victims of those who knew better but wanted to get-rich-quick even it if meant a prolonged recession.
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Jean Clelland-Morin
religion / the Golden Rule
04:56 AM on 08/17/2010
Now, if only Obama had a Baguette Magique to fix our corrupt economic system and the water-pipes that were installed during the civil war, all those impatient voters would be satisfied. // Jean Clelland-Morin
04:13 AM on 08/17/2010
Thank God, some people are actually paying attention to what is going on in the United States.
I hope more people see articles like these & start to seriously question what has happened.
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Bayard Waterbury
social philosopher
04:02 AM on 08/17/2010
Janet, wonderful article. Problem. Nothing will happen without a Constitutional Amendment to get major political contributors out of the political arena. Why do the big corporations and big banks get breaks. Simple. They pay to get their picks elected by dominating elections with money. Even our President, purported change catalyst, took massive sums from Wall Street, and thus we have luke warm, watered down financial reform, and Jamie Dimon gets his ear. And then their are lobbyists, mostly former elected representatives and their aides, who dominate all conversations and get to write the bills while their bosses pay for Congress people to play golf and do fund raising instead of governing. The rest of America is then given, not sub par representation, but essentially none. We now closely resemble Russia pre-1991. Russia has begun to look like the land of actual opportunity. I know lots of Russians living here, and many are seriously considering moving back. They no longer can see that the American Dream is a possibility, let alone a probability.
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Suzanne O'Keeffe
01:14 AM on 08/17/2010
Good nutshell of the issues. James Galbraith said in an interview with Bill Moyers that there was a little mortgage / banking industry motto during the boom: "IBGYBG" -- I'll be gone. You'll be gone. http://to.pbs.org/9P0Vr4 That says it all right there. The scam was on and people stole the money while the money was there to be stolen, and bailed before the system blew itself up.

Beyond the voters waking up, people can vote with their dollars every day. Move your money (another of Arianna's efforts) -- take your cash out of the big banks, move your loans. Don't do debt. The system depends on us agreeing to it. Do what you can to opt out. Remember, right now, you are paying back a debt to someone (big banks) who has massively defrauded both consumers and taxpayers. If I were an attorney, I'd find a way to nullify plenty of these loans.

More William K Black: "We [Congress] don't want to change the bankers, because if we do, if we put honest people in who didn't cause the problem, their first job would be to find the scope of the problem. And that would destroy the cover up. ... Until you get the facts, it's harder to blow all this up. And, of course, the entire strategy is to keep people from getting the facts." http://to.pbs.org/ciwCMj
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Carolab
Just another hostage of the poopy heads
02:19 AM on 08/17/2010
Fanned.
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Mark Knudsen
12:07 AM on 08/17/2010
Time to go to bed yoiu all have posted very good thoughts now if we could just focus this with a magnafiying glass some one would get burned...creamated better yet... don't you think we have identified the problems enough now lets DO something put your feet on the ground and turn stones not just blow on them have a good nights sleep the old Viking