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Janet Tavakoli

Janet Tavakoli

Posted: January 22, 2010 10:59 AM

Show Bernanke and Geithner the Door

What's Your Reaction:

Both the United States and the United Kingdom have had a coordinated non-response to financial reform. If a drunk driver killed your neighbors and crashed the car into your house, you wouldn't expect a police officer to hand the offender a bottle of whiskey and the keys to a bigger, faster, and more powerful car. You would be outraged if the officer said he would only impose a fine, and then made you lend the drunk the money to pay the fine. Yet this is the modus operandi of our financial system, and now financial drunk drivers refuse blood tests and huff that their seat belts were fastened.

Both Federal Reserve Chairman Ben Bernanke and Treasury Secretary Timothy Geithner missed the critical warning signs of our recent financial crisis. In April of 2009, Steve Forbes called Geithner "the most formidable impediment to an economic recovery." Ben Bernanke repeats past mistakes and hands out cheap money with insufficient conditions or regulation. Both economists have been economical with the truth. There were alternatives to their actions during the crisis that are based on sound financial principles and do not violate the spirit of democracy.

President Obama has proposed a baby step towards financial reform. He proposes to limit ill-defined proprietary trading, limit banks' borrowings, and prevent banks from investing in hedge funds and private equity funds. Banks' lobbyists and PR spin-doctors are already working overtime to thwart him.

Mainstream financial media got it badly wrong when it said that the proposal was based on populist anger. It may have motivated President Obama to (only partly take) Paul Volcker's advice, but sound financial principles back that advice.

Some bank stocks fell in price after the President's remarks yesterday. That was because savvy investors knew that speculators might no longer be able to report high risk-based earnings subsidized with taxpayer dollars. In this case, a fall in stock prices for banks driving down Wall Street should be viewed as a healthy sign. A few bank stocks rose, because they rely on traditional banking backed by sound financial principles.

Goldman Sachs's stock went down a few percentage points. It became a newly created "bank," to get on the taxpayer give-away gravy train. JPMorgan Chase claims only 1% of its revenue comes from proprietary trading, yet even before its merger with Bear Stearns, JPMorgan's market share of credit derivatives was greater than 50% for U.S. banks. That meant you could combine the credit derivatives of all other domestic banks, and JPMorgan's positions were greater. Those are just two examples. Banks' "non-proprietary" trading desks are often invisible hedge funds.

Taxpayers currently subsidize banks with cheap money supplied by the Federal Reserve. Even banks that nearly crashed our economy borrow at nearly zero interest rates, while some consumers pay nearly 30% on credit card debt.

Banks enjoy a Term Asset-Backed Securities Loan Facility (TASLF) that allows them to borrow against problem assets. New banks have each issued tens of billions in FDIC guaranteed debt through the Temporary Liquidity Guarantee Program (TLGP). Banks get interest payments on the excess reserves they keep with the Fed. Accounting rules were changed in March 2009, so banks make up their own prices for assets and more easily hide losses. These are only a few of many newly-created hidden subsidies.

Taxpayers are paid only peanuts in fees for these massive subsidies while being squeezed with high interest rates and mortgage foreclosures--after our economy was devastated chiefly by several banks' malicious mischief.

What has the financial crisis taught us? Among other things, we should show Bernanke and Geithner, enablers from the previous administration, the door. Paul Volcker is right to ask for a return to Glass-Steagall. It worked until it was eroded over several decades by bank lobbying. Banking and speculative trading activities--even when done for "customers"--don't mix.

"Financial innovation" must be limited, since much of it in recent years was the financial equivalent of card cheating. Banks should not be allowed to sponsor hedge funds and private equity funds, and furthermore, they should not be allowed to lend to them through prime brokerage units or other means. Financial institutions must be allowed to fail. Hedge funds require regulation. Malfeasance should be investigated and prosecuted. Credit derivatives should be traded and cleared through exchanges and made transparent. Compensation and financial incentives at banks must change. Bank employees cannot continue to reap huge rewards at no personal risk while shoving risk into the global financial system.

President Obama promised us change, and he should seize this opportunity to demand sweeping financial reform.

 
 
 
 
 
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HUFFPOST BLOGGER
Warren Mosler
06:08 PM on 01/22/2010
Janet: I think we have to go a lot deeper and fix up the whole banking system. See my proposals
http://www.huffingtonpost.com/warren-mosler/proposals-for-the-banking_b_432105.html
04:47 PM on 01/22/2010
While you're at it, you can toss Summers, Diana Ferrell and the other former Wall Street goblins out.
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HUFFPOST SUPER USER
Tiggy
03:48 PM on 01/22/2010
Bernanke, Geithner and Summers should all go. I liken them to the 3 Wallstreeteers! Paulson should be brought up on criminal charges but TARP gave him a "get out of jail free" card.
03:29 PM on 01/22/2010
Don't let the door hit you on your way out !
03:24 PM on 01/22/2010
Obama is featured in a movie exposing greedy hedge funds and market manipulation called "Stock Shock." The DVD is pretty much available everywhere but cheaper at www.stockshockmovie.com
02:54 PM on 01/22/2010
There seems to be a growing momentum for reform. Recently, the Obama administration seems to pay attention to a number of sources in favor of reform. As for Tavakoli, based on an earlier post, it seems the FCIC paid attention, and when Representative Issa wrote his letter to William Dudley requesting AIG bailout disclosure he wrote:

"The lack of transparency and accountability in this transaction is disturbing enough. However, there is evidence that this $13 billion expenditure was entirely unnecessary. According to Janet Tavakoli of Tavakoli Structured Finance, 'There’s no way they should have paid at par. AIG was basically bankrupt.'"
04:39 PM on 01/22/2010
And why did the counter parties have no apparent fear of an AIG bankruptcy?

They had refused, flatly, AIG's attempts to negotiate haircuts of 40%. All of them - flatly refused. Tavakoli implies the asset was worth 10 cents on a dollar. The counter parties obviously had other ideas.

And, as always, Issa and Tavakoli and fellow travelers provide not a single argument for how America would have benefited had GS not gotten the 12.9 billion, which was broken out as follows:

4.8 billion - securities lending position
2.5 billion - required posting of collateral per the CDS agreement
5.6 billion - ML III purchase of asset
-------------
12.9 billion
========

How is the taxpayer benefitted if the above does not happen? Unaddressed in total.

'There’s no way they should have paid at par. AIG was basically bankrupt.'" - presumably Tavakoli

So what? Everybody, including the NY Fed, knew AIG was moments from going bankrupt. The French clearly wanted wanted one of two things, and they apparently did not give a flip as to which: paid in full by AIG or an AIG bankruptcy. What does that tell you? Hint hint hint.

If people could get of this idiotic obsession with the payments to counter parties, they might get to why the AIG bailout was done. You know, that bankruptcy thing about which the GS-obsessed media has never written a single article.
05:08 PM on 01/22/2010
Tavakoli's position is different than what you wrote. Issa may have taken the $13 billion number from another source. Tavakoli did not say the assets are worth only ten cents on the dollar. She only points out that similar CDSs were settled for ten cents by MBIA and Ambac. She is asking for the details to determine the current price and doubts Treasury's prices. She said some CDOs may have held up well, but others will have low prices, and she calls for a fraud audit. Treasury claims the assets are on average worth more than the 35 cents. Tavakoli is saying Goldman's share of $13.9 billion in original asset value should be repurchased at that price adjusted for interim principal payments. The value to Goldman should be much more than ten cents if Treasury's claim is accurate, so its a better deal than MBIA and Ambac settled for.

Then Goldman can settle the synthetic CDOs still with AIG at ten cents on the dollar the way that MBIA and Ambac did, i.e, they take back the $8 plus billion and get a settlement of $800 million. In total it gets you to Goldman's $21 plus billion in AIG exposure for the CDSs.
11:15 AM on 01/22/2010
Somehow, I don't think that Pres Obama (much less Tim or Ben) will notice or follow your proposals. This is going to be a clod winter & a very late spring in DC.