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Jared Bernstein

Jared Bernstein

Posted: January 26, 2010 02:31 PM

Budget Freeze-eology 101: Hatchets vs. Scalpels

What's Your Reaction:

So I'm on my way to do a TV interview last night on a set of middle-class initiatives we announced yesterday, when I learn that what they really want to talk about is our proposed freeze on non-security discretionary spending. Ok,I'm flexible -- and in fact, the two are related in an important way that folks need to understand.

First, an important note on timing. No one is arguing that we should take our foot off the accelerator today, when the economic recovery remains fragile and job growth has yet to return. In fact, you'll hear from the President tomorrow night about measures we should undertake right away jump-start job creation. In his words and deeds, the President has made clear that recovery comes first. But that doesn't mean we should wait to start changing the same bad habits in Washington that left a $1.3 Trillion deficit on our doorstep when we entered office in January 2009, especially when we can do so without cutting back on our jobs agenda.

Second, a little background on freeze-eology: there are two ways to do a freeze like this: (1) an across-the-board freeze on every program outside of national security; and (2) a surgical approach where overall totals are frozen but some individual programs go up and others go down. In short, a hatchet versus a scalpel.

During the campaign, you may recall that John McCain touted option 1: the hatchet approach of an across-the-board freeze.

The President was critical of that approach then, and we would be critical of it now. It's not what we're proposing. To the contrary, the entire theory of the President's proposed freeze is to dial up the stuff that will support job growth and innovation while dialing down the stuff that doesn't. Under our plan, some discretionary spending will go up; some will go down. That's a big difference from a hatchet.

Take, for example, the policies we announced yesterday -- a significant expansion (a 20% increase) in a program that provides services for seniors, like respite care and in-home services; a program to limit student loan repayments to 10 percent of income (after living expenses); an expansion of two tax credits, one for child care and another for retirement savings.

How can we expand these programs in the context of a freeze? By making sure that the freeze either holds steady or increases those parts of the discretionary budget that support jobs and income security for folks who need them, while whacking the wasteful subsidies that support lobbyists and special interests.

President Obama deeply understands the various imperatives of this moment in time, even if they don't always point in the same direction.

We must do all we can to help those who are still reeling from the impact of the great recession; we must create the economic conditions for robust, private-sector job growth, and we must make the investments in clean energy, health care, and education that will ensure that the next economic expansion is characterized by broadly shared prosperity, not narrow gains to financial speculators.

At the same time, we must take steps to move toward a sustainable fiscal position, and that's where the discretionary freeze comes in.

You can't thread that needle with a hatchet. You've got to use a scalpel. That may be a truly lousy metaphor, but it's good public policy.

Jared Bernstein is Chief Economist to Vice President Biden, and Executive Director of the Middle Class Task Force

 
 
 
 
 
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Citizen54
Conservatism is a con job!
01:06 PM on 01/27/2010
Perhaps Mr Bernstein could follow up with a piece explaining why a freezing of defense spending is off the table. Why isn't the surgeon trimming some fat off the Pentagon's bloated body? Or hey, why not take some of that defense (I mean "security") spending and use it to create jobs?

We need jobs more than bombs and foreign military bases.
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LizM
My micro-bio is too long for this space.
02:08 PM on 01/27/2010
Perhaps you might want to do some homework before adding to the nonsense of the blogosphere.

You could start here:

http://www.cqpolitics.com/wmspage.cfm?docID=cqmidday-000003179170

http://www.huffingtonpost.com/joe-cirincione/gates-grounds-the-airborn_b_238347.html
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GlenParked
10:29 AM on 01/27/2010
There's a simple message that the White House seems to miss entirely:

WE DON'T TRUST YOU to act in the interests of the people. As I have written to the President countless times in the past weeks, for those of us who supported Obama during the election, who are now completely disillusioned by a full year of mis-steps and broken promises, cleaning out the economic team of Geithner, Summers and Bernanke would send us a message that effective change is in the works. But it seems the man we invested so much hope in is lacking backbone, caving in to criticism from corners where no matter what he does, he will be wrong. We need leadership that is strong, decisive, and clear about goals...it's becoming painfully clear that Obama is not that man. What a sad state of affairs...
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cmaurand
08:16 AM on 01/27/2010
We can't continue to spend as much on the military as the rest of the world combined. We can't afford it and it isn't making us any safer. If we keep going like this, we risk becoming just like Russia.
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LiberalDem
09:56 AM on 01/27/2010
Amen. Furthermore, if the Obama administration is truly serious (cough, cough) about cutting spending that is wasteful, let's look at the Pentagon budget. I'm not holding my breath.
11:12 AM on 01/27/2010
but, but - then the Repugs get to shout with all of the Corporatist and War-loving pundits - that Obama - is not fighting terrorism!

the Military Industrial Complex is the biggest Congressional Lobbying mafia - and they ain't giving up their Halliburton-like War Profiteering - ever.

Sigh.
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wethepeople3884
in Order to form a more perfect union ...
07:11 AM on 01/27/2010
I really think this spending freeze is a collosal mistake based on a terrible interpretation of the mass election. Obama could not even rally enough support for coakley in a state like mass not just because coakley ran an atrocious campaign but because obama has succeeded at driving away his core supporters or at least totally de-energizing us. GIVE ME ONE VICTORY OBAMA GAVE TO HIS BASE THIS FIRST YEAR? A single thing. NOTHING, nada, zilch. Not one real progressive policy or executive order has been passed that his base could have stood up and celebrated. So we can hold our heads up high and say thats the president we voted for!!! Not only has he not given us a thing but he deflated us at points. I was particularly annoyed that obama tasked governors to be accountable for every cent of the stimulus package and made absolutely no provisions about what would happen to the bailout money. Did they not have the foresight to think they might pay out the huge bonuses they have been getting for decades? And I know he ran on a campaign to move troops from iraq to afghanistan but i didnt realize that entailed elevating troops numbers to tremendous levels and starting another covert war in pakistan. Im definitely not thrilled about that. (PLEASE READ BELOW)
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wethepeople3884
in Order to form a more perfect union ...
07:11 AM on 01/27/2010
He actually increased defense spending for some reason over bush's last term and epically failed to convince leiberman to support a public option or expansion of medicare WHICH WAS LEIBERMAN'S IDEA; Instead the white house calls out dean for calling out leiberman and saying the bill was a joke. Of course, they had the cojones to call out the progressive but not the obstructionist. We have had a lot of talk about financial reform but no actual action. Obama appoints arguably the biggest failure at his job to secretary of treasury and then, for some reason rallies support for bernanke even though the wide majority of america despises bernanke. Is that populism? More like political suicidal tendencies. So we have all that to be miserable about and then, immediately following one senate election obama moves even more centrist with this bogus conservative freeze crap. Are we supposed to be satisifed or even feel neutral about all this right now? This country is too politically divided to need a moderator as president. Obama needs to pick a side on these issues - playing down the middle is going to destroy him. He might as well not even run in 3 years if he continues this bipartisan sellout of his base.
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wethepeople3884
in Order to form a more perfect union ...
06:59 AM on 01/27/2010
Im afraid who the surgeon is going to be. Is it a heart surgeon or a third year med student? I am pretty sure obama is not going over the budget line by line telling congress what to add and what to subtract. So who is going to be making these decisions? Because i can tell you if its bipartisan, this thing is never going to happen. And if its dems, the republicans may filibuster. And if its republicans, you will be cutting many significant programs. And does this mean healthcare reform is dead now? An entire year of lunacy down the drain? Congress MUST get something done or the dems as a party will look like abject failures. All i would do is trying to get the most significant things through at the very least!!!! Congress is inept, incompetent and a bigger failure than wall street right now. Congress will NEVER reform anything before they reform themselves. Because they are a running joke to the rest of us who see whats going on and laugh and then, cry.
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PotomacOracle
The Solution:debt free credit clearing systems
06:57 AM on 01/27/2010
Mr. Bernstein,

There are more systemic and humane alternatives to the mantra which demands budget cuts and tax hikes. We as a nation pay interest on "fiat" money used to fund public budgets. That just does not make sense. The privately owned Federal Reserve System siphons off $500 billion in tax receipts which pay the interest/profits to the Federal Reserve.

The President could easily issue an E.O. declaring a five year moratorium on interest payments to the Federal Reserve. That would save upwards of $2 trillion.

The 2nd alternative is to issue interest free Treasury funds to finance the government for the next five years. That saves an additional $2 trillion.

The 3rd alternative is to issue a new interest free currency which replaces the Federal Reserve Note and Treasuries. The Fed Notes and Treasuries would be liquidated once redeemed to eliminate the threat of inflation.

Importantly, interest free funding of public sector budgets allows government entities to provide all the needed services required to sustain communities without incurring debt.

The Treasury can use the same fractional reserve lending principles commercial banks use. $1 trillion in U.S. assets held by the Treasury becomes $8-$10 trillion in interest free credit for distribution to fund National, State, and local budgets.

Think about it. You may also want to visit www.webofdebt.com to peruse the definitive discussion presented by Dr. Ellen H. Brown.
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SparkyDash
Still a BFD
05:49 AM on 01/27/2010
Good grief, Jared Bernstein, I will be blunt here: What Obama-Biden...and yes Geithner...need is for a brilliant economist with a Renaissance mind and the heart of a humanist, to communicate their economic strategy to we the people!

This would be you, Mr. Bernstein. Yes, you please. When Joe Biden tapped you for his economic advisor, I had high hopes indeed: one, well, Joe Biden is a favorite humanist of mine and has chosen an impressive team (of greater worth than any VP I know of in recent history, and I don't say that lightly), and second, I read your bio besides being keenly aware of your time in COMMUNICATING economic information to us common folk before becoming part of this administration.

This post is what we need to read. Most populist do not have degrees is economics, and thus really do not understand nuances. Thus, it is my request that you please, please post more frequently on HP and elsewhere. Obama-Biden needs someone like you to communicate clearly to this country and others.

Great post, by the way Mr. Bernstein, you've never let me down. Thank you so much. Tell your boss Hi!
06:37 AM on 01/27/2010
lol, agreed Sparky, Biden tapped some top ethical talent, with Bernstein one of the most impressive. Bernstein has an interesting background too…bachelor's degree in fine arts, master's degrees in social work and philosophy and a doctorate in social welfare, (senior economist at the liberal Economic Policy Institute).

Biden called Bernstein a "proven, passionate advocate for raising the incomes of middle class families,” which, I believe was a big reason Biden tapped Bernstein. I don’t believe a vice president ever had the mental wherewithal to make such a choice. Biden was keenly aware of the need for such an expert and he pulled out a plumb.

Your choice of the term “humanist” is unique, and is what sets Bernstein apart from other economists. I trust him.

Thank you for this Jared; I just hope readers appreciate your prose.
02:45 AM on 01/27/2010
President Obama talked about this during his debate with John McCain. Hatchet vs. Scalpel. Interesting how us progressives have selective memory and jump to the conclusion that President Obama is flip-flopping.

Are we not supposed to look at our budget and cut out wasteful spending? Who are we going to get the money from, China? In my opinion, this was a smart move by the President. We already allocated $700+Billion to the stimulus which only a portion of it has been spent.

Thankfully, President Obama is into short-term and long-term solutions. I see responses on this blog that people are not going to vote in 2010 because he is putting a freeze on wasteful programs starting in 2011. WOW. What a childish response before you even hear his rationale or which programs are not going to receive additional funding for the next 3 years.

Families are tightening their budgets and therefore, we need to make some adjustments to our government's budget. It is the responsible thing to do and frankly I'm appalled that progressives are against using our money more wisely. What if we froze money given to build oil refineries and instead reallocated those funds to build wind turbines? Would the left be opposed to that?

Maybe you should listen and find out all the information before jumping the ship. Geez. No wonder Obama has so much gray hair!
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atienne
08:31 AM on 01/27/2010
CenterDem, people want to scream flip-flop because they only have partial information and get most of their information from talking heads who want to write the message.

I clearly remember what the plan was to cut the deficit. Scalpel it and provide funding for important programs to boost education, jobs, etc. Cut waste but it had to be done carefully.

Sometimes, I wonder if people even voted based on information!

This 'freeze' talk hit the airwaves and everybody got their knickers in a bind! Krugman spoke out against it so of course it can't be right because he's never wrong, correct? My question...did Krugman have all the facts? Or anyone who started running their mouths?

I prefer to wait til the information is all out there before I start running without my head.

Thank you, Mr. Bernstein for offering some insight where there is mostly misinformation!
02:28 AM on 01/27/2010
Mr. Bernstein,
I am so pleased to see that you wrote an article to post on Huffingtonpost. I watched your interview on Rachel Maddow and I felt for you. I like Rachel, but this time she was wrong. You and President Obama are proposing a spending freeze on areas that do not focus on job growth (except for defense and medicare/social security). You will be reallocating money that was saved from this freeze to areas that will stimulate growth.

I get it.

The problem with the left , especially the liberal media is that it is all or nothing. Same thing happened with the health care debate. It's the public option or nothing! Now that there might not be any health care bill, they are screaming "pass the bill and do it now!" What about the public option they so fiercely fought for?

I'm glad that you are not catering to the liberal base because this is not a liberal America. In my opinion, a successful President governs from the middle, giving each side what they want. It is not only smart politically but the right thing to do. Bush was ideological and therefore had the worst approval rating in history. What strikes me is that the liberals believe that President Obama should do the same as Bush. "It's our turn", they say. What about having a President that listens to both sides and does what is best for our Country.

Now, that is Change!
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LizM
My micro-bio is too long for this space.
05:53 AM on 01/27/2010
Both of your posts are worthy of being designated HuffPost Picks! Well, they are actually worthy of much more than that but, you know what I mean ... very nicely said.
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StevenWells
Objects in the avatar are larger than they appear
05:55 AM on 01/27/2010
Whether it comes from a Democrat or a Republican, "this is not a liberal America" is just as much a myth as the "liberal media." Americans may describe themselves as either "centrist" or "conservative" in numbers, but on individual issue after issue, they favor more progressive policies than conservative ones.

Everyone has the tendency to see the country through the prism of their particular ideology, but it still astonishes me to see anyone claim that Obama gives "each side what they want." The health care debate is a perfect example. Nobody got what they wanted, policy-wise, and only the minority party got what it wanted politically. After gaining concession after concession, with national support evaporating with each one, Republicans oppose it as vehemently as ever, even though there is virtually nothing progressive left in it.

The result is a bill with significantly diluted support, and Obama damaged from moving to the center. The electorate voted for progressive policies in 2008; what it has soured on is the idea that this administration will deliver them.
02:27 AM on 01/27/2010
Obama's admin is conservative. Conservatism's goal is the destruction of democracy and the Enlightenment and return to the rich Monarchies.

Vote for the Progressive Caucus, Kucinich, Dean Grayson, etc.

Never vote for conservatives, never for the GOP.
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01:38 AM on 01/27/2010
On the one hand, the Obama campaign ran on changing Washington. On the other, it ran on being pragmatic and bipartisan in Washington.

How can you change Washington "pragmatically"?
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LizM
My micro-bio is too long for this space.
01:48 AM on 01/27/2010
One leftist at a time.
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Matt Osborne
12:59 AM on 01/27/2010
As I expected, it's more of the same nuanced empiricism. Mr. Bernstein should understand that this stuff is what drives the left batty; they don't "do" nuance.
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LizM
My micro-bio is too long for this space.
01:12 AM on 01/27/2010
It's about damn time that the left spend more of their spare time learning how to do nuance and a little less time coming across as dangerously ignorant.
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01:27 AM on 01/27/2010
These are some perspicacious and nuanced observations you've made about leftists.
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Matt Osborne
07:12 AM on 01/27/2010
They are kind of like people that way.
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LizM
My micro-bio is too long for this space.
12:39 AM on 01/27/2010
If the Obama/Biden administration has been lax in any area, it has been - very surprisingly - in the communication department.

I hope you will post here more regularly and, perhaps, even throw in a good word or two about Secretary Geithner.

Of course, President Obama, VP Biden and Secretary Geithner and the rest of the economic team could explain until they are blue in the face and most of the people around here will still refuse to understand. But, that's all the more reason why you should be posting here more often - and at length - and you should urge Biden and Geithner to do the same.

Regular blogs by Berstein/Biden/Geithner would go a long way toward countering the dysfunctional and toxic media culture so prevalent around here.
04:50 AM on 01/27/2010
Yes of course. More and better spin and they'D have won MA by miles. That was all the problem was.
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LizM
My micro-bio is too long for this space.
01:05 PM on 01/27/2010
No. The problem is that too many people around here don't know the difference between spin and cogent analysis. Your comment speaks volumes about that.
12:03 AM on 01/27/2010
Will Obama wield the scalpel or just look in occasionally to see how the surgery is going?