iPhone app iPad app Android phone app Android tablet app More

Featuring fresh takes and real-time analysis from HuffPost's signature lineup of contributors
Jared Bernstein

Jared Bernstein

Posted: August 11, 2010 01:07 PM

The Myth of Idle Recovery Dollars

What's Your Reaction:

John Boehner wants a lot of people to lose their jobs.

We were awfully surprised to hear Rep. Boehner come out for killing jobs en masse in his own state and district by stopping the Recovery Act on last Sunday's news shows.

Though we're sure he didn't know it, the Congressman is advocating to kill the expansion of the Butler County Community Health Center and bring some of the twenty-five highway projects across the district to a grinding halt. Across the state of Ohio, he said that approximately 4 million working families should get an unexpected cut in their paycheck as the Making Work Pay tax credit disappears, unemployed workers should go without unemployment benefits, and major Ohio road projects like the US-33 Nelsonville Bypass project and the Cleveland Innerbelt Modernization project should be stalled or stopped. Oh, and some of the more than 100 clean energy Recovery projects employing workers across the state should be shut down.

That would be the direct consequence of his suggestion that we shut down the Recovery Act: "There's still about $400 billion or $500 billion of the stimulus plan that has not been spent. Why don't we stop it?" Now if you have been following this blog, you know that the notion there is "$400 billion or $500 billion" in Recovery Act funding unspent couldn't be further from the truth. In fact, we're right on track to hit the goal set when the Recovery Act passed: that 70% of the $787 billion in funds would be "outlaid" or provided in tax benefits by September 30, 2010. But you don't have to take our word for it -- independent fact-checker Politifact.com recently rated Rep. Boehner's claim flat-out false. As they noted:

[R]ight off the bat, Boehner's $400 billion to $500 billion figure is much too high.

But then they go on to say:

[W]e think it's misleading to refer to even that lower number as "unspent" stimulus, because much of the $292 billion has been obligated, even though it has not been paid out.

But here is where things get interesting. We discussed a couple of weeks ago that Recovery Act dollars are put to work creating jobs and jump-starting projects long before they cross this final step of being "outlaid." First of all, two-thirds of the Recovery Act is tax cuts and relief payments which were largely designed to spend out gradually over time, generally over a two year period. So that "unspent" money is things like the tax cuts owed to working families in their paychecks and the upcoming unemployment checks owed to those hit by a job loss.

The other one-third of the Recovery Act is projects where the money largely isn't paid out until work is underway or nearing completion. If you were renovating your house, you wouldn't pay for the whole thing up front -- you would make progress payments as the key targets are being met and work is being completed. And you would expect the government to do the same thing with your taxpayer dollars, right? But an awful lot happens with the commitment of those dollars before anyone gets paid. If the bank pre-approved you for a loan for your renovation, you would certainly start drafting up plans, lining up contractors and securing permits. And then once the bank deposited that money in your account -- just like when the government contracts with a Recovery Act awardee to give them a grant or loan - you would start hiring a contractor who would hire workers, buy materials and start the project. Well, the same is true of Recovery Act projects - that "unspent" Recovery Act project money has already started tens of thousands of projects nationwide.

Big picture that means that 94 percent of the Recovery Act is either in tax cuts, payments, or projects under contract. Of the remaining 6 percent, half has been awarded and contracts are being finalized -- and half is in the final stages of the award process. So when critics like Rep. Boehner talk about stopping the spending, they're essentially talking about taking away middle class tax cuts, leaving unemployed workers unexpectedly high and dry without an unemployment check, halting road and bridge projects and leaving them unfinished, leaving contractors unpaid for the work they've already done and more.

So when it comes right down to, is Rep. Boehner really ready to tell Ohioans they'd be better off if we stopped the Recovery Act?

This post originally appeared at The White House Recovery Blog.

 
 
 
 
 
  • Comments
  • 182
  • Pending Comments
  • 0
  • View FAQ
Comments are closed for this entry
View All
Favorites
Recency  | 
Popularity
Page: 1 2 3 4  Next ›  Last »  (4 total)
HUFFPOST SUPER USER
deminmo
just looking for answers
03:24 PM on 08/12/2010
When Mr. Boehner appeared on "Meet the Press" Sunday, the
one thing that stood out was he would not or could not, answer
a direct question. Are the Bush tax cuts paid for. Simple enough
question. Seems like Republicans want change, they just can't
tell you what exactly that change is.
02:48 PM on 08/12/2010
This spending is peanuts compared to what is wasted on the overseas empire and the Bush tax cuts but I guess it is a question of priorities.
photo
ljmck
Stand Up, Show Up, Speak Up
11:24 AM on 08/12/2010
So many eloquent and convincing voices here.

I hope you all take time to write a "letter to the editor" of your local paper. We must work to help other Americans understand what we see so clearly. Passion and persistence can go a long way.
photo
HUFFPOST PUNDIT
FoonTheElder
Always choosing between the lesser of two evils
11:10 AM on 08/12/2010
And what does John Boehner plan to do with all of this saved money? Pay off the debt? No way! The Republican budget proposal won't bring the budget in balance until the year 2083!Bohner says we need to spend any savings on wars.

"Ensuring there’s enough money to pay for the war will require reforming the country’s entitlement system, Boehner said. He said he’d favor increasing the Social Security retirement age to 70.."
http://news.firedoglake.com/2010/06/29/boehner-cut-social-security-to-pay-for-war/
photo
ljmck
Stand Up, Show Up, Speak Up
11:17 AM on 08/12/2010
I hope you're running for office somewhere. We need people like you speaking from public platforms.
HUFFPOST SUPER USER
deminmo
just looking for answers
03:26 PM on 08/12/2010
There is also cuts to the pay that our elected officials receive,
not taking a pay raise every year, not using places like "C Street",
not taking lobbyist money ect.
photo
HUFFPOST PUNDIT
FoonTheElder
Always choosing between the lesser of two evils
11:07 AM on 08/12/2010
Meanwhile John Boehner sells himself to lobbyists in his "Cash for Speaker" program.

"News reports highlighting Minority Leader John Boehner’s (R-Ohio) new “cash for speaker” program is a troubling—yet perfect—example of our broken political system, according to the Campaign for Fair Elections.

“That Rep. Boehner would so easily sell access and influence to lobbyists simply for political gain is an unconscionable abuse of the responsibilities his Ohio constituents have granted him,” said David Donnelly, campaign manager of the Campaign for Fair Elections. “Americans want leaders who will look out for them, not special interest donors.”

“Rep. Boehner is not the first congressional leader to promise access, attention and VIP treatment to big donors and bundlers,” continued Donnelly.

Rep. Boehner has launched a new campaign to become Speaker of the House if Republicans retake the majority in November, according to the newspaper POLITICO. From the article: “According to materials distributed by Boehner’s camp and obtained by POLITICO, lobbyists and other major donors across the country who give the maximum or help raise $100,000 will get meetings with Boehner, calls from senior aides with updates on the campaign and ‘VIP access to all events, including roundtables, briefings, breakout discussions and interactive panel discussions.’”

The highest giving industries to Rep. Boehner’s campaign and political action committee during his time in Congress include Wall Street, energy companies, lawyers and lobbyists."

http://fairelectionsnow.org/rep-boehner%E2%80%99s-cash-speaker-program
photo
ljmck
Stand Up, Show Up, Speak Up
10:58 AM on 08/12/2010
Republican leadership claims to be thrifty and patriotic, but is neither. They are forever pumping our dollars upward for the benefit of a few, who in turn invest overseas and also ship our jobs overseas.

This is their program: enrich the already wealthy, hide the dollars, strip our resources, pollute the world, and doom all but a few to poverty, scarce and low paying jobs, inferior education opportunities, and poor health.
07:07 PM on 08/12/2010
Yes, that is pretty much their ticket!!!
10:42 AM on 08/12/2010
Washington (CNN) -- Nearly three out of four Americans think that at least half of the money spent in the federal stimulus plan has been wasted, according to a new national poll.

A CNN/Opinion Research Corporation survey released Monday morning also indicates that 63 percent of the public thinks that projects in the plan were included for purely political reasons and will have no economic benefit, with 36 percent saying those projects will benefit the economy.
photo
ljmck
Stand Up, Show Up, Speak Up
11:04 AM on 08/12/2010
Which surely proves how inept Robert Gibbs and his shop are at getting the word out about what the administration is doing.

The most eloquent president since Kennedy has failed to make his case. It's really sad and disturbing, and it's a terrible disservice to all of us who supported him.

Wake up, White House.
photo
HUFFPOST SUPER USER
ksjprod
Never met a wise man, if so, it's a woman
12:15 PM on 08/12/2010
Agreed, they have terrible at messaging. Bush would have been in four different places each day tooting his horn. Obama could learn from that. Use that presidential power and and get out there and speak, the news will air it.

He could also use the bully pulpit more, another thing Bush did really well.
07:10 PM on 08/12/2010
Yes, the stimulus has helped keep the states afloat as well as helping teachers and social workers able to help the most vulnerable as well as those in their homes - it has helped everyone directly or indirectly!!!
10:41 AM on 08/12/2010
Its not working.

AP - The employment picture is looking bleaker as applications for jobless benefits rose last week to the highest level in almost six months.
photo
HUFFPOST COMMUNITY MODERATOR
PunKinPai
Tact is just not saying true stuff. I’ll pass.
02:38 PM on 08/12/2010
And what would the numbers look like without the stimulus?
07:11 PM on 08/12/2010
Without the stimulus we would be in a full blown depression - we would be dreaming of what we have now!!!
photo
HUFFPOST SUPER USER
Roy Merritt old car guy
Loves Nostalgia Dragsters
10:39 AM on 08/12/2010
We are attacking each other as if the teachers and federal workers were causing the unemployment. What about the wars that are off budget? What about Goldman Sachs getting 100% on the dollar for bad investments like dirivitives. The teachers and other government employees are not the problem. If we had just taken the trillions of dollars and given it to every adult in the USA we would all be working and the banks would be laying face down in the dust. We need to start making things in America at good wages and penalize those who bring 20 cent an hour stuff from China and $1.57 an hour cars and appliances from Mexico. We kill our jobs everytime we buy this stuff. WE kill our jobs everytime we buy at Wal-Mart. Pay a little more and buy from people who hire Americans and make American goods. Unions have been made to look like the bad boys by Ronald Reagan and crowd but even with the corruption that went on in unions they still were better than flipping each others hamburger for minimum wage. We are the reason that the billionaires have money they take it from us. It isn't the small businesses that are LLC's that is the problem it is Wal-Mart, Lowes, Home Depot, Goldman Sachs, Bank of America, etc. These people do not want a well paid work force in America.
photo
ljmck
Stand Up, Show Up, Speak Up
11:13 AM on 08/12/2010
Great points. Thank you.

If the Wal-Marts and all the rest gave every worker a raise and even hired an extra person or two, people would start spending again, confidence would improve, credit would loosen, tax money would flow into state coffers, which could in turn afford to provide for basic infrastructure improvements and on and on.

As the economy does whatever our masters deem it should do, we must insist on green jobs and improving our infrastructure in ways that serve people and preserves the natural wealth and beauty of the country.

Never again can we allow a Wall Street bailout. Any future bailout must flow through the working men and women of this country, the real wealth builders (not the paper floaters).
jokerdanny
my other bio is a macro
10:22 AM on 08/12/2010
Republicans are saying it's fair to open up the clothes washer half way thru the cycle, note that the clothes aren't clean, and say the washer failed.
10:45 AM on 08/12/2010
This wash cycle is the slowest in post war history. The machine is broken.
HUFFPOST PUNDIT
ThatsTheTheWayItIs
religion, ideology, partisanship are delusional
09:33 AM on 08/12/2010
I don't Repubs will gain any "traction" with this, since Bernanke was recently such a downer.
Ben says growth has stopped, deflation is possible, and stock prices plummeted.

Even Wall St wants a stimulus now, anything but deflation.
I wonder if Ben did this at Obama's request: warn of economic downturn, to get another stimulus bill.
photo
SparkyDash
Still a BFD
09:03 AM on 08/12/2010
Mr. Bernstein I love you and your columns. Thank you for another intellectual and articulate explanation and clarification, and please call out individuals like Boehner at every opportunity. Facts are quite refreshing.

Love your Boss too ;-)
08:48 AM on 08/12/2010
The democrats need to explain these things to the people more effectively. They need to go on the air often and answer back to the lies that Boehner, Eric Cantor and Mitch McConnell keep telling. Lord help us if the repubs get the majority back and Boehner becomes speaker of the house. We will fall so far backward from the progress we have made so far. Progress is slow right now, but we are making progress. I don't want the health care bill repealed. I do want it made better, but not replaced by something the repubs create. Their health care bill idea was already dissed by the CBO as adding to the deficit and leaving millions without health care. If Boehner was ever allowed to do what he wants to do, we will be in serious trouble. And he has the nerve to say that Obama is not doing enough in the jobs area. Maybe if the repubs would stop trying to block new jobs bills, some more progress in that area would be made.
08:18 AM on 08/12/2010
Republicans seem so insensitive to human suffering in absolute terms. More Americans are unemployed today than at the peak of the Great Depression in 1933 -- more at:

http://wjmc.blogspot.com/2010/08/human-suffering-is-absolute.html

Economists must learn that unemployment is not simply a statistic, but rather the pain and suffering of individuals -- human suffering is absolute...
10:46 AM on 08/12/2010
Tell Obama to stop killing jobs.
07:13 PM on 08/12/2010
What do you think would be happening if Obama was not President???? You should thank your lucky stars for the man!
HUFFPOST SUPER USER
jacobomorales
06:52 AM on 08/12/2010
I love your column, keep it coming.