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Jared Bernstein

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Why No Action on Jobs?

Posted: 10/30/11 09:19 PM ET

Why, you may be wondering, do politicians refuse to take the necessary fiscal steps to dislodge the unemployment rate from its elevated perch of 9.1%? Why, to the contrary, do they seem if anything intent on austerity measure that will push it in the wrong direction?

I can think of three reasons:

1) They want the president to fail;

2) They don't believe fiscal measures will work;

3) They irrationally fear a higher budget deficit, even temporarily.

Re 1, what can anyone say? If you're willilling to throw the economy under the bus to gain political advantage, you -- not the millions hurt by your actions -- should be the one who loses his job.

Re 2, I've got more sympathy for you. Folks have a hard time accepting counterfactuals -- the idea that things would have been worse absent the Recovery Act. But the evidence is at this point pretty plain to see: here, where the economy improved while the Recovery Act was in place and stumbled as fiscal stimulus come off too soon, in the UK, where austerity is clearly stifling growth, and in southern Europe as well.

Re 3, it can't be emphasized enough that temporary spending measures, even large one, are not what drive the long-term debt problem. Note how the Recovery Act -- all $800 billion of it -- adds nothing to the growth of the debt/GDP ratio starting around now. The culprit there would be the Bush tax cuts -- it's the permanent spending, not the temporary stuff that whacks you here.

I'm all for laying the groundwork to get on a sustainable budget path once the private sector is back in the business of creating jobs for people here in America. For now, the question regarding budget deficits should be: are they large enough to help pick up the slack until that moment arrives?

2011-10-31-cbpp_debtgdp.png
 
 
 
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HUFFPOST SUPER USER
sonoflars
Growing old is mandatory, growing up is optional
07:35 AM on 11/01/2011
No one is talking about the real problem: Technology is eliminating jobs faster than they can be created. Kiosks, self checkout lines, internet retailers, robotic manufacturing, and on and on. In every industry, productivity is up and productivity means that fewer people are required to produce the same output. Capitalism is no longer able to efficiently distribute wealth in society. Look at the data. We better start talking about this before the mob with the pitch forks starts lighting the torches.
HUFFPOST SUPER USER
joe w2
Love is All, everything else is Commentary
02:04 AM on 11/01/2011
Um, let me see...I don't think that well-informed, well-staffed Political Insiders have any logical reason to believe Reason # 2, Or #3, so I can only believe it's reason # 1 !
What do I win ? I recently e-mailed Sen Marco Rubio, raking him over the coals for voting NO on the American Jobs Act. I received in response a form letter thanking me for my interest on the issue, followed by the same old, stale, GOP Talking Points about how this mysterious bevy of people called 'Job Creators', are waiting for 'A Signal' that the U.S. Government is serious about controlling spending so that they can all get real busy creating all kinds of jobs for the rest of us.
We all know by now that the wealthiest % 1 aren't waiting for any signals, they are just busy re-investing their Money in clever under-handed Financial Schemes so that they don't have to risk their Billions in creating Jobs.
There is no clearer 'Signal' to the Private Investment Sector than Government Investment in Infra-structure and Public Services ( Fire / EMS, Police, Healthcare, etc...), that should inspire 'Job Creators' into action.

I informed Sen. Rubio that his reply was from a petty, little political Creep, and that his regurgitation of these pathetic GOP Auto-responses was the stuff that is the fuel for the OWS Movement.
I anxiously await his reply.
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HUFFPOST SUPER USER
ScreenName05
01:48 AM on 11/01/2011
This is a logical argument based on the best facts available. It is obviously to complicated for Republicans.

999 - Shiteshiteshite.

demand demand demand - good good good.

investment investment investment - better better better.
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FoxIslander
Fox Island...no relation to Fox News
11:34 PM on 10/31/2011
"1) They want the president to fail"

...there is your reason. The G0P NEEDS the economy to remain the same, or get worse.
11:46 AM on 11/01/2011
Of course, didn't you want George Bush to fail? Quoting John Adams "Freedom cannot be preserved without a general knowledge among the people."
10:40 PM on 10/31/2011
18000 jobs in ND
08:17 PM on 10/31/2011
The chart says it all.
08:27 PM on 10/31/2011
No it doesn't, the Democrats have led most people to believe that the Bush Tax Cuts were for the rich . . . in reality, eliminating them translates to a $320 billion dollar increase on the middle class annually while there would be an $70 billion dollar increase on the rich.
oilfield
small manufacturing business owner
12:08 AM on 11/01/2011
they dont want to hear that....if they had reversed them in 2009, the economy would have tanked even worse.....its amazing though, they wont address the underlying problem....our leader doesnt instill hope in anything/anyone.....until he is gone, it wont get better.
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HUFFPOST SUPER USER
ScreenName05
01:52 AM on 11/01/2011
Okay, I realize that this is complicated stuff for a Republican, so I will try to make it simple so you can understand.

999 - shiteshiteshite

investment in demand - good good good.

There that should help. Hold your head, lie down and take two aspirins.
08:16 PM on 10/31/2011
We all know why there is no action on jobs. Republicans want the economy to say as is or get worse just for the possibility of Obama not getting re-elected.
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Skunkman
old & decrepit
07:41 PM on 10/31/2011
Why does the Republican Party zealously pursue policies so obviously counter to the best interests of ordinary Americans?

Mike
07:49 PM on 10/31/2011
Be specific on the policies and tell me where the Democrats have come down on the same policies.
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Skunkman
old & decrepit
06:24 AM on 11/01/2011
Are you one of the 1% Billionaires the GOP is so worried about? (G)

Mike
08:17 PM on 10/31/2011
They really are only worried about the guy in the mirror, not americans
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Skunkman
old & decrepit
08:34 PM on 10/31/2011
Thank you Bluegirl85 for your intelligent post.

Fanned & faved

Mike
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SocratesFan
Elitist who loves books and learning
07:23 PM on 10/31/2011
This isn't the politicians' fault, Bernstein. They get to their offices because people ELECT them there; we live in a democracy.

And we have a mind-bogglingly stupid American population. They think American Idol, or NASCAR, or Nicole Kidman is more important than the fact that one in five Americans are having enough trouble getting enough to eat.

They vote against their own interests, for politicians that increase "opportunity" but express contempt for their entire class or group or what-have-you.

They'd rather read the TV Guide than Plato, and they're warmongers. Americans crave constant war, all the time, because they can't get any stimulation from watching the sunset, or kissing their loved ones (if they even DO that anymore now that they appear to have embraced longer and longer work hours and a society addicted to speed), that's for sure.

They value fundamentalist "literalism" that "de facto" ignores everything literally spelled out in the Bible that doesn't worship the god of Mammon; they hate people who suffer...

...basically, unless you live in my area, which is a relatively wealthy and well-educated area, then in most areas of the country your neighbors essentially cannot tell right from wrong because they don't have a historical frame of reference to know what true human values are.
caveman06
Citizens Against Virtually Everything
07:13 PM on 10/31/2011
Gee, if the national debt isn't something to be worried about, how much national debt do you think we can absorb and still make it out?

Right now last week, the national debt went above 100% for the first time where the average family owes more than the average family makes every year.

Bottom line, taxing the rich isn't going to save us. As a matter of fact, you would have to re-institute ALL of the Bush tax cuts to even have a hope but even then it doesn't keep up with the runaway spending of Obama and his tax and spend liberal friends.

Taxing the rich gets us $80 B a year. Last month we overspent our revenue intake by like $125 B. Taxing the rich doesn't even cover 1 months worth.

Also, Obama has accomplished in less than 3 years what it took Bush to do in two full terms. Create $4 T in national debt. So can we give Obama the blue ribbon for wasting our money???

Sure seems like it.
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joe w2
Love is All, everything else is Commentary
02:11 AM on 11/01/2011
" As a matter of fact...re-institute Bush tax cuts..." As a matter of Fact ? As A Matter of Which Fact? Where? What Fact is this you speak of ?
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scottishboy
Born in the USA!
07:08 PM on 10/31/2011
Don't you mean, why no actions on hiring the unions? Porkulus 2, the sequel. Let's see, this administration has spent over 3-Trillion and what do we have? A very large bill.

Will they again fund the Solyndra type again? Do you see another on of those wonderful guaranteed government loans was awarded for $54-Million last year and they just filed for bankruptcy. There are more to follow I’m sure.

The Religion of Green. I thought all these folks were for separation of church and state? Pope Gore must have convinced them otherwise.
oilfield
small manufacturing business owner
12:09 AM on 11/01/2011
no one is pointing to the big stimulus portion of the chart...of course they put bush on top.
07:08 PM on 10/31/2011
"The culprit there would be the Bush tax cuts -- it's the permanent spending, not the temporary stuff that whacks you here"'

If we didn't DOUBLE our spending since 2001, the Bush tax cuts wouldn't have any effect on the deficit.

You also forgot to mention that the BTC for the wealthy total about $70 billion annually while the BTC for the rest of us total about $320 billion annually.

In other words, your push for the elimination of the BTC is in favor of a pretty big tax hike for everyone.
07:05 PM on 10/31/2011
"Why, you may be wondering, do politicians refuse to take the necessary fiscal steps to dislodge the unemployment rate from its elevated perch of 9.1%?"

If the Government actually controlled the unemployment rate, it would never go up.
06:58 PM on 10/31/2011
Government can create jobs, Roosevelt did it and Dwight Eisenhower when his economy was in trouble, he along with Democrats an Republicans worked together, not like now an the GOVERNMENT helped the states to build the interstate highway putting thousands of people to work. Who do you think help build the Hoover dam. One reason unemployment is staying high is that the GOVERNMENT is laying PEOPLE off from GOVERNMENT JOBS that was created by guess what the GOVERNMENT and that is not counting teachers, firefighters, policeman. It's just the Republicans don't want to create jobs now no matter how it's done.
06:39 PM on 10/31/2011
In the name of truth and self-disclosure, let's please stop talking about "politicians" who are standing in the way of economic recovery when what we really mean are "conservatives." Conservative Republicans and Conservative Democrats (Dems in name only) are the people who vote such things down, and they do so not for their ideological stances, but simply to make the economy as bad as possible to win elections later. It's the same reason that they tamper with voting rights and redistrict states--not because they actually care about the non-existent problems of voting fraud (you might find perhaps 4 cases of voting fraud in any given state, and usually not the type they pretend to be guarding against). The GOP is committed to throwing the Constitution and the American people under the bus so the right can finish what W. Bush started--the end of America as we know it and the advent of an out-in-the-open corporatocracy that hands all rights and government responsibilities to business in exchange for money in pockets. It's not a secret what they're doing. You simply have to call a duck a duck, open your eyes, and watch them dismantle the system.