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Jeff Madrick

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The Republican War on the Poor

Posted: 08/29/2012 9:00 am

Much is rightly made about the Republican War on Women. But the Republicans are fighting a more deliberate battle against the poor. It is audacious, insensitive and ugly. Republicans have clearly decided that the War on the Poor is good politics.

Today, 46 million Americans live in poverty, or 15 percent of the population. Some 20 percent of all children live in poverty. Nearly 40 percent of black children do.

Yet the Paul Ryan budget would take two-thirds of its non-military cuts from low-income programs like Medicaid, food stamps, job training and Pell grants for college, according to the Center for Budget and Policy Priorities. While the Ryan plan would cut the tax rate for the rich to 25 percent, the non-partisan Tax Policy Center reports taxes for those who make $30,000 or less would go up.

Robert Greenstein, the president of the CBPP, calls it "likely... the largest redistribution of income from the bottom to the top in modern U.S. history."

The budget policy is only the spearhead of the war on the poor. Mitt Romney and Paul Ryan would also reverse as much of Obamacare as possible, including if they can the enormous expansion of Medicaid passed by Congress. Few may realize that Medicaid, the healthcare plan for the poor, was designed only for families; no matter how poor, individuals did not qualify. Moreover, the typical cut-off for qualification even for families was two thirds of the poverty rate. This all changed with Obamacare. Some 15 to 17 million poor Americans would now get healthcare coverage.

Romney and Ryan would also change Medicare radically -- at least the Ryan budget would. Whose pocket would that come out of? The elderly, who are generally low-income Americans, have low poverty rates only because of Medicare and Social Security. They would immediately start to lose benefits if Obamacare were reversed. The Romney-Ryan camp try to cover this up by saying their plan would only affect those 55 and under today. Not so. And the Ryan plan of offering premium support -- vouchers -- rather than guaranteeing healthcare as is now done under Medicare would be highly costly to the elderly.

A recent Center for American Progress report found that ending Obamacare would cost today's seniors $11,000 due to higher premiums and higher drug costs as the famed doughnut hole was set to close. As for those who turn 65 ten years from now, the losses are huge because premiums under Romney-Ryan will not keep up with healthcare costs. That could come to $60,000 in higher payments over the typical 2023 retiree's span of retirement.

It's not just Romney and Ryan among the Republicans who are fighting a war on the poor. Republican states led the legal challenge against Obamacare, which would have provided healthcare coverage to two-thirds of Americans who have none, some 30 million people. They effectively lost in the Supreme Court. But when the Court ruled in June that states could reject the Medicaid portion of Obamacare, five Republican governors said they would, including the governor of Texas, where 25 percent of the population has no healthcare coverage. The national average is about 18 percent. These five and perhaps as many as roughly 20 more, all led by Republican governors, will do so even though the federal government will pick up 100 percent of the costs in the first few years, and 90 percent thereafter. It's worth mentioning that a new study from Harvard University finds that Medicaid does indeed save lives, reducing the death rate in several states where Medicaid had earlier been expanded.

Then there is the minimum wage. Republicans may now be trying to reduce its reach. In Arizona, Republicans have tried to repeal the minimum wage, claiming business can't afford it in a recession. But the federal minimum wage, now $7.25 an hour, has been raised so rarely in the last few decades, that it is well below its 1968 high when discounted for inflation. Mitt Romney has now backed off his long-held position to raise the minimum wage along with inflation to satisfy his fellow Republicans. They argue the old simplistic economic story that any increase in wages means lost jobs. But what America needs now is more spending -- and higher wages would help do that. America grew rapidly in the 1950s and 1960s when the minimum wage was relatively much higher than it is today.

One pro-Republican interviewee on Moyers and Company recently asked whether anyone really believed Paul Ryan was cruel and didn't care about the poor. People baring harsh policies do not grow fangs. The Ryan argument is a very old conservative one: that social programs make people dependent. One wonders whether he believe there were any poor when there were no substantial programs to redistribute money in America -- say, in the 1800s.

The Republicans of course say they want to provide jobs. Free markets, once released to work their magic, will enable workers to get a job and provide them the pride they lack. And Romney and Ryan they know how to do it -- tax cuts.

We'll get back to tax cuts. But, first, the markets don't work their magic -- anywhere. Economists like Tim Smeeding and political scientists like Lane Kenworthy have pored over the data on incomes across countries and have found that markets create a lot of poorly paid work, not only in the U.S. but also in much of Europe. The U.S. households with incomes less than 40 percent of the disposable income of the typical household comes to nearly 18 percent, but it is higher in England and not much lower in Germany or Sweden (Foreign Affairs, sept. oct, 2012, Campbell). One third of Americans have incomes below 200 percent of the poverty line -- the poverty line is about $14,000 for an individual, $22,000 for a family of four.

What makes this tolerable is that social programs, such as the Earned Income Tax Credit, Medicaid and Medicare, redistribute income. Europe requires those same programs, and theirs on balance are far more generous.

Paul Ryan has never, to my knowledge, presented evidence that reducing sharply these redistributive programs will work -- to motivate these people to find better jobs. His is an ideological argument, based on no serious theory and no serious experience. He knows, I suppose in his heart, that such a laissez-faire social state is better for the poor. And the Republicans pull out the Obama record to prove their point. The poverty rate went up in in 2009 and 2010 under Obama: he is clearly doing something wrong. Of course, Obama inherited that Bush recession.

But what they propose is more of what George W. Bush did. Big tax cuts to motivate the rich to create more jobs! It is worth noting that Bush's job creation record was the worst of any recovery in the postwar period. Moreover, wages remained essentially flat. And finally, Bush, who inherited a poverty rate from Bill Clinton of 11.3 percent, still had a poverty rate of 12.5 percent in 2007 after years of the housing-led economic expansion. In 2008, he left Obama a poverty rate of 13.2 percent, nearly two full percentage points above the one he inherited, and moving up inexorably. What about Reagan, the tax cutter? He left George H.W. Bush a poverty rate of 12.8 percent. Poverty rates had fallen to well below 12 percent in the 1970s as a result of Johnson's war on poverty. In the 1950s, the poverty rate was estimated at 22 or 23 percent.

Romney and Ryan promise jobs to reduce poverty. There is little doubt it is the healthiest of cures. But their policy of tax cuts is merely a repeat of the failed Bush years. And the only way the Reagan years look passable is if you lop off the severe recession of 1981 and 1982, a habitual trick of The Wall Street Journal editorial page. Under Reagan, the great American wage stagnation began, and productivity growth remained slow.

Romney and Ryan also claim that their cuts of social programs will get the nation's books in better balance and stoke confidence. What we need is a new stimulus to generate business and encourage companies to invest.

Are Romney and Ryan cruel? They are politicians who know their base believes the poor are getting way with something. It is a policy driven by fear and scapegoatism. They have sponsored highly deceptive ads about how Obama has taken the work requirement out of welfare and about how Medicare will rob from the elderly to finance coverage for the poor. One man's insensitivity and ignorance is another's cruelty, especially in difficult economic times. Better people would soften the anger, not stimulate it. Racism is always close to the surface when discussing social programs, even if the majority of the poor are white. The flip side of the War on the Poor is War on Minorities. It is a tragically sad country which will deliberately neglect its least advantaged -- especially when income inequality so starkly favors the rich and taxes are lower than in any other major nation. There is a hole in the Republican's moral fabric.


This post is part of the HuffPost Shadow Conventions 2012, a series spotlighting three issues that are not being discussed at the national GOP and Democratic conventions: The Drug War, Poverty in America, and Money in Politics.

HuffPost Live will be taking a comprehensive look at the persistence of poverty in America August 29th and September 5th from 12-4 pm ET and 6-10 pm ET. Click here to check it out -- and join the conversation.

 
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Much is rightly made about the Republican War on Women. But the Republicans are fighting a more deliberate battle against the poor. It is audacious, insensitive and ugly. Republicans have clearly de...
Much is rightly made about the Republican War on Women. But the Republicans are fighting a more deliberate battle against the poor. It is audacious, insensitive and ugly. Republicans have clearly de...
 
 
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HUFFPOST SUPER USER
Elinor Dandrea
Truth above All
11:18 AM on 09/16/2012
Just the fact that you choose to make this partisan..tells me how little you really believe in the solving this problem..Dependentcy is a product of affluent people,who themselves have self esteem, and who are themselves self sufficient..Yet for some reason, believe those less financially fortunate, suggests they need more government support. Self esteem comes not from being taken care of like a child. But being supported with programs that rid one of those dependencys..and replaced with programs that help those dependent to stand on their own. Why anyone sees individuals as lesser and therefore less able or capable for caring for themselves..says they have developed an inequality of human spirit....and ultimates only want the status quo
10:11 AM on 09/10/2012
Do you know what is missing from this article? The family. Families were to help each other out in time of need and the gimme gimme gimme screwed it up. When I had people down and out in my family I helps them out, even if I did not like them. That's what you do. The government is just pacifying the people so all those bottom dwellers don't get out of hand and start mass robbing, shooting and looting. If that safety net was not there we'd have mass chaos everywhere. Think about that for a minute. Family should be helping people out though but it doesn't matter because even if they were helping and that government check didn't come for say 2 months. Look out, you'd be a meal.
11:37 PM on 09/04/2012
So what are some of the programs for the poor and other families below the 80% level depend on that are being targeted by the Republicans? A short list would include Medicare, Medicaid, Social Security, SNAP (food stamps), Affordable Care Act (Obamacare), heating oil subsidies (Northeast), Planned Parenthood. And what programs do they want to increase - tax cuts for the rich, military increases, oil industry subsidies, death tax cuts. They want to reverse the gains that unions have made for workers over the past 100 years like collective bargaining (Governor Scott Walker) and public pensions. We the people need to stop this counter-revolution by the right wing of the most conservative party in US history from succeeding.
HUFFPOST SUPER USER
Elinor Dandrea
Truth above All
12:09 PM on 09/16/2012
Greed comes in people outside of Wall and Broad. We either share in revamping what we need to. Or keep asking for more as we drown our country in debt. The choice is simple..no matter how many excuses you need to support your own greed.
10:32 PM on 09/02/2012
Conservatives make me think "If I'm not an entrepreneur, why would I live in this country?" As an aspiring journalist, knowingly heading into a business that's already in disarray, why don't I just leave because I don't want to sell Snuggies and bagels and end up like Mitt Romney? I guess that's why I don't listen to them.
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HUFFPOST SUPER USER
Richard Genco
10:29 PM on 09/02/2012
So in the forties when the Dems started teaching African Americans how to get paid for having babies that was a good thing for African Americans?
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ALL OK HERE ON PLANET X
Roberts, We Hardly Knew Ya'!
09:57 PM on 09/02/2012
Here is someone else who hates the poor: Repub Mike Pence. Sticking to the facts, (and I will try to limit a well deserved personal attack) he stated he wants to abolish Planned Parenthood, an organization which treats many poor women, wants to sack school lunch, eliminate TANF, unemployment insurance, Medicaid, the food stamp program, Medicare, Social Security, and Section 8 housing vouchers. But he said corn farmers need more government money, wants to give free government money to oil and coal extractors, and call Obama a socialist because it is apparently fun to say and gets him attention. So when capitalism collapsed and Americans were at their wits end not knowing what would happen, all he could do is tell everybody not waving a ‘Obama is Hitler’ sign at his rallies “they should go to he11.”
Why would anyone want to vote for this man again is beyond me. Capitalism is never going to fix it's own issues and in the meantime there are mouths to feed, rents to be paid, and for dignity to be preserved the government needs to be there for us. Not just for the farmers, oilmen, and polluting billionaires.
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07:58 PM on 09/02/2012
How about this. You tax the hell out of the highest earners and guess what. Rather than give the government their money they spend it on tax deductible investments, thus lowering their tax burden, and, by putting more money into the economy, create jobs. In other words you do the opposite of what the Repubs want.
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HUFFPOST SUPER USER
OnandUpwards2011
08:24 PM on 09/02/2012
Ohhh someone doesn't understand high level economics....oh well.
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02:04 AM on 09/03/2012
Jeez, smarmy much? Get over yourself.
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12:54 AM on 09/05/2012
I provided a link numbskull.
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Joseph LeCompte
The USA isnt broke.It was robbed.
10:40 PM on 09/02/2012
Higher marginal rates encourage investmentasnts in realot,hard assets. Lown tax rates created paper bubbles.
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HUFFPOST SUPER USER
OnandUpwards2011
07:06 PM on 09/02/2012
What's sad is that a budget like this only stems from a sense of entitlement.....that although your business receive tax subsidies and utilizies alot of resources paid for by tax payers, you should be entitled to huge tax breaks whilst the Americans who desperately need funding to live are not.....very sad.
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HUFFPOST SUPER USER
Josh Crawford
Just the facts, man!
05:26 PM on 09/02/2012
$5 trillion in new tax cuts (mostly for the wealthy) will be offset by $5 T in spending cuts, with 62%/$3.3 T of those cuts coming from federal programs that serve the poor.

So LITERALLY trillions in tax cuts (i.e. new benefits) for millionaires and billionaires, and trillions in cuts to programs for the poor. That is the "heart" of the Romney/Ryan plan. And I use the term "heart" reluctantly...
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HUFFPOST SUPER USER
VBH1622
Die Gedanken Sind Frei
09:59 PM on 09/02/2012
We could say core instead of heart, since the Myth and Liar plan is, in fact, essentially heartless!
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HUFFPOST SUPER USER
Josh Crawford
Just the facts, man!
02:31 AM on 09/03/2012
I'd have a hard time using the term "core" in reference to Romney as well. He doesn't have a political heart OR a "core"...
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Thordeer
Greed has won over principle.
11:26 PM on 09/02/2012
Absolutely. The Repugs will redistribute income and wealth to the top until there's a revolution.
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HUFFPOST SUPER USER
Josh Crawford
Just the facts, man!
02:34 AM on 09/03/2012
We've been seeing it for over thirty years now and the results are not looking so bright, eh? I doubt it will come to any armed revolution (or, at a minimum, we're still a long way from that), but the trajectory we are on is unsustainable, no doubt...
HUFFPOST SUPER USER
daveat1910
02:14 PM on 09/02/2012
Great article Jeff. I'd say you got it right on target. IF Romney should win and get a Ryan type budget passed creating austerity that drags down the middle class and the poor, then what? A huge FDR type landslide in 2016? I'd rather not find out. OBAMA 2012
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02:27 PM on 09/02/2012
Search for:

"Obama's Second Term Agenda: Cutting Social Security, Medicare, and/or Medicaid"

By Matt Stoller, a political analyst on Brand X with Russell Brand, and a fellow at the Roosevelt Institute.

From "Matt Stoller Matt Stoller's Home Page"...

"...From 2009-2011, he served as Senior Policy Advisor to Rep. Alan Grayson of Florida's eighth Congressional district. As Grayson's financial services legislative aide, Stoller focused on foreclosure fraud, the financial crisis, and the Federal Reserve..."
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02:38 PM on 09/02/2012
http://www.nakedcapitalism.com/2012/07/obamas-second-term-agenda-cutting-social-security-medicare-andor-medicaid.html
Obama's Second Term Agenda: Cutting Social Security, Medicare, and/or Medicaid ½ naked capitalism

"By Matt Stoller, a political analyst on Brand X with Russell Brand, and a fellow at the Roosevelt Institute. You can follow him at http://www.twitter.com/matthewstoller

This is probably the least important Presidential election since the 1950s. As an experienced political hand told me, the two candidates are speaking not to the voters, but to the big money. They hold the same views, pursue the same policies, and are backed by similar interests. Mitt Romney implemented Obamacare in Massachusetts, or Obama implemented Romneycare nationally. Both are pro-choice or anti-choice as political needs change, both tend to be hawkish on foreign policy, both favor tax cuts for businesses, and both believe deeply in a corrupt technocratic establishment.

So while the election lumbers on like the death rattles of the wounded animal known American democracy, no one on either side is asking what the plan is for the next term. For Obama, his team is going into rooms of donors and shouting “Supreme Court”, while mumbling something about bipartisanship and $4 trillion, or Simpson-Bowles. What this means is that term two of the Obama White House will be organized around cutting entitlements..."

President Obama appointed the Deficit Commission.
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02:11 PM on 09/02/2012
From "Republican Party Platforms: Republican Party Platform of 1956"

"...Our great President Dwight D. Eisenhower has counseled us further: "In all those things which deal with people, be liberal, be human. In all those things which deal with people's money, or their economy, or their form of government, be conservative."

While jealously guarding the free institutions and preserving the principles upon which our Republic was founded and has flourished, the purpose of the Republican Party is to establish and maintain a peaceful world and build at home a dynamic prosperity in which every citizen fairly shares.

We shall ever build anew, that our children and their children, without distinction because of race, creed or color, may know the blessings of our free land.

We believe that basic to governmental integrity are unimpeachable ethical standards and irreproachable personal conduct by all people in government. We shall continue our insistence on honesty as an indispensable requirement of public service. We shall continue to root out corruption whenever and wherever it appears.

We are proud of and shall continue our far-reaching and sound advances in matters of basic human needs—expansion of social security—broadened coverage in unemployment insurance —improved housing—and better health protection for all our people. We are determined that our government remain warmly responsive to the urgent social and economic problems of our people..."

Today's conservatives have NOTHING in common with Ike.
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HUFFPOST SUPER USER
Watching rock grow
FE = Iron, and Female = Iron Male :)
02:04 PM on 09/02/2012
“Robert Greenstein, the president of the CBPP, calls it "likely... the largest redistribution of income from the bottom to the top in modern U.S. history."…”

Do republicans understand this? Alternatively, has their wallet-dollar sign idolatry blinded them to the human side?

Wallet-dollar sign idolaters are simply not folks I want around me or in my nation.
ByAndForThePeople
and corporations aren't people!
07:38 PM on 09/02/2012
The people leading the Republican party understand this extremely well. That is, quite obviously, their goal and they are grandly rewarded for their success in pulling it off. And they are the same people who somehow manage to get poor and middle-class people screaming about how "socialist" it is to "redistribute income"...downwards, that is.
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Joseph LeCompte
The USA isnt broke.It was robbed.
10:42 PM on 09/02/2012
Mitt pays about 13%. And thinks thats too high.
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HUFFPOST SUPER USER
Watching rock grow
FE = Iron, and Female = Iron Male :)
11:43 PM on 09/02/2012
His 13% is too low.  I don't pay enough taxes either.  I wouldn't sit Mitty and Annie at my table I can't stand wallet-dollar worshippers.
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HUFFPOST SUPER USER
Watching rock grow
FE = Iron, and Female = Iron Male :)
11:43 PM on 09/02/2012
Thanks for your comment.
wufdog
Liberal hope & change vs. the right's dopes & rage
01:06 PM on 09/02/2012
Cutting spending to help those in need so that we can give already-wealthy people a tax cut is an immoral act, if not an act of war.
01:00 PM on 09/02/2012
Only wimps need a trillion dollar defense budget.
Country has the money to be a leader but the Reps will have us hiding in a cave throwing money at the defense industry and the job creators.
Another unbelievable example of wimpdom - believing that not giving more and more tax breaks to rich people means they'll take their marbles and leave us to eat dust.
Republican rank and file are such super wimps. Anyone who would vote Republican should look in the mirror and ask "How small am I that I even consider Republicans strong?".
HUFFPOST SUPER USER
daveat1910
02:18 PM on 09/02/2012
the rich leaving- put your hand in a bucket of water and pull it out, see the hole? That's how much they will be missed.
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02:30 PM on 09/02/2012
The famous test for indispensability.
wufdog
Liberal hope & change vs. the right's dopes & rage
03:23 PM on 09/02/2012
If the poor will supposedly be motivated to pull themselves up without the support of a safety net, then why won't middle-class employees be motivated to start their own business and be their own job-creators without the support of our current pampered "job-creators"?
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HUFFPOST PUNDIT
den1953
The National Inquire of Politics the GOP!
12:53 PM on 09/02/2012
So when do we get to read where the wealthy to so much there is nothing left for the poor and the poor eat the wealthy?
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02:00 PM on 09/02/2012
"Religion is what keeps the poor from murdering the rich." -- Napoleon Bonaparte
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HUFFPOST PUNDIT
den1953
The National Inquire of Politics the GOP!
06:36 PM on 09/02/2012
I'm afraid Religion might take a back seat if more people end up homeless without a job!