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Jillian York

Jillian York

Posted: October 31, 2008 05:22 PM

Halloween Costumes: A Informal Predictor of Election Results


Today is Halloween in the US... and as trick or treaters piece together the last of their costumes, the elections may be weighing heavy on their minds. For some, the elections and Halloween go hand in hand. Obama masks, do-it-yourself Sarah Palin, even a politically incorrect Hillary Clinton mask will all be on display come Halloween night.

For those not in the United States, the whole thing may just seem a bit absurd. Or maybe not...The Times Online's Hattie Garlick explains why Halloween costumes are a good indicator of public opinion:

Halloween masks have history as a litmus test of America's choice. In 2004, Bush masks outsold Kerry two to one at the US's biggest seller of Halloween masks, Spirit Halloween. Sceptics leaning towards other explanations for this phenomenon - by 2004, few things stood the chance of terrifying frayed Americans like encountering George W in the shadows of their porch, ringing on their doorbell - should bear with the evidence. Gore sold 14 per cent fewer masks in 2000, and in 1996 Clinton masks won with 71 per cent of sales.


So what are the masks telling us this year? The riff blog has surveyed the outlets.

Amazon currently has Obama leading by seven points, unnervingly close to Real Clear Politics' average of more conventional national polls, which gives him a 6.8 point lead, (though here, as in latest national polls, Obama's economics favour him: at only $12.90, his mask, as Mother Jones points out, is five cents most affordable than McCain's).

Over at Buycostumes.com, which boasts 'The Official 2008 Presidential Mask Poll', Obama is ahead 54 to 46. Nothing though is set in stone. Sarah Palin masks are outselling Joe Biden three to one.

Obama pumpkin

The UK's Market Oracle chooses to take a more figurative look at Halloween and the elections:

There are a lot of scary things in this world, but one of the scariest is that Halloween and the Presidential election are only five days apart. It's hard to miss the parallel between tricks-and-treats and the promises-and-panderings of politicians masquerading as the most caring, most vital, most sincere candidate. While standing behind their lapel flag buttons, they are quick to dress their opponents in something less patriotic.


The blogger goes on to suggest potential costumes for the candidates:

The Republican right wing wants to dress Barack Obama as a socialist terrorist, putting on him a large black beard, a kufi hat and abaya robe. Instead of handing out candy, these wing nuts have Obama handing out dollar bills, which he stole from hard-working conservative millionaires.


The Right Wing doesn't say much about Joe Biden, knowing he's sharper than any of the candidates about foreign affairs, but he does occasionally put a foot in his mouth. Maybe they can dress him as a podiatrist.

The Democrats want to glue John McCain to George W. Bush, and parade them door-to-door as conjoined twins. Assuming that isn't acceptable to McCain--at least now--maybe the Democrats can dress McCain as a Mission: Impossible tape recorder, knowing at some point he'll self-destruct.

It shouldn't be too hard to find a costume for Sarah Palin. During the past two months, the Republicans spent $150,000 on clothes for her and her family, plus at least $23,000 for makeup. After figuring out that the nation is in a Recession, that most Americans don't even earn $170,000 in three years--and that some outraged Americans found out about her shopping spree--Palin spun out and claimed that the clothes really aren't hers and will be donated after the election, most probably to starving Republican day traders. For Halloween, and for a truly scary appearance, maybe Mooseburger could remove all the makeup and lipstick her handlers put on her to make salivating middle-aged men believe that outward beauty is an acceptable cover-up to inner vacuousness.

McCain pumpkin

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Obama pumpkin photo by: Dan Hampshire
McCain pumpkin photo by: not_on_display

Follow Jillian York on Twitter: www.twitter.com/jilliancyork

Today is Halloween in the US... and as trick or treaters piece together the last of their costumes, the elections may be weighing heavy on their minds. For some, the elections and Halloween go hand i...
Today is Halloween in the US... and as trick or treaters piece together the last of their costumes, the elections may be weighing heavy on their minds. For some, the elections and Halloween go hand i...
 
 
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10:33 AM on 11/01/2008
Love the pumpkins...Vote Obama/Biden!
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BrianMac
10:16 AM on 11/01/2008
The thing about masks and stuff at Halloween as they relate to the Presidential candidates is how to determine if a person is either making fun of/scared of a particular candidate or adores them and wants to show their pride/scare opponents. I KNEW the Palin masks were going to be the biggest hit. Hell: everybody and their sister wants to pretend to be Palin in YouTube videos, on the phone, etc. It's actually more of a joke than anything. It all reminds me of a retro-movement back to the days when the movie Fargo made its big impact with the accent and all.

As for Obama and comedians "not having anything to poke fun at" that is talked about a bit, I'm embracing that problem. In fact, my guess is that if O is elected, they will have more fun with the screaming conservatives and such.
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roninroshi
Oni ni Kanabo (鬼に金棒 )
09:34 AM on 11/01/2008
After figuring out that the nation is in a Recession, that most Americans don't even earn $170,000 in three years...(On Sarah Palins make over)..Where I live most folks are lucky to see this much in 51/2 to 6 years,
and for me personally 8 years...I voted early for Obama/Biden.
02:06 AM on 11/01/2008
he he
this was a great read:)
12:49 AM on 11/01/2008
That Palin-McCain pumpkin is VERY scary.
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deepfreezevideo
Now with even MORE microbial micro-bio!
11:37 PM on 10/31/2008
I could NOT FIND an Obama mask anywhere in the Dallas Fort Worth area as far back as two weeks ago! I guess I did not realize that:

(A) They are hard to find because Texas is primarily a RED state.
(B) They got snapped up so quickly because of the huge number of supporters.

Or

(C) None of the usual stores would carry them because they are Republican owned??

I should have looked on Amazon...silly me.
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Turtleposer
I have micro-bios in my tummy.
11:14 PM on 10/31/2008
I dressed my 12 year old girl as Sarah Palin. She was pretty excited about going as Palin, but couldn't get the accent right. We're not pro-Palin at all, although we don't detest her like some folks. It was a pretty cheap costume.

She and a friend went door to door in a nearby wealthy neighborhood where they give out king-size candy bars. The folks with the McCain Palin signs thought we were supporting Palin. The Obama fans thought we were mocking her. It worked out pretty well candy-wise. Back in 2004, there were almost no Kerry supporters.
01:12 PM on 11/01/2008
"The folks with the McCain Palin signs thought we were supporting Palin. The Obama fans thought we were mocking her."

Lol that's awesome. I figured the same would have went for people dressing up as McCain.
Democrats would go, holy **** that's a scary costume, and the Republicans would go, Yeah John McCain!
Lol, but the only thing that I could think of that would be scarier than John McCain would be someone dressed as Sarah Palin, and wearing a sash that says "President" on it.
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Turtleposer
I have micro-bios in my tummy.
02:47 PM on 11/01/2008
It's too bad I didn't think about adding a sash like that. We were in a hurry. It sure would've been scary. As it was, Obama supporters thought she was scary enough without it.
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Jillian York
01:01 PM on 11/03/2008
Fantastic, Turtleposer! I love how it worked out in terms of candy.