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Joe Peyronnin

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2012: What Can We Expect from the Year Ahead?

Posted: 01/02/2012 3:27 pm

As we begin a new year, we are again filled with hope for a bright future. But if the past year is precedent, our hopes will be burdened with too many uncertainties.

2011 will perhaps be best remembered as the year of the Arab Spring. Following a month of violent protests, the Tunisian government collapsed on Jan. 14, when President Zine El Abidine Ben Ali fled to Saudi Arabia after 23 years in power. His people had risen up against high unemployment and inflation, corruption, and a lack of freedoms in Tunisia.

The protests were triggered by the actions of a 26-year-old vegetable cart operator named Mohamed Bouazizi, who doused himself with a flammable liquid and set himself on fire to protest the local government. Public support for Bouazizi grew as protests spread with the help of YouTube, Facebook, and Twitter. Bouazizi died from burns in early January, about 10 days before the government fell. But Bouazizi's act opened the door for millions of Arabs throughout the region.

Demonstrators took over Cairo's Tahrir Square, and at times as many as 1 million Egyptians protested their repressive government and demanded President Hosni Mubarak's resignation. The long-time American ally and friend to Israel resigned on Feb. 11, leaving the Egyptian military in control until a new leader is elected.

Bahrain and Syria have also dealt with protests. But the Syrian government has resorted to extreme violence against its own people, leaving thousands dead and the country's future unclear.

Meanwhile, Iran continues to roil the world stage with its meddlesome acts throughout the Middle East and its threats against Israel and the West. The Iranian government continues to develop a nuclear weapons program despite painful sanctions that have been imposed by many Western nations. War clouds darken the landscape as the Revolutionary Guard represses its own people.

The U.S. military has withdrawn from Iraq, leaving that country deeply divided as it struggles for a democratic future. Iran is doing all it can to destabilize progress in that country by influencing Iraq's Shiite Prime Minister, Nouri al-Maliki, who is accused by minority Sunnis of using security forces to consolidate his power. In 2011, 4,063 Iraqi civilians were killed, a slight increase over the previous year. Turmoil and tumult abound in Iraq nine years after America freed the country from the tyrannical regime of Saddam Hussein.

As the U.S. continues its war in Afghanistan, al-Qaeda and Afghan Taliban fighters have reached out to Pakistani militants in an effort to set aside their differences to take on the U.S. led forces in Afghanistan. Meetings have been held in Pakistan's tribal region, and an alliance may not bode well for Americans as they accelerate their withdrawal from Afghanistan. This as U.S.-Pakistani relations are at an all-time low.

There is much on the world stage to be weary of, not the least of which is Europe's difficult economic problems and the rising influence of China. All these factors are having a great impact on America, which itself is struggling to regain its economic footing following the 2008 recession.

So the U.S. elections in November are critical. Yet Republican presidential candidates have decimated each other in an effort to curry favor from the Tea Party and conservative Christian factions of their party. Their campaigns have reflected the divisiveness that has paralyzed Washington and Congress. They have done little to show a majority of Americans that they can unite the country at such an important time.

Meanwhile President Barack Obama, the persistent president, is now in full campaign mode. His policies are leading to slow but steady economic recovery. More and more people are being hired. His historic health care reform measures are beginning to have a positive impact on Americans. The U.S. auto industry is again vibrant thanks to his intervention.

President Obama has a credible foreign policy, and he has kept the country safe from terrorist attacks. He has destroyed the leadership of al-Qaeda, including Osama bin Laden, and helped to oust Libyan dictator Muammar Gaddafi. He has kept his campaign promises by ending the war in Iraq and focusing his efforts on Afghanistan. Yet huge federal deficits loom as far as the eye can see, entitlement programs lack true reform, the housing market remains weak and consumer demand is still tepid.

Come November, Americans will have a choice: staying the course or voting for change. The question voters will face is, "Will the alternative be change we can truly believe in?"

 

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HUFFPOST SUPER USER
cajundave
09:56 AM on 01/03/2012
Republicans seem to forget that their hero, Reagan, faced deficits after the huge tax cut he enacted. That lead to Reagan increasing taxes to replenish the lost revenue. We will not recover if the current crop of Republicans continue to cut programs that enrich our country and refuse to have a revenue component. We need education to be a primary goal, yet teachers are being fired at by the thousands. College has become too expensive and Republicans view tuition help as "Socialism". People have lost their jobs, yet unemployment assistance is considered a "handout" by Republicans. This country will become a third world nation of the very wealthy and the "useful idiot" masses if Republicans have their way. Let's hope the "Occupy" movement begins to force these issues and provide politicians who will find a way to level the playing field.
09:45 AM on 01/03/2012
http://www.facebook.com/pages/Occupy-Congress-January-17th-2012/203536356392018

http://exposingthetruth.info/million-man-march-occupy-congress-january-17th-2012/

Please remind people and pass the word along about this very important rally on Jan 17th on the Capitol Mall. We have a chance to send a powerful message to Congress and the country that the middle class is under assault and must be supported. Please pass on these links to as many people as possible and look forward to seeing you in DC on the 17th. This is a chance to change the direction of the country and a big crowd will help toward that goal.
09:23 AM on 01/03/2012
These are the top 5 stories of 2012:

http://www.cnn.com/2012/01/03/opinion/ghitis-big-stories-2012/index.html?iref=allsearch
09:17 AM on 01/03/2012
We can expect an orgy of money and lies with both candidates for the presidency pretending to be someone they are not and both claiming to be the friend of the middle class while collecting huge corporate donations from the one percent.
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AZreb
equal-opportunity Independent heathen
06:56 AM on 01/03/2012
Why do this author and others credit Obama with the cessation of war in Iraq when that agreement on the date of withdrawal was made by Bush during his administration? This is the kind of reporting that makes me have doubts about anything else in the article, true or not. Not sticking up for Bush, just for the facts.
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SallyMaclennane
Yes I did build that!
12:36 PM on 01/03/2012
And he's a Journalism Professor, no less.
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SemperVeritas
Truth be told
06:27 AM on 01/03/2012
I only wish that Ron Paul's philosophy believed in social justice.
As it is, I have no one to vote for.
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SallyMaclennane
Yes I did build that!
12:37 PM on 01/03/2012
Social justice??? That's a rather nebulous term. Is that "code" for income distribution?
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maori
05:39 AM on 01/03/2012
If only we had experts on economies rather than experts at curtailing rights. Priorities.
This user has chosen to opt out of the Badges program
02:36 AM on 01/03/2012
Rhetoric is all voters will hear from the two-party duopoly.

In 2004, the Bush administra­tion stated that the offshoring of blue-colla­r and white-coll­ar jobs would enrich the U.S.

In 2011, the Obama administra­tion selected GE's CEO, a high priest of the offshoring cult, to be the jobs czar.

The two-party duopoly just put three more NAFTA-style job-killing trade agreements into place.

The 2012 elections will see corporate puppets elected in an illusion called democratic elections.
12:53 AM on 01/03/2012
Still to come, our third "summer of recovery". I didn't believe it the first two times around. I talk to real everyday people from all over SE MI. If the auto companies have recovered, then where did the money go? Because the people haven't seen it! This is more evidence of media propaganda. I wish Icould make up stories and have a lot of people believe it. Does the bell ring for you?
10:29 PM on 01/02/2012
There is no hope for our future if Obama remains in office.
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unfoxworthy
We:ScottOlsens,the misfits,out to change the world
11:58 PM on 01/02/2012
I was sorry to have held on to the Audacity of Hope, myself.
I won't make THAT mistake again.
10:27 PM on 01/02/2012
Not a word about Muammar Gaddafi being elected Human Rights Hero of the Year by Amnesty International Polls, and the lies about him that were fabricated by the UN Obama and European alliance with the aid of the biased media. Now the world es rightfully beginning to see him as a martyr that he has become. This will change the world political scenarios. I commented on the Libyan tragedy where I could and finally have been banned from commenting, save by The Huffington Post, some times.
HUFFPOST SUPER USER
knott wrench
10:16 PM on 01/02/2012
What can we expect?

The GOP TPers will eventually pick their Best Candidate/Liar/"Toady" to ALEC and the Koch Brothers, to run for POTUS.
Along the way, Donald and even Sarah may enter the Run. Losers all but they'll do it for "Ego" and the Book Tour.

So, "Faux Noise" with their talking heads will carry the 'Bagger Nominee's "Platform" and in the end President Obama will either Win or or the 'Bagger will.

If it's the latter, the USA , if not the Worlds Economic structure will be in trouble.

After all the 'Bagger President will have signed:

"Grover Norquest's 'No Tax Pledge'",
leaving the USA without any income with a return to the "Good 'ol days" of the 18th Century, in which the Wealthiest have all the money and the working class lives in the Company House and shops at the Company Store, while earning a Pittance of income.

A Look at Things that May Come to Pass.
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unfoxworthy
We:ScottOlsens,the misfits,out to change the world
11:59 PM on 01/02/2012
um...
look around you
(we're already there).
HUFFPOST SUPER USER
tb much
austere
09:58 PM on 01/02/2012
I'm convinced of the old adage, "the more things change; the more it remain the same." If the voters were dissatisfied with one political party or the other, then "swapping" the occupant in the White House is going to do little to nothing in looking at the average American day to day lives. We are staring at the conundrum of past elections and the end results that have left us no better off.
08:17 PM on 01/02/2012
Americans, Please WAKE UP! Time is upon us for CHANGE! Time to Bring America BACK! American Integrity, American Communities, American JOBS!!! American families Time to end the CORRUPTION, GREED and More GREED and CORRUPTION! Millionarees corrupting more Billionareas while working class struggle to eat and just exist! Insurance companies readily misleading their customers and potential customers for more premium money all the while denying to help them, to provide assistance and valid claim requests in order to help them survive and exist and stay alive! YES! Jobs going to foriegn countries, aid to foriegn countries while we the working class trying to eat, stay warm, have a comfortable safe place to sleep are being stepped on, cheated, manipulated and denied valid home/property damage claims to Billion dollar a year Insurance Companies! Banks Cheating, manipulating, sneaking, planning devious tricks to cover up their greedy mistakes and passing every foolish mistake cost onto their trusting customers! HArd working people laid off, let go as they get older or just because the CEOS are making enough MILLIONS so they send all the American work to CHINA, Bangladesh and viet NAM! Come ON America, Young Americans You must be more alert than to just ignore the undermining of America and your families and futures!
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HUFFPOST SUPER USER
Paulhaider74
A short life of stuff
07:25 PM on 01/02/2012
If Romney's idea of job creation is what he did in his role as the CEO of Pain, uh, Bain Capital, then he is a hypocrite and liar. Actually, Romney's nickname should be "The Terminator" instead of "Mr. 1%" as it relates to what he as a CEO; he laid off a lot more people than he ever hired. Of course, Romney believes that corporations are people, and human beings must be merely "numbers" in his Mormon mind; it is only in the interest of maximizing the profit margin for the corporation at the expense of people, their jobs, and their general welfare. Mitt does not deserve any person's vote!
Paul Haider, Chicago
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SallyMaclennane
Yes I did build that!
12:39 PM on 01/03/2012
Many of those companies would have gone bankrupt. Would you rather see ALL of the jobs lost?