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Johann Hari

Johann Hari

Posted: July 2, 2010 03:52 AM

How Goldman Sachs Gambled On Starving the Poor - And Won

What's Your Reaction:

By now, you probably think your opinion of Goldman Sachs and its swarm of Wall Street allies has rock-bottomed at raw loathing. You're wrong. There's more. It turns out the most destructive of all their recent acts has barely been discussed at all. Here's the rest. This is the story of how some of the richest people in the world - Goldman, Deutsche Bank, the traders at Merrill Lynch, and more - have caused the starvation of some of the poorest people in the world, just so they could make a fatter profit.

It starts with an apparent mystery. At the end of 2006, food prices across the world started to rise, suddenly and stratospherically. Within a year, the price of wheat had shot up by 80 percent, maize by 90 percent, and rice by 320 percent. In a global jolt of hunger, 200 million people - mostly children - couldn't afford to get food any more, and sank into malnutrition or starvation. There were riots in over 30 countries, and at least one government was violently overthrown. Then, in spring 2008, prices just as mysteriously fell back to their previous level. Jean Ziegler, the UN Special Rapporteur on the Right to Food, called it "a silent mass murder", entirely due to "man-made actions."

Earlier this year I was in Ethiopia, one of the worst-hit countries, and people there remember the food crisis like they were hit by a tsunami. "It was very painful," a woman my age called Abeba Getaneh, told me. "My children stopped growing. I felt like battery acid had been poured into my stomach as I starved. I took my two daughters out of school and got into debt. If it had gone on much longer, I think my baby would have died."

Most of the explanations we were given at the time have turned out to be false. It didn't happen because supply fell: the International Grain Council says global production of wheat actually increased during that period, for example. It isn't because demand grew either. We were told the swelling Chinese and Indian middle classes were pushing it up, but as Professor Jayati Ghosh of the Centre for Economic Studies in New Delhi has shown, demand from those countries for them actually fell by 3 percent over this period.

There are some smaller explanations that account for some of the price rise, but not all. It's true the growing demand for biofuels was gobbling up much-needed agricultural land - but that was a gradual process that wouldn't explain a violent spike. It's true that oil prices increased, driving up the cost of growing and distributing food - but the evidence increasingly shows that wasn't the biggest factor.

To understand the biggest cause, you have to plough through some concepts that will make your head ache - but not half as much as they made the poor world's stomachs ache.

For over a century, farmers in wealthy countries have been able to engage in a process where they protect themselves against risk. Farmer Giles can agree in January to sell his crop to a trader in August at a fixed price. If he has a great summer and the global price is high, he'll lose some cash, but if there's a lousy summer or the price collapses, he'll do well from the deal. When this process was tightly regulated and only companies with a direct interest in the field could get involved, it worked well.

Then, through the 1990s, Goldman Sachs and others lobbied hard and the regulations were abolished. Suddenly, these contracts were turned into 'derivatives' that could be bought and sold among traders who had nothing to do with agriculture. A market in "food speculation" was born.

So Farmer Giles still agrees to sell his crop in advance to a trader for ÂŁ10,000. But now, that contract can be sold on to financial speculators, who treat the contract itself as an object of potential wealth. Goldman Sachs can buy it and sell it on for ÂŁ20,000 to Deutschebank, who sell it on for ÂŁ30,000 to Merryl Lynch - and on, and on, provided they think the price can be jacked up, until it seems to bear almost no relationship to Farmer Giles' crop at all.

If this seems mystifying, it is. John Lanchester, in his superb guide to the world of finance, 'Whoops! Why Everybody Owes Everyone and No One Can Pay', explains: "Finance, like other forms of human behaviour, underwent a change in the twentieth century, a shift equivalent to the emergence of modernism in the arts - a break with common sense, a turn towards self-referentiality and abstraction and notions that couldn't be explained in workaday English."

Poetry found its break broke with straightforward representation of reality when T.S. Eliot wrote 'The Wasteland.' Finance found its Wasteland moment in the 1970s, when it began to be dominated by complex financial instruments that even the people selling them didn't fully understand. As Lanchester puts it: "With derivatives... there is a profound break between the language of finance and that of common sense."

So what has this got to do with the bread on Abiba's plate? How could this parallel universe of speculation affect her? Until deregulation, the price for food was set by the forces of supply and demand for food itself. (This was itself deeply imperfect: it left a billion people hungry.) But after deregulation, it was no longer just a market in food. It became, at the same time, a market in contracts that were speculating on theoretical food that would be grown in the future - and the speculators drove the price through the roof.

Here's how it happened. In 2006, financial speculators like Goldman's pulled out of the collapsing US real estate market, and they were looking for somewhere else to make their stash of cash swell. They started to buy massive amounts of derivatives based on food: they reckoned that food prices would stay steady or rise while the rest of the economy tanked. Suddenly, the world's frightened investors stampeded onto this ground and decided to buy, buy, buy.

So while the supply and demand of food stayed pretty much the same, the supply and demand for contracts based on food massively rose - which meant the all-rolled-into-one price for food on people's plates massively rose. The starvation began.

The food price was now being set by speculation, rather than by real food. The hedge fund manager Michael Masters estimated that even on the regulated exchanges in the US - which take up a small part of the business - 64 percent of all wheat contracts were held by speculators with no interest whatever in real wheat. They owned it solely to inflate the price and sell it on. Even George Soros said this was "just like secretly hoarding food during a hunger crisis in order to make profits from increasing prices." The bubble only burst in March 2008 when the situation got so bad in the US that the speculators had to slash their spending to cover their losses back home.

When I asked them to comment on the charge of causing mass hunger, Merrill Lynch's spokesman said: "Huh. I didn't know about that." He later emailed to say: "I am going to decline comment." Deutsche Bank also refused to comment. Goldman Sachs were a little more detailed in their response: they said "serious analyses... have concluded index funds did not cause a bubble in commodity futures prices", offering as evidence a single statement by the OECD.

How do we know this is wrong? As Professor Ghosh points out, some vital crops are not traded on the futures markets, including millet, cassava, and potatoes. Their price rose a little during this period - but only a fraction as much as the ones affected by speculation. Her research shows this speculation was "the main cause" of the rise.

So it has come to this. The world's wealthiest speculators set up a casino where the chips were the stomachs of hundreds of millions of innocent people. They gambled on increasing starvation, and won. This is what happens when you follow the claim that unregulated markets know best to the end of the line. The finance sector's Wasteland moment created a real wasteland. What does it say about our political and economic system that we can so casually inflict such misery, and barely even notice?

If we don't re-regulate, it is only a matter of time before this all happens again. How long would it last then? How many people would it kill next time? The moves to restore the pre-1990s rules on commodities trading have been stunningly sluggish. In the US, the House has passed some regulation, but there are fears the Senate - drenched in speculator-donations - may dilute it into meaninglessness. The EU is lagging far behind even this, while in Britain, where most of this "trade" takes place, advocacy groups are worried David Cameron's government will block reform entirely to please his own friends and donors in the City.

Only one force can stop another speculation-starvation-bubble from swelling, probably soon. The decent people in developed countries need to shout louder than the lobbyists from Goldman Sachs. In the UK, the World Development Movement is launching a week of action this summer as crucial decisions on this are taken: text WDM to 82055 for your marching orders. In the US, click here to find out what you can do. The last time I spoke to her, Abiba said: "We can't go through that another time. Please - do anything you can to make sure they never, never do that to us again."

Johann Hari is a writer for the Independent. To read more of his articles, click here or here.

You can follow Johann at www.twitter.com/johannhari101 or email him at j.hari [at] independent.co.uk

To read his latest article for Slate, click here

 

Follow Johann Hari on Twitter: www.twitter.com/johannhari101

 
 
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This user has chosen to opt out of the Badges program
09:37 AM on 07/15/2010
There is a thirty year old documentary called "September Wheat".
http://www.imdb.com/title/tt0295596/

Quote from a review: "In this film the concentration process of the worldwide wheat production (and especially the American production), the influence of big companies and the reactions of the powerless farmers were analyzed. it is quite old now, but still worth a look, the thematic was never more important than today, since the wto begins to affect all life on earth."

So there - this has been before financial derivates and Goldman-Sachs' playing a major part.

It's a whole system, the abuse of financial instruments that are appropriate for farmers and buyers by those who only want to make money to make more money. Bringing just a few guys into jail doesn't change the system.

To all those who point at others: It's also about eating too much meat, every single one of us, taking crops away from those who rely on that for food.
HUFFPOST SUPER USER
Konnie
GOP = GOLDEN CALF OLD PARTY
06:33 PM on 07/12/2010
heard you on NPR at noon..........cannot tell you how angry i became and still am. but what can
be done about it now? i'm getting a little tired of typing out THE B#$%%DS! every time their
name comes up. and don't tell me about what we can do to prevent it in the future. i want to
know how we can put these slim balls in jail NOW! GET THEIR ILL GOTTEN GAINS BACK
NOW! i want their wives in a welfare line. their kids on food stamps!
11:04 PM on 07/06/2010
Don't forget that oil and gas speculation during that same time period made inputs for crops go through the roof. I have never liked the amount and degree of speculation that goes on with ag commodities. I am told the futures market is necessary to determine the price on farm products, carrots and potatoes aren't traded on the CBOT(as far as I know) yet somehow a price is set, goats aren't traded on the CME yet a price is figured out for goats. The futures market to me is a place where people make money trading fictitious amounts of goods they never see. Make them take delivery of the commodities, then perhaps the rules of supply and demand will enter into the marketplace.
12:05 PM on 07/06/2010
So crops have gone the way of oil speculation just as mortgages did. I don't think this would surprise too many that corn and other grains have been sliced and diced into derivatives. These gambling junkies will continue to find things to bet on even while the world is going in smoke. Our politicians are helpless to stop the insanity because they're bought and paid for by these very gamblers.
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11:12 AM on 07/06/2010
It is past time to take down these big groups of locusts feeding on the helpless. Take their money away and they will be deemed irrelevant. Don't invest with them and don't consult with them. There are other financial people worth your investments who do business with integrity. If you can't find better quality advisors do it yourself. The internet is a great tool for knowledge. Instead of starving the poor we should teach them to grow their own (Organic non-GMO) crops. Give them seeds and teach them to fish and/or raise livestock. Not only could they feed themselves but also their neighbors. Time for big Corporate and Bank take downs. For all of our sake.
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Halsey
"There is a price to pay for speaking the truth. T
02:36 PM on 07/05/2010
PART TWO:

Adam Smith never foresaw the kind of abject greed we have today.
To quote:(see part two)

"On the distribution of wealth…

What improves the circumstances of the greater part can never be regarded as an inconveniency to the whole. No society can surely be flourishing and happy, of which the far greater part of the members are poor and miserable."

The Wealth Of Nations, Book I Chapter VIII, p.96, para. 36.
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HUFFPOST BLOGGER
K.J. Dwyer
American Ex-Pat/Writer
12:11 PM on 07/05/2010
I'm sure others have already included these links to interviews dealing with this topic, but it can't hurt to be redundant. The second link is an interview with Jayati Ghosh whose writing Johann references in this excellent article.

http://www.therealnews.com/t2/index.php?option=com_content&task=view&id=31&Itemid=74&jumival=5271&updaterx=2010-06-16+14:21:16

http://therealnews.com/t2/index.php?option=com_content&task=view&id=31&Itemid=74&jumival=5068
02:33 PM on 07/05/2010
What is going on? I am amazed how people are still walking around with the noses in the air saying how proud they are to be Americans- the cream of the crop. And then look the other way as Goldman murders children via the weapon of starvation. And BP murders people via their weapon of choice- deregulation and a blind eye to safety. And the Republicans are going to murder families and kids who need food or medicine, by cutting off their unemployment. Just to try to make Obama look bad. They are willing to put American lives, kids lives, on the line- just to prove a point. And none of these people are going to jail. No, in fact they will be going home in their Mercedes and Lexus cars, back to the comfort of their large comfortable homes, with plenty of food in the pantry. I am all for a persons success in life- just not at the expense of others. All these people spend more money just trying to look like they are NOT doing something wrong, than it would take to feed a small city. Where is Beck, Palin and Rush now- protecting REAL America?? Oh yeah, on BP's yacht.
HUFFPOST COMMUNITY MODERATOR
Takebackourmoney
10:08 AM on 07/05/2010
HP need to highlight this story for all to see. Put it on the front page. Make it huge.
07:56 AM on 07/05/2010
the stench of desperation in the world is over powering looks like certain people in Washington who are purposely trying to bring down the United States are doing a good job at it right now what we need is prayer but faith in our prayer. A faithless nation will not survive
02:17 PM on 07/07/2010
I don't want to start yet another religious war on the internet, but I would like to respectfully offer an opposing perspective -- it is my belief that "faith" is actually a big part of the problem in the US -- too many people believe "God will save us" and do nothing, rather than believing "We have to save ourselves, or no one will". Of course, hopefully the "ourselves" is interpreted as humans more often than simply Americans -- and truthfully, if we preserve the US at the cost of every other nation, what would we really have saved?

The rich elite certainly believe it -- they work to protect themselves and their various investment streams regardless how unethical or immoral the mechanisms to do so. Why they don't feel a middle class is necessary to preserve themselves (as in, if there are only few rich and many poor, eventually the poor will consume the rich) boggles my mind.
03:13 PM on 07/07/2010
I understand your point of view I really do. God did create us with a voice with hands and feet he gave us that he gave us an ability to stand up he cant make us do things he did give us a free will
02:49 PM on 07/04/2010
as a man it hurt's me to see these women single or seperated struggle while i lay confortly and night with enough food to have significance second's while at times it just hurt's to be the so called richest nation on earth and our single women struggleing to live to prosper in times in doubt. those in charge in both parties as man should know with out women there would be no man..!!?
01:38 PM on 07/04/2010
Johann, why pretend all these things are coincidence, or simply separate, uncoordinated acts?

Goldman sold $250M in BP stock just before the spill. Because the dispersants there are now toxic rains killing crops in the south, and by the time the spill is done, there will be no more seafood from the gulf. They are now gambling on starvation in the US.

When all life in the Gulf of Mexico is dead and the food shortage starts to hit home, Obama will tell us all it's our fault because we use too much oil. He'll push for a carbon tax and trot out the global warming hoax. And who would be running the new multi-trillion dollar carbon market? Goldman Sachs, of course.
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HUFFPOST SUPER USER
Garbaj
What is the Matrix?
04:16 PM on 07/04/2010
global warming is NOT A HOAX...and its about time that we wise up to that...!!! the planet is GETTING WARMER...THAT IS A FACT...!!!

WHY the planet is warming up is an entirely different thing altogether, but denying reality certainly doesn't help...at all...!!!

otherwise, i'm with you on the gist of your comment...!!! :)
06:42 PM on 07/04/2010
I suggest you take another look at the science behind the global warming scam.

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=dKoUwttE0BA

Here's a start.
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quindy
If repubs don't drive you crazy you are not normal
08:44 AM on 07/06/2010
You didn't read the article to inform yourself, you read it to find something to bi--tch about Obama. You guys just don't want the facts. It's all politics for you. Shame.
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Mark Germain
10:27 PM on 07/03/2010
"They gambled on increasing starvation, and won." - That says it all.
HUFFPOST SUPER USER
quindy
If repubs don't drive you crazy you are not normal
08:46 AM on 07/06/2010
They will always win, because they can now buy any politician they want thanks to our SCOTUS. Now, finally, there is no limit to their buying power of politicians.
06:27 PM on 07/03/2010
Another reason we need to get control of our country away from the banks, corporations, and insurance companies. May God be merciful if our country ever has to answer for these crimes.
09:16 PM on 07/03/2010
O: We the people will not have to answer for these crimes. I was sick, sick reading what JH wrote and it is an outrage that these filthy, greedy corporations are running wild. They must be stopped in their tracks, pronto.
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HUFFPOST SUPER USER
Kevin Atlanta
Active Citizen 54
11:39 PM on 07/03/2010
With the Roberts Corporate Fascist Supreme Court enshrining the Fraud of Corporate Personhood with more rights to free speech than you or I and the reality of what we all see in the Purchased Politicians pandering to their Corporate Fascist Masters unless and until the United States Citizens rise up and take this nation back we are all in a world of hurt.
End the Fraud of the Corporate collective entity and that puts the sociopathic acts back on the humans behind the Corporate Fascist Veil.
Ban all contributions to Politicians from Corporate Entities period and silence them as the Church is Silenced over Political Campaigns.
Public financing of Campaigns within 90 days of the elections is a great solution that will end this non-stop campaigning and right v left, Republican v Democrat meme of lies, fraud and theivery.
10:37 AM on 07/04/2010
Kevin, You have such a nice way with words and I happen to agree with each and every one of them. Keep up the good work and keep writing, please.
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quindy
If repubs don't drive you crazy you are not normal
08:47 AM on 07/06/2010
Wish I could fan you again.
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django707
Reinhardt not Unchained
05:41 PM on 07/03/2010
This must stop! We are sitting here, posting and fulminating, with no answers in sight.

Our political system is broken. Beyond repair. We can't unravel a corporate owned Congress and Executive Branch when our judicial system is also owned by corporations. Worst example being the completely corrupt Corporate Supreme Court.

The rightwing is so perfectly organized they will turn that collective anger into a November Tea Party.

We can't fight in the streets. They have all the guns. And our own sons and daughters in uniform will shoot us down like dogs in the gutter.

But there is a power we have. Not as citizens. But as consumers.

If we can finally put together real boycotts of corporations we can start taking back power.

Look, for the last dozen or so years, different groups have tried to organize a boycott of Exxon, after the Valdez disaster. It failed.

Too many lazy citizens wouldn't cross the road to go to a different pump.

Maybe we can try again with BP. They've just unleashed the biggest environmental disaster of our lifetimes. We can try again.

If we can somehow pull together a successfully boycott of any corporation, we can scare them. The only thing these guys fear is losing money.

Because, right now, given our joke of a democracy, they are laughing at us.

I know... I'm dreaming.
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HUFFPOST SUPER USER
weekendpartier
I need some money!
07:06 PM on 07/03/2010
Revolution? Civil war: the people against the
rulers? It can't happen here? Why not?
HUFFPOST SUPER USER
django707
Reinhardt not Unchained
07:59 PM on 07/03/2010
wouldn't that be nice!
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imdesign
Expression is Everything.
12:41 AM on 07/04/2010
"You may say I'm a dreamer, but I'm not the only one, I hope some day you'll join us and the world will live as one..." Never before have these words meant so much for so many.

The time for talk is over, this is a major criminal offence that needs to be stopped. UNITE UNITE UNITE and stop this abuse!
HUFFPOST SUPER USER
django707
Reinhardt not Unchained
01:30 AM on 07/04/2010
Yes, we must unite. And dream!

And I'm telling you massive consumer boycotts is passive resistance 2.0

Yeah, we could try storming the Bastille, but I think we'd be quickly crushed.

How about a devilishly effective assault. Pick a product. Charmin toilet paper.
Nobody buy it. Work our way up from there.
Once people saw what they could do the floodgates would open.

People are pissed at BP right now. Really pissed. Lets go after them.
Yeah, we hate Exxon and Shell, but we can't take down all the oil companies at once.

But just one...
04:51 PM on 07/03/2010
Our political system does not work for the people anymore. It listens to the most powerful lobby groups and pacs.they are the brokers and bankers of wall street. They have literally changed the way Capitalism is working. They accomplished it by buying congressional votes, and putting the secretary treasury and the federal reserve in their hip pocket. Instead of Capitalism concentrating on producing goods and services it changed to capitalism producing speculation. And we just went along with it. Adam Smith knew that Capitalism detached from moral precepts will have dire consequences.It is like having an ignorant person acting without having any knowlege on the repercussion of their action.