The First World War was, of course, famous for trench warfare. A protracted stalemate rather than a series of decisive battles. The politicians and monarchs were mostly content to "let it bleed" rather than be innovate enough to bring the war to a military or diplomatic end.
We are once again in trench warfare.
Since the president's troop surge in Iraq began this past February, we have all waited like gimps in an infirmary for General Petraeus and Ambassador Crocker to descend from Mount Iraq. Toting, we hoped, stone tablets with directives with which to lead us to the Promised Land.
No such luck.
Petraeus's testimony before congress on Monday was a mixed bag. Its drama diluted by the slew of similar mixed bag reports recently released by the GAO and the ISFIAC among others. The gist of all:
Yes, the surge -- or is it, The Surge? -- is helping to quell violence. Though it's hard to gauge exactly to what degree as the violence in Iraq tends to decline in the heat of summer and measured year-to-year deaths for both civilian and military are actually higher than last July/August.
No, the Iraqi government has not taken advantage of whatever lull there is to strengthen its position and secure long term political gains.
So, then, from Petraeus nothing definitive which either side could use to force the debate here at home.
The president and his cronies can't say the continued bloodshed will produce tangible results. The Democrats and their lackeys can't say the surge -- The Surge -- is an abject failure.
And with the President having nothing politically at risk, with the Congress lacking the votes and the spine to truly force the issue...
Well, our men and women in uniform remain stuck in their trenches.
Petraeus says the 30,000 "surge" troops should stay in place until at least next July. Nearly 120,000 will remain in Iraq for the foreseeable future.
The foreseeable future being the next decade.
Ironically, as the Petraeus/Crocker show goes on, President Bush is making double-super-secret trips to Iraq (double-super-secret despite the fact it's supposedly safer there now) where he's floating the idea of drawing down troops.
Genius!
Bush can now claim he'd like to reduce our footprint in Iraq, but Petraeus -- the one guy in the Gov. who's got even a shred of credibility -- is telling him he can't.
And the war goes on.
Settle in, folks. It's likely to be quite the wait before our Armistice day.
that's why they won't back away, why there's been a huge construction for the Green Zone: we're there cuz the oil's there.
oil as the wmd
Thank you all for such insightful analysis.
It is not only the Democratic Congress that lacks the will to end this war.
The cost of the war is no big deal either. Thanks to Reagan and the initiation of deficit spending as a matter of course, Americans don't care that the future generations are going to pay for it. Americans live off their credit cards, why shouldn't the country? As long as they can get their SUV, cup of 5$ Starbucks and party all weekend, life is good and this Iraq thing is just background noise.
Whilst Iraq combat is more mobile, the morass we're in, certainly does resemble the same calamitous sickness that we endured in WWI.
The Iraq comparison with WWI is vividly and brilliantly captured by novelist C.S. Foster, when he tried to fathom out why the fighting in WWI wouldn't stop.
This one paragraph in Foster's "The General" should be required reading by all of the war lovers, especially Lindsey Graham, Hatch, McClain, Bush, Cheney, Rice, et al. None of them have any idea of what ground combat is.
As quoted by Chas. Messenger in "The Blitzkrieg Story."
" In some ways it was like the debate of a group of savages as to how to extract a screw from a piece of wood. Accustomed only to nails, they had made one effort to pull the screw out by main force, and now it had failed they were devising methods of applying more force still, of obtaining more efficient pincers, of using levers and fulcrums so that more men could bring their strength to bear. They could hardly be blamed for not guessing that by rotating the screw it would come out after the exertion of far less effort; it would be a notion so different from anything they had ever encountered that they would laugh at the man who suggested it."
When will the war end? One key benchmark will be when the Oil Law is enacted.
Bottom line: the U.S. is not leaving Iraq in our lifetimes (think Korea). So deal with it.
Listening to the political dialogue these days, one would think that all of recorded history took place between 1938 and 1945.
As a Vietnam Vet who afterward joined Vets Against the War, I know why this all-volunteer army is the President and the pro-war Congressmen's trump card. In the late '60's when nearly everyone serving with me fully understood we were sacrificing our bodies and sanity in an egregious military mistake, we would invariably hear career officers and Non-Coms ("lifers") reply:
"Sure it's a stupid, hopeless war, but it's the only war we've got." .
General Petraeus and those many thousands of volunteer troops who regularly give Pres. Bush standing ovations know that without a war the career military are must endure being perceived as Sgt. Bilko types. Their esteem and massive levels of funding are totally dependent on risking what they believe is a reasonable level of casualties.
Therefore, if Congress does stop funding the war before the 2008 election, the outraged protests from Generals on down to multi-tour sergeants will be loud and vitriolic. Unlike Vietnam, we're not going to see mainly draftees gratefully coming home. Soon, numerous former officers and Non-coms would be running for Congress against those politicians who "sold them out" just when their brilliant surge had victory in Iraq nearly within their grasp.
Then, another nightmare WWI comparison will eventuate when these extremists ride their fictional "stab in the back" into power. That's how it was done in Germany following The Great War, and they didn't even have Foxnews to help them perpetrate it.
You can't call it a "surge" much less a "success" if the increased numbers of troops will remain in place indefinitely, or as the White House disingenuously puts it, "once the situation on the ground allows".
I don't think any reasonable person was expecting anything different from the vaunted Petreus report than what was delivered, which begs the question why some politicians bothered waiting for it in the first place. If you think we've wasted enough resources on Iraq, then that's all there is to it. General Petreus and his "surge" are just a continuation of this fraud, and his self-graded report card a ridiculous waste of everyone's time.