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John Farrell

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1.21 Gigawatts! U.S. Finally in the Clean Energy Game

Posted: 06/22/2012 6:32 pm

In the past five years, a new U.S. renewable energy policy has quietly grown more popular, enabling enough solar power (1.21 gigawatts!) to send Michael J. Fox Back to the Future. CLEAN programs -- Clean Local Energy Accessible Now -- have been adopted in 14 states and can significantly increase the deployment of local solar power.

2012-06-21-CLEANstatesmap.png

CLEAN programs provide long-term contracts with utility companies that have prices set to guarantee a modest return for investors. They have long been used in Europe (as "feed-in tariffs") to spur renewable energy development, often with remarkable success. In Germany, for example, CLEAN contracts have been credited with developing more than 50,000 megawatts of wind and solar power and with driving the price solar below the retail cost of electricity.

The 1.21 gigawatts of distributed solar power planned under CLEAN programs comes from some of the nation's largest municipal utilities, including Los Angeles and Long Island Power Authority. It also represents one of the largest expansions of solar power in the country, but without a focus on the largest scale projects. CLEAN programs encourage rooftop and commercial-scale solar power located near where electricity is used, so that new local clean energy also creates greater opportunity for local jobs and economic development.

The following table -- taken from a new report from the Institute for Local Self-Reliance (ILSR) -- summarizes the state of CLEAN programs in the U.S. Program contract prices assume the use of tax incentives by participants. Without that assumption, the prices would have to be much higher. Prices have been normalized for solar insolation, contract length, and currency. Prices in bold are for programs supporting residential solar, and otherwise reflect the price for the smallest solar supported under the program.

Summary of CLEAN Programs in the United States 2012-06-21-USCLEANprogramstable.png

The table illustrates one key comparison. The complexity of U.S. renewable energy incentives makes it more costly than a unified approach like Germany. In comparison, the German feed-in tariff, shown at the bottom of the table, is an all-in price that doesn't require the use of extraordinary tax incentives for investors to earn a return. Yet the German feed-in tariff is lower than all comparable U.S. CLEAN programs. That is a testament to the length, dynamism and success of the German program. As the renewable energy industry has increased, its price has decreased. In the past two years alone, the German feed-in tariff price has fallen by 45 percent.

Why CLEAN?

The recent surge in popularity of CLEAN programs coincides with three realizations. First the volatility of American energy policy increases risks that undermine investor confidence and increase prices. The vagaries of Congress promise a future with more on-again, off-again federal tax incentives and state renewable energy credit markets are also increasing in volatility. These issues are addressed by the consistency and transparency of CLEAN programs, which evidence has shown can offer lower prices.

Second, the rapidly falling price of solar energy means that incentive policies will have to be flexible, able to accommodate regions where solar is cheaper that retail electricity without incentives as well as those where solar is still more expensive. CLEAN programs have a record of being locally tailored.

CLEAN programs also provide a simple tool for encouraging local development and ownership of clean energy, a crucial intersection of self-interest and environmental aims that corporate-targeted clean energy incentives overlook. By returning more of a community's energy dollar back into the community, CLEAN programs will continue to expand far beyond the 1.21 gigawatts in the pipeline.

For more information on CLEAN policies, see ILSR's new report: U.S. CLEAN Programs: Where Are We Now? What Have We Learned?

 

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09:25 PM on 07/14/2012
Here is the question we should be asking: can we do 23 GW:
http://cleantechnica.com/2012/06/27/utility-scale-solar-pv-us/
07:18 PM on 07/14/2012
California Alone already has 1.21 Gigawatts in rooftop capacity: http://www.sustainablebusiness.com/index.cfm/go/news.display/id/23846 and a super-Gigawatt number for that state was already being reported last year. 1GW is an unimpressive national number but for any state it would be fairly respectable. New Jersey has an aggregate installed capacity of around 200 MW. California proves categorically that the wait to get solar into the game is to promote rooftop solar. It is more easy to finance (justifies itself far more quickly) and rooftop also makes the best use of land. Other states in the sun should be targeting 1GW right now. I would say U.S. is starting to get "in the game" when 3 or 4 states have 1GW. There is no reason 6 to 10 states could not have more than 1GW by 2017. We are being lazy and big utilities are blocking laws (like Southern Company is doing in Georgia).
Genders
Love, Tolerance, Enlightenment
11:07 PM on 06/23/2012
Kind of a weird take on the link, isn't it? The USA is doing a bad job compared to Germany was the gist of the article you linked to.
photo
farmilyman
everything is illusion
03:02 AM on 06/23/2012
If dems would ever start promoting this stuff, young people would join the party in droves. Instead they allow repubs to control the conversation about energy.
09:35 PM on 06/22/2012
I don't like when people "normalize" data for purposes of promoting
their point without showing how. It makes the data either useless
or a hoax, as far as making any honest decision.

A public-utilities-commission type setting of rates (feed-in tariff)
that is stable, reasoned, and long-term-predictable would be a
good thing. Political tariffs are not, because they are changeable
while you're still on the hook for those tens of thousands of
dollars on the loan it took to buy relevant solar PV capacity. I
would not buy a grid-feed PV system without a contract for the
power I source, that lasts longer than the note.

At 1-2 years payback I'd take a piece of that action, but at 5+,
no sir. And while people keep on trying to rig the game, I'll keep
on sitting it out. Y'alls get to where you've got a straight story
that the next administration can't pull the plug on (heh), and
then you'll see the average Joe invest in roof panels.

And I'm actually a fan of the technology. Just not the economics
or people who like to jack with them.