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Joseph Rauch

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Romney Will Lose Come November

Posted: 04/28/2012 10:08 am

I've been saying this to my friends and family for almost a year now, but I mentioned it in passing in one of my last posts, so I thought I would try and sew up the issue once and for all.

Romney is not going to win in November. Yes, I know how absolutely obnoxious it sounds to try and predict an election but I'm really willing to take bets at this point. It's not that Obama is going to beat Mitt Romney, it's that Romney is not able to win and has already defeated himself with his record, comments, demeanor and the way Americans perceive him.

Romney will always be perceived, for good reason, as an almost comical exemplar of an out of touch rich person. Despite his efforts to appear relatable, he has always done the opposite, whether it was bragging about forcing Ted Kennedy to mortgage one of his homes, raving about how much he enjoys "cheesy grits" in a move that even his supporters saw as phony pandering, claiming that his speaking fees of over $300,000 were modest, or saying that he didn't follow Nascar but knew several team owners personally. He is also a Mormon (I know this matter has been beaten to death, and there is obviously nothing wrong with being Mormon) and many Christians will not vote for him simply because of this fact. Romney is also incredibly stiff and boring. George Bush was born into money, but he at least had that Texas swagger and was, ironically, great at connecting with voters to the point where people actually voted for him based on the fantasy that they could sit down and have a beer with him. I don't think many voters could imagine or would even want to go to a bar with Romney. It would just feel weird somehow. These things should not matter at all when people decide how to vote but they sadly do. Romney also fell into another perceived exemplar of the rich-Wall-Street-fat-cat-that-fired-your-dad during his time at Bane Capital: a company that basically bought up other dying companies and then gutted them for profit (the popular picture of him making it rain with his colleagues doesn't help either).

Romney has also changed his positions many times and it is way too easy to find long YouTube clips of him supporting a woman's right to choose, supporting availability of contraception, supporting stricter government regulations on corporations, and all other sorts of things Republican voters find disgusting and uncharacteristic of a true conservative. A Republican politician even made a joke recently about how it is easy to like Romney because he has probably been on your side at some point. The fact that he passed universal health care in Massachusetts has also been beaten to death by the media, but is nevertheless valid. No matter how much Romney tries to avoid the topic, the idea and the irony of him passing a bill that exceeded the original aspirations of what people now pejoratively call Obamacare while simultaneously denouncing the health care bill will continue to surface repeatedly during debates and further interviews.

It was very painfully clear that Republicans were never excited about him from the beginning of his campaign and desperately wanted someone else as the nominee. However, whenever someone interesting or consistently conservative did emerge, they were always a disappointment and said just a few too many stupid things whether it was quoting Pokémon, claiming that vaccinations caused mental retardation, saying "oops" on national television, etc. I have to ask: Don't you actually have to like a candidate from the beginning for him to be president? I'll pile it on further by pointing out that Santorum isn't even going to support Romney, adding more insult to the fact that the guy who's last name was predominantly synonymous with leftovers from fudge packing actually managed to compete with Romney.

Now the time has come where Republicans will have to rally behind Mitt Romney: the guy they never wanted in the first place but are willing to settle for since the idea of doing nothing to stop Obama from winning is even more nauseating than voting for Romney. To sum things up, if you really think Romney can win, it might be better to just save your energy and wait another four years.

 
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I've been saying this to my friends and family for almost a year now, but I mentioned it in passing in one of my last posts, so I thought I would try and sew up the issue once and for all. Romney is...
I've been saying this to my friends and family for almost a year now, but I mentioned it in passing in one of my last posts, so I thought I would try and sew up the issue once and for all. Romney is...
 
 
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HUFFPOST SUPER USER
white mende man
Ask me if I care about your prejudice
01:33 AM on 05/01/2012
It's understanding that people want to give Mitt credit for him losing the presidential election, but since he will be the Republican presidential nominee against all odds, when he is loses in November it will be because that President Obama defeated him. If the President was to sit back and do nothing from now and until November he will not be re-elected. Americans need to be constantly reminded about what this president has accomplished in the last 4 years, unless you are saying that they mean nothing.
10:01 PM on 05/01/2012
I completely agree with you. I have a lot of respect for Obama and he has accomplished a lot. I'll admit though that I get worried about people pidgeonholing me as nothing but an Obama loving liberal prototype just because I respect him (and because I don't agree with everything Obama has done but have written about that yet). Maybe I should stop worrying about that but on the other hand people certainly do have a tendency to do what I just mentioned. I suppose I'll figure these things out as I continue to write and improve. Also, how the hell did you get 912 fans? I want to have more fans because that seems to give more perceived weight to your comments but I have no idea how to accomplish something like that. Did it just take you a really long time?
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HUFFPOST SUPER USER
white mende man
Ask me if I care about your prejudice
02:57 AM on 05/02/2012
I started posting in HP in 2007 so that accounts for the fans but probably they like and agree with what I write. Anyway best of luck to you and your writing, and never apologize for what you believe are right deep down but always be ready to see and judge both sides of the argument with an open mind, things are not always as they seem and our perception of our beliefs change as we mature and travel.
09:40 AM on 04/29/2012
Romney and Obama are the same, paid from the media and the Super Pac group. I'm voting for Ron Paul 2012, a real American.
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HUFFPOST BLOGGER
Joseph Rauch
08:12 PM on 04/29/2012
I'm sorry but you're throwing away your vote. I admire Ron Paul for his consistency and clean record. However, him being president is nothing but a fantasy and I'm glad that is the case. Libertarians live in a fantasy world where they believe that our country would be better off if the government did little or nothing. It's good to have them around in order to cut wasteful spending and be anti-war but that's it. Also, saying Romney and Obama are the same just because they both use Super Pacs is ridiculous.
HUFFPOST SUPER USER
stevendavisphoto1
12:24 AM on 04/29/2012
pretty much. romney will get beat EASILY. i would bet $10,000 on it.
11:45 PM on 04/28/2012
If Romney were to suddenly become a paleoconservative and oppose American military adventurism rather than favor an aggressive neoconservative approach in the Middle East, I would consider him. For the moment, I am convinced Obama is more interested in peace than Romney. It would be particularly despicable for Romney to favor a warlike approach when none of his GQ cover sons have a day in uniform between them.
02:00 PM on 04/28/2012
It sounds like your describing McCain. Romney is not McCain. We will vote for him and with a passion. I voted for 'Hope and Change' in 2008 and got 'Blame and Shame' instead. I'm voting for Hope and Change in 2012 ;)
12:14 PM on 04/28/2012
That and the fact that Obama is a better man.

2"O"12
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HUFFPOST BLOGGER
Joseph Rauch
01:59 PM on 04/28/2012
I agree even though I'm not a huge Obama fan. It really says something about your character if you brag about getting a dead guy to mortgage his house in order to beat you. That was the moment when I saw Romney as not just a bad candidate but a bad person as well. Also, you should market that slogan if know one else has come up with it. Seriously!
03:18 PM on 04/28/2012
I reject the idea that you have to be a 'fan' to admit Obama is a good guy

I mean let's face it Obama is just as human as you or I and as such he's not infailable. More over I don't expect him to act exactly as I would. If I wanted that I should run for office