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Josh Ruebner

Josh Ruebner

Posted: August 26, 2010 06:10 PM

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On August 20, the Obama Administration announced that it will reconvene under its auspices direct Israeli-Palestinian peace negotiations beginning on September 2.

While a just and lasting Israeli-Palestinian peace is in everyone's interest, there are profound reasons to be skeptical about the likelihood of success for the following reasons (not necessarily listed in order of importance):

1. No more photo-ops, please. There is a desperate need for a just, comprehensive and lasting peace in the Middle East. Negotiations can be a key to that. But the last thing Palestinians and Israelis need are phony negotiations. They only breed disillusionment, resentment, and cynicism about the possibility of Israeli-Palestinian peace based on human rights and justice. So rather than enter into negotiations for the sake of negotiations, the Obama Administration should exert real political pressure on Israel by cutting off military aid to once and for all get it to commit to dismantling its regime of occupation and apartheid against Palestinians, and make clear that the framework for all negotiations will be based on international law, human rights, and UN resolutions. As long as it fails to do so, U.S. civil society must keep up the pressure through campaigns of boycott, divestment, and sanctions (BDS) to change these dynamics and by joining up with the US Campaign to End the Israeli Occupation.

2. The United States is not evenhanded. For decades, the United States has arrogated the role of convening Israeli-Palestinian negotiations. To convince the world that it is suitable to play this role, the United States declares that it is evenhanded, when it in fact arms Israel to the teeth and is aware that Israel will employ these U.S. weapons to conduct its human rights abuses of and apartheid policies toward Palestinians. Under international law, an outside party that provides weapons to a party in an armed conflict violates laws of neutrality. The United States is scheduled to provide Israel with $30 billion in weapons from 2009-2018 (part and parcel of a broader strategy to further militarize the region with an additional $60 billion in weapons sales to Gulf States). The United States cannot credibly broker Israeli-Palestinian peace while bankrolling Israel's military machine and simultaneously ignoring Israel's human rights violations.

3. Israeli colonization of Palestinian land continues. In one of its most abject policy failures, the Obama Administration has contented itself with resuming direct negotiations without securing an Israeli freeze on the colonization of Palestinian land, despite spending an initial nine months trying to do so. Israeli colonization of Palestinian land, including the expansion of settlements, the eviction of Palestinians from their homes, the building of the Apartheid Wall, continues apace. Previous failed rounds of negotiations have demonstrated that Israel utilizes negotiations as a fig leaf to actually increase its pace of colonization of Palestinian land, and there is every reason to believe that it will continue to do so. Meanwhile, Israel's ongoing colonization of Palestinian land creates difficult-to-reverse "facts on the ground" that only make a two-state solution--purportedly the end game of the negotiations--less achievable.

4. Negotiations supersede accountability. The Obama Administration, building on decades of previous U.S. efforts to shield Israel from accountability, has worked actively to scuttle international attempts to hold Israel accountable for its previous violations of international law and human rights, and its commission of war crimes and possible crimes against humanity. Both after the Goldstone Report and Israel's attack on the Gaza Freedom Flotilla, the United States used its leverage at the United Nations to prevent Israel from being held accountable, arguing that accountability undermines prospects for peace negotiations. On the contrary, for peace negotiations to be successful, Israel must be held accountable for its actions and shown that it will pay a price for its illegal policies. Otherwise, it has no reason to alter its behavior.

5. No terms of reference. In his August 20 press briefing, Special Envoy for Middle East Peace George Mitchell confirmed that the United States is not insisting on any guiding principles for the negotiations, or "terms of references" in diplomatic parlance, and that these terms will be worked out by the parties themselves. In other words, Israel will be free to marshal its overwhelming power to refuse to negotiate on the basis of human rights, international law, and UN resolutions, the only viable basis for a just and lasting Israeli-Palestinian peace. Instead, Israel--backed by the United States--will negotiate based on its own exclusive terms of reference, namely what is in Israel's "security interests." As in previous failed rounds of negotiations, Palestinian rights will not enter into the conversation.

6. No timeline. Secretary of State Hillary Clinton believes that negotiations "could" be concluded within a year. Of course, successful Israeli-Palestinian negotiations could be wrapped up within in a year. In contrast to "peace process industry" pundits, there is nothing intrinsically complex or complicated about resolving the Israeli-Palestinian conflict if Israel were to negotiate in good faith by declaring an end to its policies of occupation and apartheid against Palestinians. After all, South Africa concluded negotiations to end apartheid within a few months once the decision had been made to transition to democracy. However, Israel has given no indication whatsoever that it is prepared to alter its policies toward Palestinians, setting the stage for prolonged and fruitless negotiations.

7. Can a leopard change its spots? A recently-leaked video from 2001 shows current Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu arrogantly bragging that "I actually stopped the Oslo Accord [shorthand for the failed 1993-2000 Israeli-Palestinian "peace process']." (The Institute for Middle East Understanding has provided a useful translation and transcript of the video here.) His current Foreign Minister, Avigdor Leiberman, lives in an illegal Israeli colony built on stolen Palestinian land and has openly declared his support for ethnic cleansing of Palestinians. With this negotiating team in place, how can Palestinians expect even a bare modicum of fairness and justice to emerge from these negotiations?

8. Increased U.S. military aid to and cooperation with Israel make it less likely to negotiate in good faith. In July, Assistant Secretary of State for Political-Military Affairs Andrew Shapiro told the Brookings Institution that "I'm proud to say that as a result of this commitment [to Israel's security], our security relationship with Israel is broader, deeper, and more intense than ever before." Indeed, it is. President Obama has requested record-breaking levels of military aid to Israel, and stepped up joint U.S.-Israeli military projects, such as the missile defense system "Iron Dome." This increased level of military aid only makes Israel more reliant on military might in its attempt to subdue Palestinians into submission, and less likely to negotiate with them fairly as equals.

9. All the parties are not at the negotiating table. Special Envoy for Middle East Peace George Mitchell, who previously brokered a peace agreement in Northern Ireland, when discussing its success often referred to the necessity of having all the parties to the conflict around the negotiating table. What held true though for negotiations in Northern Ireland, apparently doesn't apply to Israel/Palestine since Hamas, which currently governs the Israeli-occupied and -besieged Gaza Strip and legitimately won the 2006 legislative elections held at the behest of the United States, was not invited to participate in the negotiations. If, by some long-shot, an agreement were to emerge from these negotiations, it is difficult to see how it would be implemented without having Hamas as part of the discussions.

10. Negotiations help Israel mitigate its growing international isolation. Last, but certainly not least, images of Israeli and Palestinian political leaders negotiating presents the world with a false sense of normalcy and allows Israel the opportunity to state that it is making a legitimate effort to achieve peace. With Israel as the party pressing for direct negotiations, it is quite transparent that its desire for these talks has more to do with easing its growing international isolation and defusing the energy from the international movement for boycott, divestment, and sanctions (BDS), rather than with genuinely negotiating a just and lasting peace. This point brings the analysis full circle: advocates for changing U.S. policy toward Israel/Palestine to support human rights, international law, and equality should not be lulled into complacency by the resumption of negotiations, but need to keep up the pressure with campaigns of BDS to change the dynamics that will eventually lead to the possibility of a just and lasting peace.

Sign a petition to the Obama Administration, which states that Israeli-Palestinian negotiations must be based on human rights, international law, and UN resolutions to be successful by clicking here.

 
 
 
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HUFFPOST SUPER USER
eileenflemingWAWA
http://www.wearewideawake.org/
09:09 PM on 08/27/2010
"Lamentably, it is an historical fact that privileged groups seldom give up their privileges voluntarily. We know through painful experience that freedom is never voluntarily given by the oppressor; it must be demanded by the oppressed. We must come to see that 'justice too long delayed is justice denied.'

"Oppressed people cannot remain oppressed forever and if repressed emotions are not released in nonviolent ways, they will seek expression through violence; this is not a threat but a fact of history."-MLK, Jr.

"We have seen the enemy and he is US"-Pogo

If you pay taxes in the US you are culpable in 62 years of ongoing misery; and all suffer for military occupation dehumanizes both occupied and their occupiers.

Israel will never know SECURITY until it does JUSTICE to Palestine: End the Occupation and honor Equal Human Rights for all.
HUFFPOST SUPER USER
Basilio
Universal humanist, fellow traveler.
06:36 PM on 08/27/2010
Israel acts as if it is the civilized party, the Western party, and the Palestinians are the cause of the lack of peace when no one is forcing Israelis to build settlements, demolish homes, torture, imprison 10,000 people and have an occupation for 43 years in the West Bank. Some try to say the Palestinians have sins, too. That's true, but so did the Native Americans who fought white settlers, and so did the Jews and Muslims who were being persecuted by Catholic Spaniards. Equating the occupier with the occupied is a hollow argument. It works in the US, but not so well outside of the US where Fox News is not a major news source.
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12:06 PM on 08/27/2010
Right, plus if they actually succeed Josh is out of a job. I think we could all use more reasons for skepticism.
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09:22 AM on 08/27/2010
As the occupiers, the onus for concessions would fall on the Israelis and nobody else. Israel has taken from the Palestinians, that is documented. What have the Palestinians taken in comparison from the Isrealis over the last 60 or 70 years?
In1880 the Jewish population was 5% that of the Arabs? The numbers are in percentage when taken in comparison of Jews to Arabs translates to: 1800 = 3%, 1880 = 5%, 1915 = 15%, 1931 = 21%, 1947 = 48%, The Christians were not mentioned in the chart. Going by the numbers alone, I would conclude the rising violence between Jews and Arabs would correlate with the rising percentage of Jews(migrating Zionists) into Palestine.
"Demographics in Palestine[2]
year Jews Arabs
1800 6,700 268,000
1880 24,000 525,000
1915 87,500 590,000
1931 174,000 837,000
1947 630,000 1,310,000 "
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Zionist_an­d_Palestin­ian_Arab_a­ttitudes_b­efore_1948
"One day after the UN vote to partition Palestine, Menachem Begin, the commander of the Irgun gang and Israel's future Prime Minister between 1977-1983, proclaimed:
"The Partition of Palestine is illegal. It will never be recognized .... Jerusalem was and will for ever be our capital. Eretz Israel will be restored to the people of Israel. All of it. And for Ever." (Iron Wall p. 25)" " http://www.palestineremembered.com/Acre/Palestine-Remembered/Story448.html”
09:13 AM on 08/27/2010
Are there actually people out there who think that the negotiations will be a cakewalk and that we can start planning the celebration parties for the peace accords?

A list of reasons to expect failure is hardly necessary. And it does seem odd that none of the items on the list account for the possibility that the Palestinians could present obstacles to peace.
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Kevin Grussing
High School graduate, Liberal-minded, Class
01:59 AM on 08/27/2010
Sadly, it seems that we're (just like with LGBT rights and every thing else) going to just make a false photo-op seems like real talks.

No Hamas at the table in some fashion + No Settlement Freeze = No Mideast Peace. Plain and Simple.

As much as we hate Hamas and terrorists they are, the Gazan people voted them in legitimately as their governors and all we're doing is allowing illegal collective punishment. We shouldn't hold Gazan voters responsible for electing Hamas, yet that's what we're doing. And we're giving Israel a free pass to invade Palestinian land further and to kill humanitarian workers to top it all off. These talks are worthless and if you think THESE talks will amount 2 anything you're seriously nieve and don't know anything about Palestine.

And that Japanese Politican from the other day wonders why we're so simple-minded? Here's one of the long laundry list of reasons for you right here ladies & Gentlemen!
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09:32 AM on 08/27/2010
I don't want to sound like I'm making excuses for anyone. Not the Iranians, not the Americans, not terrorists of any or either sort. As an outside objective viewer, the fact that the US meddled in Iranian democracy in 1953, on behalf of 'Brittish Petroleum' has proven to be a mistake. The ensuing evolution of events lead to the 1979 revolution of an oppressed Iranian people. The reverberations of that revolution are still going around the world today in various forms. When considered in conjunction with the US blind eye towards Israel, the results of our ME meddling is a melding of one problem into another for a compound effect. For an interesting read connecting Jihad, the beginnings of suicide terrorism and Hezbollah with the Iranian revolution, try this link.
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/History_of­_Hezbollah
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Vlady
Better Late
01:26 AM on 08/27/2010
Would you care to present even one item of 10 for a change that criticizes Palestinians?
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Basilio
Universal humanist, fellow traveler.
06:33 PM on 08/27/2010
The Palestinians are the ones who are occupied, not the Israelis. It's like trying to put the Irish Catholics in the 1920s on equal fault with the British when the British occupied Ireland. The Irish also side with the Palestinians, because they know that Israel is doing what England did to Ireland.
No side is without sins, but one could argue that when America fought for freedom and dumped tea, one could have said the Yanks had faults as well, not just the British. What's the point of that?
06:50 PM on 08/26/2010
"In his August 20 press briefing, Special Envoy for Middle East Peace George Mitchell confirmed that the United States is not insisting on any guiding principles for the negotiations, or "terms of references" in diplomatic parlance, and that these terms will be worked out by the parties themselves. In other words, Israel will be free to marshal its overwhelming power to refuse to negotiate on the basis of human rights, international law, and UN resolutions, the only viable basis for a just and lasting Israeli-Palestinian peace."

It is just amazing that George Mitchell can keep a straight face when he utters such foolish & sadly ridiculous words. By ignoring the international framework & allowing one side to determine how it will engage the other all but determines the outcome of this yet another charade of "peace talks" for the Palestinians.

But it does not really matter. BDS & demography will determine the real outcome for Palestine, not the major powers & certainly not George Mitchell or any new chapter of the same old travesty.