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Karl Grossman

Karl Grossman

Posted: March 11, 2011 12:46 PM

Nuclear Emergency in Japan


What Japan is now trying to avoid is a complete loss of power to the cooling systems at its Fukushima nuclear power plant. This would lead to a loss-of-coolant or meltdown accident -- a disaster which could have catastrophic impacts on Japan and much of the world.

Radioactive material is used in a nuclear plant as a heat source -- to boil water and produce steam that turns a turbine that generates electricity. Huge amounts of radioactive material are made to go through a chain reaction, a process in which atomic particles bombard the nuclei of atoms, causing them to break up and generate heat.

But to keep the nuclear reaction in check -- to prevent the material from overheating -- vast amounts of coolant are required -- up to a million gallons of water a minute in the most common nuclear plants that have been built ("light water" reactors). That is why nuclear plants are sited along rivers and bays, to use the water as coolant.

If the water which cools the reactor "core" -- its 200,000 to 300,000 pounds of radioactive fuel load -- stops flowing, the "emergency core cooling system" must send water in. If it fails, a loss-of-coolant or meltdown accident can occur.

In such an accident, the core of nuclear fuel, which in less than a minute can reach 5,000 degrees Fahrenheit, burns through the cement bottom of the nuclear plant and bores into the earth. This is what U.S. nuclear scientists have dubbed the "China syndrome" -- based on a nuclear plant on their side of the planet undergoing an accident seemingly sending its white-hot core in the direction of China.

In fact, the radioactive core doesn't -- in any location -- go to China but it descends to the water table underlying a plant. Then, in a violent reaction, molten core and cold water combine, creating steam explosions and releasing a plume of radioactive poisons.

The problem at Fukushima Diachi nuclear facility is that one of its six reactors lost all its power as a result of the earthquake. Back-up diesel generators didn't work, so battery power became necessary to keep coolant water flowing. If the battery power is depleted and electric power is not otherwise restored, a loss-of-coolant accident or meltdown would ensue.

"The emergency shutdown has been conducted but the process of cooling down the reaction is currently not going as planned," explained Japan's Chief Cabinet Secretary Yukio Edano, according to CNN.

Thus, Japan declared a state of "atomic power emergency" and people living within three kilometers of the Fukushima facility were advised to evacuate.

In fact, if the coolant flow is not maintained and a loss-of-coolant accident with a "breach of containment" occurs, people way beyond three kilometers around Fukushima would be impacted. The radioactive releases in the Chernobyl nuclear plant accident affected the entire northern hemisphere, as a book published last year by the New York Academy of Sciences documents. And Chernobyl: Consequences of the Catastrophe for People and the Environment, authored by Dr. Alexey Yablokov, Dr. Vassily Nesterenko and Dr. Alexey Nesterenko, finds that medical records between 1986, the year of the accident, and 2004 reflect 985,000 deaths as a result of the radioactivity released. Most of the deaths were in Russia, Belarus and Ukraine, but others were spread through the many other countries the radiation from Chernobyl struck.

Where the radioactivity spreads after a nuclear plant meltdown is largely a function of where winds take the radioactivity and of the rain that causes it to fall out.

There are numerous lessons to be learned from the situation now underway in Japan including why a nation situated on a string of volcanic islands would build nuclear power plants, vulnerable as they are to earthquakes. Of course, Japan is not alone on this score: in the U.S., the Diablo Canyon nuclear facility in California was built less than three miles from the Hosgri earthquake fault.

Nuclear power plants are, in fact, life-threatening wherever they are -- they represent the most dangerous way to boil water ever devised.

Wind, solar and geothermal energy and other forms of safe, clean power would not cause massive deadly damage because of an earthquake.

 
 
 
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06:01 PM on 04/04/2011
Karl Grossman has made a number of statements which are technically incorrect. First, none of the six nuclear reactors at Fukushima have had breaches of the reactor pressure vessel or the primary containment structures. Second, while it is estimated there has been damage to the fuel in at least two of the Fukushima reactors, there has been no massive release of fission products from them due to damage to the cores. Third, the reactors failed due to the twin onslaughts of a 9.0 earthquake and a 15 meter high tsunami. Despite these geophysical phenomena, the primary containment structures remained intact.

For the record, the number of people who died, directly as a result of the Chernobyl accident is less than 50. Most were first responsders. It is a gross exaggeration to claim hundreds of thousands of people died from the accident. Inflated estimates of long-term deaths have been rejected by the United Nations agency that studied health effects of the accident.
03:05 PM on 03/14/2011
It's times like these ... when nuclear plants are facing meltdown ... that I wonder why we don't hear more about this type of stuff in the national news:

http://www.theatlantic.com/magazine/archive/2010/11/shooting-for-the-sun/8268/
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Egalitare
04:53 AM on 03/14/2011
"Nuclear power plants are, in fact, life-threatening wherever they are -- they represent the most dangerous way to boil water ever devised."

Also the most expensive. Nuclear power infrastructure is not cost-free, and even though the power source is tantalizingly small, the overall physical footprint of containment and security perimeter makes these facilities enormous.

I feel for the Japanese people impacted by this. They made decisions that at the time were economically and environmentally sound, given the likely very biased arguments made at the time of construction. They absolutely should not double down on stupid and rebuild this as if nothing happened.
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07:00 AM on 03/15/2011
The Japanese have more experience with radiation than any other people on earth (World War II) and yet they still chose nuclear power to supply a large percentage of their energy needs. Japan has always been on a fault line, subject to natural disasters. They are an intelligent people who believed in nuclear technology. There are 55 reactors in Japan and 4 are having serious problems after an 8.9 earthquake and a crushing tsunami. The problems are no where near Chernobyl proportions. When this is over, chances are the Japanese will continue to rely on nuclear power for energy.
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Gavin D. J. Harper
09:24 PM on 03/13/2011
Local residents lodged a protest in the Tokyo High Court that the reactor was built on a fault line as long ago as 2005! "The court rejected the plaintiffs' argument that an active fault exists near the station, saying that what they claimed to be an active fault did not even amount to a fault and could not cause a quake." Catch the latest at: Quake Shakes Japan Nuke: Facts & Fission

http://www.huffingtonpost.com/gavin-d-j-harper/japan-quake-critical-flaw_b_834478.html
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Angie Cordeiro
We do all things through Grace which empowers us.
11:43 PM on 03/13/2011
Well, they should have brought up Tsunami as well as an active fault...REMEMBER it took both to bring those reactors to this present situation.

Live & Learn ;-)
12:50 AM on 03/14/2011
Excellent point. Even if you oppose nuclear power, it's unjustified to act as though this wasn't a major disaster. If this all blows over, I think this incident will end up being an example of how safe nuclear power is after all. An earthquake measuring 8.9 and a subsequent tsunami created a massive disruption of the systems and nothing happened. It is certainly a premature thought and I may regret it, but I'm betting it turns out to be the case.
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satellitejam
Wind, Sun, Water
08:53 PM on 03/13/2011
The book that Mr. Grossman refers to, Chernobyl: Consequences of the Catastrophe for People and the Environment, contains references to over 5000 peer-reviewed scientific studies and first-hand collections of data. The figures given for cancer, birth defects and other many other radiogenic illnesses are for the INCREASES in those conditions post-Chernobyl, specifically in those areas most contaminated by the Chernobyl catastrophe. In many cases, the increases in disease rates are truly astounding. In some areas, there are NO healthy children.

Anyone who has read this book and is still pro-nuclear is also pro-disease, pro-deformity, and pro-death.

Pro-nukers who have not read this book are afraid to read it because they can't handle having their misshapen world view rocked cleanly off of its imaginary foundations.

Pro-nukers, I challenge you -read it if you dare.
Download it at
http://www.nyas.org/Publications/Annals/Detail.aspx?cid=f3f3bd16-51ba-4d7b-a086-753f44b3bfc1
Click “Full Text”, then click on “View Annals TOC free.”
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10:25 PM on 03/13/2011
Actually I have read a great deal of it. Three things about it made me have second thoughts: 1) The 5000 published articles and findings referred to are available only within the former Soviet Union. They are not accessible in the West. Why not? 2) One of the authors was a paid editor of a Greenpeace magazine; 3) The general tone of hysteria and lack of solid facts (other than from those 5000 articles and findings that we are not allowed to access).

I do not believe that the IAEA, a nuclear watchdog organization, and/or the WHO had any incentive whatsoever to skew their findings which are so at odds with appears in this book.

I used to have a knee-jerk reaction against nuclear energy, but after listening to speeches explaining it by James Lovelock and Hans Blix, and visiting countries like India and China, where it is impossible to breathe the air (but quite possible to see it) I began to understand the need for it. Sure, it would be wonderful if solar panels and windmills could supply all of the world's energy needs but they cannot. I also believe in catastrophic climate change and the role of fossil fuels in it.
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satellitejam
Wind, Sun, Water
07:05 AM on 03/14/2011
You may have read parts of the book, but you didn't understand what you read. The tone of the book is anything but "hysterical", as it contains mainly statistics concerning radiation levels, disease and mortality figures. And furthermore, anyone who has access to the internet and actually knows how to run a search can find those 5000+ scientific journal articles, many of which are in English, and completely available outside of the former Soviet Union.
Also, people who understand physics and chemistry know that there is a difference between "carbon emissions" and "carbon footprint". Nuclear energy has the highest carbon footprint any non-fossil alternative energy. To say that nuclear energy will help reduce the over-all CO2 emissions caused by energy production is an admission of extraordinary ignorance about nuclear power.

Unfortunately, because of general scientific illiteracy in this country, it is possible for many people to become the unwitting intellectual victims of the pro-nuclear propaganda and the outright lies of the nuclear industry.

Familiarize yourself with the latest technology so that you can leave behind the outdated idea about using nuclear death as a power source.Did you know that there are now solar cells that generate electricity under cloud cover and IN THE DARK? That there are rooftop solar panel and micro windturbines, and efficient storage batteries?

No nukes, no coal, no kidding.
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Angie Cordeiro
We do all things through Grace which empowers us.
11:44 PM on 03/13/2011
Pro- Quarterly Profits too.
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nelson rivera
Disabled US Veteran hopes we can work together
05:28 PM on 03/13/2011
I think anyone living within 200 Kilometer's of the Fukushima Facility must Evacuate right away. What is wrong with the Japanese Government a 3 kilometer's safety Zone.
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gingershot
One man, one vote, from the river to the sea
11:57 AM on 03/13/2011
Good description of what happens to the once solid nuclear fuel going into a gas and then carried thru atmosphere....

"Once there is an uncontrollable heating up, the nuclear fuel undergoes a metamorphosis into the gaseous phase. Since we are talking about metals and solid items, they turn into particles that are capable of traveling great distances. They can wander thousands of kilometers."

If these gases are indeed emitted into the atmosphere in large quantities, the wind regime could carry them all the way to China, South Korea, and eastern Russia, or in the other direction, toward Hawaii and the west coast of the United States. The likelihood of this happening, though, is not high.

Experts are now positing two possible scenarios. This first scenario is a disaster on the scale of Chernobyl, where the reactor core melted and enormous quantities of radioactive fallout were discharged into the air before being propelled by the wind and harming civilians living at a relatively great distance from the reactor. Because the core melted, the steel and concrete seal, which was meant to protect the core and prevent dangerous material from being emitted into the air, could not withstand the pressure and collapsed. As a result, thousands of people were killed, though the exact number of deaths remains unknown to this day.

http://www.haaretz.com/print-edition/news/japan-nuclear-blast-could-be-more-deadly-than-chernobyl-experts-fear-1.348809
12:41 AM on 03/14/2011
Huffington post itself has an article on how this event is unlikely to be 'a disaster on the scale of Chernobyl.' Good of you to post one of the 'two possible scenarios.' The one that isn't happening and sensationalizes the whole thing.
batguano
As Long As Grass Grow, Wind Blow & The Sky Is Blue
11:01 AM on 03/13/2011
Japan now assumes 'possibility of a meltdown' at troubled reactors
March 13, 2011
“We cannot confirm this because it is in the reactor,” he continued. “But we are dealing with it under that assumption. We are also dealing with the No.3 reactor based on the assumption that it is a possibility."
A nuclear reactor core meltdown occurs when fuel rods in the reactor’s core overheat and begin to melt. The rods are filled with uranium oxide ceramic pellets wrapped in zirconium cladding. It is possible for that molten material to get so hot that it could melt through the primary steel confinement shell – and then, even through the floor of the reactor building, US experts say.
“Underscoring the seriousness of the situation, the Fukushima prefecture government Sunday widened its mandatory evacuation zone to 20 kilometers (12.4 miles) around both nuclear plants – ordering an additional 80,000 people to leave in addition to 62,000 residents who had already left, Japanese press reports said. Up to 450,000 residents could be evacuated overall, Kyodo News reported.”
http://www.csmonitor.com/World/Asia-Pacific/2011/0313/Japan-now-assumes-possibility-of-a-meltdown-at-troubled-reactors
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aligatorhardt
Cut on the bias
10:16 AM on 03/13/2011
We can make excuses for past mistakes, but it would be great if we could have some better choices going foreword. Clean energy sources are available and should be the choice for all new power stations.
batguano
As Long As Grass Grow, Wind Blow & The Sky Is Blue
09:06 AM on 03/13/2011
The claims that alternative energy production is “years away”, of will not provide the power we “need”, or some other “reason” why we must continue to rely on dangerous and extremely costly nuclear, fossil fuels are false. The reality is there are many viable alternatives to nuclear/fossil fuel power, but the nuclear industry and their accomplices to the fraud of the “safety” & “low cost” of nuclear power, and the highly polluting oil/coal industries have tremendous influence to dictate policy making decisions. Without massive subsidies, decreased insurance & liability from the Price-Anderson Act, and numerous other advantages given to the nuclear industry, real costs, and public liability are sky-high.

Wind, solar, tidal, bio-mass, geo-thermal are all viable and clean alternatives, especially tidal, to the highly dangerous, cancer-causing, water/air polluting, destructive industries in favor now, that are poisoning/despoiling our planet and children’s future; the difference is who supports the old means of power-production and their ability through campaign-contributions to buy influence, legislation and financial incentives/tax breaks & support. As a nation our future depends on new clean methods of power production, not the dangerous/polluting (but well-connected) industries now in command of our legislative/funding/tax-incentive processes.

http://www.mng.org.uk/gh/private/nuclear_subsidies1.pdf

http://www10.antenna.nl/wise/index.html?http://www10.antenna.nl/wise/630-31/main.php
batguano
As Long As Grass Grow, Wind Blow & The Sky Is Blue
08:14 AM on 03/13/2011
After reading all the pro-nuclear industry comments here, one must wonder at their intent. They claim that nuclear plants either have not caused any increase in cancer rates, which is false, or that the probability for catastrophic failure is not possible in a “modern” plant design, also false given the Japanese quake/tsunami that have "probably" caused a meltdown in at least one of the units, & another may occur. It is irresponsible & a lie to claim that nuclear power is “safe” & no threat to the public. The NRC has become a cheerleader for the industry, not the watchdog they are supposed to be. The history shows that grave dangers to the public are falsely downplayed w/risks & criteria measuring those dangers skewed & raised in favor of the industry. http://www.nonuclear.net/nrcrisksflawed.htm

The industry "spokes-people" commenting here either have a personal agenda of disinformation & diversion from truth, or are paid to calm public fears of the horrible reality of the potentials for nuclear accidents, as we are witnessing.

Three Mile Island DID cause increased cancer & deaths; with leukemia rates up 600-700%: "a landmark study on the 1979 Three Mile Island radiation release has found that people near the nuclear reactor are suffering from extremely high rates of cancer". http://www.albionmonitor.com/9703a/3milecancer.html

The aging dangerous plant near me, Indian Point is leaking radioactive water into a huge pool underground, into the groundwater & Hudson River.
http://www.ipsecinfo.org/Leak_Sept_2005.htm
batguano
As Long As Grass Grow, Wind Blow & The Sky Is Blue
11:11 AM on 03/13/2011
Where are the pro-nuclear commenters/comments to "refute" these facts? Lost you tongues, or do you not have any phony "facts" to refute them with? Diversionary comments we expect.
batguano
As Long As Grass Grow, Wind Blow & The Sky Is Blue
11:39 AM on 03/13/2011
Where are the pro-nuclear commenters/comments to”refute” these facts? Lost your tongues, or do you not have any “facts” to refute them with? Diversionary comments we expect.

I guess, as Lincoln said, “it is better to remain silent and be thought a fool, than speak and remove all doubt”.
06:41 PM on 03/12/2011
I don't believe nuclear power to be an ideal, but for the immediate future it is the only option. None of the 'greener' energy alternatives are anywhere near the sophistication needed to supplant our dependence on fossil fuels. The human population has grown too large and energy dependent to subsist off of solar, wind, or hydro power. Incidentally, hydro may be one of the most environmentally harmful energy sources. Wind simply isn't a viable alternative now or likely to ever be one except in limited use where the geography and weather allow. Solar may very well be the best alternative in the future, but the current technology is decades at best from being of use for the massive demand we have. I don't think that we should put all of our eggs in one basket, but at this point we need to break away from fossil fuel use and soon. Look up Albert Bartlett. You can watch one of his lectures on YouTube under The Most Important Video You'll Ever See. We need to get off oil now. Atomic power is the ONLY source that can supply anywhere near the amounts of energy we use IN THE TIME FRAME we need. Other sources may be better in the long run, and if we turn to nuclear power, we have to do it as carefully as possible. Pick the safest locations and implement the best technology. But we have to do it. It's math. Otherwise, get a horse.
01:45 PM on 03/12/2011
Look over there!- nuke defenders pointing away from the latest disaster.

Anything but facing reality.
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12:44 PM on 03/12/2011
Mr. Grossman uses as a source a book with findings that are entirely at odds with what the IAEA and World Health Organization, after exhaustive studies, concluded about the impact of Chernobyl. Neither organization has an incentive to skew those results.

There are reasonable explanations for some of the health studies cited in the book. For example, women in the Ukraine and Belarus may have miscarried because of excessive drinking, a real problem in that area. Couples seeking to adopt children from that area are warned of the possibility of fetal alcohol syndrome or fetal alcohol effects. More cancer than elsewhere? What about environmental pollution caused from burning coal and oil? Excessive drinking and smoking? Or just the fact that some cancers have been on the rise worldwide?

The eminent scientist and one of the founders of the green movement, James Lovelock, believes that nuclear power is "the only" viable answer to the world's energy and climate problems. He states categorically that the dangers have been overblown.

Why does no one talk about the years and years of reactor safety? Why do we not fret so much about mining disasters (and the heath of miners), oil spills, natural gas disasters? Why are we not talking about the fire at the oil refinery in Japan that is spewing black toxic smoke into the atmosphere?
Genders
Love, Tolerance, Enlightenment
03:54 PM on 03/12/2011
Wrong lovelock: I said in my recent book that perhaps the only tool we had to bring carbon dioxide back to pre-industrial levels was to let the biosphere pump it from the air for us. It currently removes 550bn tons a year, about 18 times more than we emit, but 99.9% of the carbon captured this way goes back to the air as CO2 when things are eaten.
What we have to do is turn a portion of all the waste of agriculture into charcoal and bury it. Consider
http://www.guardian.co.uk/environment/2009/mar/24/biochar-earth-c02

Nuclear power has critical unsolved problems: Accidents, Terrorism, Waste and Proliferation.

The effects of nuclear accidents is so catastrophic and long lasting that having even one accidents completely wipes away even a century of safety.

Finally, we don't need nukes. Rooftop solar pv, Offshore wind and Waste Bio Char bio fuels can supply all the world energy needs, cheaper, safer, cleaner, forever and ready for installation now to 100% in 15 years.
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07:20 PM on 03/12/2011
I'm not sure why you selected this link from Lovelock. If you want to read more about his views on the Gaia theory, climate change and the need for nuclear energy, go to http:/www.jameslovelock.org

Keep in mind that this man was one of the FOUNDERS of the green movement.
07:31 PM on 03/12/2011
You post a completely unrelated link and act as if you've made a point. What czarina posted is true. Lovelock, the Lovelock, does adamantly support nuclear power.
http://www.ecolo.org/media/articles/articles.in.english/love-indep-24-05-04.htm Try that one.
As for your claims about other energy sources, would you mind posting some kind of reference for your claims? I'm an engineering student. One of my engineering professors jokes about wind power constantly. Solar power in its current state is expensive and inefficient. I think we certainly should pursue it, but I don't think it will solve our problems an certainly not in within 15 years. Even if it could supply enough power, it can't do it during the night and if you're familiar with the energy grid, we can't store it. There are some methods for storing excess energy from the power grid, but they're grossly insufficient for the task. Most of your statements seem either overly optimistic or awful generalizations. As I said in another comment, we need to get off fossil fuels now. If you simply look at the math, we don't have time to wait for ideal and possibly bogus solutions. If you consider yourself an environmentalist, you are only hurting the cause by making unqualified statements and posting unrelated links.
Genders
Love, Tolerance, Enlightenment
10:33 PM on 03/12/2011
Why do you persist with posting these links about biochar? Lovelock says NOTHING about nuclear power. His point is reducing the carbon dioxide levels in the atmosphere. You unwisely posted the first link because you thought it was some kind of refute to his stance on nuclear power. I'm not sure if you're just unwilling to admit your mistake or you really believe that the two are related. The former is sad enough, but if it's the latter case, then you really have no business making any kind of arguments about science or the environment. For the record, Lovelock's advocacy of limited use of biochar by farmers (use as in burying it) has nothing to do with energy alternatives. Make other arguments if you wish, but for the love of god, stop using this. It was a mistake to do so the first time and it has only made you look worse, and your argument along with it.
11:39 AM on 03/12/2011
For those who still think nuclear energy is green, think again. NO MORE NUCLEAR!
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erix
Class warfare!
07:15 PM on 03/12/2011
NO MORE NUCLEAR = more coal and natural gas, FYI... Money prefers a long standing, proven investment and cares not about its environmental impact.
09:33 PM on 03/12/2011
Radiation is more dangerous than all the carbon based pollutants.