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Kassie Siegel

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Putting an Arctic Scientist on Ice

Posted: 08/11/11 01:36 PM ET

The onset of the Obama administration was supposed to mean a lot of things, including an end to the Bush-era war on science, especially when it came to climate change and endangered species. No agency needed these changes more than the Department of the Interior, which among other things was responsible for the faulty oversight that led to the BP oil spill disaster in the Gulf of Mexico last year.

Unfortunately, an ugly episode involving drowned polar bears, a distinguished scientist and the misguided drive to drill for oil in the Arctic has turned that hope on its head.

Dr. Charles Monnett is a respected Interior Department scientist with a particular expertise in marine mammals. The roots of his current troubles go back to 2004, when he and another scientist spotted drowned polar bears in Alaska's Beaufort Sea. Those observations were published -- after being thoroughly reviewed by his scientific peers -- in 2006 in the publication Polar Biology.

Monnett's observations received considerable media attention when they were presented because it was the first (but not the last) recorded instance of polar bears drowning as the sea ice retreated, a phenomenon that's intricately connected with global climate change. His paper was ultimately just one of hundreds of studies reviewed by the Fish and Wildlife Service when it listed the polar bear as a threatened species under the Endangered Species Act due to global warming.

Late last year, the government protected 187,000 square miles of "critical habitat" for the polar bear. That designation didn't sit well with the oil industry and the state of Alaska, both of which are pushing hard to drill for oil in the same Arctic habitat that the polar bear relies upon.

Just a few months later, on Feb. 23, 2011, criminal investigators came calling to Dr. Monnett. These two investigators, neither with scientific training, grilled him about "potential scientific misconduct" relating to those drowned polar bears and his 2006 paper. (The transcript of the interview is a fascinating and disturbing read as it shows the heavy-handed and decidedly unscientific nature of the inquisition.) His computer and notes were seized and, on July 18, he was put on administrative leave by his employer, the federal Bureau of Ocean Energy Management, Regulation and Enforcement (BOEMRE), the Interior Department agency in charge of approving oil development in Alaska. BOEMRE was created last year from the ashes of its predecessor, the Minerals Management Service, in the wake of the Gulf disaster.

In July, Public Employees for Environmental Responsibility filed a complaint against the agency for violating its scientific integrity policy. Investigators required Dr. Monnett to attend a second interview on Aug. 9, again questioning him about the polar bear paper and an agency contract for polar bear research.

Since Dr. Monnett published his paper, bears have continued to starve, drown, and even resort to cannibalism as the Arctic sea ice melt has accelerated, and many more papers documenting these impacts have been published. Some, like Senator Jim Inhofe of Oklahoma, have jumped on the investigation to attack protection for the polar bear and the science of global warming. But even were there some credible complaint regarding Dr. Monnett's paper, which there is not, that paper is but one drop in the tsunami of evidence showing that unchecked global warming will drive polar bears to extinction.

So what is going on here? At the end of his February interview, according to the transcript, Dr. Monnett told the investigators exactly what he thinks this is about:

My management have been trying to kill this study for a while, ever since really the polar bear thing came out... they don't want any impediment to... what they view as their mission which is to...put those areas into [oil] production... They basically blew everybody out of here that showed any, uh, desire to be a conscientious scientist.

The investigators, uninterested in that line of inquiry, abruptly ended the interview.

The episode is unnerving and infuriating on several fronts, including that the government would marshal its criminal investigation unit to mount an absurd challenge to scientific findings that had already cleared all of the time-tested hurdles of scientific publishing.

Further still, Interior Secretary Ken Salazar and BOEMRE director Michael Bromwich seem intent on ignoring Dr. Monnett's allegations that his agency higher-ups wanted to stifle his scientific findings in the interest of ramping up Arctic drilling, even at the expense of the imperiled polar bear (and, indeed, an oil spill in Alaska's Polar Bear Seas would be disastrous and impossible to clean up).

Life is all about timing and so, apparently is political meddling: On Aug. 4, while Dr. Monnett remained locked out of his office, the Interior Department approved Shell Oil's plans to drill in the heart of polar bear habitat in Alaska's Beaufort Sea.

 
 
 
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Genders
Love, Tolerance, Enlightenment
04:24 PM on 08/16/2011
This is what we get when we vote for conservatives: GOP,Tea and DLC DINO(Obama and gang)

Vote for the CPC progressive caucus folks in the primaries and the Dems in the general.

Notice that conservatives say the love "america" but they hate the USA, the Republic, they love money.
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Moose Luck 99
GEOENGINEERINGWATCH DOT ORG
12:44 PM on 08/12/2011
We need alternative energy :)

Hemp BIO-ENERGY
Hemp 6X more BTUS than Corn
Hemp uses less water no herbicides and little pesticides and fertilizer.

Subbituminous coal is common in the US. It has an energy content of about 18 million Btu per ton, and is used mostly in coal-fired power plants

Coal generates about half of the electricity used in the United States. ... Each person in the United States uses 3.8 tons of coal each year.

Some 965 million tons of coal were consumed for the generation of electricity. This amounted to 86% of total U.S. coal production

U.S. soybeans 76.6 million acres

U.S. corn 90 million acres

Half of the acres 83.3 million acres

Hemp yields an average of nine dry tons per acre
(more in southern areas)

749 million tons hemp fiber

Bio-diesel Hempoline can be made from leaves and stalks.

You would also have the hemp seeds as a food source too.

U.S. annual anhydrous ammonia 22.90 million tons used.

U.S. ROUND-UP use100 million pounds
Contaminated with 1,4 dioxane

HERO-INSECTIDE SYNGENTA INSECTICIDE Soybeans and corn

http://aircrap.org/category/chemtrail-evidence/
batguano
As Long As Grass Grow, Wind Blow & The Sky Is Blue
01:15 PM on 08/12/2011
Thanks Moose Luck, legalizing Industrial Hemp could re-energise our economy and save us billions in wasted resources. For an overview of the issues on the prohibitions on recreational cannabis and importantly IH, please read;

http://www­.votehemp.­com/overvi­ew.html

http://www­.hort.purd­ue.edu/new­crop/ncnu0­2/v5-284.h­tml

http://www­.leap.cc/c­ms/index.p­hp

http://www­.safeacces­snow.org/a­rticle.php­?id=748
batguano
As Long As Grass Grow, Wind Blow & The Sky Is Blue
12:40 PM on 08/12/2011
Thanks Kassie for your commitment & activism. Many people saw the direction the Dept of Interior would take, & not take, when Prez Obama appointed the odious Ken Salazar Interior Secretary. Salazar supported big oil & gas at the expense of environmental protections; supported the unqualified shill Gail Norton, supports corporate welfare, supports ranchers & their war against wildlife, & supported William Myers III to the 9th Circuit Court of Appeals; an ardent anti-environmentalist extremist. Obama showed his future agenda with the appointments he made & intention to betray any promise of “change” from the very beginning! From the environment to big-money we have been betrayed and lied to.

It seems especially telling that while this "investigation" (read intimidation) is taking place under Obama to benefit big-oil & denigrate science & wildlife biologists, no one responsible for the "economic downturn" crime has been named, or prosecuted, by Obama’s “Justice” Dept. Obama. Instead of changing the direction of Wall St/investment banker excesses, fraud & de-regulation, Obama appointed the same Robert Rubin protégés responsible for de-regulation (rescinding the Glass-Steagall Act under Clinton, who used the same Rubinite crowd) who profited from, or were directly involved in the bailouts and decision-making that made some people very, very rich while screwing millions of Americans through their irresponsible, greed-driven gambling with America’s future.

Read Matt Taibbi’s excellent piece, “Obama’s Big Sellout”.

http://www.commondreams.org/headline/2009/12/13-8
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Lynda Groom
02:08 AM on 08/12/2011
This story appears to be more about drilling that scientific misconduct. Monnett and others saw the floating bears back 2004. There were several witnesses to the incident, not just the two scientist.

The U.S. Geological Survey Alaska Science Center researchers Anthony Pagano, Kristin Simac, George Durner and Geoff confirm the theory of bears swimming longer and longer due to less floating ice. This is not news. They've been studying the problem for several years now and confirm that polar bears are indeed having problems. I suppose it will soon be their turn to be accused of wrong doing.

They put collars on 68 bears over a 6 year period and found that 11 bears that swam that had cubs when the collars were deployed 5 cubs were lost during the study period, a 45% mortalilty rate. Among cubs not compleled to swim long distance, the mortality rate was 18%.

The biologist studying the bears found that when cubs are forced to go on marathon swims with their moms due to loss of sea ice, nearly halp of them don't survice to become yearlings.

This sure sounds political and stinks of big oil influence and interference.
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AntiClast
If it ain't broke, don't break it!
12:03 AM on 08/12/2011
Don't blame the Obama administration for this fiasco. IG's are independent of the agencies they are attached to so they can investigate waste and fraud unfettered. Some offices are headed by politico appointees; some by civil servants.

This investigation smells of the right wing. The Tea Party has a stated goal to investigate climate scientists. Major funders Have fossil fuel interests, the Koch brothers.

One investigation for 'civil fraud' commenced as soon as the current Attorney General of Virginia, a Tea Party favorite, took office. He's investigating Dr. Mann, who published the first "hockey stick" curve in 1999, for his work at UVa in the early 2000's. Prominent in the AG's legal filings is the "Wegman report", statistical work that has been debunked. Dr. Wegman is at George Mason University, which has substantial funding from the Koch brothers. GM is investigating Wegman, interminably.

The IGs questioning Monnett and his co-author Dr. Gleason, cite findings of error by "statisticians". Who were these accusers? What was their complaint? Why didn't they submit their critique to the journal who published Monnett & Gleason's paper published in 2006?

I'm guessing this is an ambush by the Tea Party and its associates. It smells like the whiffs from the people behind the Mann investigation.

The unanswered questions are: Who suggested this investigation? Who provided the 'scientific' criticism of the paper? Who did the 'statistics'?

Is it a coincidence that the first two scientists investigated had published papers dramatized in Al Gore's movie?
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08:52 PM on 08/11/2011
sooo, the "ethical and scientific" strategy to stop Chevron and BP from killing the polar bears is to kill all the tortoises at Ivanpah so Chevron and BP can get rich through their Big Solar eco-slaughter there, too? The "scientific integrity" crowd huddles in back rooms with the guys who are making trillions of dollars by creating the climate crisis, and offer them billions MORE to partially offset their own GHGs by killing tens of thousands of acres of desert wilderness? You know, that just doesn't make sense.

Not to state the obvious, but wouldn't it be a lot smarter to starve that Big Energy beast instead of handing it billions more of our hard-earned dollars and millions of acres of our beautiful, healthy land so it can dominate us even more in a renewable era, right when we are ideally situated for energy independence? Shouldn't we be a lot more focused on getting panels on roofs than on getting Chevron (Solar) yet another check and pretending that mulching 3000 endangered tortoises is a GREAT plan?

Killing the desert will speed up the deaths of the polar bears because industrial power emits huge amounts of GHGs in a lifecycle analysis, and diverts money from faster, cheaper, cleaner solutions in the built environment that would SAVE polar bears AND tortoises. Unforgiveable.
08:44 PM on 08/11/2011
To my mind this isn’t about the bears. This is about the message that we are sending to our scientists: if you tell us something that we don’t want to hear, we will take away your job, your credibility will be questioned by corporations with unlimited funds, we will send the police to your door, and you will be vilified by people who don’t like or understand what you are saying. What kind of a message is that to send to the people that will have to provide us with the means to solve the problems we face now and in the future? If there is a problem with research, the proper forum is scientific peer review not by the whims of the general public, corporate pressure, or the police. Do you want to see a world where these people are muzzled because there are forces out there that have a vested interest?
06:26 PM on 08/11/2011
The "so-called" 4 drowned bears were only spotted by observers who were actually looking for whales while flying at 1500 feet. Monnett didn't see the bears. No scientific exam was made of the bears to determine cause of death. He based his conclusions on the anecdotal reports of the people looking for whales who said "hey look. Is that a dead bear down there?". The peer who reviewed his work was his wife. VERY scientific work. I just can't figure out why we environmentalists don't have any credibility.
07:07 PM on 08/11/2011
Fiction.

Monnett was on the plane and saw the bears. The plane circled to observe the dead bears. It is not at all uncommon to give papers to friends, family, and colleagues to review before officially submitting them. Monnett's wife was only one of about a dozen reviewers... including management at MMS and anonymous reviewers chosen by the journal which published the report.
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hardycross
09:17 PM on 08/11/2011
Just wonder where you got the idea that there were a dozen reviewers. It appears to me this was not a true peer review but more of a proofreading review.
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Linus521
In wildness is the salvation of mankind
12:11 AM on 08/12/2011
This article and its intent are not steeped in environmentalism; this is the science of ecology, dictating how the Earth functions and cycles to promote and sustain life itself. Polar bears and the desert tortoise are biological diversity, the creators, building blocks, vanguards and maintenance crew of the Earth's ecosystems or oxygen releasing, the stability of the atmosphere, the very regulation and moderation of the climate, the sequesteration of C02, the nitrogen cycle, the hydrological system, the entirety of the Earth's biogeochemistry and a long list of every reason man breathes.

Killing ecosystems and their biological diversity for whatever the reasons insures a far less life giving world and danger in the long run, whether it is for oil fields raping virgin ecosystems, the extinctions of polar bears and desert tortoises or dead solar panel fields. All ecosystems and their biological diversity, altogether, create the very life zone of the Earth or the biosphere; this is science, not politicians and an election campaign or the money changers or grasping at straws.
05:23 PM on 08/11/2011
This a test case, in the same way that Enron was a test for the economic system that is now in full practice. The intelligensia is always a roadblock to autocratic rule. Just testing the waters (pun intended) to see if marginalizing and discrediting the thinkers is gonna fly with the rabble. And a clear warning to the educated....drink the kool aid or its off the re-education center.
04:59 PM on 08/11/2011
Producing fraudulent studies, having those fraudulent studies go through peer review without serious scrutiny as if they are solid science does more harm to the science of global warming. From polar bears dying, to the insistent claim that the MWP was regional (in spite of overwhelming contradictory evidence), to the divergence problem caused since 1960. The AWG forgets the story of the boy who cried wolf. How is the AGW theory to be believed by the science deniers if the settled science is caught with fraudulent science..
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Whiskeyman09
12:20 AM on 08/12/2011
Sshhhh!!!! They don't want to hear it! The science is settled...it's all peer reviewed after all...
07:25 AM on 08/12/2011
Joe, where do you get your info? The polar bears were actually observed; there's no 'overwhelming evidence' of a global MWP (not, at least, if we demand that it be reasonably synchronous), and the divergence problem is a technical issue with tree proxies only--AND was fully and frankly discussed in the literature.

If there's any 'fraud' going on, it's being committed by people like Joe Bastardi, Rush Limbaugh and James Inhofe, who feed folks like you misleading or even blatantly false information.
09:04 AM on 08/12/2011
Doc - let compare a typical explanation showing that the MWP was only regional from the website skeptical science. The Warmers claim the MWP was not global but only regional, The ones you call the deniers believe that it is highly unlikely that the MWP was only regional. The attached recreation and comparison of average temps today and during the MWP fly in the face of contemporaneous written record during the MWP. Contemporaneous written record shows crops grown in greenland and species of trees growing 300 miles north of their natural range in china during the MWP. The temp reconstruction cited below does not support the historical record. How can you expect the deniers to believe the science when the AWG continues to do such a poor job of policing the obvious errors.

http://www.skepticalscience.com/medieval-warm-period-intermediate.htm.
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OliverTwist
Contrarian advocate for truth and justice
04:36 PM on 08/11/2011
"But while the interior department has been focused on polar bears, the Government Accountability Office (GAO) has faulted the department for failing to live up to its responsibilities and collect billions of dollars in royalties from oil and gas companies operating in the Gulf of Mexico and in the Arctic.

The office designated the department of interior as at "high risk" of fraud, waste, abuse and mismanagement in a report (PDF) to Congress in February 2011.

"Interior does not have reasonable assurance that it is collecting its share of billions of dollars of revenue from oil and gas produced on federal lands and it continues to experience problems in hiring, training, and retaining sufficient staff to provide oversight and management of oil and gas operations on federal lands and waters," the GAO wrote.

The report went on to say that the interior department had consistently failed to monitor production of oil and gas production, which made it impossible for the government to collect a full share of the royalties it was owed.

It is unclear how many billions the government failed to collect, it added. However, it noted in a 2008 report from the Government Accountability Office which estimated the losses in the four years from 1996-2000 to be as high as $53bn.

The report also noted that the government had collected less than it was owed from 93 of 104 oil and gas operators."

http://www.commondreams.org/headline/2011/08/02-10
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Malcolm Hensley
Last of the Reagan Republicans
04:30 PM on 08/11/2011
I hate to be a stickler for details but why have not the Canadian Biologist, Russian Biologist, Swedish Biologist, Norwegian Biologist, or Danish Biologist not independently confirmed these drowning of polar bears.

I find it hard to believe that only the American polar bears are lousy swimmers.
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Lynda Groom
02:30 AM on 08/12/2011
The study titled 'Populations and Sources of Recruitment of Polar Bears' was conducted by the Canadian University of Alberta. The IG notified Dr. Monnett that its investigation focus is now on his actions during procurement of that research study.

That study has been extraordinarily successful, producing invaluable data that will be used by polar bear managers for many years to come. The Canadian provided approximately $800,000 toward the cost of the $2,000,000 study. The study provided a chance to track bears beyond political boundaries and in so doing found a dramatic expansion of polar bear's home ranges as they cope with diminished sea ice.

You don't have to worry, American bears are the only lousy swimmers. These joint U.S.-Canadian efforts have proved valuable. This entire episode appears to be more about the 187,000 square miles protected than scientific integrity, or the results described in a very short paper several years ago.
07:57 AM on 08/12/2011
Because it's big ocean up there, and there are not that many studies flying transects like the bowhead study.

But challenges to bear populations are best documented, if I recall correctly, for the western Hudson Bay population, which is Canadian. They've seen declining reproductive success and body weight. And it's worth noting that this is the most Southerly population of polar bears, and also that the sea ice in Hudson Bay has been strongly declining.
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gutenmorgen
a.k.a. crowsnest
04:28 PM on 08/11/2011
Kassie are you driving a car propelled by gasoline? Will you give up your computer which was produced with plastics obtained from gas/oil?
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OliverTwist
Contrarian advocate for truth and justice
04:24 PM on 08/11/2011
It's all about Obama working for the oil companies.

Too bad.
03:46 PM on 08/11/2011
meh.. Artice ice under current climate conditions is as likely to expand as it is to contract for periods of up to about a decade.
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Lynda Groom
02:32 AM on 08/12/2011
Your comment does not match the evidence clearly showing the opposite. The Artic reading are available on line and clearly show a smaller area, but more importantly is the thickness of the ice. In other words...older ice is getting harder and harder to find.
08:39 AM on 08/12/2011
"But in an unexpected new result, the NCAR research team found that Arctic ice under current climate conditions is as likely to expand as it is to contract for periods of up to about a decade."

http://www2.ucar.edu/news/5124/arctic-ice-melt-could-pause-near-future-then-resume-again
07:53 AM on 08/12/2011
Well, that's the conclusion of one recent study--the idea is that as the ice melts away, it also becomes more variable, meaning that extreme short-term increases become more likely--as do extreme short-term decreases.

That doesn't affect the longer term, though--and it's just one statistical interpretation.

Another recent study proposed that the rate of decline projected by most models is up to 4 times too low because those models haven't incorporated the effect of mechanical degradation of the ice--floes cracking and shattering--as the ice thickness continues to decline.

I'm no expert, but as a layman, that latter study sure sounds like what you see happening if you follow sites like Cryosphere Today (which provide visualizations of the ice satellite data.)