iPhone app iPad app Android phone app Android tablet app More

Featuring fresh takes and real-time analysis from HuffPost's signature lineup of contributors
Kate Gould

GET UPDATES FROM Kate Gould
 

Lieberman Resolution on Iran Means War: Top Military, Intelligence Officials

Posted: 04/11/2012 12:20 pm

Top national security officials have warned that prospects for a diplomatic solution between the U.S. and Iran could be undermined by legislation likely to reach the Senate floor in the immediate aftermath of the April 13-14 round of U.S.-Iran talks. The legislation pushes impossible preconditions for diplomacy and radically lowers the threshold for war.

As early as next week, the Senate could vote on legislation that Col. Lawrence Wilkerson, former Chief of Staff for Secretary of State Colin Powell, said "reads like the same sheet of music that got us into the Iraq war, and could be the precursor for a war with Iran."

Wilkerson has joined me in lobbying members of Congress and their staff against the legislation, pointing out that it is "effectively, a thinly disguised effort to bless war."

Colin Kahl, who served as Deputy Assistant Secretary of Defense for the Middle East from 2009 until late last year, is another of the top national security officials who have blasted the legislation and the policy shift that it endorses. At a Capitol Hill briefing earlier this year, Kahl warned that this resolution and similar initiatives could "box in our negotiators from being able to find a diplomatic solution." The majority of Congress has ignored these warnings, and have endorsed ultimatums that if pursued, would make diplomacy virtually impossible.

Ruling Out a "Nuclear Weapons-Capable" Iran = Code for War

Without explicitly directing the administration to abandon diplomacy and prepare for war, the resolutions (S.Res. 380, H.Res. 568) produce nearly the same result by drawing the "red line" for military action against Iran at a nuclear weapons capability, not an actual weapon.

House and Senate majorities' endorsement of "nuclear weapons-capable" as the new threshold for total "unacceptability" -- congressional parlance for military action -- begs the question: how does Congress define "nuclear weapons-capable"? After all, Congress is already calling on the administration to shift the U.S. "red line" from "nuclear weapons acquisition" to "nuclear weapons capability" not only in these non-binding resolutions, but also in the new sanctions package expected to reach the Senate floor soon.

And yet these resolutions do not contain any definition of "nuclear weapons-capable," an increasingly politicized term that lacks any established technical definition, according to arms control experts. Senator Joe Lieberman (I-CT), a primary author of the legislation, has admitted there is such ambiguity that "everybody" could claim a different interpretation of the term.

Iran has arguably crossed a threshold of "nuclear weapons capability" already, as Col. Richard Klass has explained, so these resolutions could be interpreted to endorse military action today.

Paul Pillar, a CIA veteran on Middle East affairs, wrote an excoriating analysis of the legislation's litany of ultimatums, saying that "by declaring 'nuclear weapons capability' rather than acquisition of a nuclear weapon to be unacceptable, the resolution also blurs red lines in a way that may flash green lights to Israel to launch a military attack on Iran."

In a letter to Congress, a broad coalition of 26 national organizations warned that by shifting the 'red line' to 'nuclear weapons capability', "Congress would needlessly open to the door to war based on a threshold that experts say could apply to numerous countries ranging from Brazil to Japan."

Will Congress Sabotage Talks?

So, what is the purpose of the upcoming talks between Iran and the P5+1 (U.S., U.K., France, Russia, China, Germany)? Is it to secure a diplomatic and inspections-based agreement that would prevent a nuclear-armed Iran and ensure that Iran's nuclear program is only used for peaceful purposes? Or are the talks meant to coerce Iran into total capitulation, giving up its nuclear program altogether? That's an ultimatum that many U.S. officials agree is a standard doomed to failure. Even the Israeli government is not requiring Iran to cease its uranium enrichment altogether as a precondition for the upcoming talks.

Yet, Congress has endorsed this impossible demand -- among many others -- for talks with Iran. Pillar lays out a devastating critique of these ultimatums, explaining:

The resolution appears to rule out an Iranian enrichment program under international supervision and inspection, which almost certainly would have to be part of any formula that could gain the agreement of both Iran and the Western powers.

A grassroots movement trying to dissuade Congress from an Iran war have generated more than 300 calls a day against this legislation in the past few weeks, along with thousands of messages, scores of citizen lobby visits, and questions at town halls. The pressure has certainly helped stall these dangerous resolutions and an unlikely duo, Senator Dianne Feinstein (D-CA) and Senator Rand Paul (R-KY), have opposed these measures.

In fact, just as Senators Lieberman and Graham pushed to add the Senate resolution as an amendment to the Iran sanctions package, Senator Paul took the floor to block the passage of the sanctions package altogether. He called on the Senate to add an amendment that would ensure the bill could not be construed as an authorization of the use of force. This courageous move effectively blocked Congress from hamstringing the P5+1 talks before they could begin.

However, Senator Paul's action is only temporary, and once it is lifted, Congress is expected to ratchet up pressure against the administration's tentative efforts at diplomacy. Although hardliners in the U.S., Iran and elsewhere have succeeded in sabotaging U.S.-Iran diplomacy before, a broad coalition of arms control, human rights, and Jewish, Christian and Muslim groups and top national security experts, are boldly insisting that Congress give real diplomacy a chance.

 
 
 
 
 
  • Comments
  • 19
  • Pending Comments
  • 0
  • View FAQ
Comments are closed for this entry
View All
Favorites
Recency  | 
Popularity
02:54 PM on 04/22/2012
Excellent article and analysis, Kate. Continue to keep us informed and keep up the preasure on legislators.
05:46 AM on 04/13/2012
This is informative HP post that coinsides with another of HP's excellent informational post.
http://www.huffingtonpost.com/2012/04/11/covert-war-iran-cia-israel-n-14117764.html and the
recent articles (Smart Planet and Op Ed) regarding US and Iranian nuclear physicists working together for the "Fusion for Peace" project according to Eric Lerner, from the Lawrenceville Plasma Physics, Inc., in New Jersey. www.lawrencevilleplasmaphysics.com It's for development an "alternative energy source" for Aneutronic Dense Fusion for DT Fusion Energy related to hydrogen CO2 boron reactions.

This "ALTERNATIVE" Energy technology would liberate the demand for fossil fuels...OIL/COAL and GAS. The US, Israel and other countries are well aware that Iran has been developing this Plasma Nuclear Fusion and is sharing it with the US. They ALL know it does NOT require any 90% enriched uranium needed to make a nuclear weapon. Might explain why recent resolutions to stop Iran from even enriching 3.5 to 20% uranium. This "alternative energy source" for low density plasma fusion capabilites is a major threat to the OIL/Coal/Gas Corporations. Google "Fusion for Peace" and
www.lawrencevillephasmaphysics.com ALL PUBLIC INFORMATION on wwweb.
photo
HUFFPOST SUPER USER
NTT
Fighting rants with facts
07:56 AM on 04/12/2012
"Nuclear weapons capability" should be defined as possession of an amount of High Enriched Uranium sufficient to construct a bomb. The "red line" SHOULD be drawn at capability (defined as above), not at possession. Here is why:
- The difference between the two is measured in (several) months; the most difficult aspect of making an A-bomb is refining uranium. This is because it is very expensive, technologically difficult, very long in time (years) and difficult to conceal (it requires huge, sophisticated centrifuges & a whole infrastructure for housing them).
- Once "capability" is achieved (i.e. there is enough HEU), a bomb can be built easily (the technology is known), fast, cheaply & in a very small facility -- i.e. easy to conceal.
- Achieving "capability" can be avoided by bombving the enrichment facilities (which are so big, they can't be hidden & are expensive to protect underground. Once the "capability" is achieved, prevented the actual building of the bomb would necessitate invasion, occupation and serching for a small facility, which could be anywhere: in a cave, in a basement, etc.

If Iran is allowed to achieve "capability" (i.e. enough HEU), we might never know when they built the bomb. Even if we do find out that they are building it, preventing them from actually doing it will be impossible short of a costly ground invasion & occupation...
08:35 PM on 04/13/2012
your post is completely false false arch: "Achieving" capability "Can Be Avoided by bombing the enrichment facilities (Which are so big, They Can not Be Hidden & Underground are expensive to protect". iraq had a secret facility that Escaped to the satellite and the inspectors, until the admission of a family member of Saddam in 1995, north Korea has built an ultra modern factory who also escaped the satellites and spies. even Natanz and arak, which is a huge factory was revealed by Iranian dissidents. if the Iranians want to hide a small plant of 3,000 centrifuges, no one will ever know. and it's not so difficult to be protected in a country like Iran which has mountain which will form natural indestructible shields.

sorry to disappoint you , but as bad its for u, its thrue if iran want bomb there is nothing to do !!!
photo
farmilyman
everything is illusion
06:41 AM on 04/12/2012
Lieberman needs to ask his superiors in Israel for the money and people to fight another war.
10:54 PM on 04/11/2012
Maybe Lieberman could get Colin Powell to get up at the UN with a vial of baking soda and say it is an Iranian weapon of mass destruction. Worked last time.
photo
kitlevey
American Lion
07:20 PM on 04/11/2012
I would like to see (but never will) a quid-pro-quo on the next assembly for war. The next war should be engaged in only after a reinstatement of the draft, and I mean every able bodied man and women, and nobody cares who your father is, everybody goes.

Another thing I would like to see (but never will) is Joe Lieberman tied to a post and flogged for about a week. This is the guy that writes a resolution defining a criteria for going to war with another country if they are "nuclear weapons-capable" and admits that he himself doesn't understand it.

GIVE ME STRENGTH.

I am completely ashamed that my 'leadership' (I choke on that term) would even consider involving us in yet another preposterous, billions down the hole folly, in the same century as the Iraq and Afghanistan debacles. The drums of war these people are beating on give me a pounding headache.
06:38 PM on 04/11/2012
of course, we can't do anything about anything....but if there was one thing, by some miracle, that i could do something about.....it would be Lieberman....
photo
HUFFPOST SUPER USER
Johnny2Bad
05:29 PM on 04/11/2012
Iran has no nuclear weapons. Israel has hundreds. Iran is a member of the IAEA, signed the NPT and has allowed numerous inspections of their nuclear facilities. Israel refuses to do any of these things. Not one drop of American blood should be spilled for Israel. What has Israel ever done for the U.S.?
09:21 PM on 04/11/2012
Suck up US dollars!
10:55 PM on 04/11/2012
They've augmented the salaries of those in Congress and the Senate.
photo
demisfine
Often correct, NEVER right.
03:29 PM on 04/11/2012
I am so tired of the people who make the decisions to embroil the nation into wars having zero accountability for their choices, and gaining personally in their portfolios.
The warhawks from W's administration gutted our national treasury pursuing conflicts around the globe.
We were left reeling, while they all enjoyed swollen portfolios.
NO MORE WARS without consequence or due diligence BEFORE we join in battle.
01:22 PM on 04/11/2012
Joe, Joe Lieberman. Pushing a war for Israel in the United States Senate. Sat out the Vietnam War in the Ivy League dining halls. Had his wish for a war for Israel about ten years ago. Joe, Joe Lieberman.

Nie wieder Krieg.
01:07 PM on 04/11/2012
The article is completely misleading. This is not legislation. Ir is a resolution which has no force or effect. Unknot your undies and take a deep breath. there, doesn't that feel better.
HUFFPOST SUPER USER
jschuck
04:27 PM on 04/11/2012
Yeah. That's why we didn't wind up in Iraq. Oh, wait....
photo
kitlevey
American Lion
07:27 PM on 04/11/2012
The first paragraph calls it "legislation" twice. Sounds a little more serious than just casual conversation over cocktails.
09:06 AM on 04/12/2012
That's why the article is BS. Keep reading down. Resolution. This is not a law.
stpmdn
stop the madness!
12:51 PM on 04/11/2012
Is this the congress of USA or the knesset of Israel? It seems like most of our politicians think they work in knesset instead of the American congress.
This comment has been removed due to violations of our [Guidelines]