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Keith Harrington

Keith Harrington

Posted: August 16, 2010 01:49 PM

By now the corpse of the climate bill has been so thoroughly autopsied, that examining it any further seems almost inhumane. A whole army of coroners have weighed in, suggesting an array of possible causes of death: Republican obstructionism, failed presidential leadership, a weak climate movement, the wrong policy approach, the recession.

Each one of these problems no doubt played a role in finishing the bill off. But ultimately they weren't much more than complications associated with the real killer - the disease which for all their poking around, the coroners somehow managed to miss.

It's the killer that shall not be named. The killer the coroners don't see because they don't want to see it, even though it's almost impossible to miss. It's the biggest force in politics. It's the top issue in almost every election, and especially this one. It's mentioned in every stump speech. Top world leaders meet several times a year to discuss how to promote it.

It's the economy stupid. And, no, not the recession. Not the lack of growth, but growth itself. Or, rather, the government's unwavering devotion to advancing it. I'm not going to spill any ink here explaining how the paradigm of unending growth is incompatible with preserving life, prosperity and security on a finite planet. Far more authoritative voices such has Bill McKibben and Gus Speth have already articulated that argument far more eloquently than I could. But for the purposes of doing a proper postmortem on the climate bill it needs to be said that as long as growth remains the number one priority of governments worldwide any effort to by those governments to seriously address climate change will be doomed to end in failure.

And, of course, growth is without a doubt our government's top priority, as its kneejerk reaction to the financial crisis makes abundantly clear. Philosopher Slavoj Zizek put it best in his book First as Tragedy then as Farce:

With the financial meltdown the urgency to act was unconditional; sums of unimaginable magnitude had to be found immediately. Saving endangered species, saving the planet from global warming, saving AIDS patients and those dying for lack of funds for special treatments, saving starving children...all this can wait a little bit. The call to "save the banks!" by contrast is an unconditional imperative which must be met with immediate attention.

And forget about "green growth." That's the biggest oxymoron since "clean coal." Sure with efficiency and clean energy we can create less pollution per unit of economic output. But getting to the point where we can even maintain our current economic output without cooking the planet will already be an economic and technical challenge of incredible proportions; never mind trying to fuel an economy twice as big.

The government's devotion to economic growth entails a devotion to the ultimate drivers of economic growth: corporations. And passing a carbon cap or a carbon tax means going up against the biggest, baddest corporations in the history of corporations: fossil fuel companies. Their formidability lies not just in the fact that they have tons of money to buy political favor but that they constitute the very life blood of the growth based economy; they literally and figuratively fuel the engine of growth. They are the holiest of holies in the corporate temple. Smiting them means smiting the entire growth model; it means blaspheming the Gods of Growth.

In short, the fossil fuel industry is not just another powerful special interest; it is arguably the greatest power in history, backed by enormous wealth, profound dogma, and the power of the global political system. It quite literally is the world order. Displacing it isn't a matter of piecemeal reformation, but wholesale transformation - in other-words, a revolution.

Wow, okay, so we need a revolution. So how exactly does that help those of us trying to fight climate change? Well, for starters, it could help us avoid wasting energy on incremental reform. By understanding that our federal government may very well be systemically incapable of delivering real reform, we can redirect ourselves towards a more fundamental goal: changing the system; transformation, not reformation. A clean-energy revolution needs to be just that - a real revolution. The founding fathers didn't get us from monarchy to democracy with baby steps. Accomplishing that change required a giant leap.

And what this means is that despite all of our political instincts, despite all of the wise counsel of pollsters and PR gurus, we have to take the ultimate leap and start directly campaigning against the global religion, economic growth itself - the myth upon which the power of the fossil fuel gods thrive. Kill the myths, kill the dogma, and the gods die with them.

Sound crazy? Not really. Mindbogglingly audacious maybe, but not crazy. It's certainly no crazier than concluding that to address the symptoms of an illness, you've got to find a cure, not just fight the symptoms. Climate change is after all a symptom of our economic philosophy. That's not to say we shouldn't work to alleviate that symptom. Good progress on that front is still desirable. But ultimately it won't save the patient. It won't save our planet and our civilization. To do that we have to find a cure, and that requires diverting real time and resources from treating the symptom.

And fighting the growth disease might be easier than we think. In fact it might be easier to mobilize people to fight it than to fight the climate symptom. That's because the economy and its impacts are much more visible, much more present and deeply felt in most people's everyday lives than the climate crisis and its impacts. It has often been said that the lack of immediacy is the climate movement's major handicap. The economic crisis we just faced certainly didn't lack immediacy. There's nothing more immediate than losing your house, your job, your livelihood, as so many did when the housing bubble burst.

Moreover, people weren't oblivious to the fact that the crisis was caused by a bubble - by unsustainable growth in a certain sector of the economy. Public confidence in our economic model has already been shaken. To help precipitate its collapse, we need to start connecting the dots between the housing bubble and the much larger bubble that's bound to burst when it collides in the very near future with the very sharp reality of a devastated planet.

Of course to get people to disavow a dogma as strong as the growth dogma, we have to do much more than shake their confidence in it. We have to offer them an alternative paradigm that provides what the growth dogma promised but was never really designed to deliver on: true, abiding, globally shared prosperity. An economic system that focuses not on growing GDP, but on growing the things that matter: security, opportunity, education, health, happiness, community, democracy. An alternative that transcends the old false dichotomy between capitalism and command-and-control communism. It's a model top economists have been developing for years, but whose brilliance has long been obscured by the mirage of endless growth. It's called the steady-state economy.

As defined by the Center for the Advancement of a Steady State Economy (CASSE), a steady-state economy is one "with stable or mildly fluctuating size...[which] may not exceed ecological limits." In other words it's an economy that's perfectly suited to a world beset by the bursting bubbles and ecological crises of uneconomic growth. It's the only economy compatible with real climate solutions.

No wonder then that some of the world's top climate advocates including Bill McKibben, Eban Goodstein, Paul Hawken, Wendel Berry and Gus Speth have endorsed the CASSE platform. But it is a wonder more have not. The steady-state economy is the cure for what killed the climate bill, and what's killing our civilization. It's the revolution we need. If we want to bring the world back from the brink, we'd all better start campaigning for it.

 

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09:52 AM on 09/04/2010
Simple: get your mind around passing the FairTax, but negotiate the rate upward until the air is clean and people live locally (The failure mode of a 'too high' sales tax would be that people stop buying things they don't need and deal on the black market, which is a localized economy).
A prebate makes it progressive.
http://www.fairtax.org
Elimination of the income tax eliminates much of the advantages of corporations to hide their 'incentives' and kickbacks and bribes, as well as eliminating the tax write-offs and bottom-line thinking which ignores the real costs of business.
02:40 PM on 08/20/2010
Great post! The steady state economy provides a solution for many of the things our growth economy has failed at: poverty, hunger, maybe even war - stable, security, and well-being over consumption, degradation and boom-bust cycles!

If you haven't you should definitely read Tim Jackson's "Prosperity Without Growth" to learn more about this topic.

Cheers,
Joshua
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Ron Shook
03:30 PM on 08/17/2010
Keith,

Finally someone here is talking about the incipient greed of growth. Kudos!

Unfortunately, until you start taking account of the peak energy factors that TurningPoint Sustainabil is talking about, your arguments have limited force.

It's driving me nuts that climate changers and global warmists completely ignore this synergistic second whammy force of the 21st century, particularly when fossil fuel depletion is a better argument with the average citizen for transitioning to the exact same sort of society that climate change amelioration calls for.

Peak theorist readily acknowledge climate change as a reason for transition. Why can't climate change theorists acknowledge that cheap dirty energy was the driving force (not big corporations per se) for the entire growth model of the 20th century. It's still dirty, but it won't be cheap at all in a matter of a few years, not decades. Within at the most 2 years global oil extraction will begin dropping inexorably 2-3%/ year. We don't have to wait for 5 degrees of warming to see a reason to transition NOW. Find your allies and use every truthful fact in the arsenal.

That's the terrifying situation. On the other side of the coin, the hope side, a few of us are starting to make a distinction for the better between "standard of living" and "quality of life." Is this part of the Steady State Economy model? I'll look into it.
01:02 PM on 08/17/2010
Keith, thanks for this post. Growth is the elephant in the room that few want to talk about. I have to say I find it baffling that the mainstream media continues to jump on false climate denial stories, despite the mountain of scientific evidence of anthropogenic global warming, but never stop to question the absurd premise that we can infinitely, and exponentially grow our economies, consumption, population on a finite planet--something that even my four year old gets is impossible.

Thankfully, more and more people are beginning to question the economic growth model. Of course, this is mostly a response to the fact that we're beginning to hit the real limits to growth.

Along those lines, you might enjoy this piece by Richard Heinberg on the fundamental limits to growth: http://www.postcarbon.org/report/122404-foundation-concepts-beyond-the-limits-to

best,

Asher Miller
Executive Director
Post Carbon Institute
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Keith Harrington
02:29 PM on 08/17/2010
Hi Asher. Thanks so much for your comments, and for the link to the report. Keep up your own great work. Its true that more people are questioning growth than would be expected. We need to keep teasing those questions out.
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TurningPoint Sustainabil
11:52 AM on 08/17/2010
Of course we will have water issues, issues with fossil water, and topsoil...,

but peak oil will be the first noticeable shoe to drop.
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TurningPoint Sustainabil
11:51 AM on 08/17/2010
Have I got good news for you….

Peak oil. That’ll be the first depletion shoe to drop. Eventually we will experience peak natural gas (does not follow a bell curve) and peak coal.

We live on a ball with limited resources. You’d never know it based on flat earth politicians and economists, but we do.

Exponential growth is unsustainable. Nothing can grow exponential forever in a finite system with limited space, but that won’t stop us from trying.

There’s only so much economic hydrocarbons we can recover to burn and world oil production has been flat since 2005.

Anyone can make predictions about timing, some will be off by decades, some will be spot on, but it’ll all end one way or another.

Change will come whether we decide to manage it or not.
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01:57 PM on 08/17/2010
Nice summary TPS.
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Ron Shook
03:59 PM on 08/17/2010
TurningPoint,

Good for you. If I might add a few thoughts?:

Although it's not strictly speaking a fossil fuel don't forget depleting uranium.

"We live on a ball with limited resources. You’d never know it based on flat earth politicians and economists..."

Every economist that I've studied in any depth is lost in their parochial discipline. Fact: You can track every US recession since WWII by corresponding oil shocks, either precipitating the recession or turning an economic bump into a recession. Yet I've read 5 books by economists and financial gurus about the causes of our current great recession and not a single one mentions oil and/or energy. There was a very big oil shock in 2008, wasn't there? It turned a bubble caused recession into a great recession, yet you wouldn't know it from the usual suspect economic analysts.

"Exponential growth is unsustainable." It is impossible without cheap energy so what are we gonna do? I've got some ideas and I'll bet you do too.

"Change will come whether we decide to manage it or not."

Exactly! The Nitty-Gritty of the dilemma, which most everyone ignores.
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lrobb
Gold Standard = four paws and a tail
06:49 AM on 08/17/2010
Got it! Let's kill off all the people--or at least knock them back to the stone age--to save the planet. Now thats a real winner!
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Keith Harrington
10:16 AM on 08/17/2010
Nice straw man there Irobb. You clearly read the piece very carefully and then decided to do your research about the steady state economy, before making a kneejerk comment.
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dbmetzger
08:37 PM on 08/16/2010
Think the weather is bad now, it's going to only get worse.
Report Predicts More Extreme Heat
The US space agency NASA says this year has been the warmest for the earth in 131 years. And a new study of hot weather in the US released by the National Wildlife Federation predicts that extreme heat will be the norm by 2050. http://www.newslook.com/videos/241958-report-predicts-more-extreme-heat?autoplay=true
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10:07 PM on 08/16/2010
Hey db, do you like ghost towns?
Las Vegas will be the ultimate, historically largest, culturally most significant ghost town ever by 2050.
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07:45 PM on 08/16/2010
Man, you are sooo spitting in the wind- not that it is bad thing as I totally agree.
I'd add that our worship of growth is in fact our sealed doom, as there is no way to prepare for a world of depletion and poverty, never mind AGW.
Good luck to us all.
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silverwolf13
I know that I do not know.
05:39 PM on 08/16/2010
Fact: we live on a finite planet with finite resources. On our planet, infinite growth is impossible. The questions we face are not whether to adopt a steady-state system but when we will do so, and whether we will do so by choice or when we are absolutely forced to.

Excellent article.
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TurningPoint Sustainabil
11:46 AM on 08/17/2010
spot on
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Overtone
See bio on the Aesop Institute website
05:05 PM on 08/16/2010
Ironically, Global Warming is an unacknowledged emergency that could revive the economy.

Life-threatening events turn survival into an extremely powerful motivator.

The Arctic Global Warming Tipping Point has recently been found to be 400 parts per million of carbon in the atmosphere.

We are currently at 390ppm and adding 2ppm each year.

Replacing fossil fuels with renewable energy systems as fast as possible may soon be recognized as necessary to insure human survival.

See A 5 Point Program at http://www.aesopinstitute.org for a summary and some supporting evidence.

If the threat proves genuine, we need to provide whatever incentives are necessary to produce and deploy renewable energy systems on a 24/7 basis, worldwide!

The earth has experienced two Tipping Points in the distant past. Both destroyed most life on the planet. In one case down to single-celled organisms.

A Tipping Point is unstoppable once it begins. Preventing it still appears possible. If we fail, we may have to kiss our lives goodbye.

Check the facts. Ironically, what might prove necessary could open a door to a strong economic recovery.

If we confront the challenge, the economy could revive in a manner analogous to the way WWII ended the great depression. The huge number of jobs generated by that war resulted in a 2% rate of unemployment.

A Human Investment Tax Credits will also help!

Both lead toward a sustainable economy. Both require rapid, unusually effective, action by both the White House and Congress!
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07:46 PM on 08/16/2010
Again?
02:26 PM on 08/16/2010
Following up from the last sentence, "...we'd all better start campaigning for it," the first step in such a campaign is to sign the CASSE position on economic growth:

http://steadystate.org/sign-the-position/

Thanks to Keith Harrington for the excellent article!

Brian Czech, Ph.D., President
Center for the Advancement of the Steady State Economy
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Keith Harrington
04:44 PM on 08/16/2010
Thanks for your comment, Brian, and for the great work you all do. Keep it up!