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What Is Your Guess for the 2013 Coretta Scott King Book Awards?

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The 44th Annual Coretta Scott King Awards will webcast live January 28, 2013 at the American Library Association Midwinter Meeting in Seattle. The awards are given to African-American authors and illustrators of outstanding young adult and children books about the black experience.

For fun (yeah, it's true), I've compiled a spreadsheet of CSK Award winners, including the John Steptoe New Talent Awards. The spreadsheet includes: the year, award received, recipient name, title of the book, publisher and whether winner was a man, woman or team. Now, I'm not a statistician. I'm the author of the picture book Martha Ann's Quilt for Queen Victoria (also in Spanish). Many bloggers and librarians focus on mock Caldecott award winners. I try to guess who will win the Coretta Scott King Awards.

What I've gleamed from this statistical look at CSK Awards from 1970 - 2012 is that, authors or illustrators who have received two or more CSK awards or honors account for the majority of all award recipients. For example, 26 African-American authors (33 percent) have been honored with 67 percent of all the author awards given since 1970. And, 17 Black illustrators (40 percent) have 75 percent of all the illustrator awards given.

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Which African-American authors are on my short list for a 2013 CSK Book Award?

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My guess is that the 2013 CSK Book awards will include at least one of the following:
  • No Crystal Stair by Vaunda Micheaux Nelson -- a previous winner
  • The Mighty Miss Malone by Christopher Paul Curtis -- a previous winner
  • Words Set Me Free: The Story of Young Frederick Douglass by Lesa Cline-Ransome
  • Black Boy White School by Brian F. Walker
  • Discovering Wes Moore by Wes Moore

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My guess is that the 2013 CSK Illustrator awards will include at least one of the following:
  • When Grandmama Sings illustrated by James Ransome -- a previous winner
  • Fifty Cents and a Dream: Young Booker T. Washington art by Bryan Collier -- a previous winner
  • We March written and illustrated by Shane Evans -- a previous winner
  • Seed Magic illustrated by Charlotte Riley-Webb
  • Ellen's Broom illustrated by Daniel Minter
  • Hope's Gift illustrated by Don Tate

So, who do you think will win?