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Lynn Forester de Rothschild

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2012: The Year of the Independent?

Posted: 12/05/2011 7:39 am

The words of Irish poet William Butler Yeats in his poem, The Second Coming, have an eerie resonance for American politics today. "Things fall apart; the center cannot hold... The best lack all conviction, while the worst are full of passionate intensity. Surely some revelation is at hand."

In an environment of unprecedented political gridlock in Washington and broad-based dissatisfaction with the leading candidates of both parties, 2012 may finally be the year when an independent candidate becomes president of the United States. For the first time in our nation's history, popular dissatisfaction with both parties is reinforced by the existence of serious bipartisan organizations that will facilitate the effort of a non-aligned national figure to become president. Because of these two factors, the opportunity to mobilize what Tom Friedman calls "the radical center" has never been greater. Indeed, "some revelation is at hand".

The extent of voter dismay in America is astounding. According to an October 2011 Pew Research poll, only 11% of us are content with the federal government. In a 1958 National Election Study, 73% of Americans said that they "always" or "mostly" trusted the government to do the right thing. In contrast, in a New York Times/CBS poll taken in late October, only 10% of those polled expressed the same faith.

With respect to the presidential options, voters are also extremely dissatisfied. According to Gallup last month, 47% of all voters and 58% of independents disapprove of President Obama overall, contrasted with only 17% disapproval in 2009. The news is not better for the Republicans, where according to a Washington Post/ABC poll taken in late October, 54% of all voters disapprove of the party. Following the failure of the debt negotiations over the summer, 66% of independent voters disapproved of the GOP.

Both parties have lost support because of the gridlock caused by ideological divisions. According to a report on Senate voting records in The National Journal, in 1982 there were 23 centrist Republicans and 35 centrist Democrats who often worked together on legislation. In contrast, in 2010 there are none, with the publication reporting, "... Ben Nelson, the most moderate Democrat, produced a record slightly to the left of George Voinoivich, the most moderate Republican".

With this state of our politics, it is not a surprise that 61% of all voters and 74% of independent voters in a recent Washington Post/ABC poll said they are ready to vote for a third party candidate in 2012. For the first time, 52% of Republicans share this view. This is significant because in 1992, according to Pew Research, only 12% of voters expressed a desire for a third party candidate. In that race, Ross Perot garnered 19% of the vote. Importantly, according to New York Times exit polls, Perot's vote would have been 36% if voters believed that he had an infrastructure to govern commensurate with the established parties.

The message is clear: as politicians become more partisan and less effective at governing, the electorate is ready for a radical restructure of our election system itself. Voters are refusing to be held hostage to the self-interests of either party. Thankfully, in true American fashion, our civic society has built the tools to meet the challenge; for the first time in our history, the means exist to level the electoral playing field for an independent candidate.

A not-for-profit organization, called Americans Elect is establishing ballot access in all 50 states for the candidates for president and vice president in 2012 who will be nominated directly by the people in an online nominating process. The sophisticated website of Americans Elect allows registered voters a revolutionary new way to nominate a bipartisan ticket to occupy the White House. To date, the website has over 300,000 delegates, more than 50 times the number that participate in both the Democratic and Republican Party conventions (in full disclosure, I sit on the Leadership Board for Americans Elect).

Many other bipartisan organizations have emerged over the past three years to give support and strength to any qualified independent candidate. No Labels is a political organization of Republicans, Democrats and Independents working on the grassroots level to support bipartisan and pragmatic politicians and polices. The group has 180,000 members and on December 13th is holding an open meeting at the Capital to unveil a comprehensive congressional action plan. Howard Schultz, the CEO of Starbucks, is leading a movement of business leaders and political donors to end the hyper-partisanship in Washington that could be the bedrock of financing for a viable independent, bipartisan, ticket for 2012.

Simply, both the political environment and the tools are in place for a total disintermediation of our political duopoly. If activated, the "radical center" is bigger and stronger than all the vested interests and the extremists in the political parties, in the media, in the streets and in the guts of Washington. All that is needed is for them to mobilize with "passionate intensity". The way is open for ordinary citizens to reject the options that our dysfunctional party system offers and go online to nominate the people who we think are most qualified to be president and vice president. It is time to change the way Washington works by transforming the way that Washington is elected. Act now to change America!

Lynn Forester de Rothschild is CEO of EL Rothschild, LLC and the co-Chair of the "Better Values, Better Markets" Task Force at the Henry Jackson Society in London. You can follow her on Facebook, Twitter, and at Ldereport.com.

 

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01:01 PM on 01/21/2012
I disagree with her interview this morning on Fox in which she said Gingrich cannot defeat Obama. B.S!!! He is the ONLY one who can. This is not about who can govern best or who did what or who can to this or that. Most of the candidates are perfectly capable of governing. However, to defeat Obama, the Republicans absolutely must nominate someone who can cut through Obama's deceit, lies, smoke and mirrors illusions and narcissism. The Republicans need a candidate who is unquestionably able to crush Obama in the national debates, someone who is a walking encyclopedia of governmental affairs, an unsurpassed quality of total dominance in debates and, who would act right if elected because the "microscope of scrutiny" would be on him. The people so conveniently overlooked all the horrible mountains of baggage Obama brought to the table. The Republicans do not need a nominee who is nice, civil, polite, kind, decrying how family oriented and spiritually involved they are. No!! The Republicans need someone with a personality a little like Vlad the Impaler and Gingrich is the only one who fits that description. If any of the other candidates is nominated, we will most assuredly and absolutely see 4 more years of the narcissist-in-chief. I would much rather have a nominee, no matter WHAT their baggage is, who is capable of having Obama et al evicted. I can live and be happy with the past baggage but cannot with another term under Obama.
12:16 PM on 12/29/2011
is she going to get the FED (her family owns the joint) to print money to finance her man?
11:26 PM on 12/13/2011
we also have the tools to recreate the House of representatives with honest men and women willing to stand for the 99% and refuse corporate "sponsorship" (donations) to their campaigns. If we , the vast majority of voters fed up with the corruption of the political class, "be the media" by replacing those ads with our actions on our social and political networks. Here is a free toolset that will do just that, launching on Martin Luther King Day...www.OccupyGovernment.org
05:05 PM on 12/10/2011
Politics of the Big Political Parties, the Democrats and Republicans, no longer represents the will of the American people. We need another way for the people of the USA to express their views. Hopefully this is it...
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drbob601
Soylent Green is People
01:02 PM on 12/10/2011
Funny. Looks like this "Americans Elect" is no "grassroots" organization...but, rather, "a high-tech presidential ticket funded by secret Wall Street money." Why does this not surprise me?

"The Slick Shtick of Americans Elect"

http://politics.salon.com/2011/12/09/the_slick_schtick_of_americans_elect/
05:40 PM on 12/11/2011
Amen.
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HUFFPOST COMMUNITY MODERATOR
Connor Alexander
The proper authorities have noted your attitude.
02:23 PM on 12/09/2011
Very on topic: Check out this great article on how the people of Iceland took control of their floundering country and took it back from the banks and politicians:
http://warisacrime.org/content/why-iceland-should-be-news-not

"...To write the new constitution, the people of Iceland elected twenty-five citizens from among 522 adults not belonging to any political party but recommended by at least thirty citizens."
HUFFPOST SUPER USER
ccairnes
"Pessimism of the intellect, optimism of the will"
05:30 PM on 12/12/2011
Iceland is about the size of Indiana with a homogeneous population less than half the size of Indianapolis. There is really no comparison.
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HUFFPOST COMMUNITY MODERATOR
Connor Alexander
The proper authorities have noted your attitude.
12:33 PM on 12/13/2011
Could you explain why the size and demographics of our country make this concept incompatible with America?
12:02 PM on 12/08/2011
We need a constitutional amendment that says corporations are not people and money is not speech. That would change the political landscape and make our elected officials accountable to us, the voters and not the special interests.

Until that happens, I'll vote for the Democrats. Voting for an Independent only drains votes from Democrats and risks putting Republicans in office. Lumping Democrats with the GOP is a false equivalency because Dems, especially the progressive caucus, still make an effort to do the right thing. The GOP openly oppose doing anything that would help the country. Their philosophy runs counter to that ideal. For them it's their party over all other considerations.
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HUFFPOST COMMUNITY MODERATOR
Connor Alexander
The proper authorities have noted your attitude.
02:14 PM on 12/09/2011
I completely agree with your first paragraph. But voting for one of the two parties (in your case the Democrats), only reinforces the established broken system. We need candidates, not parties. Other than a cyclical argument, can you actually give a reason why this country needs political parties at all? They are a byproduct of 19th century politics that have long outlived their usefulness and now only serve as conduits for corporate control.
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HUFFPOST SUPER USER
Sardeth Wynn
When its "Foolproof", nature builds a better Fool
08:37 AM on 12/07/2011
Occupy Congress: One Seat at a Time

Run for Congress in your hometown congressional district.
Here’s how to do it:

1. Start with 100 people you know who will support you.
2. Recruit them by pledging “I Will Not Take Corporate or Special Interest PAC Campaign Money.”
3. Set up a webpage that lists the “First 100 Supporters”
4. Each of the first 100 supporters recruits 10 friends, who are linked to the person who recruited them on the webpage. They become the “First 1,000.” Each of them recruits 10 more, etc.
5. At a predetermined point, say when you reach 100,000 supporters, everybody donates $25.00. Once. When new people come on they each donate $25.00. Once.
6. Depending on you and your district, you might run in the Republican or Democrat primary, or not.

Some advantages:

This idea -- JUST SAY NO TO THE MONEY -- will recruit supporters from across the political spectrum who want their lawmakers to construct pragmatic, evidence-based solutions.

The webpage connects people in small groups who know each other. Policy ideas can bubble up. People can remind each other to vote. Everybody can see how big the network is.

The webpage is your defense against negative ads and misinformation.

The webpage is also how your supporters can monitor your actions and integrity after you are elected!

William Fabricius
William.fabricius@asu.edu
HUFFPOST SUPER USER
inmyhumbleopinion
Vote third party.
11:29 AM on 12/06/2011
As much as I agree we need a third party, I don't see it happening. In fact, unless a viable third party candidate emerges very soon, I predict that 74% of voters who want to vote for a third party will actually stay home on election day because they are tired of holding their noses and voting, which they have arguably done for the last 3 presidential elections. My prediction is that we will see the lowest voter turnout in a Presidential election in history in 2012. And as it becomes ever more apparent that both the GOP and the Democrats are in the pockets of the same big corporations and Wall Street, voters are increasingly discouraged their votes will actually result in real representation in Washington, so why bother?

Get money out of Washington and politics in general. Start equating taxation with patriotism, and tax capital gains at the same rate as income. Get corporations to pay their fair share and repatriate their offshore tax havens or strip them of their U.S. corporate status.

And let's start pushing for a real Progressive third party. Let's reclaim the word "liberal" as a virtue and not an epithet. I would love to see some of the members of the Progressive Caucus in the House and a few high-profile Senators (and would-be Senators like Elizabeth Warren) break from the Democrats and stop compromising their values.

Enough is enough.
Viper
Former repub, still repenting
12:23 PM on 12/06/2011
Given our highs of 53% vter turnout for 50 years... its a long term problem and perhaps the problem that results in this mass with 41% turnout last election, just 31% in texAS SINCE GERRYMANDERING THERE HAS MADE VOTING ALMOST MEANINGLESS
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HUFFPOST COMMUNITY MODERATOR
Connor Alexander
The proper authorities have noted your attitude.
02:16 PM on 12/09/2011
How about instead of a third party (which I agree probably ain't gonna happen), we work on 'no party'? I'd like to start seeing individual citizens elected as opposed to representatives of parties.
10:12 AM on 12/06/2011
Where do you go for a third party candidate which does not already have some corporate or big business interest? Until we only have public funding and rules providing fair airtime in the media to all candidates will we see a truly untainted candidacy pool. This won’t happen until the rules are changed and that won’t happen till all three branches of our government decide to forgo all their special interests. The best bet is to somehow have a candidate in all branches who will agree to one term and dedicate that entire term to nothing but campaign and electoral reform. One can only wish..
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HUFFPOST COMMUNITY MODERATOR
Connor Alexander
The proper authorities have noted your attitude.
02:17 PM on 12/09/2011
Look into AmericansElect.org. The whole point is skipping the 'party' and going straight to a 'candidate'.
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HUFFPOST SUPER USER
Robert Frank
My last name is FRANK so thats what I am..
10:03 AM on 12/06/2011
what needs to be done is to sit down and have a national discussion on what exactly we the people care about and support...the Constitution is a constant source of bickering and disagreement and only the citizens of this country have the right to interpret and define exactly what certain arguable parts of it mean,,the courts do NOT have the right to interpret it..until that is done the country will continue to be divided and bicker...and some in power like it that way..until we do that we will continue to move forward 3 steps and 2 steps back..3 steps forward and 6 steps back..etc..
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utahboni
Dare to know
11:23 AM on 12/06/2011
Actually the Constitution does give the Supreme Court the ultimate right to decide the constitutionality of legislation. I think one big problem is that people who demand that we stick strictly to the Constitution have no real idea, aside from the 1st and 2nd ammendment, what it contains.
Viper
Former repub, still repenting
11:42 AM on 12/06/2011
The courts do and always have had the right to interpert it and that is what the constiutution says/defined roll.

Usually the interperations has been on the side of freedom or to meet needs of a chnaging world... until recently under a more Business owned Repub court, with a Corporations are poeple ruling over thowing 2 hundred years of rulings and the right to imminent doman now aooplying to taking of private property for Corporate use, not public use such as school or highway. And then there was the reducing of the award of 5 billion on Exxon Valdez oil spill to just 500 million, overturning 20 years of jury verdicts, not even a constitutional question...not an excessive word...Just pro Business by this conservative court.. maybe its more more business than conservative.

Regards
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09:00 AM on 12/06/2011
We need more voices running for our highest office. The standard two party system has failed us. In 2012, Vote Nader/Kucinich
Viper
Former repub, still repenting
11:43 AM on 12/06/2011
Thye will not run, and that would give you a Newt Ginrich or the like the last time a BUSH... since you would be splitting the more liberl vote. Repubs love guys like you.
This user has chosen to opt out of the Badges program
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11:49 AM on 12/06/2011
I should vote for who I choose and not what the established party tells me how to vote. More people should vote Nader/Kucinich as if we supported them in the last election, we would have the public option by now.
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HUFFPOST SUPER USER
liberal1991
Voting for the 99% - Obama/Biden 2012
08:50 AM on 12/06/2011
While the two-party systen is too ingrained in the American mindset for a third party candidate to win during this cycle, it's very likely that a strong third party will emerge.

The GOP candidates are horrible, but despite the accolates some give Ron Paul, I don't think he's strong enough - either as a GOP candidate or a third party candidate.

Obama/Biden 2012
Viper
Former repub, still repenting
08:32 AM on 12/06/2011
That will give us Another BUSH...


And if you have grid lock now, just wait to till you have repubs, dems in Congress and an independent WH... given the nature of the filibuster and that who has the majorities in Congress, controls all committees and every single process( except letting a majority vote in the senate)....

The differences are the greatest they have been between the parties since 1929.

Some may think they should even be greater and preach they are the same... but thats is just so absurd.

ONE Party is for healthcare reform of an already dead system, re regulating the failed finanical system, min wages, medicare, .soc security, VA,re industrialization, HS rail, green energy, clean air and water, civil raights, equal pay, prochoice, balanced deficis reduction apporach with higher top tax bracket(vs repubs wanting the very rich tax rates cut to just 2%!!!!!!- no cap gain and dividend tax rates), against Corps as people with unlimited influence....

Repubs for going back pre 1900, pre middlelclass, pre child labor laws, the era of the robber barons owning the government and setting up for another great depression.

Repubs are for supreme court judges that gave us corporations as people, government right to take your property not for just a Public use, but for a corporate us... and will take a way a wmens right to chose and now heading toward even the right to take the pill.

Regards
Vinkaye
science matters
08:53 AM on 12/06/2011
The Obama Administration has brought us expansion and continuation of Bush's Wars, Bush's Patriot Act, Bush's Tax Cuts for the Rich. They have also given us Mitt Romney's Healthcare Reform, and John McCain's financial Reform. Oh yes, and a shadow Fed bailout that operates outside of the government budget so they can pretend the American taxpayer has earned a "profit" on Bush's original bailout. More immigrants deported under this Democratic Administration, more public education services privatized, and more drone bombs launched. It seems quite clear to me that the parties are two sides of the same coin. Yes, the GOP may talk crazy, but yet, it's fallen to a Democratic Administration to complete two big GOP goals... 1) restrict private access to abortion through the Stupak Amendment and 2) put Medicare and SS on the cutting table. It has become apparent since the election of President Obama that the same corporate masters control both major parties, and we must put the country back in the hands of the people.
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HUFFPOST SUPER USER
Obamacratic1
11:40 AM on 12/06/2011
...so, who are you supporting for President in 2012?
Viper
Former repub, still repenting
12:01 PM on 12/06/2011
First, extortion continued the Bush tax cuts and the fact that only 41% turnedout to vote last election, the results leaving no choice but to cut a deal if you wanted to keep low middlelcass tax cuts, the P/R tax cuts,small business loans and extend unemployment!!!!!!! Its we the people that didn't vote and what the ones that voted , voted for,...

Its us. The repubs showed up at townhall meetings over healthcare,not progressives.


True, we got what more moderate and every repub till 2009 helathcare had run under, but with some cost controls... but thats the best that has been done since 1965!! .. As long as we get 41% voter turnrnout. and until americans get educated, we cant get A medicare for all, we will be lucky to keep meidcare or soc sec.

Its not John Mccain finanical reform, he voted against it and every repub is against it, any reform... and wants to undo what little is left.

Yep more immigrants have been deported. The law like under Clinton is being enforced and at the workplace/employers.. as it should be until reform is passed as opposed to allowing more in to become second class citizens/docile workers, used by Corporate america and repubs to enhance their race to the bottom....

The extention of patriot act was passed by Congress, get more people to vote..who arent scarity cat repubs...who live in fear of everything!

Regards
HUFFPOST SUPER USER
inmyhumbleopinion
Vote third party.
11:31 AM on 12/06/2011
We already have another Bush. His name is Barack Obama.
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Daphydd
Lets play some music
01:22 PM on 12/06/2011
Come on. Either Obama wants to do away with the Bush tax cuts, leading to accusations of class war and socialism, or according to you, he's just like Bush. Which is it?