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Larry Magid

Larry Magid

Posted: January 14, 2011 07:14 PM

2011-01-15-ipad.jpg
Tablets like the iPad are great for consuming information but what about creating? (Photo Credit: Apple, Inc.)

If there was one thing obvious at last week's Consumer Electronics Show in Las Vegas, it's that just about every company in the consumer electronics industry envies the success of Apple's iPad.

Tablet PCs have been around for more than a decade. But until Apple came out with its little iPad, they simply never gained any traction. Microsoft certainly tried with various versions of its Windows tablet editions, starting with a version based on Windows XP. And at last year's CES, Microsoft CEO Steve Ballmer showed off a prototype of a Windows "slate" PC from Hewlett-Packard that was supposed to be aimed at consumers, but when it finally emerged in October 2010, it was an enterprise device released with little fanfare. In the meantime, HP acquired Palm and is expected to announce its own line of consumer-oriented tablets later this year based on Palm's webOS.

Besides Apple, the biggest player in tablets is likely to be Google, whose Android operating system is being adopted to work on scores of new tablet devices. Even before the tablet-friendly "Honeycomb" version of Android was announced, several companies, including Samsung, began shipping tablets based on phone-centric versions of Android.

End of PC Era?

With all the hype about tablets, it's no wonder that many observers, including my San Jose Mercury News colleague Troy Wolverton, have observed that the reign of the PC may be ending. Even Apple CEO Steve Jobs, who owes much of his fortune to the Apple II and Mac PCs, declared the PC to no longer be a consumer device, saying last June that "PCs are going to be like trucks," and that most people won't need them.

Jobs might be right but I'm not sure that's something to celebrate. His analogy to trucks refers back to a time when most people made their living growing food or working in trades and had to haul around goods or tools. Most of today's workers can get by with cars.

Great for Consuming but not Producing

After using an iPad for several months, I'm convinced its a great device for consuming media but not great for producing it. Just as we have fewer farmers and craft people using trucks to haul their goods to market, we'll have fewer people producing documents, spreadsheets, reports, software, professional quality videos and other "goods" that require a PC with a keyboard, a powerful processor, lots of storage and plenty of input ports for accessories.

Is that a good thing? I don't think so, especially if tablets wind up replacing PCs in schools.

Teaching Kids to Program

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Unlike the iPad, Apple's ultra-lite MacBook Air has a full-sized keyboard to create and program (Photo: Apple, Inc)

There was a time when kids were encouraged not just to use PCs but to program them using tools like Logo, Apple's own HyperCard or even HTML to build their programs and websites from scratch. I admit that blogging or even posting status updates to Facebook can be creative work, and there certainly are many examples of kids being extremely creative with their video cameras and cell phone camcorders. But there's more to creativity than posting a clever phrase on a social networking site or pointing a camera toward a funny or interesting scene.

When your only keyboard is a virtual one on glass, you're less inclined to write serious essays, stories or books. And though we are seeing an explosion in video creation, there is also the art of video editing. That can be done on a tablet with the right software but -- for now at least -- can be done more effectively on a more powerful PC.

Smartphones and laptops have created an enormous demand for applications or "apps," and that represents an opportunity to keep the art of programming alive. But in the vast majority of cases, the preferred hardware for creating these apps are PCs and Macs, not tablets and phones.

Of course we're not going to see a complete end to productivity. Just as there are still a significant number of people who buy trucks to haul produce, products and tools, there will continue to be professional programmers, writers, accountants, videographers and others with access to whatever tools they need to do their job. But I worry that this group, just like farmers and skilled craft people, will become a smaller and smaller segment of our population. And I'm especially worried that an increasing number of them will be working from outside the United States at lower wages.

I fear we are becoming a nation of technology consumers rather than creators. Whatever form factor we wind up having in the technology in our homes and schools, I want it to be useful for helping young people understand how to build, program and enhance the technology itself.

I give Steve Jobs a lot of credit for creating products that make it easy for the rest of us to consume technology. But I also want to make sure that our kids have the same opportunity as Job's one-time partner Steve Wozniak had to help create the technologies that they and their children will use.


This post is adapted from a column that appeared in the San Jose Mercury News

 

Follow Larry Magid on Twitter: www.twitter.com/larrymagid

 
 
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08:14 AM on 01/18/2011
Two people in my practical art course have ipads which they find very useful so, no, it doesn't make us less creative.
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toocoolfoschool1234
Stab your television. Get a guitar.
06:09 AM on 01/18/2011
Computers give you one type of creativity while destroying another. Always use multiple types of media when creating!
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TangentJF
02:52 PM on 01/17/2011
iPads are fine. If you can afford one. I don't own one, but have played with one lots of times. Even for the bottom of the line model, I still wouldn't pay more than $200. And even then, I'd have to be sure that I don't have to deal with iTunes, so that may be a no go from the start on that alone.
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Morgantheaxe
Eisenhower Republicans don't drink tea!!
02:18 PM on 01/17/2011
The assumptions in these articles I read about the Ipad are just silly. The Ipad is not going to end the existence of laptops or desktops. Pc's, despite what anyone says will always have a place in the home until the Ipad (and its rivals) become so powerful that they themselves become dockable pc's. Given the physics of it I just dont see that happening though. Anything you can stick in a pad you can stick thirty of in a desktop. They will always be the power monsters of the computing world. Pads fill a market that had been crying to be filled. Gimme a lightweight easy to use device to browse the web, email, and do light computing on, and make sure it doesnt have a sorry user interface that requires something silly like a stylus or a touchpad. Vwahlah...you have the Ipad. Touchscreen os and powerful enough to do what most people do in their down time. Perfect and its just gonna get better. Love the fact that other manufacturers are diving in on this. It means the will only get better and better. Kind of like Android made sure Iphone didn't just sit on its laurels and not change for a decade. The idea though that creative people would somehow zombie out and stick with a less productive work platform like the pads are at this date and not keep their notebooks and or desktops is well......silly.
01:41 AM on 01/18/2011
Can you tell me any uses which require a powerful PC and are done by at least 10% of people? The vast majority of people don't need the processing power of a high end PC. I'd say that most people don't even need the dual core 1GHz CPU that tablets will have this year, let alone what they'll have in a couple of years. Browsing, reading/writing, media playback, casual gaming, that probably covers what most people do with their PC's.
08:32 AM on 01/18/2011
Though it is in decline in the US PC gaming is massive in Europe and Asia. The newer the game usual means the more PC power the requirements.

Note by PC gaming I am referring not to casual browser games but full cpu/gpu monsters such as Fallout, Call of Duty and other popular console games.
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YouDontWantMeHere
thinks my cover is BLOWN!
11:16 AM on 01/17/2011
ok now that hard drive had 4 partitions 1 it was callin': recovery
1st i tried formattin' them alls but it wouldn't format "recovery" sos
i unpartioned them B4s tryin' ta install XP then tried ta format that but
but it told me it was leavin' 8MB unpartioned for th install & i ain't no expert but i've never seen THAT B4 & then computer told me that hard drive was divided in half sos nows i'm sicin'
drive scrubber on "em!
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MaxPowerXP
10:07 PM on 01/17/2011
man what in the hell
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ran6110
Mac, iPhone & iPad developer.
11:07 AM on 01/17/2011
One point that seems to be missing in these comments is that creativity is a very personal thing. Just because some action isn't what some of us would consider as 'creative' doesn't mean it isn't to someone else.

You may say the iPad is just a glorified web browser but look into the eyes of non-computer users that use a tablet to look information up and tell me that when they become interested in subjects they never heard of because they followed a link or entered a search term that that isn't creativity!

And how many people read news sites like Huffington Post with only an iPad! Remember, most of these people only use to read the local newspaper and watch network news on TV. Now they can come to sites like this and not only read the news but other peoples opinions and even share their own!

Oh, and for context I built my first computer (Altair) in 1977 and I did it because I saw one and had a creative spark...
10:58 AM on 01/17/2011
The argument is basically: this is less powerful hardware and doesn't have a keyboard.

For the first, it's plainly wrong. Tablets are many times more powerful than a PC of 20 years ago. People created a lot of things on PC's 20 years ago. People rendered 3D and edited videos on computers with CPU's hundreds of times slower than a tablets, with hundreds of time less RAM, and no 3D acceleration. I had an Amiga and did these things.

The keyboard thing? Well, I think it will remain for when it's needed. I expect most people will move to phones, actually, and simply dock them at home with a larger display and a keyboard. After all, they will provide all the processing power needed, including full HD display and video playback, so there's not much point in using a PC. In that I think that Jobs is right. Tablets will probably remain phone's overweight cousin.

As for writing creativity, do you think we need more writers? The internet and e-books opened the market to a huge number of bad and mediocre authors. There's never a lack of people who want to write. Even for edited, printed books there are so many that many of them sell very very few copies. I'm not really worried that any reduced convenience in writing will stop people from writing.
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clearthinker2008
we need to respect each other
10:25 AM on 01/17/2011
As long as we need to write reports for work and school I believe their will be PC's. Tablets just aren't very good at those things you need the use of a solid and full keyboard. However, only time will tell.
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ran6110
Mac, iPhone & iPad developer.
11:09 AM on 01/17/2011
I don't know....

My iPad works really well with my bluetooth keyboard. I do with they (apple) would bet me connect up my magic trackpad at the same time....
01:12 PM on 01/17/2011
Sounds like a bunch of crap to carry around to make you look like a total nerd using it. But then again apple people were never worried about image.
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Carachama
I'm not apt to follow blindly the lead of others
09:42 AM on 01/17/2011
Doesn't someone say this about all new technology? Usually it ends up expanding creativity as people learn how to use the technology in new ways.
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ran6110
Mac, iPhone & iPad developer.
10:45 AM on 01/17/2011
I agree, just because something doesn't light a spark with 'old-hands' doesn't mean it won't light a creative spark in a whole new group of users.
01:13 PM on 01/17/2011
I don't remember this being said about much else.
02:00 AM on 01/17/2011
Feh. I got the Apple Bluetooth keyboard for my iPad and I can write and type faster on it than on my MacBook. Yeah, the iPad and keyboard is about the same weight as a MacBook Air, but you can use the iPad without the keyboard. I'm more likely to carry my iPad and keyboard in my nifty WaterField man bag that to carry a laptop. Portability, accessibility, and ease of use: How does this hinder my creativity?
09:59 AM on 01/17/2011
you work for apple dont you?
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clearthinker2008
we need to respect each other
10:26 AM on 01/17/2011
That keyboard sure sounds nice.
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lolablev
Bring Peace into your Life
09:24 PM on 01/16/2011
"After using an iPad for several months, I'm convinced its a great device for consuming media but not great for producing it" ... After playing with my friends new IPad for a moment (1.5 seconds) I realized that it was great for consuming but not for producing. Really, it won't take you several months to figure this one out.
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Onutz
05:43 AM on 01/17/2011
If it's not great for producing media, please explain to me how the Gorillaz can "produce" an entire album on the iPad?
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DRaymond
Network administrator, voiceovers
09:25 AM on 01/17/2011
because they were looking for a promotional gimmick?
08:10 PM on 01/17/2011
They were probably "sponsored" by Apple. Really why would you want to do that. It must have take a lot more time than doing it on a desktop.
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DRaymond
Network administrator, voiceovers
09:01 PM on 01/16/2011
I think that this is the main reason why PC's will not be obsoleted by tablets or smart phones.  It your notion of content creation is writing tweets or updating your facebook page then I guess a tablet is all you need.  Right now I think that if you asked the average tablet or smartphone user if they have a PC as well they will say yes.   Getting the smart phone or tablet did not cause them to want to get rid of their PC.  It may have made them postpone an upgrade cycle on the PC but that is not the same as replacing,  Many people who used to use their PC as their primary game platform now use a console for that.  But they did not throw away their PC's.  Tablets are so limited by space, battery life, and ventillation concerns that they will never be able to rival the performance available in a PC.  As soon as they get to the point of needing more power than either their PC or their tablet will provide they will upgrade the PC.  The best iPad costs seven hundred dollars for a wifi only version.  Now go to your favorite online PC stora and compare what seven hundred dollars will get you.  Other than convenience and portabiliyt there is no comparison of any of the other specs on screen size, resolution, processing power, memory, storage, whatever.  As soon as people want a power upgrade rather than a convenience/mobility upgrade they will be back at the PC (or Mac) store.
02:54 AM on 01/17/2011
"Obsoleted".
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ran6110
Mac, iPhone & iPad developer.
07:23 PM on 01/16/2011
Personally I like my iPad and am looking forward to getting the 2nd Gen model if it has the features I want. If it doesn't then I'll get another 1st Gen. Either way I won't have to arm wrestle my wife for it!

I think creative people will still do what the've always done and find the tools that work well for them.

What the iPad has done (in my opinion) is give many people a new way to explore their interest in subjects they may have never know they were interested in.

The important thing is it can be used when, where and how people want without tying them down.

As far as creativity is concerned I am sure it has and will continue to ignite a creative spark in many many people in way maybe you and I cannot imagine.

Please remember that the device is rolling up to it's first year on the market and we are only beginning to see the radical changes its making in peoples lives!

You and I may be too old to notice, but ask anyone with an iPad and a small child about how they interact with the device. I predict that happens in the next few years will amaze everyone!
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Brian Hudson
Educator and freelance creator.
07:05 PM on 01/16/2011
The author says he's owned an iPad, but if he does, he must not have looked very far in his search for creativity on the device. I draw on my iPad (SketchBook Pro, Brushes apps), draft both articles and stories (iWriter is my favotire) even edit photos now and again. And there was an entire music album released recently that was recorded and edited on an iPad.
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bikerdude
On the left side of progressive
06:59 PM on 01/16/2011
Did the typewriter lessen our creativity? The tablet isn't replacing anything, its an addition....
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noway lv
Alive in the Superunknown.
08:00 PM on 01/16/2011
iPad/tablet:PC as car:truck . . . if you need to haul bricks and get a job done, you will still need something powerful :-)