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Leo Hindery, Jr.

Leo Hindery, Jr.

Posted: November 9, 2010 09:30 AM

On Wednesday morning, after shedding more than a few tears for the Members of this Congress who won't be going forward into the next, I started reading the pundits. However, after reading Senator Evan Bayh's op-ed in the New York Times entitled "Where Do Democrats Go Next?" I decided no more 'instant cures' for me.

Senator Bayh's comments follow -- along with my reactions. The Senator said that:

  • "Democrats can recover from the disappointment of this election and set the stage for success in 2012." Not very easily and not with the Senator's approach.
  • "An electorate that is 76 percent moderate to conservative was not crying out for a move to the left." It's way past time to get away from 'labels' and find common ground. And since when is trying to resuscitate a very sick economy, bring quality health care to almost all Americans, and eliminate finance industry abuses 'moving to the left'?
  • "We also overreached by focusing on health care rather than job creation during a severe recession." I agree with the conclusion of many that job creation should have preceded health care reform, but I will never agree that we should have ignored health care reform.
  • "During election season, Congress sought to placate those on the extreme left and motivate the base - but that meant that our final efforts before the election focused on trying to allow gays in the military, change our immigration system, and repeal the George W. Bush-era tax cuts." This comment is, in its way, insulting. LGBT rights and all civil rights, a responsible and sensitive immigration policy, and progressive individual income tax policies are the heart of the Democratic Party. If we have to compromise these and related principles just to win elections, then what hollow and shameful victories they will be. President Harry Truman was correct when he said that the ultimate test of any political decision is "not whether it's popular at the time, but whether it's right - if it's right, make it, and let the popular part take care of itself."
  • "In the near term, every policy must be viewed through a single prism: does it help the economy grow?" Not "every policy", Senator, just every economic policy.
  • "A good place to start would be tax reform. Get rates down to make American businesses globally competitive. Reward savings and investment. Simplify the code to reduce compliance costs and broaden the base." All well and good, but how about mentioning that under no condition can we afford - budget-wise or ethically - extending the Bush tax cuts for the wealthiest 2% of taxpayers, which would cost the Treasury a staggering680 billion over the next 10 years? With more income inequality now than ever before, the wages of 90% of America's workers stagnant for the past 20 years, and real unemployment of nearly 20%, the new Congress must abandon - not ignore - the 'trickle down' theory that since 1980 has perversely dominated U.S. individual income tax principles and policies.
  • "Democrats should also improve legislation already enacted. Health care reform, financial regulation and other initiatives were first attempts at solving complex problems, not holy writ." This sounds right - better is always better - but in case the Senator didn't notice, Democrats just lost the House and we now have only 53 Senators in our Senate Caucus.

It's beyond worth noting that a critical reason Democrats lost last week was the relatively low turnout of the Democratic "base", especially youth and African-Americans (in comparison to their turnout in 2008). Many of Senator Bayh's recommendations would only further depress the Party's supporters. Since 29 million voters who voted for Barack Obama in 2008 didn't vote for anyone last week, it would help more if Democratic leaders, pretty obviously including Evan Bayh, had a clearer sense of just who the Democratic base is and who it can be.


So, how about instead of the Bayh road map, Democrats become the impetus behind the three economy-related legislative areas where I remain convinced that Ds and Rs can find agreement, albeit with different policy specifics going in? These three are job creation, getting tough with China on trade (as evidenced by the House's recent bipartisan legislation regarding China currency, H.R. 2378, which passed 348 to 79), and a National Infrastructure Bank that would leverage some initial public investment in ways that would incent large private sector job-creating investment.

All of us - Republicans, Democrats (I'm one) and Independents alike - just saw up close the electorate's anxiety and often anger. Every American facing prolonged unemployment, stagnant wages or economic insecurity of course has a right to be angry, and now it's time to channel this disaffection into constructive, positive action of the sort we are equipped to provide before it becomes political gridlock.

Let's start with jobs. Near-term large-scale job creation and long-term deficit cutting are not mutually exclusive. In fact, well-conceived job efforts, because of their very large 'multiplier effects', are at least deficit neutral in the medium term and, most likely, they are substantially deficit reducing. And they are always a more responsible and effective way to reduce the long-term deficit than is slashing spending simply for slashing's sake. The new Congress does not have to choose between stimulus and austerity - it just has to get each challenge's priority and timing right.

President Abraham Lincoln said that government's "leading object is to elevate the condition of man - to lift artificial weights from all shoulders; to clear the paths of laudable pursuit for all; to afford all an unfettered start and a fair chance in the race of life." This is why "jobs" are the right starting point, to best include, in order to heat up the stove, infrastructure investing in 'shovel ready' projects (I know that a lot of Rs hate this phrase, but there really are a lot of such projects) and youth employment programs, for which we have many successful examples.

China's abusive and unfair trade practices should be the next easy bipartisan legislative target. When China wins in trade, as it now does every day, it's really only the U.S. which loses, a loss each year which is now so great that our country's annual GDP is reduced by more than three percent or so, or nearly $400 billion. Imports from China are now responsible for about 75% of America's deficit in manufactured goods and 55% of our overall trade deficit, which should come as no surprise since there is now clear evidence that 90% of China's domination in high-tech manufactured goods vis-Ă -vis the U.S. is due not to its relatively low labor costs but rather to its subsidies related to plant sitings, financing, taxes and currency and to its extremely low environmental standards. Going forward, it is imperative - for federal budget, trade deficit, employment, global competitiveness and national security reasons - that the new Congress:

  1. Demand that the administration go after all of China's illegal subsidies, not just its currency manipulation, while also putting a quick halt to China's persistent theft of America's hard-gained, valuable intellectual property or IP. Many of China's practices provide its companies with a clear-cut "countervailable subsidy" and they need to be treated as such, including China's abysmal environmental practices.
  2. Establish buy-domestic and other domestic investment requirements for federal procurement and for grants to states and local governments to the fullest extent allowed under our various trade agreements and the WTO. The U.S. is almost alone among the developed nations and China in not having a significant buy-domestic government procurement program.
  3. Demand that the administration bring what's called a Section 301 case at USTR against China's "Indigenous Innovation Production Accreditation Program" that was promulgated on November 15, 2009. This Program limits all Chinese central and provincial government procurement to companies that have "indigenous" - or Chinese - "innovation", and embedded in it are China's two so-called 'trade advantages', namely, (i) regulations to block non-Chinese firms from selling their products to Chinese government agencies and (ii) rules that force Western companies to give up technological secrets in exchange for access to China's markets.

Finally, there is the National Infrastructure Bank, which has been kicking around (and sometimes 'kicked around') the halls of Congress since 1994. One pundit I did listen to last Wednesday was Tom Friedman who wrote that, "If we were a serious country, this is what the midterms would [have been] about: How do we generate the jobs needed to sustain our middle class and pay for new infrastructure?" Friedman went on to say that the answer, if we were all willing to accept it, "would require a different kind of politics, one that doesn't conform to either party's platform."

Long before this Great Recession began, we knew that thoughtful investments in all types of infrastructure, including things green, were one of the top two ways to create lots of jobs and help restore America's global competitiveness, provided the spending was coupled with buy-domestic requirements. And today, for the first time since 1994, everyone who matters supports the idea of a National Infrastructure Bank as the best vehicle to advance this spending, including the Democratic and Republican leaders in Congress, the U.S. Chamber of Commerce and the National Association of Manufacturers (NAM), and Labor.

The specifics of this are simple: each $1 billion spent on infrastructure creates on average 25,000 new jobs, and when the investments are for high-tech, energy efficient green things, the new-jobs figure is on the order of 45,000 per $1 billion spent. And an NIB would immediately increase many-fold, and at much lower costs, the infrastructure investment capacities of our federal, state and local governments. It would move most such investments away from the annual budget process, and give these needed investments beneficial access to the private capital markets, large fiduciary investors, and foreign central banks.

**********

So, where should Democrats go next? How about right now across the aisles of Congress to help enact the three economic initiatives where bipartisan support is achievable and which would go a long way to putting some real juice in our now jobless recovery? Good policy is always good politics, and Democrats and the Republicans should worry about the specifics of the 2012 elections later.

Leo Hindery, Jr. is Chairman of the US Economy/Smart Globalization Initiative at the New America Foundation and a member of the Council on Foreign Relations. Currently an investor in media companies, he is the former CEO of Tele-Communications, Inc. (TCI), Liberty Media and their successor AT&T Broadband. He also serves on the Board of the Huffington Post Investigative Fund.

 

Follow Leo Hindery, Jr. on Twitter: www.twitter.com/leohindery

 
 
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07:39 PM on 11/09/2010
Tax cuts for the wealthy have already retarded or eliminated job creation. It is not just about the deficit and the debt being left to our children. If we do not raise taxes on the wealthy the middle class will continue to lose purchasing power and with reduced purchasing power, consumer demand will be reduced, further limiting economic expansion and job creation.
Within or outside government, health services, security services, education, and support of our aged and infirm must be paid for. If the wealthy pay less, the bigger consumers, the middle class pay more limiting their consumer demand. No matter how you look at it the tax cuts for the wealthy is bad economics.
HUFFPOST PUNDIT
ThatsTheTheWayItIs
religion, ideology, partisanship are delusional
07:04 PM on 11/09/2010
Bayh is right, author is wrong. The Nov 2 defeat was a vote against Progressives, all else is denial.
01:52 AM on 11/11/2010
Oh, woe is us! woe is us! All, yes all, is lost! OK, girls and boys. Let's just get all our stuff and go home. No, we'll never, never be here again. Oh, woe is us! woe is us!
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HUFFPOST SUPER USER
lgillooly
04:28 PM on 11/09/2010
excellent post. From your computer to Obama's ears.
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joebaggadonuts
Civilization: Evolutionary pathway of choice.
04:19 PM on 11/09/2010
If the truth were actually known instead of the lies spread by the CONservative media megaphonic echochamber which passes for reality in the minds of the majority of voters these days, the answers would be obvious.

Democrats and their ideas/policies/actions are good for the economy. WAY better than the R's.
http://seekingalpha.com/instablog/6284-philip-davis/99651-newt-gingrich-brands-democrats-the-party-of-food-stamps
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HUFFPOST BLOGGER
Joe The Nerd Ferraro
Group IQ is inversely proportional to group size.
02:59 PM on 11/09/2010
a different perspective on the turnout numbers.

22% tells 78% what to do...

http://www­.huffingto­npost.com/­joe-the-ne­rd-ferraro­/22-of-the­-populatio­n-is-t_b_7­80781.html
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05:38 PM on 11/09/2010
...........................or 78% just don't care so screw em they'll get what they deserve.
01:53 AM on 11/11/2010
One of you two guys is right.
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BBackSoon
Hello, I must be going.
02:20 PM on 11/09/2010
Evan Bayh will turn up peddling influence in the next few months. It will be for big money corporations.

Yes we should ignore his advice at all times.
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MajorKong
If the pilot's good, see, I mean if he's reeeally
02:13 PM on 11/09/2010
Not surprising since Bayh is from Indiana.

Once you get out of Indianapolis or Bloomington, Indiana is the kind of red that makes Texans say "Dang those people are conservative!"
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Pigliacci
Life is a banquet...
02:18 PM on 11/09/2010
Don't forget the "Region" in the northwest. Otherwise, sometimes you'd think you WERE somewhere in Dixie.
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joebaggadonuts
Civilization: Evolutionary pathway of choice.
04:20 PM on 11/09/2010
It do butt up aginst Kentucky, don't it?
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HUFFPOST SUPER USER
MrMainstreet
02:08 PM on 11/09/2010
Your comments on how to tackle the China problem are spot on. This should be the central plank in the Progressive platform. I agree that it is good policy and good politics.One only has to look at the results from tuesday's election and examine the corridor from Scranton to Oshkosh to see where we failed. Progressives need a coherent and cohesive economic message if we are going to reach voters in this area.
You will find few voters in this area that will base their vote on DADT,Gay Marriage Equality, or any other social issue that doesnt impact them directly.
That may sound harsh to some of our friends in the Progressive movement that champion those issues everyday but those issues get you beaten in the industrial heartland they dont get you elected.
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HUFFPOST SUPER USER
iMissMollyIvins
Middle-aged, Middle class, Midwestern Populist
02:04 PM on 11/09/2010
As a Progressive Hoosier, my response to Sen. NotBirch Bayh is shorter and more succinct: Senator, don't go away mad, just go away... I'm sure Ely Lily would love to have you "consulting" for them.
HUFFPOST SUPER USER
plumnelly
04:41 PM on 11/09/2010
Exactly!
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HUFFPOST SUPER USER
Jim Welke
02:02 PM on 11/09/2010
Aside from tweaking China for their trade rule violations, a value added tax would go a long way toward revitalizing US manufacturing, without which there is no future for the middle-class. Democrats need to find some cajones, let ALL of the Bush tax cuts expire, and propose legislation with teeth in it on every front: trade, energy, environment, and health care (in that order).

And then they should call out the GOP for their shameless shenanigans like the "GOP Young Guns" -- http://completelybaked.blogspot.com/p/t-h-e-d-u-n-g-g-u-n-s.html
01:57 PM on 11/09/2010
Many, 99.9% of media, political talking heads and elected officials that use this form to build a base for their ideas, think we have a two party system that is sacred to this country and is the only way to run the country.
The American party is, at this moment the best comparable would be when George and the gang were pushing propaganda, radical thought and subversive ideas in pre revolutionary colonial America. going to shake up this idea that they are the only game in town. The thinkers are wrong. The last ice cream cone election proved it. The inability one by the Democrats and the inflexibility by Republicans will defeat them in 2013. They will be defeated by the swing voter who wants a better America.
The President went to India with ten billion dollars to buy for India what America sells. To me American wealth was given to keep Americans working. It was to build better relations with India because we need them to buy from America, but they did not buy from up we gave them a loan, grant bribe totaling the complete price if the air planes and power equipment, and HD manufacturing. There is something wrong in that.
I suggest we re-evaluate trade across the world. We can't under cut labor and now we can't sell the best we make. Would it not be better to have given that money to the plane manufacture and sold the planes a half cost.
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Pigliacci
Life is a banquet...
01:37 PM on 11/09/2010
Evan Bayh's father Birch would be embarrassed. The trouble with Indiana is the trouble with Kansas, lying within the penumbra of the Old South. If you like the look of Mississippi, by all means follow young Evan's lead.
01:15 PM on 11/09/2010
I believe that repealing tax cuts for only the top 2% is strictly the kind of budget issue that the Senate could now pass with a simple majority vote (i.e., could be done without worry of a filibuster). If true, and the Democrats don't do this now, while they still have the votes, then they are giving away the farm. It would be the kind of gutsy move that most of us Democrats are always hoping the Democratic Congress would take! Come January, there is no hope for eliminating these tax cuts, and the deficit will continue to skyrocket (and, believe me, the Republicans will find a way to blame Democrats for the deficit and the lemmings will believe it).
01:54 PM on 11/09/2010
Actually, it's even simpler than that. All the bush tax cuts expire Jan 1, 2011. The ducks don't have to do anything. Of course, it means everyone's taxes go up, not just the top 2 %. But as Obama and the Dems already cut middle and lower class taxes last year, I think it would only put us back to 2008 levels. Also, just bring up a bill that keeps the Bush tax cuts for small business and the middle class going and excludes the top 2%, and dare the republicans to filibuster it. Send some Dems to the Sunday morning talk circuit and have them wring their hands that they're trying to cut middle class taxes but the Repubs are blocking them because they want the same bankers who used the bailout to give themselves huge bonuses a second bailout disguised as a tax cut.
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HUFFPOST SUPER USER
onlinesavant
02:20 PM on 11/09/2010
Wrong Ron. The tax cuts expire on January 1st, 2011. No legislation needed. the republicans passed the two bush tax cuts , throug hthat hated mechanism of "reconcilliation", with the definitive end date in order to mask the true cost of the tax cuts. They account for fully 1/3 of the 1.3 trillion dollar deficit we are currently facing. Along with the illegal invasion and occupation of two sovereign nations based on lies, the pharmaceutical industry written medicare "part d", and the downturn in the economy engendered by the lack of investment in traditional economic agitators because of a lack funding because of the bush tax cuts. Please understand that the if the tax rates expire, they will just reset back to the Clinton era levels when 22 million jobs were created and we were in budgetary surplus.
miloiki
sweet as can be
12:36 PM on 11/09/2010
You make demands, sir ! Demand this and demand that. Hold you breath. Yell. Cry. Demand some more. That will show those darned conservatives. That will win over the American voters. Yeah, sure. No doubt.
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You Are My Density
Independent--it's just ONE country.
12:52 PM on 11/09/2010
I guess it doesn't matter to you that they were good ideas, eh?
01:59 AM on 11/11/2010
"Darned conservatives" wouldn't be the phrase I'd use.
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HUFFPOST SUPER USER
cassie reinara
12:32 PM on 11/09/2010
The lesson to be learned from the Midterms which I believe have fallen mostly on politically tone deaf ears was "Democrats were given the WhiteHouse and both branches of Congress because people by a solid majority had seen what enacting a Republican agenda had on their lives." It was a total rejection of those policies. Unfortunately, the Democrats did not take that mandate and turn it into political action. This is what voters saw and as a result, the Democratic base mostly stayed home and independents swung the other way to send the incumbent party a strong message. If the Republicans choose to follow once again their narrow agenda and ignore the will of the American voter, the tide that washed them in can as easily wash them out. Ignore this at your political peril and this message is for both parties. Tax cuts for the wealthy and spending cuts to social services is on the wish list for your average voter. It's about creating good paying jobs. Everything else is a distant second. Extending the Bush tax cuts will not create jobs and the proof is they have been in effect since 2001 and we have a huge net loss on the jobs front.
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HUFFPOST SUPER USER
Mat Biscan
01:26 PM on 11/09/2010
True. And Republicans are saying they won because of a rejection of liberal policies. They should keep believing this, as it will be their downfall. They want to spin the election in their favor, which isn't too hard... but they are not smart enough or will not admit that isn't the truth. Guess we'll find out in another two years.
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FALCON72
You can see the truth in every mirror.
02:01 PM on 11/09/2010
# 27 and a fave.