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Leo W. Gerard

Leo W. Gerard

Posted: July 1, 2010 11:20 AM

U.S. Politicians Deny the Obvious Injury; U.S. Manufacturing Bleeds

What's Your Reaction:

In the film, Monte Python and the Holy Grail, King Arthur severs both of the Black Knight's arms during a sword fight, but the Black Knight attempts to battle on.

The king admonishes him: "You've got no arms left."

The knight refutes that: "Yes I have."

"Look," at the obvious, the king tells him.

"Just a flesh wound," retorts the knight, who clearly is suffering a state of denial.


Similarly, in the trade clash between China and America, the Asian giant has gravely wounded the United States. China knows it. U.S. voters of all political stripes know it. But too many American politicians, like the Black Knight, are in denial.

Their deliberate blindness, and resulting inaction, has enabled China to continue devaluing its currency, the Renminbi, against the dollar, a practice that makes its exports artificially cheap in U.S. markets and U.S. exports to China wrongfully overpriced. China announced just before the G-20 summit in Toronto that it would allow the value of the Renminbi to float up on world markets - and then permitted the currency that is undervalued by as much as 40 percent against the dollar to rise an underwhelming one half of one percent.

Political inaction also has facilitated China's flouting of international trade rules forbidding government subsidies to manufacturers. The Chinese subsidies result in falsely low-priced Chinese goods flooding U.S. markets and submerging U.S. manufacturers.

Main Street Americans see the obvious. They said so in a poll conducted late in April by The Mellman Group for the Alliance for American Manufacturing (AAM). The likely voters - who identified themselves as Republican, Democrat, Tea Party and Independent - said Washington must focus on manufacturing because it is crucial to America's economic strength. Large majorities said the U.S. should strengthen domestic manufacturing and develop a national manufacturing policy.

Unfortunately, too many politicians who loll in the rarefied world of Washington, D.C. -- so far from Main Street, so very far from an actual factory -- don't see it. So they've failed to solve the problems.

A report issued this week by the Economic Policy Institute (EPI) details the trade difficulties encountered by one American industry - paper manufacturers. Its struggles mirror those that have maimed many other U.S. manufacturers, including pipe mills and tire plants.

The report, "No Paper Tiger: Subsidies to China's Paper Industry from 2002-09," notes that in 2008, China overtook the United States to become the world's largest producer of paper and paper products. This score by China is the solid evidence for the gut feeling Americans expressed in the Mellman poll for AAM. A significant majority told the pollsters they believed the U.S. had lost to China the position of world's strongest economy.

Americans didn't need a report to spell out for them what their families and neighborhoods had suffered over the past decade. They'd experienced the closing of more than 10 percent of U.S. manufacturing plants in their communities from 2001 to 2009 - a loss of 42,404 factories. In the paper industry alone, 159,000 of their relatives and neighbors lost their jobs as paper mills closed or cut production during the seven-year period covered by the "No Paper Tiger" study.

A woman from Los Angeles told the Mellman pollsters that this relentless loss of manufacturing capability enfeebles America: "When you consume more than you produce, you become dependent, and we are consuming more from other countries than producing our own. . .truly we have become weak and in order to strengthen the economy, I think we need to produce more."

The U.S. will, however, continue to produce less, the "No Paper Tiger" report makes clear, if Washington doesn't act against predators violating international regulations. The report explains that China's government granted at least $33 billion in subsidies to paper manufacturers to accomplish the country's rapid rise to global leader in paper production.

In its central government-controlled economy, China gives paper companies money and breaks, much of which is improper under international trade regulations. For example, some paper companies get "loans" that they don't have to repay. The government provides tax breaks, artificially low-priced electricity and underpriced raw materials. This explains how Chinese paper companies increased capacity by an average of 26 percent every year since 2004 even as prices for paper fell internationally and costs for raw materials for paper production in China rose steeply.

China's rule-violating subsidies and deliberate currency devaluation explain the low price of Chinese paper. Labor costs don't account for it. That's because labor is such a tiny percentage of the price of paper - in both the U.S. and China. In China, it's 4 percent of production cost; in the U.S. it's 8 percent.

By contrast, Chinese paper manufacturers confront expensive problems that the American industry does not. In China, obtaining raw materials for paper making is complicated and costly because the country has among the smallest forestry resources in the world per capita. In addition, the "No Paper Tiger" report says, the Chinese industry is relatively inefficient. In the U.S., the paper industry is highly efficient and has easy access to abundant natural resources.

The U.S., a market economy, simply does not routinely prop up manufacturers the way China does.

The "No Paper Tiger" report says that if nothing changes, U.S. paper manufacturers will continue to lose money, close mills and bleed jobs. The U.S. could be reduced to serving as nothing more than the supplier of raw materials for Chinese paper production, as if America were an undeveloped third world country incapable of manufacturing on its own.

China's subsidization of its paper manufacturers isn't unique. It supports many of its industries. Chinese government intervention in the market accounts for a significant portion of the manufacturing loss in America. That loss diminishes American security.

America is losing her arms. Denying it doesn't help.

 

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10:51 PM on 07/01/2010
It might very well be true that China's industrial policies are more successful than America's - but why is that news? Unlike Germany, Japan, S. Korea, Singapore, and many other countries, and now China, America does not have an industrial policy.
10:49 PM on 07/01/2010
All currency devaluation is deliberate - so was America's by the printing of green backs. What do you call the TRILLIONS of new debt created out of thin air, not backed by anything other than "I promise"?
10:45 PM on 07/01/2010
When you argue "rule violating subsidies", it is this kind of "do as I say, not as I do" that is truly tarnishing the image of America in the world today. For decades, the American controlled IMF and World Bank have been forcing poverty on hundreds of millions around the globe - when an economy tanks, there is supposed to be government discipline, and the economy has to shrink, and that is supposed to be GOOD for the country. Yet when the derivatives fraud hits the fan and the American economy tanked, Washington totally refused its own medicine, and instead of asking the failed banks to fail as an open market would do, it forked over $14 Trillion in newly minted dollars ($2T in cash, the rest in govt. guarantees) to the same "financial industry" (fraud industry?) to tide it over.

$2,000,000,000,000. That is a lot of zeroes, and is of course against trade rules, AND probably larger than ALL subsidies by ALL OTHER NATIONS since the end of WW II. So before you go accusing others of this or that, you should look in that mirror first.
10:38 PM on 07/01/2010
Exaggerations repeated ad nauseam. Even the most extreme "estimate" puts the loss of jobs "due to" Chinese currency at 2.4 MM jobs over 8 years - that is 300,000 jobs a year. According to the administration, the financial crisis in last year alone cost America 8 million jobs. Put in context, you'd have to wonder why nobody talks about throwing ALL of the banksters in jail and confiscating their immense wealth to pay for American infrastructure renewal and JOBS. If only a trillion or two of the $14 Trillion forked over to the Banksters AFTER the financial meltdown were given to Main Street instead, America'd be begging for more immigrants to fill the millions of jobs unfilled.
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02:57 PM on 07/02/2010
why nobody talks about throwing ALL of the banksters in jail and confiscating their immense wealth to pay for American infrastructure renewal and JOBS

Where have you been, Zhuubaajie? What in the world do you read? This has been suggested untold times in the progressive media.
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11:27 AM on 07/01/2010
Loss of manufacturing capability weakens the U.S. in the world economically and militarily. We can't compete economically without the ability to manufacture our own products and we can't defend ourselves without the ability to build our own tanks and Hummers.