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Lincoln Mitchell

Lincoln Mitchell

Posted: August 5, 2010 08:43 PM

Let the Bush Tax Cuts Expire

What's Your Reaction:

When George W. Bush first took office almost ten years ago, his presidency had not yet been defined by the fight against terrorism and the wars in Afghanistan and Iraq, which followed after Sept. 11. Bush, at least at first, did not intend to put foreign policy at the center of his administration. Instead, he had an agenda that was, to a great extent , dominated by domestic policy. Bush's economic agenda was framed in many different ways, but was not much more complicated than a desire to make his rich friends richer.

The primary way Bush achieved this goal was through tax cuts in 2001 and 2003. The former cut, which came in June of 2001, was one of the new president's first major accomplishments. The Bush tax cuts were the apex of the one-sided class warfare that has been at the heart of the Republican Party program for the last three decades. Cutting taxes for the richest Americans was another transparent and somewhat shameless attempt to shift the responsibility for paying for the activities of the federal government onto those for whom paying taxes represented a more concrete, rather than symbolic, burden.

These tax cuts are about to expire, meaning, among other things, marginal tax rates would go back up to 39% for the Americans in the highest income brackets. This would be slightly lower than tax rates for the wealthiest were at the end of Ronald Reagan's first term in office and still considerably lower than those paid by the highest earners in many other economically developed democratic countries.

The opposition to allowing these tax cuts to expire is already strong and, not surprisingly, many are asserting that the tax increases, which will occur when the Bush cuts expire, are another brick in President Obama's socialist wall. The notion that increasing the tax rate on the richest Americans by four or five percent means that the socialist floodgates have been opened is clearly nonsensical, as the rates would return to what was normal, or even less than normal, for most of the last half century. Moreover, Americans, particularly the wealthiest Americans, have almost always been taxed less than people at similar income level in other western countries.

Apologists for the Bush tax cuts would argue that this is because Americans rely on government less, and have smaller government than many countries in Europe. Although this is an appealing argument, it is not grounded in any empirical reality. This has been made evident by the debts accumulated during the Bush years when spending and the debt increased. Bush did not bring smaller government. He expanded the government, but refused to pay for it.

The fight over the expiration of these tax cuts, which is beginning to take shape, is something of a window into the state of American politics and the country more broadly. This is an issue that will have an economic impact and will once again be something of an indicator of the competence of the Obama administration. It will also, however, demonstrate whether our country is at all serious about righting the economy and the budget, or whether partisan fighting and a fanatical opposition to paying taxes -- which is increasingly grounded in a reading of world politics and history that can best be described as fantasy -- will carry the day.

If the tax cuts are allowed to expire, it will bring a slight increase in revenue, but far from enough to make a dent in the massive deficits that exist today and began during the Bush years. However, raising the tax rate on the richest Americans to what they were a few decades ago will make it possible to begin to get the deficit under control because it will demonstrate that we are all in this together. Economically bankrupt ideas about supply-side economics notwithstanding, keeping tax cuts for the richest Americans in place will send a clear message that nobody in government is serious about cutting deficits.

Supporters of the Bush tax cuts may make up whatever stories they want about how these tax cuts are good for the economy, but the reality is different. These tax cuts are only good for the richest Americans. Other than the extremists who are overwhelmed by their hatred and fear of Obama and the potential for change he represents, everybody else understands this. If the message from Washington is that the richest Americans, who are among the small proportion of Americans not suffering in this recession, do not need to make any concessions or sacrifices for the good of the country, it will be very difficult to persuade anybody else that they need to make sacrifices. If the Obama administration lets this happen, they will be demonstrating that they are not up to the tasks of either standing up to Republican bullying or serious governance.

 
 
 

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When George W. Bush first took office almost ten years ago, his presidency had not yet been defined by the fight against terrorism and the wars in Afghanistan and Iraq, which followed after Sept. 11. ...
When George W. Bush first took office almost ten years ago, his presidency had not yet been defined by the fight against terrorism and the wars in Afghanistan and Iraq, which followed after Sept. 11. ...
 
 
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apiazza
There is no such thing as a fiscal conservative.
02:29 PM on 08/08/2010
We shouldn't be giving rich people special treatment.
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HUFFPOST SUPER USER
AmeriGus
Wore On Terror
10:54 AM on 08/08/2010
Reagan's own budget director agrees, telling NPR that The Gipper would oppose the Bush cuts today. Clearly they failed to create jobs under Bush and only exploded the deficit under Reagan. David Stockman also suggests the GOP today doesn't really care about prosperity and uses the issue to funnel money towards the richest among us, such as Sean Hannity.
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kenhamlett
12:38 AM on 08/08/2010
To put it bluntly, this discussion is a waste of time. Everyone's taxes are going up. State and local taxes are already going up everywhere. Thanks to tax cuts for the rich by Bush and tax cuts for everyone else by Obama, you may have noticed that we are in debt up to our eyeballs. Even a robust economic recovery cannot put a dent in the deficit and its projected explosion. So, taxes and other fees will have to go up for everyone. The discussion should focus on how to increase for everyone, not if. Benefits will also have to be cut, so that discussion should focus on what benefits and how severe. The President in his campaign promised to tell us the truth, even when it was not pleasant. Of course, once in office, he's spending and printing money and doing what every other politician has done this decade, and that's what got us into this mess to begin with. But, the full-figured woman is warming up in the wings, and we can't put this off much longer.
Sloane7
Proud Liberal
03:28 PM on 08/07/2010
There should be billboards everywhere showing the demise of the economy in direct relation to the tax cuts for the rich. A downward graph and timeline.

Do you not think the wealthiest laugh at the stupidity that people would vote to cut their taxes?
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rsaillant1
He who argues facts wastes time, his & mine.
07:27 AM on 08/07/2010
One of the most enlightening articles,
relevant to this topic, appeared here
in HuffPo, earlier this week. Did anyone
against the demise of Bush's tax cuts
read it? It enumerated the hundreds of
thousands of Millionaires living in the
major US cities. Do these same people
grasp the loss of Federal income perpetuated
by these favorable reductions to the tax rolls?

They grouse about the loss to them and don't
give a hoot about the loss to the country. They frame
it as a tax increase when, in reality, it's a return
to a level in earlier years when the economy was soaring,
a time when we were not involved in two unpaid wars.
11:16 PM on 08/06/2010
Let's put some real numbers on the table:

2009 total income - $351,000
Adjusted gross income - $325,000

From this subtract:

Federal Tax - $90,684 (about $7,000 of this is AMT since I am "rich")
State and local taxes - $15,298
Real estate taxes - $12,870

This leaves $232,000 after taxes. From that deduct:

Mortgage - $54,000
Kids college savings - $5,000
Retirement - $20,000
Charity - $3,000
Health Insurance - $7,200
Summer childcare - $3,000

This leaves about $140,000. From that pay groceries, utilities, car payments, and other month-to-month expenses. Yes, one can lead quite a nice lifestyle from this income. But it is far from the worry-free zone of athlete and celebrity income. Judge for yourself whether me and people who are similarly situated are paying their "fair share." Ask the same question of yourself.
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Imo Verit
12:01 AM on 08/07/2010
That's the most beautiful thing I've ever seen.
02:55 AM on 08/07/2010
20k for retirement is a nice luxury but I will say that you are not the problem for sure and if anything your taxes should go down.

We need to tax income at over 2-3M at 75%.
09:57 PM on 08/06/2010
Let's argue the problems with the tax system after we get out of this mess.

Please, how anyone can think that taking more money out of an economy anemic for cash could in any way be a positive thing is truly out of their mind.

Just stop and think for a second people, money needs to come over to our side of the line right now not the other way. At this point every single penny that is on our side of the line as opposed to the governments is a positive. If any more cash is destroyed we are looking at going over the cliff.
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parlimentMike
Terrorists keep you in fear
11:02 PM on 08/06/2010
There is no lack of money in the hands of those whom the Bush tax giveback enriched. If we took 90% of their money, their lifestyles wouldn't even change, and nobody's even talking about that. There isn't a one of them who have not enriched themselves due to some form of corporate welfare, but somehow taking hundreds from government is immoral, while taking millions is God's work.
12:01 AM on 08/07/2010
I know someone who makes about 700K working 70-80hrs a week and lives outside NYC where the cost of living is very high. This tax increase will hurt his family.

We need a real tax of 75% on anything earned over 2.5M range.
06:12 PM on 08/06/2010
Raising tax rates is all fine and good, but lets bring the other 50% of America that effectivelly pays no income tax in to the system. Flat tax for everyone.
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jamenta
There are other human values besides greed.
06:43 PM on 08/06/2010
Flat tax hurts the poor and middle class far more than the wealthy - 1% who now control more wealth than 95% of all other Americans combined. Flat tax any economist worth his salt will tell you is an amoral, and anti-american way to fix the current economic inequality and crisis we have right now in our country.

But then you know that Ben. But right wing fanatics continue to spread their right wing propoganda BS.
08:58 PM on 08/06/2010
Ben you are totally correct ALL AMERICANS should pay some federal income taxes and no one should be able to get more than they contributed during the year. If someone has nothing vested in this country they are not meeting their obligation as a citizen.
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ThePeoplesKey
Writer/General Disreputable Rogue
09:29 PM on 08/06/2010
You have to have income to pay income taxes . . .
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10:43 PM on 08/06/2010
Nonsense. The bottom 50% of income earners pay 3% of the total federal income taxes. Income earners by definition are people who have income. The top 10% pay more than 70% of the taxes. Many Americans are getting benefits while paying zero income taxes.

http://www.ntu.org/tax-basics/who-pays-income-taxes.html
http://www.npr.org/templates/story/story.php?storyId=125997180
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Brent Willcom
I can chew bubblegum and think at the same time...
05:32 PM on 08/06/2010
Bush always said, "the fundamentals of the economy are strong." It was strong...for the upper 2% of Americans.
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jamenta
There are other human values besides greed.
06:45 PM on 08/06/2010
The haves ... and the have mores whom Bush and right wingers fanatically love more than the American People or our American democracy.
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John Mainstream
I'm a Clinton Democrat that is now an independent.
05:28 PM on 08/06/2010
Of course, the Democrats will extend the Bush tax cuts for themselves.
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Daphydd
Lets play some music
05:57 PM on 08/06/2010
Not following you here. Republicans and Democrats come from all wealth levels.
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HUFFPOST COMMUNITY MODERATOR
motoGpifupleez
watching with amusement
05:21 PM on 08/06/2010
Why are the tax cut gifts to the ultra rich expiring? They were enacted under reconciliation which wouldn't allow for permanence.

Where are all the jobs? Oh, that's right, they went overseas because the profit margin was higher.

Tax cuts won't bring back jobs, they will keep the donor class happy and willing to fatten the PAC accounts.

You want a job? Agree to work for less than the Chinese and the factories will return.
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10:44 PM on 08/06/2010
Keeping more of your earned money is NOT a gift. The money does not belong to you or the federal government.
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minerva117
The dog ate my micro bio.
11:03 AM on 08/07/2010
Careful, your delusion is showing. How exactly did Paris Hilton EARN the Hilton fortune? Yeah, she definitely needs more money, she needs a new Gucci bag to carry her dog around in!
05:03 PM on 08/06/2010
Think of the rich as you would an obese person. Would you encourage an obese person to keep on eating? The result would be more bloating. So it is for the rich gobbling up all the money they can fattening up beyond their needs. They would welcome a tax increase as an obese person would a diet. A tax increase would not harm them, and the country would be better off.
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06:08 PM on 08/06/2010
An amusing and descriptive analogy.
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Nobody78
A little left of Center
01:46 PM on 08/07/2010
I second that!
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ZeraLee
A Citizen's View from Main Street
06:39 PM on 08/08/2010
It is like watching someone die of starvation. The muscles atrophy while the fat cells complain about redistribution of health.

“The operation was a success, but the patient died.”

Conservatives and corporations are having their successes, but the real economy is still on the critical list.
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04:23 PM on 08/06/2010
You know what we need?

More tax cuts for the rich, and more tax incentives for corporate manufacturing companies to ship jobs overseas.

Then all the private equity firms (like the one Mitt Romney used to run) can buy up MORE American businesses, saddle them with debt, dismantle them, and sell the manufacturing rights to various products to Asian companies.

Then, as stated in the the sound economic theory deemed "Supply Side" (Trickle Down, or as I call it; P!$$ on the working class), all of the capital and "disposable income" will be willingly injected back into the economy, creating jobs and ushering in an era of abundance, just like the 80's and the 20's!

There's no way the richest of the rich (especially trans-national corporations with no allegiance to the United States) will hoard their money, or try to hide it in offshore tax shelters. It's also unlikely that they will use their their immense influence over the political system to bring about a series of deregulatory legislation that will completely dissolve any oversight whilst they gamble with trillions of dollars on the stock market!

It's fool proof!

Why can't people understand that?
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Daphydd
Lets play some music
05:59 PM on 08/06/2010
Excellent snark, WT.
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10:45 PM on 08/06/2010
No. You know what we need? More union workers demanding to be paid top dollar for their work while refusing to buy American made products. That's what we need.
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Nobody78
A little left of Center
01:54 PM on 08/07/2010
Most unions are required to buy American cars. Please educate yourself so you don't look dumb. Except for the UAW most unions aren't over payed. Most unions pay what a average middle class person should be payed to support a family and buy a house for working a labor job. The pay of a average person has dropped so much in the last 30yrs that when you compare a union workers pay to theirs it looks so out of control, in all actuality the average worker is way under payed and not the other way around.
IMOPINIONH8D
because I want it empty...
09:05 AM on 08/08/2010
Well at least the right is taking care of the union problem by helping corps to send jobs overseas, maybe they can come here and "Buy America", where did I hear that before "Buy American"?? cant place it.
04:08 PM on 08/06/2010
You actually believe this is just a Republican benefit:

50 Wealthiest Members of Congress:

Of the Top 50, 28 are Democrats, 22 Republicans, and 11 are freshmen. Kerry returns as the wealthiest Member of Congress.

Here are the Top 10 in 2008 minimum net worth:
1. Sen. John Kerry, D-Mass., $167M
2. Rep. Darrel Issa, R-Calif., $164M
3. Rep. Jane Harman, D-Calif., $112M
4. Sen. Jay Rockefeller, D-W.Va., $85M
5. Sen. Mark Warner, D-Va., $72M
6. Rep. Jared Polis, D-Colo., $71M
7. Rep. Vern Buchanan, R-Fla., $49M
8. Sen. Frank Lautenberg, D-N.J., $48M
9. Sen. Dianne Feinstein, D-Calif., $42M
10. Rep. Harry Teague, D-N.M., $40M

http://realclearpolitics.blogs.time.com/2009/09/14/50-richest-members-of-congress/
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Daphydd
Lets play some music
06:00 PM on 08/06/2010
Yeah, but its the Republican rank and file that are the ones advocating this.
10:47 PM on 08/06/2010
Those look like the retention bonuses given out by the banks to their “Top Talent” so they wouldn’t quite and go down the street to Lehman Brothers.
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gomezrules
Why Don't We Do It In The Road?
03:31 PM on 08/06/2010
I'm actually starting to agree with these leftist fringe elements. Let the tax cuts expire, and raise the taxes to the levels the Dems want to impose. Let's judge the results of all that. It just might take that kind of disaster to finally get it into the collective mind of this nation that this gang doesn't have a clue when it comes to economics. Just like it might take the nation actually going bankrupt before people finally 'get it' as to why our entitlement systems are not sustainable, Let's start implementing their 'get even' plans. And let them run on the results.
TheBear
I still believe but I'm getting tired
03:53 PM on 08/06/2010
The truth is neither the hard left nor the hard right's postions have worked or will work. We need to start over and create monetary and fiscal policies that actually do more than create unsustainable bubbles and squeeze the middle class. I think the policies of the Federal Reserve have had more to do with the eroding of our economy than anything. How does the entity, arguably with most powerful influence on the economy, get away with virtually no transparency or oversight? We gotta start thinking outside the box and stop alternating the failed policies of the left and the right.
redonthehead
Winning trophies for my game face alone
03:53 PM on 08/06/2010
A fine idea if it wasn't so terrifying.