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Margie Alt

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In the Wake of Durban and the Hottest Decade on Record: The Way Forward on Global Warming

Posted: 12/09/11 01:16 PM ET

These days, there aren't many silver linings in the fight against global warming.

Headlines bring daily reminders of the impact human activities are having on the climate -- intense drought in California, record wildfires in Texas and Arizona, heat waves in the Gulf states, massive floods across Vermont, retreating glaciers, melting ice caps... the list goes on and on. And those impacts are just a teaser for what science tells us lies in store in a warming world.

Meanwhile, most of our political leaders seem to be asleep at the wheel. International negotiations to curb emissions are stuck in neutral and Congress is hell-bent on taking us backwards on clean energy and the environment.

How can we build momentum to stop global warming, and do so in time to prevent the worst impacts on the planet?

The first step is to recognize and accept that the big solutions -- a nationwide cap on global warming pollution or a meaningful international agreement to curb emissions -- while critical, are more likely to be the last steps in the battle to stop global warming rather than the first. Whether we like it or not, U.S. and world leaders lack the political will to adopt those steps. Our national leaders will only act after much of the groundwork for shifting the economy away from fossil fuels has already been done.

The good news is that the work of transforming the American economy has already begun and remains alive and well today. Over the past decade, thanks in large part to visionary work at the local and state level, as well as within the Obama administration, the nation has begun to experience a real shift in how we produce and use energy.

America now produces five times as much wind power than in 2004, with states like Colorado and Texas leading the nation. With states like New Jersey and California at the forefront, we have eight times more solar power as we did just seven years ago. Cars sold in 2009 were the most fuel-efficient and least polluting in history, thanks to fuel economy standards adopted by the Obama Administration and built on the foundation of 14 states' Clean Cars standards. Plug-in cars are coming off the assembly line in Michigan. Energy savings from utility energy efficiency programs have nearly tripled since 2004. Transit ridership has steadily grown 10 percent since 2004 with ridership in places like metropolitan Phoenix doubling in that period. And, terms like "green buildings" and "sustainability" -- virtually unheard of a decade ago -- have now become part of the common vocabulary.

The vast majority of this clean energy progress originates outside the beltway, at the local and state level, where officials, backed by strong public support, have adopted strong policies to drive clean energy forward, and a growing core of stakeholders have embraced the idea of reducing pollution from fossil fuels and shifting to clean energy. These actions have made a real dent in global warming pollution, with global warming emissions in 2009 as low as they were in 1995. According to the Energy Information Administration, about two-thirds of these emissions reductions can be attributed to reductions in the amount of energy used per unit of Gross Domestic Product; much of that through energy efficiency, and a transition to cleaner fuels; many of them renewables.

However, tremendous opportunities for further action remain. A recent analysis by Environment America Research & Policy Center shows that local governments and states, with an assist from federal agencies, can adopt a wide array of clean energy policies that would cut global warming pollution from 2008 levels by 20 percent by 2020 and by 35 percent by 2030.

But even these emission reductions alone, while dramatic, will not be enough to prevent the worst impacts of global warming. With the adoption of dozens or even hundreds of local and state clean energy policies, we will still need comprehensive national and international solutions. Winning these smaller battles, however, will help shore up the political base needed to make comprehensive solutions a reality.

Members of Congress will soon have to answer to disappointed clean energy employers and other clean energy stakeholders in their districts if they oppose clean energy solutions in Washington. And, public support for clean energy -- already high -- will grow as more people experience the benefits of clean energy accruing in their own homes and communities. As installation of new solar panels and energy efficient devices increases, the costs of those measures will come down even further -- making them more accessible to all.

The nation's current economic and fiscal woes need not get in our way. Many opportunities to curb our dependence on fossil fuels and put America on a pathway to a more sustainable future are cost effective today. By taking advantage of those opportunities in states and cities across the country we can do our small part to combat dangerous global warming now, while helping to build momentum for greater changes in the years to come.

 

Follow Margie Alt on Twitter: www.twitter.com/EnvAm

These days, there aren't many silver linings in the fight against global warming. Headlines bring daily reminders of the impact human activities are having on the climate -- intense drought in Califo...
These days, there aren't many silver linings in the fight against global warming. Headlines bring daily reminders of the impact human activities are having on the climate -- intense drought in Califo...
 
 
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12:25 PM on 12/11/2011
Margie,

I'm an environmentalist and a population activist - I was 14 on the first Earth day when there was general agreement that both the World and the United States had enough people.

The things you talk about - clean energy, more transit, better mileage cars - are one part of reducing greenhouse gas emissions. We are indeed making progress on this front - although a lot of our so-called "clean energies" aren't all that environmentally friendly.

In the United States, all of our efforts to reduce greenhouse gas emissions are being offset by the addition of 3 million people (1% growth rate) to our country every year.

Where is the outrage and demands for action by environmental groups like yours to reduce US population in order to reduce our greenhouse gas emissions, our energy usage, urban sprawl, drying up rivers, etc?

The failure of environmental groups to recognize the impact of US population growth on our environmental issues is a huge mistake and very counter productive to addressing these issues.

Wringing hands, telling people how dire global warming is, blaming politicians for inaction --- while failing to address the critical yet controversial issue of US population growth, gives the message that these issues aren't really that critical -- crying wolf.

Step up to the plate on US population issues or watch the environmental movement become increasingly marginalized and toothless.
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09:31 PM on 12/10/2011
I've begun to think of "environmentalism" in the modern sense as a kind of soporific - meaning, a way to help us remain asleep to the fact that cheap and abundant fossil fuels have come to an end, and all that this will mean for our way of life. Just as some of the comments in this list, suggesting it is the policy holders who are at fault, for us not facing that fact - or, that the fact is not a fact. Fracking, off-shore drilling, tar sands, shale oil? All of them, signs that the way of life we believe is normal and inevitable, is anything but. Seven billion people, hardly but a few million, willing to wake up to the reality of the transition we face, and all the ramifications thereof.

Clean Energy and minor shifts in conservation are no panacea. The world we have known is coming to an end, and the ability to navigate that gracefully will require of each of us a radical shift in consciousness, toward the realization that virtually everything we believe, to be flawed fundamentally, from the role of money, to the conception of ourselves as separate from the whole. It is no easy thing, this shift, but it will be required, if we hope to survive, if we want to be part of the healing of the Earth.

www.offthegridmpls.blogspot.com
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Overtone
See bio on the Aesop Institute website
12:33 PM on 12/10/2011
Here is a surprising way forward: Black Swans, highly improbable innovations with enormous implications, are about to provide cost-competitive renewable energy.

See CHEAP GREEN and MOVING BEYOND OIL on the Aesop Institute website for a few examples.

The Introduction to that website outlines an unrecognized threat which can cause collapse of power grids for years.

Decentralized green energy must become an urgent priority. Many millions of lives may be at risk.
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CanadaStan
Cogito ergo spud, I think, therefore I yam
12:12 PM on 12/10/2011
If anyone is interested in the hell these people are cooking up for us, here's a good link here:

http://miltonconservative.blogspot.com/2011/12/durban-what-media-are-not-telling-you.html

Hint, it aint pretty.
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Jim Milks
Ecologist
08:57 PM on 12/10/2011
LOL. Why anyone believes anything Monckton says is beyond me. He's been debunked multiple times. Here's one of the most thorough take-downs:

http://www.stthomas.edu/engineering/jpabraham/

Quite simply, Monckton has no credibility.
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CanadaStan
Cogito ergo spud, I think, therefore I yam
02:45 PM on 12/11/2011
Oh well, then you explain in your own words what they are proposing.
How much for the climate slush fund, how much will Canada's share be?
What size of reductions do they propose?
Etc etc etc.

You do know, don't you?
If you didn't, how could you support the proposals?
09:54 PM on 12/12/2011
The Hamster Wheel: Lord Monckton
http://you­tu.be/w833­cAs9EN0
Craig Reucassel interviews comedy genius Sacha Baron Cohen in character as his latest creation: climate skeptic Lord Christophe­r Monckton.
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CanadaStan
Cogito ergo spud, I think, therefore I yam
12:08 PM on 12/10/2011
This is the hottest it's been since the last time it was this hot!!!!!
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Jim Milks
Ecologist
08:54 PM on 12/10/2011
Which was? Here's a hint: We're now warmer than the Holocene Thermal Maximum.
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niumarmion
a temporary being
09:22 AM on 12/10/2011
There is a significant probability that we have already gone over the warming precipice. There is near certainty that we will go past the point of no return.
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CanadaStan
Cogito ergo spud, I think, therefore I yam
12:06 PM on 12/10/2011
The effect of C02 is not linear.
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niumarmion
a temporary being
01:50 PM on 12/10/2011
Human behavior is predictable in this case.
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Jim Milks
Ecologist
07:24 PM on 12/10/2011
You're right–the effect of CO2 is logarithmic, not linear. That means future effects will increase faster than in the past.
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MCTSilverlakeCA
retired Sr Litigation Insurance Fraud Manager
01:12 AM on 12/10/2011
The problem is - our "lawmakers" won't act at all - and the House will try every means at it's disposal for blocking any new -or old- Environmental Protection Agency regulation or ruling from taking effect -if it removes even one cent from their--er..I mean, their Sponsors..pockets.
08:51 PM on 12/09/2011
public support for clean energy -- already high -- will grow as more people experience the benefits of clean energy accruing in their own homes and communities MIDDLE CLASS LIBERALS DONT COUNT.
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MCTSilverlakeCA
retired Sr Litigation Insurance Fraud Manager
01:15 AM on 12/10/2011
not if the Republicans have their way and block all this Clean Energy by getting their bills through which block any ateempt by the EPA to rule on anything with the chance that the Rule will actually count - because they have put through a Bill to make the EPA send every ruling proposal to Congress first - before it can be implemented- which will make ANY rule -basically impossible to get on the Books.
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hardycross
06:17 PM on 12/09/2011
Update. Concern now is for severe cooling based on the Atlantic Ocean temperature data just released and the dormant Sun.
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Jim Milks
Ecologist
07:39 PM on 12/10/2011
Wrong. The concern is still warming, despite the decrease in TSI or fluctuations in the North Atlantic Oscillation. Turns out that the warming signal from CO2 is still dominant, as can be clearly seen when annual fluctuations from ENSO, TSI, etc. are removed as Foster and Rahmstorf (2011: http://iopscience.iop.org/1748-9326/6/4/044022/pdf/1748-9326_6_4_044022.pdf) recently demonstrated.

Warming won't stop until the Earth's radiation budget is in balance. Right now, there is 0.59 W/m^2 more energy entering the Earth than leaving it (Hansen et al. 2011: http://pubs.giss.nasa.gov/abs/ha06510a.html), showing that the Earth was still warming overall, even during the recent solar minimum.
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artleads
Let's have a national retreat.
04:45 PM on 12/09/2011
Wind farms and big-energy schemes that keep poower in the hands of the service providers are not the answer. Decentralized power is the answer, if we wish to have a clean as well as unscarred environment, or avoid the associated infrastructure costs and dependency that go with big-energy. The damper imposed by the GOP on green energy (which threatens to become greenwashing) is actually helpful.
01:31 PM on 12/09/2011
"Hottest decade on record" is somewhat meaningless and deceptive, since the satellite record only begins in 1979. Both the Roman Warm Period and the Medieval Warm Period were warmer and lasted longer.
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03:57 PM on 12/09/2011
Lies.
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hardycross
06:18 PM on 12/09/2011
On a geologic basis the globe has been very much warmer, too.
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BluePhantom2
The Blacksmith & the Artist reflected in their art
09:11 PM on 12/09/2011
No actually it's true!
05:52 PM on 12/10/2011
But according to the 98% of climate scientist, the MWP was regional - not withstanding that the primary driver of the MWP was the medieval maximum ( high solar activity) that the climate scientists caused regional warming. Though none of those PHd's climate scientist can explain provide a credible scientific explanation as to why the high solar could have produced anything but a global event.
Those esteemed climate scientists have determined that the northern hemisphere has been warmer during the decades of the 1990 and 2000 than during the mwp. Even though there is written evidence of vegetation growing in greenland that cant grow today because it is too cold. Who are you going to believe - the climate scientists or a couple of old vikings
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Jim Milks
Ecologist
08:53 PM on 12/10/2011
Your post is full of misinformation. Let's see: The Medieval Warm Period has been shown to be a regional phenomenon limited to the North Atlantic region, with other parts of the globe cooler (Mann et al. 2009: http://www.sciencemag.org/content/326/5957/1256.short). The primary driver of the MWP appears to be persistent La Niña conditions in the tropical Pacific, total solar irradiance, and a lack of volcanism (Mann et al. 2009), although land-use changes may also have played a role (Goosse et al. 2006: http://www.clim-past.net/2/99/2006/cp-2-99-2006.pdf). In other words, you're dead wrong when you stated that there is no credible scientific explanation.

It's not surprising that you've also drawn the wrong conclusions about Greenland. If you look at the map of warmth during the MWP, you'll see that the southern tip of Greenland is included in that warmth. It's not that remarkable, then, that the Vikings could grow plants there that could not be grown there after the MWP ended. And in case you missed it, they're growing crops and dairy cattle in Greenland again (http://www.spiegel.de/international/spiegel/0,1518,434356,00.html). Finally, the last time Greenland was truly green was at least 400,000 years ago (Willerslev et al. 2007: http://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC2694912/). It appears that Erik the Red's marketing ploy in naming his new land "Greenland" is still fooling people nearly 1,000 years later.