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Dodd's Odds

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My column for this week looks at whether Sen. Christopher Dodd was right to insist that "any certain prediction" of his defeat in 2010, had he chosen to run for reelection, "would be absurd." While the odds of an incumbent Senator coming back from a double-digit polling deficit this early are very long, there are a few examples that I review in the column.

Thanks to the pollsters I emailed and my Twitter "tweeps" for digging into their collective memories of Senate campaigns in the not-so-recent past.

Note: most of the poll results for past races cited in the column come from the subscriber-only archives of The Hotline, thus the lack of links.