10/03/2008 08:21 am ET Updated May 25, 2011

Morning Status Update for 10/3

Yesterday's new polls, which of course were all fielded before last night's debate, continue to show evidence of the gains made by the Obama-Biden ticket over the last week. We logged 18 new statewide and 9 new national surveys. None produced a shift in status on our map, but most indicate a trend to Obama.

  • 11 of the 12 new statewide tracking polls that updated results collected earlier in September showed movement in Obama's direction.
  • Our trend estimates improved slightly for Obama in 9 of 11 of the battleground states that we currently classify as either toss-up or leaning to one of the candidates.
2008-10-03 trend.jpg

The Democrats also continue to show progress on national surveys. Three of the five daily tracking polls (from Gallup, Rasmussen and Battleground/GWU) clicked up for Obama yesterday, while two (Diageo/Hotline and Daily Kos/Research2000) were unchanged. In addition, we logged four new national surveys yesterday and all four showed slight increases for Obama and Biden. Our national trend chart showed Obama leading by 5.6 points as of this morning (49.2% to 43.6%), which is larger than an any previous margin shown by the trend-line during 2008.

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