A new Des Moines Register Iowa Poll (Democratic results, Republican results, methodology, David Yepsen column, Iowa Poll home page) of likely caucus goers in Iowa
(conducted 11/25 through 11/28 by Selzer & Co) finds:
- Among 500 registered who say they definitely or probably will attend the Iowa Republican caucuses, former Gov. Mike Huckabee has "leaped ahead" of former Gov. Mitt Romney (29% to 24%), followed by former Mayor Rudy Giuliani at 13%, former Sen. Fred Thompson at 9%, Sen. John McCain and Rep. Ron Paul at 7% each, and Rep. Tom Tancredo at 6%.
- Among 500 registered who say they definitely or probably will attend the Iowa Democratic caucuses, Sen. Barack Obama has "pulled ahead" of Sen. Hillary Clinton (28% to 25% -- though the lead is "statistically insignificant"), followed by John Edwards at 23%, Gov. Bill Richardson at 9% and Sen. Joe Biden and 6%.
- All other candidates trail at less than five percent each.
- Yepsen (via The Page): "Close to half of the Democrats and 61 percent of the Republicans say they still could be persuaded to change their minds."