Thanksgiving Leftover "Outliers"

12/02/2008 06:10 pm ET | Updated May 25, 2011
  • Mark Blumenthal Mark Blumenthal is the Head of Election Polling at SurveyMonkey.

ABC News reports the lowest level of consumer confidence since they started tracking in 1985.

Michael McDonald updates his estimates of 2008 turnout

David Moore asks pollsters to comment on the 2008 pre-election poll "convergence mystery."

PPP recaps their summer tests of matchups of Democrats against Mel Martinez.

ABC's Peyton Craighill examines exit poll data on the 2008 "flip states" that went for Bush in 2004 but Obama in 2008.

Jennifer Agiesta looks at poll and focus group data on how voters view the Obama transition.

Sheri and Allan Rivlin offer advice to Democrats on how to hold their majority.

Brookings posts a 91-page PDF transcript of their political scientist panel discussion of the 2008 election (via Nyhan).

Andrew Gellman shares Ben Lauderdale's maps and charts of estimated Obama-McCain vote among non-blacks by county.

Ruy Teixeira digs into the 2008 exit polls.

Nate Silver says Obama's popular vote margin is the largest ever for a non-incumbent.

John Sides warns aganst using the exit polls to examine turnout.

Brenden Nyhan flags Kathleen Parker for confusing correlation with causation.

Patrick Ruffini makes a good point about what the Georgia runoff result may tell us about turnout on 11/4.

Barry Ritholtz warns of misreading of survey-based reports on Black Friday sales (via Sullivan).

Carl Bialik notes the failure of the "big state primary theory."

Nielsen adds up the ad buy for Obama and McCain during 2008.