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Marwan Bishara

Marwan Bishara

Posted: September 23, 2009 02:12 PM

Obama and the Peace Process

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I could only shake my head in amazement as I listened to President Obama -- ahead of his New York meeting with Israeli premier Netanyahu and Palestinian 'president' Mahmoud Abbas -- trying to put a brave face on his administration's failure to convince Israel to freeze all settlement activities in the occupied Palestinian territories.

After nine months of shuttle diplomacy by special envoy Senator Mitchell, the US has little or nothing to show for its efforts to restart the peace process on sound footing. Since his appointment, Senator Mitchell has tried and failed to get the Israelis to fulfill their commitments under the US/International Roadmap for Peace and, more importantly, under its obligations under the IV Geneva Convention, especially settling segments of its populations in occupied territories.

But failure is not new to the peace process; it has been failing -- albeit successfully -- for 18 years. Under Washington's sponsorship Israelis and Palestinians have signed seven interim agreements with much fanfare, only for the situation on the ground to deteriorate further.

If the US couldn't get Israel to end Jewish settlements, how will it convince it to end occupation altogether?

Since the peace process started in 1991 in Madrid -- re-launched in 1993 with the participation of the PLO -- the number of illegal Jewish settlements and settlers has tripled- reaching almost half a million in the West Bank and East Jerusalem -- networked by for-Jews-only bypass roads that also connect them to Israel. If settlement continues unabated, it will be impossible in a few years to separate Palestinians and Israelis into two states.

To their credit, both President Obama and Senator Mitchell understood early on that the growth of Jewish settlement not only undermines diplomatic peaceful settlement, but has long been the greatest source of tension and engine of violence in the occupied territories.

After its investigation into the break of the second Intifadah in 2000, the Mitchell Commission recommended that the government of Israel "should freeze all settlement activity, including the 'natural growth' of existing settlements." President Obama urged Israel to do the same during his Cairo speech in the spring.

This was all to no avail. Prime Minister Netanyahu, who considers Israeli withdrawal of Jewish settlers from the Gaza strip a 'mistake,' opposes any meaningful freeze on settlements, let alone dismantling them to allow for a contiguous and viable Palestinian state.

But even if his radical Right wing coalition did agree to a temporary freeze, Netanyahu wants to know if this is the beginning or the end of American demands, or worse, interference in Israel's policies in the occupied territories and especially in East Jerusalem.

Since the 1967 war and occupation of Palestinian land, the US and Israel had an implicit strategic division of labor: Israeli has a say, but the US has the last word in the Middle East region, while in Palestine, the US might have a say about the future of the territories and East Jerusalem, but it's Israel that has the last word. Any change has led to tension, at least publicly.

The Obama administration has come closest to the position of the Bush/Baker policy of demanding complete freeze on Jewish settlements. Moreover, it made it clear that resolving the 'conflict' and ending the occupation is part and parcel of US national security interest in the region.

But this is exactly what is needed in order to move the process forward. The international community was sidelined in favor of US sponsorship of the Middle East diplomatic process because of Washington's strategic leverage over its ally Israel -- the occupier. Unless it uses it, no matter how much lipstick the Obama administration applies, this pig ain't getting any prettier.

 
 
 
 
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11:19 AM on 09/26/2009
President Obama's approval rating among American Jews is approx. 70% with an est. 77% voting for him in the last election. His approval rating in Israel is in single digits. How can this be? President Obama could let Iran and Israel fight nuclear war and he would still get a majority of the Jewish vote. Doubt me? What were the voting patterns in the 30s and 40s when the south was solidly Democrat (read Klan) and the lynching of Jews in the south was still going on. Obama's challenge will be to blame the destruction of Israel on the Republicans while he's still in office. Not impossible.
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03:58 PM on 09/24/2009
problem is, O bama can't finish any project.

he prefers the sound of his own voice over that of the people.
11:10 AM on 09/24/2009
Great article . . you are so right . . the whole international community must get behind this . . . the only things that are going to work are UN sanctions, trade embargoes and a complete withdrawal of US funding . . . this occupation has to end . . it is criminal and violates both human rights and international law . . .
Tony Andrews
Ὁ βίος βραχύς, ἡ δὲ τέχν
01:29 PM on 09/24/2009
You are right, this is not just a US problem but an international one, and demands action by the international community.
Israel has been employing the same tactics for far too long.
UN resolutions against it? Ignore them.
Geneva Convention? Sign it. They only have to adhere to the bits they finds useful anyway.
Agreements that no longer suite it? Forget them.
Illegal "settlements" (occupation)? Build them, pretend to consider stopping them, build some more, pretend to consider stopping them, build more (repeat until there is no land left that is held by Palestinians).
Israel has learned over time that it can do whatever it wants to do, and no-one, ever, puts a meaningful "Stop Order" on its activity. All it has to do is ignore anything that doesn't suite it, and the international community will eventually stop being a pest with its exhortations to behave reasonably and let it get on with doing exactly what it wants to do.
It is over 40 years past time that the international community told Israel to (at a minimum) get its "settlers" out of Palestinian territory, obey UN resolutions and open its nuclear arsenal for inspection (oh, sorry, I forgot, they don't admit to having one).
I haved heard it said, by Israelis, that they don't need American aid and the support of the US or the international community.
So be it.
If they won't behave, withdraw that aid and support.
03:47 AM on 09/24/2009
Marwan,
I enjoy & look forward to your thoughtful commentaries on AJEnglish.

"After nine months of shuttle diplomacy by special envoy Senator Mitchell, the US has little or nothing to show for its efforts to restart the peace process on sound footing."

Yes, & how could the Obama people still find anything credible about the Israeli position? George Mitchell has looked increasingly more ridiculous in the last few weeks. Unfortunately, even President Obama is losing his cool & to be honest, he is also starting to look ridiculous when he still berates the Palestinians for their "incitement." I don't know ANY American who wouldn't get a bit "incited" about finding carnage & destruction in his neighborhood, his kids getting killed by the IDF, his home turning into a pile of rubble & his family has NO place to seek refuge.
11:47 PM on 09/23/2009
Aside from the Obama Administration taking a 'Bush41/Baker' approach to dealing with Israel's refusal to stop the settlements, the only thing left for any American administration to do is to negotiate with their wallets. Cut off the bottomless pit of funding to Israel. For every settlement they build, hold back $10,000,00 or more and keep upping the ante. If that doesn't get their attention, try stopping arms sales. This interminable situation will never end until Israel accepts that no peace with the Palestinian's will be possible until the settlements stop, those that were built after the last settlement agreement are dismantled, and the leadership in Israel understands that the US's patience has come to the end of the road. Let's also remember that the Palestinian Authority needs to work harder with their Arab partners in assuring Israel's right to exist and it's safety in the region. Obama can not be found wanting because he failed to accomplish the impossible on his first time at bat.
09:59 PM on 09/24/2009
"Let's also remember that the Palestinian Authority needs to work harder with their Arab partners in assuring Israel's right to exist and it's safety in the region."

I agree very much with your wallet approach, but many have said there is a huge distinction between recognizing Israel & being forced to recognize Israel as a Jewish state. The latter is highly restrictive, precluding the right of return of the many to their ancestral homeland, while continuing to allow those of one religion ONLY to immigrate. Legally the Palestinians have the right to return to their homeland. Giving that up (which can be likened to being asked to give up your American citizenship) is a very big deal indeed. It is morally wrong for the world to demand this of the Palestinians.
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marignymitch
E pluribus unum percent
04:42 PM on 09/23/2009
Israel has been getting its way with US support since the late 1940s. I expect that Israel will continue to get its way with US support well into the future.
02:51 PM on 09/23/2009
While I agree with the sentiment, the President can only do so much. It doesn't matter how much he talks to the Israelis and the Palestinians if they refuse to listen or make any changes in their behavior.
04:15 PM on 09/23/2009
C'mon, he can use the leverage if he is not afraid of the AIPAC lobby. You know how much hand out Israel gets from US. But then as a true politician he has to worry about the re-election so he won't upset the Jewish lobby.

Bush Sr. held back the aid to stop the settlement; remember what happened to him- didn't get re-elected. Jewish lobby has hijacked US foreign policy for the interest of Israel.