THE BLOG

Featuring fresh takes and real-time analysis from HuffPost's signature lineup of contributors

Marwan Bishara Headshot

Why Obama Is Right and Wrong About Syria

Posted: Updated:
BARACK OBAMA
BRENDAN SMIALOWSKI via Getty Images

Twenty years after the genocide in Rwanda, history is repeating itself a second time as a tragedy in Syria.

Then as now, indifference, incompetence and procrastination underline UN shortcomings and Western double standard. As if we've learned nothing, zero, zip, zilch, nada.

Now as then, the justifications for inaction are more of the same feeble excuses.

In 1994, the U.S./West was presumably marked by its failed Somalia intervention, preoccupied by the crisis in Europe/Yugoslavia and captivated by the trial of O.J. Simpson.

Ditto in 2014. The U.S./West is said to be marked by its failed intervention in Iraq, preoccupied by the crisis in Ukraine, and gripped by the trial of Oscar Pistorius or the "mystery" of a missing Malaysian plane.

But unlike Rwanda where inaction in response to the killings of hundreds of thousands was justified by their archaic nature and speed, in Syria, the mayhem has been going on for almost three years, not three months as in the African nation.

Shameful

With hundreds of thousand of casualties and millions of refugees, this proud, ill-fated Arab nation is being decimated.

With the UN Security Council deadlocked between the U.S. and Russia, the world looks on as death and destruction touches every town and neighborhood, devastating families and harming innocent children. An entire generation of Syrians has been maimed, perhaps for life.

Millions have been fleeing the violence or evicted from their towns and villages are living under dreadful circumstances.

It's the worst refugee crisis in decades, with more than 9 million displaced, and over 2.5 million seeking refuge in neighboring countries.

The United States has contributed funds, some $1.3 billion, to help secure temporary food and shelter. But of the 135 thousand Syrians who asked for political asylum in the United States in 2013, only 31 were allowed in. That's 1 in 4000.

The Obama administration says it will relax the asylum procedures, but it still lags far behind Europe, which has accepted some 60,000 refugees thus far. The rest of the displaced Syrians, mostly children, remain in limbo or live in tents.

And there is no end in sight. Western and other able governments prefer to help out from far. Alas, even their humanitarian aid has proved inadequate, especially when the Assad regime tries to starve entire communities into submission.

In the absence of real solutions, even goodwill gestures that come with the best of intentions can be inadequate. For example, giving out toys for the young Syrian refugees is kind and should be kindled, but there is something terribly disturbing about giving a homeless child a LEGO to build a toy house for fun.

Put simply, goodwill is no substitute for better policy in Syria. Especially, for the self-appointed world superpower, that portended to take the lead since the escalation started.

Right and Wrong

Let me be clear; Americans are not interested in another military intervention, and Barack Obama is probably the soberest guy in Washington today. He's cool and collected in a city saturated with excitable populists and gung ho opportunists.

But is his sobriety a sign of carefulness or utter indifference to the soaring Syrian tragedy?

Listening to him explain the administration's position on Syria, one senses an aggravated President fed up with his detractors who take cheap shots against his policies without providing viable alternatives.

Domestic politics and Republican badger have motivated much of the criticism. And of the loudmouths who got America into the Iraq quagmire are today pestering him about Syria as they did about Iran. But there are also those who truly care about stopping the bloodshed.

Before we go any further, it's helpful to recall what's eating up President Obama in his own words:

Typically, criticism of our foreign policy has been directed at the failure to use military force... And the question I think I would have is, why is it that everybody is so eager to use military force after we've just gone through a decade of war at enormous costs to our troops and to our budget? And what is it exactly that these critics think would have been accomplished?


And he added rather irritatingly:

I would note that those who criticize our foreign policy with respect to Syria, they themselves say, "No, no, no, we don't mean sending in troops..." Well, what do you mean? "Well, you should be assisting the opposition." Well, we're assisting the opposition. What else do you mean? "Well, perhaps you should have taken a strike in Syria to get chemical weapons out of Syria." Well, it turns out we're getting chemical weapons out of Syria without having initiated a strike. So what else are you talking about? And at that point it kind of trails off.


Obama is probably right about his gun-ho critics, but does that make him right about Syria?

Yes and No

Yes, Washington's warmongers haven't met a war scenario they didn't like. But no, a decade of war has not stopped President Obama from using military force, for example in Libya, when he deemed it necessary.

Yes, the critics also oppose deploying troops to Syria. But no, they don't oppose aerial bombings -- pinpricks or other -- as a way of deterring the regime from committing more atrocities.

Yes, the administration is supporting the Syrian opposition. But no, it's not helpful. It provides the opposition with the minimum to help it survive, but not enough to defeat or at least pressure the Assad regime into serious negotiations.

And yes, Syria has agreed to give up its chemical weapons. But no, the Assad regime has not divulged on all its stockpiles and excluded the biological weapons, according to the administration own leaks.

And finally, yes the threat of force did compel Assad to do away with the country's weapons of mass destruction. But no, this was not done on behalf of the Syrian people -- it's done mostly on Israel's behalf. WMDs are not the cause of death and destruction in Syria -- that's mainly the regime's conventional killing machine -- its planes and heavy armor.

More relevantly, when President Obama backtracked on bombings the regime's conventional military installations after it violated its "redline" on the use of Chemical weapons, and when he failed to enact policies that meet his goal stating that "Assad must go," Obama has de facto emboldened Assad and encouraged his allies in Tehran and Moscow to play hard ball.

Gaming in Syria

Poker, chess, basketball and baseball, among others, have been used as metaphors to help explain what lies behind U.S. foreign policy to the bewildered rest of us.

And hey, I am for the use of metaphors to explain the game of nations as mush as the next person. But the Syrian tragedy is not a game.

And yet the bleeding nation is treated as if it were a disposable piece in a U.S. Russian geopolitical chess match, or a bet to place in poker politics.

The President, we are told, isn't terribly alarmed by the new Syrian or Middle Eastern type extremists: "If a JV team puts on Lakers uniforms, that doesn't make them Kobe Bryant."

Hence, in his latest foreign policy pitch in the Philippines, President Obama dampened the chances for a "home run" in Syria.

In short, Syria is not a major oil producer; it's not in Europe, and doesn't pose national security risk to the United States. So why intervene?

As U.S. Russian tensions continue to deepen over Ukraine, some are suggesting Washington hit back at Putin in Syria by escalating the war against his ally Bashar Al Assad. Rarely has politics been so cynical.

President Obama said in the beginning of the year that he is "haunted" by what is happening in Syria, but not by his decision not to get the U.S. involved militarily.

Fine. But then what? Has Obama tried to articulate and embrace a third way between reckless military intervention and utter inaction?

This is question is of paramount importance for the U.S. and the rest of us. Because, unless the bleeding stops and a political solution is found, sooner than later, Syria will haunt us all for a long time to come.