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Michael Breen

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A Democracy Cannot Fight a Seven Years War

Posted: 07/03/10 07:47 PM ET

Our nation's longest war continues in Afghanistan. Those of us who served there measure the conflict against the yardstick of our lives. When I served as a Platoon Leader in the Korengal and Pech valleys in 2005 and 2006, the war had already gone on longer than World War II. Since that time, I've married and started a legal career. Yet through all the changes in my life, the war in Afghanistan has remained constant -- a deadly metronome clicking steadily through my twenties and now into my thirties. Lieutenants who were in junior high when I was in college are leading the platoons now, but the valleys and the villages are the same.

There is nothing easy or simple about the choices we face in Afghanistan, and claims to strategic certainty are best greeted with healthy skepticism. In war, difficult strategic choices require us to balance competing risks and uncertainties. Decisions about whether to increase troop numbers or withdraw, to attempt counterinsurgency or a more minimal strategy, to authorize drone strikes or to refrain, ultimately come down to difficult judgments about relative risk in the absence of information.

The risks in Afghanistan are many no matter what strategic choices we make, both at home and abroad. The risk that Afghanistan will again serve as a safe haven for terrorists. The risk that a nuclear-armed Pakistan will slide into dangerous instability and radicalism. The risk that our reliance on Hamid Karzai's spectacularly unreliable regime will lead us to defeat. The risk that we are expending blood and treasure we can ill afford, in a struggle unlikely to end with a ticker-tape parade. Certainly not least, there is the daily and deeply personal risk we ask our servicemen and women to take every day they spend in the combat zone. Each of these often opposing risks weighs in our continuing national debate about the war, and rightly so.

As this Byzantine debate continues, however, we must consider the insidious and mounting risk posed by the war's duration itself. General George C. Marshall, one of the chief architects of both our victory in World War II and the peace that followed, famously said that "a democracy cannot fight a Seven Years War." Nearly nine years into the war in Afghanistan, we would do well to consider an old soldier's warning.

As the years of war tick by, I fear we risk worsening an already troubling schism between the small volunteer force that fights our wars and the democratic electorate that votes to engage in them. The Founding Fathers believed that a democracy was likely to make wise decisions about war and peace because its citizens would both vote for war and fight it. In America today, however, less than one percent of those eligible to serve are doing the killing and the dying, often year after year, while most of us simply go on with our lives. We ought to think carefully about the consequences for our democracy, and for our military, before we opt to continue with this arrangement much longer.

Meanwhile, a new generation of young Afghans is coming of age. The war is the context of their childhoods and the challenge of their adolescence. On 9/11, today's fifteen-year-old Afghan teenager was about six. The conflict has finally gone on long enough that many of the Taliban's potential recruits have no meaningful memory of how or why the conflict began in the first place, of the horrible atrocity that compelled our army to enter their world. They have simply grown up with the fact that we are there, and that regardless of what good we have done and tried to do, many of their fathers wish for us to leave.

Others, of course, wish for us to stay. Yet, Afghanistan's emerging war generation, just entering its prime fighting years, will present us with new challenges should we remain much longer. At the very least, the war generation is likely to be difficult to convince that our presence in their country is anything but an attempt at permanent occupation. As Taliban recruiters are sure to remind them, we've been there for over half their lives already.

There are compelling arguments on both sides of the Afghanistan debate, and real risks associated with both escalation and withdrawal. But as we weigh our options and gauge our progress in the year ahead, the prospect of a decade-long American war should give us pause.


Michael Breen is a former Army captain who served with the infantry in Iraq and led paratroopers in Afghanistan. Currently a student at Yale Law School, Mike is a Truman National Security Fellow and one of the leaders of the Iraqi Refugee Assistance Project.

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HUFFPOST PUNDIT
Puller58
Man of Mystery
09:32 PM on 07/05/2010
The problem with the conflict in Iraq and Afghanistan is that a portion of the American people are willing to support what the proponents are pushing. That makes the upcoming midterm elections so dicey. A Republican victory would enable the Tea Party and Christian Rightists to claim moral authority to prosecute these wars. What makes it double tough is that the President and the Democrats in Congress have failed to lead the way out of this mess on the basis of fear of being labeled soft on Terror. If they fear losing over the war, what good does it do to support it?
05:22 PM on 07/05/2010
No, a democracy cannot fight a seven-year war, but the U.S.A. is no longer a democracy and the plutocrats are free to fight as many wars as they find profitable.
09:12 PM on 07/04/2010
There is nothing to win in either Afghanistan or Iraq period. This is a false argument that there is anything that needs to be "won."
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HUFFPOST SUPER USER
victorponelis
Social Liberal, Fiscal Conservative, Atheist
08:44 PM on 07/04/2010
It is not simply a democracy that cannot fight a long war...no nation can long tolerate such a conflict.

As Master Sun says in "The Art of War", in the chapter devoted to "Doing Battle""

"Therefore I have heard of military operations that were clumsy but swift, but I have never seen one that was skillfull and lasted a long time. It is never beneficial to a nation to have a military operation continue for a long time."
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HUFFPOST SUPER USER
guntotinganglion
03:28 PM on 07/04/2010
Apparently censorship is a forbidden topic on HP. I posted about this topic, with good words and no abusive language at all...and it fell, once again, into the black hole that is the censorship of content on HP (aka the trashcan).
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HUFFPOST SUPER USER
DougDeWitt
progressive social-capitalist
02:48 PM on 07/04/2010
"As the years of war tick by, I fear we risk worsening an already troubling schism between the small volunteer force that fights our wars and the democratic electorate that votes to engage in them."

OH, no you don't... The US electorate clearly voted for Obama's promise to End the War, and to bring our troops home in a timely manner. We did Not vote to engage in this war. We, the People, loudly, and clearly voted NO to war!
10:01 AM on 07/06/2010
Obama promised* to end the war in Iraq. He also promised to use the troops thus freed up to _increase_ our presence in Afghanistan.

It's been my experience that people hear what they want to hear from Obama. What he says, not so much.

*source: http://www.barackobama.com/pdf/Defense_Fact_Sheet_FINAL.pdf
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MyTake
Release the Hydrogen Economy now!
02:33 PM on 07/04/2010
Bad title -- it should read: Democracy cannot fight a 9 year INVASION. The U.S. invaded Iraq and Afghanistan.

For if it were a real WAR, the Military would be forced, in order to win the battle, to CUT OFF THE SUPPLY LINES of the opposition. Now going on 9 years, this rag tag bunch of Taliban, that don't even have a military kevlar helmet, have this never ending supply of these IED's and have cherry picked too death this vaunted lone surviving military superpower.

So the next time you write an article about this matter, call it a INVASION and not label it a War because the U.S. never formally DECLARED war on either of these Nations. And if your Cnstitution was worth anything, it would say that no person in the military would be required to engage an enemy until such time that the Congress makes a formal DECLARATION OF WAR.

In both cases, if it were a War, and given the fact they have no competent armies, the War would have been over in less than 7 days.

But OIL and MINERALS in that region can only be obtained by INVASION and OCCUPATION.

So these poor U.S. soldiers will continue to die and the Congressional politicians will keep writing the WAR checks until the Council on Foreign Relations decides to END THE OCCUPATION.
02:23 PM on 07/04/2010
Armies can fight WAR forever ,that is what the Armies do and sometimes they have to do it willingly and some times unwillingly, since there is a thin line in terms of Fair war and unfair war, more so after world war Two,The Romans did it and the germans did it until they lost it.

As responsibility the Generals can not say they are not going to fight wars,nor the good soldiers say it.

So it is up to the civilian leadership that has to decide in terms of right policy and use their wisdom in finding the right solutions apart from just fighting war and killing people and let young American soldiers be killed in a pursuit that in the long run might be futile by the present measures.

It is for all the players with common interest in Afganisthan to start acting wisely in terms of finding a most viable and lasting solution .Otherwise Afganisthan is going to prove contentious and even meaningless in terms of lives that have to be sacrificed.

Any actions with out a proper vision will prove burdensome in the course history and given the human nature no one would want to shoulder the responsibility for the missteps along. A mere publicist rhetoric and gambits that are not results oriented, while the insurgent problem that is transient and recurring in nothing but a constant challenge, which will raise again and again begging to be addressed.
02:19 PM on 07/04/2010
We have become a nation that will always be at war. No elected official can actually oppose the military industrial complex and survive. The corporations that run our government will keep the financing for war in the same manner as the subsidies for the oil companies and corporate farms. War has become just another corporate endeavor and they control the political process. It does not matter which political party is in power.
04:07 PM on 07/05/2010
Too true! The interests of the people no longer matter. The US congress serves the interests of the big oil and arms companies. It is in their interest that these wars never end, so the wars will never end.
05:23 PM on 07/05/2010
dfdaugherty,

you nailed it.
01:56 PM on 07/04/2010
Since there is no winning strategy in either Afghanistan or Iraq that does not also morally and financially bankrupt the USA we had better start formulating and executing the least bad strategy we can to get out and focus our financial and intellectual resources on our own country's problems before it is too late. And midnight may be coming soon...
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HUFFPOST SUPER USER
MarkInEugene
A blasphemy a day keeps the deities away.
01:50 PM on 07/04/2010
Smart comments Michael.

Our country has been in a perpetual state of war pretty much for the last 100 years. As you point out, it's complicated. Heck, there's even an argument that says our economy would suffer without the defense industry churning out weaponry and jobs on a regular basis. Or that if we don't remain the top war dog, somebody else will and bring conflict to our backyard.


My opinion is that we can do better. The status quo among DOD strategists needs to change. We need to move away from the perpetual war model of survival. We all know that Oil is the reason we are now fighting in the Middle East and the strategy, politics, and economics are complicated. But there has got to be a more civil alternative. One that keeps us safe, employed, and healthy without the mayhem of war and all of its resulting negatives.
01:42 PM on 07/04/2010
Well said. Let's get out of there before year 10.
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01:34 PM on 07/04/2010
You cannot win a war of occupation in a country of 30 million with @100,000 troops. Bush/Cheney failed to institute the draft and nationalize the war. That is why the USA is still there and may continue to be there for years.
09:15 PM on 07/04/2010
I think the American people would have been too smart to go along with a draft. Bush/Cheney/Rummy knew this and that's why they did the Iraq invasion with a smaller force than would have been necessary to actually accomplish their obviously wrong-headed objectives.
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HUFFPOST PUNDIT
Puller58
Man of Mystery
09:34 PM on 07/05/2010
A draft would have ended the conflicts long ago.
01:26 PM on 07/04/2010
So in 10, 20 30 years when Afghanistan and Iraq are able to do what Iran did in '79, and overthrow the governments imposed on them by the US, will we be celebrating their independence? Is it not just a wee bit odd that we are now the greatest occupying force on the planet?
01:25 PM on 07/04/2010
The fourth of July is suppose to be a birthday party. Why i the Huffpost headlines on war?
ydrittmann
Vitter patronizes women.
01:46 PM on 07/04/2010
Because you don't have a birthday party when the house is on fire.
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HUFFPOST SUPER USER
jd43
01:51 PM on 07/04/2010
Maybe you've heard. We are in the longest war in history of USA. Perhaps we should give it some thought.