Michael D. Hais is retired as Vice President, Entertainment Research, at communications research firm, Frank N. Magid Associates. He earned a B.A. from the University of Iowa and a Ph.D. from the University of Maryland in political science, where his doctoral dissertation concerned the subject of this book, American political realignments.

Morley Winograd is Executive Director of the Center for Telecom Management at USC’s Marshall School of Business. He served as Senior Policy Advisor to Vice President Al Gore, during the second term of President Clinton’s administration. He is the co-author of Taking Control: Politics in the Information Age.

Blog Entries by Michael Hais and Morley Winograd

Energizing Millennials: Key to 2010 Democratic Victory

Posted October 7, 2009 | 05:45 PM (EST)


The latest unemployment numbers and poll results have led most observers to predict a major setback for Democrats in the 2010 Congressional elections. But a year is a lifetime in politics and much can change between now and then to influence next year's vote. As Ron Brownstein recently pointed...

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Have Patience: Republicans Are Working Their Way Through the Five Stages of Grieving

43 Comments | Posted August 18, 2009 | 11:58 AM (EST)


In 1969, Dr. Elisabeth Kubler-Ross published a groundbreaking book On Death and Dying, suggesting that people facing death went through five emotional stages before they could accept their fate. While never proven by subsequent studies, the five stages of grief have entered the realm of conventional wisdom and are often...

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Will Young People Unite to Save the World?

3 Comments | Posted June 26, 2009 | 05:04 PM (EST)


Seventy percent of Iranians are under thirty.

These young people have twice the presence in the population of that country as America's largest generation, Millennials (born 1982-2003), has in ours.

In the immediate aftermath of Iran's disputed presidential election, text messages became the tool for organizing post-election protests. Hundreds...

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The Honeymoon Isn't Over Until the Public Sings

2 Comments | Posted April 30, 2009 | 04:00 PM (EST)


While noting that President Barack Obama has higher job approval scores than any president in the past three decades, some in Washington also wonder how long this honeymoon can last and how much Obama can get done before it ends. The answer to those two questions lays in placing both...

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Obama's Millennial Moment: President to Sign National Service Bill Today

Posted April 21, 2009 | 09:22 AM (EST)


In a ceremony fraught with political and generational symbolism, President Barack Obama today will sign the aptly named “Generations Invigorating Volunteerism and Education” (GIVE) Act (now the Edward M. Kennedy Serve America Act) at a White House ceremony, capping his campaign promise to ask Americans to reinvigorate their country...

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Everybody's Wrong But Us

Posted April 13, 2009 | 01:15 PM (EST)


In Wednesday's Washington Post, conservative columnist Michael Gerson, citing a recent Pew Research Center poll, says that the "polarization" between Democrats and Republicans in their approval of President Barack Obama's performance is greater than for any other president in surveys stretching back to the early days of the Nixon...

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The Overhaul of the Domestic Auto Industry and Its Parallels with the Republicans' Problem

Posted April 1, 2009 | 01:16 PM (EST)


With President Barack Obama's announcement later this morning, the current debate over whether to save our domestic auto industry has revealed some starkly different views about the future of manufacturing in America among economists, elected officials and corporate executives. There are many disagreements about solutions to the Big Three's current...

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Positive Partisanship for a New Era

Posted March 25, 2009 | 03:24 PM (EST)


Bipartisanship. Other than "stimulus" or "bailout," perhaps no word has been written or spoken more often by politicians and pundits alike in Washington since the inauguration of Barack Obama. Commentators have generally characterized President Obama's attempts to engage Republicans as almost completely unsuccessful, while Republicans have derided his efforts as...

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New Attitudes for a New Era

Posted February 20, 2009 | 11:50 AM (EST)


President Barack Obama's signature on the American Recovery and Reinvestment Act is the clearest signal yet that America has entered a new civic era, very different from the idealist era of the past four decades. As has been the case with all previous realignments or makeovers in our history, this...

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It's No Time for Politics as Usual

Posted February 9, 2009 | 05:00 PM (EST)


The U.S. Senate's "Dr. No," Republican Judd Gregg of New Hampshire, best captured the need for political leadership in this time of crisis in accepting his nomination by President Barack Obama to be U.S. Secretary of Commerce: "Now is not the time for partisanship. Now is not the time to...

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New Rules for a New Era

Posted January 29, 2009 | 03:17 PM (EST)


One week after the inauguration of President Barack Obama, it is clear that his election and ascension to the presidency have moved America from one political era to another. Realignments like these occur about every four decades with the coming of age of a new, large, dynamic generation of young...

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Mr. President: Bring Us Together

Posted January 14, 2009 | 04:52 PM (EST)


The election of Barack Obama signaled the beginning of a "civic" realignment, produced by the political emergence of America's most recent civic generation, Millennials (born 1982-2003). Civic generations, like the Millennials, react against the efforts of divided idealist generations, like the Baby Boomers (born 1946-1964) to advance their own...

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It's a Brand New Ballgame: Presidential Transitions in a Civic Era

Posted January 6, 2009 | 04:07 PM (EST)


Almost before the echoes of Barack Obama's Grant Park victory speech had died, away pundits and the blogosphere began to keep score about the effectiveness of his transition. In a way, a presidential transition is like a political spring training that gives the incoming manager and his team a chance...

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It's Official: Millennials Realigned American Politics in 2008

Posted November 17, 2008 | 03:57 PM (EST)


The 2008 election not only marked the election of America's first African-American president, it also saw the strong and clear political emergence of a new, large and dynamic generation and the realignment of American politics for the next 40 years.

The first large wave of the Millennial Generation,...

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Coming Soon to Decide an Election Near You...the Millennials

Posted November 4, 2008 | 03:00 PM (EST)


The Millennial Generation is poised to play a decisive role in the election of Barack Obama on November 4. An October 30 ABC News/Washington Post national poll gave Barack Obama an eight-point advantage over John McCain (52% vs. 44%). Among young voters in the ABC sample Obama continued to...

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Ask Not Why Hillary Lost, But Why Barack Won

Posted June 23, 2008 | 04:33 PM (EST)


Now that pundits have exhausted themselves asking and answering the question, "Why did Hillary lose?" it's time to turn to the much more important question, "Why did Obama win?" Asking that question encourages a look beyond the tactics of the just concluded primary campaign to the broader strategic and...

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Demography is Destiny for the Democratic Party

Posted May 9, 2008 | 10:23 AM (EST)


As the results from North Carolina and Indiana began to come in on election night, and before the final results were known, two accomplished Democratic campaign operatives and astute political observers, Paul Begala and Donna Brazile, got into a heated argument on CNN about just what the Democratic Party's general...

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From GENder Gap To GENeration Gap?

12 Comments | Posted March 21, 2008 | 03:26 PM (EST)


While the gender gap in U.S. politics is narrowing, exit poll results in recent primary elections suggest that a generation gap, in which younger and older Americans vote against one another, seems to be emerging, especially among Democrats. Thanks to the strong social tolerance and lack of gender role...

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The Gender Gap is Closing

Posted February 13, 2008 | 08:34 PM (EST)


The gender gap -- the tendency of women to vote more often for Democrats and men to prefer Republicans -- has been a feature of American politics for decades. On Super Tuesday pundit, David Gergen, captured what many considered a truism when he referred to the Democrats as the...

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Millennials Are About to Give American Politics an Extreme Makeover

Posted February 7, 2008 | 03:10 PM (EST)


Just as America's political landscape shifted dramatically with the 1968 victory of Californian Richard Nixon's "law and order" campaign, the demand for change from a new generation is about to shift the center of political gravity, not just in this state, but across the country.

This year's political shakeup...

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