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Michael Kugelman

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Osama Bin Laden Conspiracy Theories Abound: Doubters' Defiance

Posted: 05/11/11 06:32 PM ET

Even now, more than a week later, the story is still so surreal. For many, it is literally unbelievable.

The world's most notorious fugitive was not being harbored in the wilds of Waziristan. He was living in a lovely home in one of Pakistan's most secure cities -- and under the nose of the country's ultimate protector.

U.S. forces helicoptered to his hideout, killed him, whisked the corpse away, prepared it for burial, and lowered it into the sea.

Many have clamored for the U.S. government to publish photographs of Osama bin Laden's dead body to prove that the whole affair is true. Washington, citing fears of incitement, has refused. At any rate, in this era of Photoshop, any image can be doctored or concocted and would not necessarily ease suspicions. Neither will al-Qaeda's confirmation of its leader's death (issued via the Internet), given the impossibility of proving its authenticity.

In fact, short of draining the North Arabian Sea and exhuming the terrorist's remains, there is little America can do to disabuse the conspiracy theorists of their delusion that it was all one big lie. This is significant in Pakistan, where the doubters are an emboldened lot with recent history on their side.

The fact that the country's prime purveyors of conspiracy theories are not social outliers, but rather the mainstream broadcast media, is well known. Less often acknowledged, however, is that much of what they have spouted in recent years has been proven true. U.S. military forces operating inside Pakistan? Check. Blackwater lurking within the country? Check. CIA personnel running amok? Check. Nothing gives conspiratorial talk more credibility than the truth.

The U.S. government, after revising the facts about Operation Geronimo, announced it would reveal no new details. This information vacuum provided the greenest of lights for the conspiracy mill to grind into action: Whatever happened in Abbottabad surely had nothing to do with bin Laden, it buzzed excitedly, because he actually died from kidney failure years ago (according to, among others, scholar David Ray Griffin in his 2009 book, Osama bin Laden: Dead or Alive?). Or because he was killed by the militant Omar Sheikh, as Benazir Bhutto commented in a 2007 Al Jazeera English interview that has now been dismissed as a slip of the tongue. Or because he actually fled deeper into Afghanistan following the Tora Bora battle, and not into Pakistan as commonly assumed, which documents released by WikiLeaks revealed the week before bin Laden's demise.

In reality, bin Laden's presence in Abbottabad is perfectly believable -- and quite ingenious. In all likelihood, he made his way into the tribal areas at some point after 2001 (according to the WikiLeaks sources released at the end of last month, Ayman al-Zawahiri, Bin Laden's deputy, surfaced in South Waziristan in 2003). Thereafter, with Pakistani firepower and American drones raining down, bin Laden's handlers probably concluded it was time to move. They decided to relocate him to the most unsuspecting location -- not to Mullah Omar's base in Quetta, or to the popular terrorist haven of Karachi, but rather to the nearby picturesque garrison town of Abbottabad. Where, perhaps, a few friendly enablers from the security services were on hand to assist.

For sure, many Pakistanis accept that bin Laden was killed. Quite a few have mourned his passing -- including the crowds of lawyers who have gathered to commemorate their "hero," and the legions of Islamists who have assembled to pray for him. This is a country, after all, that as recently as 2007 gave bin Laden approval ratings of nearly 50 percent.

Yet then there are the likes of Mohammad Khan, identified in press reports as a government employee. "I think Osama did not die," he told the Associated Press after al Qaeda had confirmed his death. "I don't believe even 1 percent that he was martyred in Abbottabad."

In some ways, the angry acceptors of bin Laden's recent death are less worrisome than the defiant doubters. Consider the calls coming from Washington: The Pakistani military should be investigated, the government should reveal how much it knew, and the state should commit to a new foreign policy paradigm.

Given all those in Pakistan who cannot accept the fact that bin Laden was killed on May 2 (in a poll of urban, educated Pakistanis conducted several days after the raid on his compound, 66 percent said he was not), it is folly to assume that Islamabad will hurriedly acquiesce to these American demands. The doubters, after all, reflect the pervasive mistrust of Washington that makes up the Pakistani zeitgeist. Pushback and resistance are likely, and one shudders at the implications.

Conspiracy theories, as the joke goes, constitute Pakistan's only growth industry. Yet they could also help sever the single thread by which the U.S.-Pakistan relationship now hangs.

 
 
 
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03:49 PM on 05/13/2011
You are either a conspiracy theorist or a coincidence theorist. How many coincidences does it take for you to realize that something fishy is going on?
04:55 PM on 05/13/2011
a coincidence theorists? The "coincidences" are brought to light because conspiracy theorists are using them to distract from the evidence for the reality of case. All of the "coincidences" are presented without any real statistical backing to actually show they lack probability. My personal favorite is the actual timing of event. If this was done last October people would be way more adamant that it was an election ploy. If they had done it any later it would have been even closer to next election. The fact is it actually is poor timing politically, the republicans were already having trouble getting their campaign ready for 2012. This actually gives them more time to get their act together as the media isn't focussing on on their current ineptitude. But wait, it was done on May 1st? Isn't that an international day for Socialism? But I thought our president was a Socialist, why would he want to take away from that celebration? May 1st has also been a day of action for Hispanics across the country in the last 5 years. Why would he want to take attention away from activism by one of his key voting constituencies? The reality is that if this was an orchestrated farce, it could have had much better timing.
03:38 PM on 05/13/2011
its obvious an article like this was contrived to slander conspiracy theories whether the author intended to or not.

the author of this article should probably do some research instead of pandering to group think. all this article demonstrates is the inability of Americans to think for themselves. something like "oh, everyone else believes it so it must be true". sure ignorant thinking will only result in unreliable information and the degradation of our personal sovereignty.

you want to talk conspiracy theories? last month the FBI released several official documents proving that not only do ET's exist, but our government has had contact with them. the UK national archives did the same in march. http://vault.fbi.gov/UFO and UK archives http://ufos.nationalarchives.gov.uk/ .

see for yourself.

hows that for conspiracy theories? 100% authenticated information straight from the USA and UK governments proving the existence of advanced ET intelligence.

the mainstream media is nothing but an outrageous lie designed to keep people living in a false world of fear, and to exploit the weakness of humanity.

if you want to talk about conspiracy theories look at the facts and think for yourself.
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Aardvaark
I'm a Swedish American, son of China Missionaries
06:01 PM on 05/13/2011
Authenticated? These are raw files. Show me a body. Oops, that's part of the cover-up. You seem to want to take something that, just because it's in a government file, is true.

I've been watching the whole UFO phenomenon since the 50s, and the stories and explanations get more elaborate over time and distance from any supposed event. It's kind of like the way that $cientologists have elaborated on the life of L. Ron Hubbard over time.

Another example I'll use is how people have elaborated on what goes on in the afterlife over time. A big contributor was Dante's account, which many people take as gospel.

When a little green man taps me on the shoulder and proves he really is an extraterrestrial, I'll believe. Until then, they may exist, but I doubt it.

You're a true believer. Nothing's going to change your mind. I'm waiting for concrete proof.
02:58 PM on 05/13/2011
I don't know why conspiracies are so enchanting, but they are. What strikes me about Osama bin Laden is how hard it is to get a fix on what he was. There's a lot of analysis that he was mainly symbolic to terrorists throughout the Muslim world, but he was a symbol to the West to, but of what? Here's my guess: http://blog.unbiasedeye.com/2011/05/lex-luthor-in-turban-great-criminal.html
12:57 PM on 05/13/2011
It seems clear that the US administration/military (much the same these days) did everything it could to eliminate the possibility of anyone independently verifying what happened, including Congress.
04:31 PM on 05/13/2011
they have allowed members of congressional intelligence committees to view all the death photos, some lawmakers have taken them up on that offer and have viewed all 17 bin laden death photos, including those who have no rooting interest in this accomplishment by the president. This refutes your major point here. It also provides more evidence to the fact that 1) you cannot get away with pulling off such a fake event and 2) it wouldn't seem feasible as this situation has appeared to damage our relationship with a key ally in our military aspirations. Pakistan already has a significant portion of our population that sides with al quaida, and their government has nuclear weapons. Furthermore, the government has bin laden's three wives(eyewitnesses to the event) in custody, if they had reason to believe this was all faked, they are actually in good position blow the lid on it. But they cant because its all true.

It's admirable to ask questions. It's not admirable to assume there is deceit before weighing the facts.
12:53 PM on 05/13/2011
"The Pakistani military should be investigated, the government should reveal how much it knew, and the state should commit to a new foreign policy paradigm."

Change "Pakistani" to "US" and I would agree.
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HUFFPOST SUPER USER
gleitz05
Old people are allowed to be cranky.
01:45 PM on 05/13/2011
Why?
02:30 PM on 05/13/2011
Because we are supposed to be some kind of democracy, somehow ruled by the people. The US admin is keeping every aspect of this a secret, after initially spreading multiple false and contradictory statements about what happened. As it stands now, it appears this was a deliberate killing of an unarmed suspect. That's a murder that conveniently disallows any kind of investigation of Bin Laden's role (or not) in 9/11, among many other aleged crimes.

But, maybe it never even happened. We will never know for sure, because Obama had the body, if there was one, dumped at sea. Who ever heard of such a thing? There is no possibility of the people of the US, or even Congress, independently verifying or evaluating our government's actions.

And they act in our name.
01:03 AM on 05/13/2011
Haven't heard any such conspiracy about Osama not being dead. Sounds like a media creation.
02:01 PM on 05/13/2011
Infowars.com, and hes dead, just not everyone agrees when.
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GirlUsingBrain
The most dangerous animal in the forest is man.
02:54 PM on 05/13/2011
Hope this is sarcasm ... if not, just go to any other HP Bin Laden thread and see for yourself.

Conspiracy theorists right here in the US are alive and well ... they do not believe he is dead because they do not believe anything the government says.
HUFFPOST COMMUNITY MODERATOR
ReasonIsMyReligion
Don't know much micro-bio-logy
12:27 PM on 05/12/2011
The bigger threat to America is the doubters here at home, the "afterbirthers" intent on running for President based on home-grown conspiracy theories.
02:01 PM on 05/13/2011
I feel the bigger threat is someone so blind that they cant question stuff and just eat up what the people in charge tell you. Think for your self.
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Aardvaark
I'm a Swedish American, son of China Missionaries
05:09 PM on 05/13/2011
Yeah, and then there's the bloggers who have sources that are never directly identified or verified by separate sources.

A certain amount of skepticism is healthy, but total disbelief, based on theories of bloggers is ridiculous, IMHO. My favorite saying about items like this is, "Time will tell."

The demand for instant news ends up with a lot of mistakes made. When they are corrected, people sniff and say, "Conspiracy." On the other hand, if news is delayed, the mantra is, "Cover up."
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gwinegarden
She's an Arctic Wolf
09:03 AM on 05/12/2011
Nothing would satisfy these "deathers". If the did release the photographs, they would, immediately, claim that the were Photoshopped or staged using a look-alike.
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HUFFPOST SUPER USER
manumoka
02:10 PM on 05/13/2011
I agree; it's not worth the time that it takes to pander to the loonies, and it only makes things worse. Let them enjoy their fantasy worlds.
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HUFFPOST SUPER USER
jaborine
No tea for me
02:50 PM on 05/13/2011
F and F for the name "deathers." I had been racking my brains for the word after concluding the
birthers who remain after the disclosure of the long form birth certificate are "Afterbirthers."
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HUFFPOST SUPER USER
snowmanjny
Real Americans believe in an educated opinion.
08:44 AM on 05/12/2011
He's dead. End of story.
ThinkCreeps
Seriously, it's time.
06:53 AM on 05/12/2011
I already see below that the 911 truthers and the OBL not-deaders/already-deaders are unifying their conspiratorial narratives.

Will we ever get enough thinker/knower/learners?
HUFFPOST SUPER USER
Trustfunded1
08:42 AM on 05/12/2011
You left out non rational thinking blind sheep who trust their government.

Sarcasm
12:08 AM on 05/13/2011
the sheep with lynch mob mentality and people who lie have little tolerance for questions and critical thinking.
They resent questions that threaten their version of events so they use the term conpiracy theorist in an attempt to marginalize people that recognize and question inconsistencies and to change the subject.
It's hardly worth the energy to try to open a mind that is shut down.
This user has chosen to opt out of the Badges program
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toocoolfoschool1234
Stab your television. Get a guitar.
05:55 PM on 05/13/2011
There is nothing wrong with being skeptical of "truths" that are not backed by evidence.
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straightuptalker
What ever happened to common sense?
05:35 AM on 05/12/2011
The world has been done a great disservice by our government's actions in not capturing him, removing all doubt that bin Laden had indeed existed. Is it any wonder many doubt he was actually killed and buried at sea? Personally, I'm one of those doubters whom believe bin Laden was not killed in this recent "victory" but died in 2001 as reported by credible sources. Don't you think this is a ploy by Obama to turn the tables to ensure his victory in 2012? Somebody knows the real truth, and they ain't talking...yet.
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gwinegarden
She's an Arctic Wolf
09:05 AM on 05/12/2011
Does not matter. You would not believe it anyway.
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HUFFPOST SUPER USER
gleitz05
Old people are allowed to be cranky.
01:47 PM on 05/13/2011
So tell us who these credible sources are.
This user has chosen to opt out of the Badges program
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toocoolfoschool1234
Stab your television. Get a guitar.
05:55 PM on 05/13/2011
The FBI
03:14 AM on 05/12/2011
Actually, Osama bin Laden never existed. It's been a gigantic gag on the entire world. Stay tuned.
HUFFPOST SUPER USER
Trustfunded1
12:20 AM on 05/12/2011
CIA and Delta forces reported that drones armed with missles watched UBL leave Tora Bora and into Pakistan in Dec 2001.They were told to stand down.

Christiane Amanpour reported that UBL was living in a villa next to a large ISI military base in 2008.

The ISI has been an arm of the CIA and it's funding since the early 1980's.
The ISI armed and regularly meet with Bin Laden during those years while the CIA micro managed Afghanistans opium production.
http://www.globalresearch.ca/index.php?context=va&aid=7713

There's no conspiracy,UBL was always a CIA asset.
He was terminally ill with renal failure and most recently a stroke Dr. Sanjay Gupta even reported it on CNN.
Not being able to live thru a trial and not wanting him to die an unrecognized natural death we decided to harvest him for political propaganda.

Never waste a good crisis or a political propaganda event.
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Kache
Toodlum, wake up, I hear a prowler downstairs
01:04 AM on 05/12/2011
You've proven the author's point - conspiracies abound!
03:06 AM on 05/12/2011
I'm whistling the theme song from Twilight Zone.
MRITechnologist
your micro bio is empty as a GOTPers soul
01:57 PM on 05/13/2011
X-files fits also.
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The Lone Stranger
Yes, I am a lousy typist. OK!
10:55 PM on 05/11/2011
You want a great freakin conspiracy? try this one on for size: Some people think that the planets actual influence our lives throught their movements across the firlds of the stars because some joker says so in the news paper every day so it must be true.

Or better yet Millions of Americans have this unshakable belief that their is this invisible all powerful imaginery friend with no body that watches over them and dabbles in changing the outcome of super bowls.

These things alwasy boil down to the human desire to be in on a secret and to feel important.
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Kache
Toodlum, wake up, I hear a prowler downstairs
11:54 PM on 05/11/2011
I'll be your Tonto, Lone Stranger - good points.

I sometimes think the main thing that separates humans from other animals is that we get bored so easily that we start making up stuff to think about. Try hanging out with your cat all day.
MRITechnologist
your micro bio is empty as a GOTPers soul
02:00 PM on 05/13/2011
These things alwasy boil down to the human desire to be in on a secret and to feel important.
BINGO!
The theorist in my life all have a common trait. They like to act as if I'm not smart enough to realise the govt is fooling me. They however are all too clever for it to work on them. Conversations allways end up with the entire world being in on the conspiracy. And you cannot point out to them that if the entire world is in on it, then it is most definately NOT a conspiracy.
lqw
Justmyopinion
10:34 PM on 05/11/2011
Had Obama release a picture the day it happened we wouldn't be having this conversation now. End of story.
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Kache
Toodlum, wake up, I hear a prowler downstairs
11:22 PM on 05/11/2011
Ever hear of photoshop? Convincing pictures of a dead bin Laden have been available for years on the internet. And there will be videos of bin Laden with audio make-overs to convince people he's still alive. Technology is just as good at displaying fantasy as it is at displaying reality.
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Readbetweentheelevens
"You can't turn the wind, so turn the sail."
01:09 AM on 05/12/2011
Can you show us a photo of Bin Laden dead you feel is convincing?
03:12 AM on 05/12/2011
I'm waiting for the video.