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Michael P. McDonald

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Ohio Democrats Move to Block Republican Congressional Gerrymander

Posted: 10/16/11 07:41 PM ET

Cincinnati.com reports that Friday evening, the Ohio Supreme Court ruled in a unanimous decision that Democrats can proceed with a petition gathering drive to place a referendum on the November 2012 ballot that would overturn the state's Republican congressional gerrymander. (The Court is composed of 6 Republicans and 1 Democrat.) If the petition drive is successful, it would be up to a court to decide if the state government's adopted Republican gerrymander will be used for the 2012 congressional elections.

Ohio Democratic Party actions have important consequences for the battle to control the House of Representatives in 2012. Working with Draw the Line Ohio, I enabled an analysis of the partisan consequences of the Republican map indicating that Republicans would be favored to win in 12 of the 16 congressional districts. The Ohio Republican gerrymander is of similar caliber to those adopted by Republicans who control the redistricting process in other key states by virtue of their 2010 victories in state government elections. For the most part, these Republican gerrymanders seek to lock in Republican gains in the 2012 election. Blocking the Ohio Republican gerrymander will move the needle in the Democratic direction for control of the House of Representatives, perhaps by as much as four seats if a court institutes a fair map.

Here is how the situation will likely play out. Republicans can negotiate with Democrats over the map as Democrats gather their signatures. If they decide not to and Democrats gather enough signatures to place the referendum on the ballot, a court will decide which districts the congressional elections will be held under. The Republican redistricting law cannot automatically take effect since that law's legality is being challenged at the voting booth, a tactic Democrats are also using to block a change in Ohio's early voting law. The court could order elections proceed using the Republican gerrymander or it may very well enact one drawn by a court-appointed special master. Perhaps the special master will consider incorporating elements from one of the 53 plans submitted to the Ohio Redistricting Competition -- all of which scored better on compactness, minimizing county splits, partisan fairness, and district competition than the Republican gerrymander.

What started out as a promising round of redistricting for the Republicans to shore up their vulnerable incumbents through gerrymandering may turn ultimately turn out to be a disappointment. Republicans are complaining about maps put forth by the Arizona and California citizen redistricting commissions. Court action -- either potential or underway -- in Colorado, Florida, New York, Ohio, Texas, and Virginia may cost the Republicans seats in places they thought they would protect their own or expand their congressional majority. There are still a lot of uncertainty, so while Democrats may not by uncorking the champagne, they have at least a little to be cheered about from what initially looked to be a dismal round of redistricting from their standpoint.

 
Cincinnati.com reports that Friday evening, the Ohio Supreme Court ruled in a unanimous decision that Democrats can proceed with a petition gathering drive to place a referendum on the November 2012 b...
Cincinnati.com reports that Friday evening, the Ohio Supreme Court ruled in a unanimous decision that Democrats can proceed with a petition gathering drive to place a referendum on the November 2012 b...
 
 
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08:11 PM on 10/18/2011
Ahh, the corrupt labor unions continue to protect their turf...exploiting the Ohio taxpayers to fund their bloated public works projects, to pay for the lavish labor union pensions and healthcare plans, and their guaranteed annual raises in their guaranteed jobs for life. Ohio taxpayers simply can't afford this amymore.
07:44 PM on 10/17/2011
While I don't have to like it, Redistricting is the Spoils that go to the party that triumphs at the state level at the end of each decade. If President Obama hadn't done such an awful job leading up to the 2010 elections, Ohio Democrats might still have a seat at the Redistricting table.

At either the state level or the national level, a law could be passed to require that all Congressional Distict borders consist of a single straight north/south or east/west line on each side, except for state and international borders that create a jagged edge. However, the party in power is never willing to surrender their electoral advantage, so this will never happen.
HUFFPOST PUNDIT
ThatsTheTheWayItIs
religion, ideology, partisanship are delusional
02:53 PM on 10/17/2011
Should be noted, was invented here in MA:

http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Gerrymandering
04:56 PM on 10/17/2011
Might have been born and bred in MA, but certainly I have no doubt that it has been honed to perfection in Texas by the GOP.
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HUFFPOST SUPER USER
election2012
An independent voice for the greater good.
02:51 PM on 10/17/2011
Oh that's good. Republicans resorting to nonsensical district lines to stack the deck in their favor? And the move is being challenged, possibly giving Democrats more seats in the House. Democrats are finally putting up a fight.
01:47 PM on 10/17/2011
Rubepublicans love democracy as long as it makes them winners every time otherwise do all they can to undermine and rig it. Is that what patriots do? Wouldn't a real patriot want every American to exercise their most important civic duty and do all they can to make it as easy as possible? Redistricting should not be done by any political party. Rubepublicans are the opposite of all they claim..
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dmsdzinr
Progression wit a twist of sarcasm.
01:09 PM on 10/17/2011
WAKE UP Ohio! The TP/GOP you voted into office is now DESTROYING Ohio.
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HUFFPOST PUNDIT
ThunderclapNewman
There's Something In the Air
01:03 PM on 10/17/2011
Redistricting should never be in the hands of one political party.

it should---by law---always be non-partisan and gerrymandering should be illegal.
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yukonsam
This space reserved for self-referential irony.
12:55 PM on 10/17/2011
Most democracies that came into being after the U.S. declared independence have learned from our errors and instituted a system of proportional representation rather than a winner-take-all system. There are minuses to a proportional system, but redistricting fights between the Huge Corporate Right Party and the Huge Corporate Center Party are not one of them.
12:45 PM on 10/17/2011
This is the real battleground and Democrats in every state better wake up and act or be left behind. The Republicons have their RED STATE PLAN paid for by some of their big money boys. All the Democrats have in this battle is people, but that's a pretty potent force when harnessed effectively.
01:09 PM on 10/17/2011
Get real. All redistricting goes through the Justice Dept. that is loaded with libs trying desperately to stay in control of the sheeple.
01:39 PM on 10/17/2011
So much of the US is now in the hands of pols that were selected and placed in office via money fronted by the Koch brothers or other corporate interests. Wake up Ohio. Learn from WI. They are paying dearly for electing a GOPher governor that takes his orders from the Koch brothers not the citizens of WI.
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HUFFPOST SUPER USER
Mikel Moore
My microbio is empty, by choice...
02:36 PM on 10/17/2011
I'll get real when you show some concrete examples of your assertion.
01:23 PM on 10/17/2011
Except for all of those blue states that have democrats gerrymandering the districts in their states. As is the case in MD.

It should be illegal.
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HUFFPOST SUPER USER
P A T R I O T
We's loves the USA so much that we hate 99% of it.
12:35 PM on 10/17/2011
Dabgummit!

Them thar dems is gonna preevent us paytreeuts from preventin' the minorities to vote!
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12:19 PM on 10/17/2011
It is funny how Republican-leaning states like OH and FL are under fire for Republican gerrymandering, but Democratically-led redistricting continues in places like IL and CA.

I love double standards.
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NVEd
I love mountains.
12:11 PM on 10/17/2011
For anyone wanting to check out gerrymandering here is a wikipedia web link:

http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Gerrymandering
HUFFPOST SUPER USER
Cayce58
12:01 PM on 10/17/2011
The good thing about this is that the court didn't vote the party line. I wonder what the justices that enabled GW to win Florida think of their party now.
12:46 PM on 10/17/2011
They think they won.
The Right is Wrong
Voting for the good guys since 1976!
12:00 PM on 10/17/2011
Repugs are trying to prevent people from voting.

That is all I need to know.
01:11 PM on 10/17/2011
I think the correct phrase is Republicans are trying to keep people, illegal's and the deceased from voting more than once.
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HUFFPOST SUPER USER
Radar335
An eye for an eye and the world goes blind.
01:24 PM on 10/17/2011
You do not cut off your entire chin to shave the beard.

Fraud voting is a minor problem compared to the denial of votes from large groups.
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HUFFPOST SUPER USER
Mikel Moore
My microbio is empty, by choice...
02:37 PM on 10/17/2011
Try backing that up with some facts instead of making baseless accusations.
11:49 AM on 10/17/2011
I think that the only fair way to redistrict the states, is to let the citizen draw the lines. I am from Charleston, SC and part of the city is in the 1st Congressional District and the other part is in the 6th district...the way I see it, cities and counties should be wholly enclosed in one district. Also districts should not be based on political affiliation, but region. Each region has roughly the same needs, therefore should be in one district.
01:13 PM on 10/17/2011
Well said. In NC redistricting they are all worried about the black vote instead of the people's vote resulting in some absurd Districts. Want to bet they are upheld?