Last Tuesday, Hillary Clinton reversed her political slide, which had been greased by so many in the Media who gave disproportionate import to the primaries and caucuses Barack Obama won in the days following Super Tuesday. Last Wednesday's headlines gave some begrudging indication -- almost a harumph -- that she'd done rather well with her ten point victory in Ohio and comeback stance in Texas, which she won by 3.5%. Of course, people tried to take that one away from her, noting that she'd previously been ahead by a much greater margin. However, she was ahead all last year by double digits and had clearly fallen to the extent that she was actually termed behind in Texas on Primary Day. Thus, to have made a recovery with a convincing win of more than a hundred thousand votes might well have been deemed the start of a trend as opposed to the opinions posed by those who can't wait to write her political epitaph.

Notice that in the above description of last Tuesday's electoral events, I didn't mention Obama's landslide victory in Vermont, nor did I make note of Hillary's equally large win in Rhode Island. Nothing against these beautiful and picturesque states, but their political significance next to mega states such as Ohio and Texas pales in comparison.

That's why I've been lately so appalled by the media's salivation over almost any news story, which it needs to sell papers or build broadcast ratings. Why the so-called pundits -- especially those on TV, who are so well-paid to give their opinion -- try to hype an event that is not really an event just to seduce the viewers and lure them to their respective channels.

Suddenly, all interest last Saturday was on little Wyoming, the nation's least populous state and with almost no chance of going in the Democratic column for whoever is the Democratic standard bearer. Not to mention the fact that it is a caucus, which by definition, is not nearly as representative or participatory as primaries wherein so many more people cast their ballots. And even with Wyoming, where there was admittedly a much larger voter turnout than ever before and with the voters overwhelmingly for the better organized Obama, the actual delegate dispensation was in the order of seven for him and five for Clinton.

If you landed from Mars, or perhaps even from Europe, and were not well-versed in the American political system you would have thought by the headlines on Sunday that, though Obama had slipped last Tuesday, he was back in form having whipped Hillary. If you had no idea -- even apart from Wyoming's political leanings -- that Ohio and Texas dwarfed the mountain state you would have gotten a much different sense of the total picture.

And now with Mississippi, a relatively small state with only 33 delegates that almost always votes Republican in presidential elections, there is so much press attention and expectation for the primary, although with more than half the Democrats African American, there is little suspense as to who will win. So they needn't bother to even wait for the returns, because they have already termed this contest as much more important than it really is, even as another huge state, Pennsylvania, looms in the distance.

I guess the fact that Pennsylvania is six weeks away, and a state where Hillary is currently favored to win, has put a pall over media coverage, so they had to continue to spike the interest by somewhat equalizing Hillary's big state victories in effect conning us into thinking that Wyoming and Mississippi are akin to Ohio and Texas. This, just as they continue to cite the total of Obama's state wins -- I believe James Carville said it best on CNN tonight when he said in closing something to the effect of "How many Idahos make up California?"

If Obama ultimately wins, I won't be shattered and I'll vote for him enthusiastically against the reactionary candidate whom the Republicans have apparently nominated. But let him get there without such false pandering by the media. Let him excite us to the extent that he somehow wins a state that matters, such as Pennsylvania. Let him win the do-overs now widely assumed to be on track when they occur in Michigan and Florida.

And if Hillary intends to triumph, let her do so by putting her all into the campaign, not by suckering us with a possible Obama VP candidacy. I don't discount the notion just because he and she are engaged in such a spirited campaign. In fact, the idea of an antagonist as a running mate is not so farfetched, when you consider that John F. Kennedy chose Lyndon B. Johnson and Ronald Reagan chose George H. W. Bush. It is ill founded, however, and I think the Obama forces are correct when they supply the retort, which Hillary and her managers should have foreseen. If, as she declares, Obama is not good enough for the top spot, why would he be a good understudy? That's a campaign attack ready made for McCain and his minions when the make or break action starts in September.

There's another elephant in the room, though, and while I'm hesitant to bring it up it's something of which I'm almost certain a lot of folks are thinking. While it's remarkable that of all the Democratic candidates the two who rose to the top were among ethnic and gender groups that have never been elected president, do Democrats, who badly hunger for a return to the White House, want to risk it by attempting to break two glass ceilings at once?

It would be lovely to presume that Americans are prejudice free and only want what's best for us all, but we have seen time and again that real change occurs in incremental steps. Whoever wins the nomination will make great strides for us as a people and will no doubt, by doing so, help all other such previously sidelined bands of citizenry make headway in the years to come.

In the meantime, wouldn't it be nice if the press were more concerned about putting things in proper perspective instead of just trying to make money by selling their wares in print and over the air waves?


 
 

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Just let me add one thought here. Don't forget about the congressional seats in those small states. Obama is bringing in lots of new voters to the democratic party and re-energizing the ones all ready there. Maybe the state will go for McCain in the fall, but maybe pockets of dems can add members to the congress. Hillary sure isnt bringing in many new voters except for Limbaugh's republican crossovers trying to throw the election.

    Favorite    Flag as abusive Posted 08:29 AM on 03/13/2008

Russnow misses the point just like the Clinton campaign misses the point, the media reports MS and WY, not only b/c they hapen to be American states but bcause:

1. Obama already has a 100 delegate lead, and he did so by running in every state. Thus, little states matter. Anyone who has ever gotten drunk on an airplane knows that a lot of little bottles add up to a great big bottle. He leads in states won, popular vote, and delegates, and part of that is made up of states like WY, which is why it is important. Russnow and Clinton wnant to say that these states don't matter, but I thnk Obama has shown them that they really don't know what they are talking about. What is thei solution, we only hold primaries in states that we are absolutely sure are going to vote Democat in the GI? Moronic.

2. Wins in WY, MS and the Texas caucus, as well as in superdelegates within the last week hae erased whateve headway Clinton got by winning OH. Get it Sussmow, if Hillary getting a 9 point advantage is big news, so is Obama erasing that advantage.

3. Unlike you and all the other Hillary hacks, the media feels the need to cover the whole story. I know, I know, it seems grossly unfair that the media won't stay focused for weeks at a time solely on the minority number of states that she won. It should really be more like this, "Tonight there was a caucus in WY, which we will not cover or announce the results b/c WY people are not Americans, and we are going to revisit how Hillary won CA over a month ago."

Buy yourself a map and see if you can find where your credibility went to.

    Favorite    Flag as abusive Posted 03:05 AM on 03/12/2008

Thank you for helping perpetuate a myth spread by the GOP for several years. That myth is of the Democratic Party of liberal elitism which cares nothing for the small state residents, only for the large urban population center voters.

In addition it seems your current article is guilty of the same sin of which it accuses others. What real purpose does it serve?

    Favorite    Flag as abusive Posted 07:13 PM on 03/11/2008
- Michael Russnow - Huffpost Blogger I'm a Fan of Michael Russnow

I'm taking the trouble to reply to this response, but am also using it to answer a few others who have similarly misconstrued my remarks.

I am not discounting small states, but merely pointing out that individually they do not equal large states. This doesn't mean that the voters in small states are not important, simply that the electoral votes in their states do not equal the large states in a side by side comparison.

In particular, I was referring to the Media's giving equal import to wins in Wyoming (a caucus state) and possibly Mississippi (which holds a primary) in contrast to victories in larger states such as Ohio and Texas. And that the eleven wins the Media used to declare Obama as unstoppable after Super Tuesday were not collectively as important as the ones Hillary Clinton won on Super Tuesday.

These are pre-convention elections by the way and have little to do with whether either of the two Democratic front-runners will have a chance to score any of those states in their column in November. And to be fair, just as I've pooh-poohed Obama's chances in Mississippi and Wyoming in November, I would also cast Clinton's probable circumstances the same in states that she won such as Texas, Oklahoma and Arizona.

The point of my article, and I'll repeat it once more to make it crystal clear, was to demonstrate that the Media hypes electoral triumphs in a manner that is not realistic, just to keep fanning the flames of public interest so that they will get higher ratings or sell more newspapers. To tout Wyoming and Mississippi as indications that the tide has turned back to Obama after wins by Hillary in Ohio and Texas is utter nonsense. It doesn't mean that these states might not be pivotal in a close election, as were some small states in 2000 and 2004. It means exactly what it says. You can't and shouldn't give equal import to every victory by either candidate.

If Hillary wins Pennsylvania and Obama wins North Carolina that is a suitable comparison. But to say that there is a comeback for Obama if Hillary wins Indiana, a medium-sized state and he wins in a small state like West Virginia the following week is absurd. And in any event it doesn't at all mean that either candidate shouldn't try his or her damndest to win all the states possible in the general election.

    Favorite    Flag as abusive Posted 07:38 PM on 03/11/2008

BUT HE WON TEXAS DIDN'T HE SO WHAT REALLY IS YOUR POINT?

    Favorite    Flag as abusive Posted 10:10 PM on 03/11/2008

I took two phases for the press to go to the toilet.
First they were suddenly expected to make a profit.
Then they fell asleep at the wheel from the beginning on of the national race in 2000.
And rather than be jarred awake, they keep glancing off the guard rails...

    Favorite    Flag as abusive Posted 03:00 PM on 03/11/2008

"I believe James Carville said it best on CNN tonight when he said in closing something to the effect of 'How many Idahos make up California?'"

Sure, those 29 states that Obama's won? Who needs 'em?

"... a caucus, which by definition, is not nearly as representative or participatory as primaries wherein so many more people cast their ballots."

Got it. Every vote that was cast in Iowa, Nevada, Alaska, Colorado, Idaho, Kansas, Minnesota, North Dakota, Nebraska, Washington, Maine, Hawaii, Texas, and Wyoming was a caucus vote and therefore meaningless. Discard them all!

    Favorite    Flag as abusive Posted 12:28 PM on 03/11/2008

Oh My Lord! Huffington Post is as guilty as anyone is when it comes to misleading headlines about everything!!!!!!!!
You've made my day, demonstrating that the media can't see the forest for the trees! Talk about the pot calling the kettle black!

    Favorite    Flag as abusive Posted 09:40 AM on 03/11/2008

Wouldn't it be lovely if both candidates would go back to Washington for a few weeks, do the actual jobs they're being paid for and limit interviews to legislative issues? We could all use a break in this media circus.

    Favorite    Flag as abusive Posted 09:19 AM on 03/11/2008

Amazing, you mean the newspapers keep reporting what is new rather than rereporting the information that would be best for the Clinton campaign. What are these guys thinking?

What is funny is the degree to which the journalists, for reasons of their own, have been pushing the most important Clinton spin, namely that this is a razor close race. The reality is that the Democrats through proportional representation have created a system in which it is hard to make a move in delegates. This means that Obama has actually built a rather large lead, in fact one that is insurmountable in any straightforward way. That is why she is reduced to considering trying to poach pledged delegates.

But, of course, the journalists are not spinning Clinton's way because they prefer Clinton. They are spinning Clinton's way because it makes for an exciting story for the race to go down to the wire, and so they are trying to make it so.

But this Clinton spin that only some states count has been taken too seriously by the press, not not seriously enough.

    Favorite    Flag as abusive Posted 09:14 AM on 03/11/2008

You know, this crap about the media unfairness to her, or to hime, orf to whomever, is just BS. What a tired subject. Isn't it amply apparent by now that the media is just a pack of wolves that will pounce on any fresh meat and work it over?? In particular, they love the kind of story that will perpetuate the longest and/or spawn more stories.

Sure. Blame the media. Why not?? Beats having to take responsibility yourself.

    Favorite    Flag as abusive Posted 09:04 AM on 03/11/2008

I think you did forget that Obama won more delegates in Texas. In addition, you failed to mention that Hillary stole the election by PUTTING out that photo of Obama dressed in Muslin garb, that is why 60 minutes got involved in it. She exploited that NAFTA/Canada memo, knowing that her people met with Canadian officials as well. I cannot believe that you people want the the Clintons back in office with all the dirt. Bill Clinton LIED to the American people (I did not sleep with that woman) Hillary knew about it. The Clintons had 8 years to prove themselves. The said you get 2 for 1 going into the White House and now they want another 8 years. When she is finished then Jeb Bush is coming and the Clintons daughter after that. I am sick of it all. I would rather vote for Obama or McCain first.

    Favorite    Flag as abusive Posted 08:55 AM on 03/11/2008

I see you've bought into Hillary's foolish arrogance - small states 'don't really count', states she loses 'don't really count', states with caucuses 'don't really count', states that typically vote republican 'don't really count'. she's writing off half the country - how does that bode for dems in November? you both seem oblivious to the fact that Obama is leading in every meaningful way. if their situations were reversed, would Obama still be in the race? of course not. the pundits giveth and they taketh away - on both sides. and you don't mention the early voting in those 'big ' states - when people still thought Hillary had it clinched when they cast their votes.
why can't she 'close the deal' if she's doing so well, this woman who still has a huge edge in name recognition and a following of folks who think her hubby was the best thing we've had in decades? this woman who for more than a year had double digit leads in the polls in almost every state? this woman who has political ties going back decades, people who will stand behind her come what may for their own political gain? can you tell me that? why can't she close the deal?

    Favorite    Flag as abusive Posted 08:48 AM on 03/11/2008

As far as the media hype: you're right. But in everything else, you sure seem to go out of your way to dismiss all Obama's wins and exaggerate Clinton's wins. First it's that the media hyped Obama's wins too much after Super Tuesday. Well, he won 12 in a row. That's not hype, that's the truth. I doubt you'd be complaining if those were Clinton wins. Then, here we go again dismissing small states. Are small states not in America anymore? 12 small states don't add up to the significance of Texas? Please! And then, we're off to dismissing caucauses. I'd argue that caucases are MORE representative, because everyone is absolutely SURE their vote is counted. No hackable touch screens here, thanks. Just a show of hands. How much more democratic can you get? I'd bet if Clinton had won all the Caucus states, your tune would be a bit different. And did we just start having caucuses this year or something? Nobody seemed to have a problem with them before.

And then you dismiss the fact that Clinton LOST POINTS IN HER LEAD in both Texas and Ohio. In Texas she lost 16.5 points of her "momentum" in the last month. And Obama WON Texas in the delegate count. But according to your spin, Clinton WAS actually the "underdog" in those states, because of her previous poor showing after Super Tuesday. Wait. I thought those states didn't count? Which is it then, sir?
Then you start downplaying the next states Obama's about to win. Again, they don't count. Why don't you just come out and say: The only states that count are the ones Clinton won. Period.
Small states. Caucus states. Media spin.

Excuse after excuse after excuse. It's getting increasingly desperate out there, isn't it?
This is pathetic.

    Favorite    Flag as abusive Posted 08:29 AM on 03/11/2008

Of course we don't want to mention that Clinton won Ohio and Texas with the help of right wing racists and they certainly won't have these votes in november unless Clinton wins the nomination and tries to out race bait McCain which we now know she is quite capable of doing.

    Favorite    Flag as abusive Posted 07:39 AM on 03/11/2008

This is in itself spin . . . What's the chance that Democrats will take Texas in November? Absolutely, 0. You've written a beautiful article and it makes you seem smart, but, if this is your reasoning, I would suggest you go back and take a high school government course and maybe a mathematics course. There is an agent of change permeating through the country. The first states that would be impacted would be the smaller to mid-sized states because it would take less of an affect to sway a smaller number of people. The last states to be impacted would be the larger states. Obviously, states that were marginal to begin with would be easily swayed. What this means is this:

1). If George Clooney was running for President as a Democrat, there's a reasonable expection that he would carry NJ and CA, and all the other large states that vote Democratic. Republicans have not made gains in any state since the 2004. By and large, their victories have been on the decline. The idea that they would make gains or even challenge in states that they lost in 2004 is ridiculous.

2.) In a year that there is extreme discontent with what is the longest war in US history, smaller states, that marginally went to the Republicans in 2004, that have been impacted adversely by the war and by the economy could be won by Democrats. I would include Nevada (2004, R Bush - 50.47%; D Kerry - 47.88%), Minnesota (2004, R Bush - 51.09%; D Kerry - 47.61%); Iowa (2004, R Bush - 49.90%; D Kerry - 49.23%); and Colorado (2004, R Bush - 51.69%; D Kerry - 47.02%). Iowa went to Democrats in 2000 as they selected Al Gore over George Bush. In 2004, the difference in the popular vote in Iowa was 10,000 people out of the 1.5 million votes cast. Missouri should also be considered in play. Missouri went to Republicans in 2000, and 2004. However, in 2004, the margin was trended towards Democrats who lost the popular vote by 195,000 votes out of the 2.7 million votes cast.

3.) The large states that were marginal are Ohio (2004, R Bush - 50.82%; D Kerry - 48.70%) and Florida (2004, R Bush - 52.10; D Kerry - 47.09%). In 2004, the difference in the popular vote in Florida was 400,000 people out of the 8 million votes cast. Florida may or may not be in play in 2008. They recently elected a Republican governor who is very popular, so it is somewhat unlikely.

Ohio and Florida account for 47 electoral college votes. Nevada, Iowa, Colorado, Minnesota and Missouri account for 41 electoral college votes. So, to say that the smaller states are any less important is false. I won't make the same assumption that you imply which is that a win by either Hilary Clinton or Barack Obama in a Democratic primary equates to a loss by the other candidate in the general election. The one assumption I made is that a stated carried by Kerry/Edwards in 2004 would go to either Democratic candidate in the general. Again, the idea that the Republicans would gain a state in this climate is insane.

    Favorite    Flag as abusive Posted 06:49 AM on 03/11/2008

This is snark, isn't it? I mean, there's no way possible that you could have written this in all earnestness, is there?

    Favorite    Flag as abusive Posted 03:57 AM on 03/11/2008

Nice one, Mr. Russnow.

I, too, wish we could advance beyond the endless circular hype, posturing, and puffery, and focus on the real prize. And, like you, I have my concerns about the twin elephants in our political living room.

As a bi-racial woman living in a very conservative, very white state, I am only too aware that misogeny and racism are both alive and well. (And I'm pretty sure that if polled, the citizens of my state would swear t'were not so!) My state doesn't almost always vote Republican...

...It ALWAYS votes Republican. And it always votes for men in the highest offices. By a landslide. It's a hard place to be a voting Democrat, believe me.

So I completely agree with you. No matter which candidate gets the nomination, there are bigger things at stake than personalities. And no matter who the candidate, he or she will not have an easy trip to the White House. It's time to focus.

    Favorite    Flag as abusive Posted 02:34 AM on 03/11/2008

Let me take a break from my blistering Clinton bashing to commend you russnow. It is the media that have created this circus of sound bites that passes for public discourse from which we now suffer. You could not get a camera focused on you long enough to say anything substantial if you tried. If you set yourself on fire while you were talking maybe.

It codifies and cements the notion that Americans have no attention span. It plays into the hands of madison avenue subliminal suggestion and generally makes a mockery of the public's right to know and be informed before they pull the lever. And worst of all, puts the keys to the kingdom in the hands of big money instead of in the hands, hearts and minds of the public.

Clinton is this system, perfected. Obama less so. Crap, couldn't stop myself from Clinton bashing.

    Favorite    Flag as abusive Posted 02:01 AM on 03/11/2008

If hillary had 50 "victories" -- big-state or not -- like Texas, Obama would be president because he won a majority of the Texas delegates. Tell me why the media is forgetting to mention the caucus results. Or just tell me why you forgot.

    Favorite    Flag as abusive Posted 01:56 AM on 03/11/2008

andhakar: ",,, Tell me why the media is forgetting to mention the caucus results." ????

Please, please, tell me I'm mistaken if I think you are seriously equating caucus results with the November election.

    Favorite    Flag as abusive Posted 12:45 PM on 03/11/2008

this isn't the november election. get a calendar. it's the primaries.

    Favorite    Flag as abusive Posted 05:27 PM on 03/11/2008

The media hasn't mention the Texas delegate count, because it is still being tallied. The tally in delegate terms translates to a tie, 92-92, according to NBC. Nine delegates from the state have yet to be awarded. We won't know the official results until Texas has the senatorial and county conventions on March 29.

This came from a good reliable source if you care to read for yourself, at:

http://www.allheadlinenews.com/articles/7010289120

***

    Favorite    Flag as abusive Posted 04:03 AM on 03/11/2008

"Let him excite us to the extent that he somehow wins a state that matters, such as Pennsylvania."

You can't be serious. Sorry, but Massachusetts, California, New Jersey and Rhode Island don't matter. In November, they will be blue if the nominee is Britney Spears. States that matter: How about Colorado, Wisconsin, Missouri, Minnesota, Iowa, Washington and Virginia? Does Maryland matter? Illinois? Connecticut? Maine? Obama won all of them.

    Favorite    Flag as abusive Posted 01:37 AM on 03/11/2008
- Michael Russnow - Huffpost Blogger I'm a Fan of Michael Russnow

I referred to Pennsylvania as a state that matters in contrast to Mississippi and Wyoming, which, for Democratic realistic expectations in November, as well as population comparisons, do not.

Re the states you mention, you conveniently left out Ohio and Texas, which Hillary won, as well as Arkansas, Tennessee and Oklahoma, Arizona and New Mexico -- not to mention NY and California.

Some of the states in both candidates' columns will undoubtedly go Democratic no matter who the nominee is, and others such as Colorado and Virginia (Obama's), and Oklahoma and Arizona (Hillary's) will probably be won by the Republican candidate.

Please also note that almost half of Obama's victories have been won in caucuses, which are by no means a determinate of who will conquer the electorate in the fall, not to mention the fact that many of those caucuses have been in Republican small states such as Wyoming, Idaho, Alaska, North Dakota and Kansas.

    Favorite    Flag as abusive Posted 01:49 AM on 03/11/2008

as i recall, gore would be prez right now if he'd one just one of those insignificant states: missouri, arkansas, tenn, etc. you're so short-sighted in your bromide, and you're flat out wrong.

    Favorite    Flag as abusive Posted 05:29 PM on 03/11/2008

Nor is a primary a good indicator of who will win in the fall. That's the underlying mistake in your reasoning. What the Dems need is purple states with huge Dem turnout plus support from independents. I repeat: Colorado, Virginia, Washington, Minnesota, Wisconsin, Missouri, Iowa. And hey, good luck with that big, important state that Hillary won: Arizona!

    Favorite    Flag as abusive Posted 01:32 PM on 03/11/2008

You wanna talk Ohio? Let's talk Ohio. Who did Ohio go to last election, hm? Yeah. It was the Republicans. So I'm not surprised at all the Democrats there went for Clinton - she's the closest we've got to Republican. If she's the nominee, she'll draw ALL Republicans out of the woodwork in droves to rally behind McCain in the general. So if you want to lose again, let's talk Ohio.

    Favorite    Flag as abusive Posted 08:37 AM on 03/11/2008

"always Votes republican."

And this is where we diverge. There is no state that "Always Votes", be it Blue, Red, or Green.

There are only states that we lose-- or that we give up on before trying.

50 states, not 15.

    Favorite    Flag as abusive Posted 01:08 AM on 03/11/2008
- Michael Russnow - Huffpost Blogger I'm a Fan of Michael Russnow

If you're going to quote me, please do so accurately. I said "almost always votes Republican." And sadly, in the case of Mississippi, this is quite true.

    Favorite    Flag as abusive Posted 01:26 AM on 03/11/2008

well, there's a lot of talk right now that miss. could go blue. but i guess w/ figures like you dismissing the possibility and suggesting that miss. et al are unimportant and insignificant, we can just cross them off the list. that's plain dumb.

    Favorite    Flag as abusive Posted 05:31 PM on 03/11/2008
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