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Dr. Michael Sharnoff

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Jordanians and Palestinians at a New Crossroad

Posted: 04/18/2012 3:06 pm

In the past decade, the Jordanian government has initiated a controversial policy of rescinding the citizenship of thousands of Palestinians. On April 12, Jordan announced it will also invalidate the passports of Palestinians affiliated with the Palestinian Authority and Palestine Liberation Organization. This harsh action has had little public outcry or opposition. There has been little if any threatening reaction from Palestinians and these reports have gone largely unnoticed in Western media.

Why is this relevant? The stability and territorial integrity of Jordan is also a priority for the United States, a key ally. In the 1950s and 60s, the United States supported Jordan's moderate views as a bulwark against Egyptian President Gamal Abdel Nasser's radical Arab nationalist philosophy and supported Jordan's pro-Western orientation to counter the spread of Communism in the Middle East. Today, the U.S. continues to provide aid to the Hashemite Kingdom as a reward for establishing diplomatic relations with Israel in 1994. Tensions between Israel and Jordan have been reduced, and economic cooperation has increased.

Consequently, since 2004, Jordan has been working behind the scenes in promoting the King's moderate and tolerant vision of Islam known as the Amman Message which seeks to reduce the threat of radicalism and extremism. Moreover, with a small GDP and few natural resources, Jordan has nonetheless played an important role in accepting thousands of Iraqi and Syrian refugees.

As I have previously noted, King Abdullah's anxiety will not abate as long as the Israeli-Palestinian conflict persists. In this diplomatic deadlock and in the absence of a resolution resembling a two-state solution, Abdullah will continue taking extreme measures to distinguish Jordanian and Palestinian identities and prevent the implantation by some who advocate "al-watan al-badil" (the alternative homeland).

The King has frequently gone out of his way to assert that "Jordan is Jordan" and "Palestine is Palestine." He has also encouraged Hamas to dispel the possibility of Jordan serving as a substitute homeland.

Although Abdullah adamantly rejects the notion of Jordan becoming a new "Palestine," he might entertain the possibility of confederation with an independent Palestinian state. However, Abdullah and other Jordanian officials have not yet publicly stated that confederation could occur -- but only after -- and not before an independent Palestinian state is established.

There are signs Palestinians may also support this initiative. During an interview with Mohammed Dajani Daoudi, professor at al-Quds University and founder of Wasatia (moderation), a nonviolent Islamist movement which seeks peaceful coexistence with Israel, he said this process could consist of three stages: "As a first step, a State of Palestine with Arab Jerusalem as its capital should rise; while the second step would be the formation of a confederacy with Jordan." In the third and final stage, which reveals his idealism and optimism, he said: "Eventually, this confederacy may include Israel -- should Israel opt for that."

This scenario provides certain positive benefits for all parties involved. For Jordanians, linkage with the West Bank would help unite families and tribes which had been interconnected until 1967. For Palestinians, confederation with a stable, moderate monarchy would greatly help overcome the power sharing deadlock between rival factions Hamas and Fatah, who currently show no indication of reconciliation. For Israelis, security guarantees could be negotiated more smoothly by Jordanian officials who already maintain diplomatic relations with the Jewish state, thereby reducing the uncertainties a future Palestine would present. For the U.S. and its allies, Jordanian-Palestinian confederation could represent a source of stability and security in the region and would no doubt receive substantial Western assistance as long as overall military and diplomatic responsibilities reside with the authorities in Amman.

 

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Nwo2012
Sue me, I boycott products from the settlements
09:12 PM on 04/22/2012
Shipping millions of Palestinians out of Palestine so Israel can keep their land is an Israeli fantasy.

its not going to happen.
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MelissaGoldman
One moment in time--RIP Whitney
03:16 PM on 04/19/2012
It's a given that jordan will eventually become the palestinian state and the monarch sees the writing on the wall and is trying to delay the inevitable.
While this would undoubtedly destabilize jordan and cause conflict with Israel initially, it's bound to happen and both Israel and the US, as well as the hashemite monarchy may as well get used to the idea now.
The US and the West need to realize once and for all that one cannot achieve true "ally-dom" with an islamic state, not until islam goes through its renaissance.
I'm surprised it's taken the monarch so long to come to this realization....
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lbsaltzman
Permaculture and Sustainability
05:07 PM on 04/22/2012
Whether Palestine is annexed to Jordan, which I doubt will happen, Israel still has to return the land in the West Bank that it has stolen in violation of international law.
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Anybodyseenthepopos
אני כלום בלעדיהם
12:02 PM on 04/19/2012
The "Two State Solution"....

The Arabs get BOTH "Palestine" & "Jordan".

Democratic reform of the Jordanian "Government" would create a Palestinian State in about 1 hour flat.
11:15 AM on 04/19/2012
Jerusalem should never be given up by Israel. Israel has been the only nation in history to enforce freedom of religion in the city that is holy to so many religions. As a reward, Israel should get to keep Jerusalem. No houses of worship have been destroyed under Israeli rule. Nobody has been persecuted because of their religion. The PA and Jordan have both shown that they discriminate against non-Muslims, so they are not fit to rule a multicultural holy city.
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bad spelling grammar
Help save Big Cats from extinction!
03:43 PM on 04/19/2012
No house of worship has been destroyed under Israels rule? You sure about that?
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09:00 AM on 04/19/2012
Lincoln's Secretary of State, William Seward, had his eye on the Caribbean basin, which he, Lincoln, and other cabinet members thought was the ideal place to colonize emancipated slaves. Congress set aside $600,000 for this, and during the Civil War the U.S. also was exploring likely spots in Mexico, British Honduras, Guatemala, Honduras, and Costa Rica -- not always with the permission of the national governments. Yet the second colonization movement was as much a failure as the first had been. A projected African-American colony at Chiriqui on the Isthmus of Panama fell through. In 1863 some 450 American blacks were settled at Isle a Vache in Haiti, but it was a debacle and starvation and smallpox wiped them out.
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Anybodyseenthepopos
אני כלום בלעדיהם
12:04 PM on 04/19/2012
And the point of this history lesson du jour is.....????
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BcemXAHA
אני כלום בלעדיהם
05:10 PM on 04/22/2012
Cihangir is trying to sound smart :)
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Wisdo
semantics shamantics
08:41 AM on 04/19/2012
While a "confederation" with Jordan, Palestine, Israel and possibly Lebanon might make economic sense, humanitarian sense and common sense, again it boils down to when or if the Israelis are willing to end their military occupation and halt their program of annexation by settlement.

Of course the Israelis will never be willing to halt their annexation or their military occupation. Reasons will always be found the circumvent international law and treaties like Oslo are a joke to the Israeli leadership - an Israeli government signature on a treaty is not worth the ink its written with. Inveterate liars like Netanyahu openly boast about destroying such treaties.

Their policy is clear and unchanging: to takeover all of historic Palestine, erase the Palestinians identity, destroy their villages, rename every district, obliterate the past and pretend it never happened. They have been doing this since the founding of the state, have never stopped and are doing it to this day.

Those who challenge them are killed wherever posible, marginalised where not, and the whole enterprise is largely funded by the misguided American public, who also pay with their lives when the inevitable blowback occurs.
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dogpaddle47
Cui Bono
10:34 AM on 04/19/2012
Thank you for an excellent and accurate post. And, there are fewer and fewer of the misguided Americans. We are slowly seeing reality.
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Bar Kokhba
I'd have a micro-bio if I knew how to make one
10:42 AM on 04/19/2012
"to takeover all of historic Palestine, erase Palestinians identity, yada, yada..."West Bank narrative really has little foundation. It only appeared on the stage of history in 1948, when the Hashemite army of Trans-Jordan crossed over its own western border, the Jordan River, which it is named for. The army of Trans-Jordan did so as part of the joint Arab effort to destroy the newly founded Jewish State and push the Jews into the sea. The line of defense that the Jewish army succeeded in holding as they defended Tel Aviv from invasion was later dubbed “The Green Line” because it was marked with green colored crayon on the map that was used at the signing of the Armistice Agreement between Israel and its neighbors in 1949 on the Greek island of Rhodes. In that agreement, the Arab side refused to define the green line as a recognized border, but only as an agreed ceasefire line - nothing more.
Jeane Kirkpatrick, former U.S. Ambassador to the UN said in July, 1989: The sole purpose of creating a “Palestinian people” was to frame it in the perennial struggle against “colonialism”, “imperialism” and “oppression” and to launch a “war of national liberation”, duly endorsed by the UN General Assembly, whose purpose, as Kirkpatrick aptly notes, is “collective legitimization” (of the “Palestinians” and other “underdogs”) and “collective delegimization” (of Israel). She added that this charade is “staged daily for credulous Western audiences whose sympathies are quicker than their comprehension.”
02:27 PM on 04/21/2012
well said to bad most folks will never allow your points to enter into their minds.
09:06 PM on 04/18/2012
There is no need to discuss options with Jordan. Pre-1967 border, full right of return, capital of Jerusalem. Why would we need a federation with Jordan. We have no problem with Jordan. We can discuss a future federation with pre-1967 Israel. We can give no more.
10:53 PM on 04/18/2012
full right of return

ROTHFLMAOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOO.
12:54 PM on 04/19/2012
excellent laugh
F&F
12:49 AM on 04/19/2012
More than just al-watan-al-badil, Jordan is the Palestinian state per provisions of the San Remo Convention which adopted the Balfour Declaration and became a mandate of the League of Nations and, subsequently, the United Nations.

Negotiations over the West Bank and Gaza since 1967 were a concession by Israel on its right to a state from the Jordan River to the sea. Since the PLO has walked away from negotiations, Israel would be within its right annexing the entire West Bank. It has withdrawn from Gaza.

Israel is unlikely to do that but will simple continue in control of Oslo Area C, giving the Palestinians semi-autonomy in Areas A and B.

The elephant in the room is Jordan, the second state of a two-state solution.
10:37 PM on 04/20/2012
You are inserting your own theoretical mis-interpretation.

The area east of the Jordan River was granted as Transjordan at San Remo. The area west of the Jordan River, Palestine. The Acceptance of Balfour at San Remo , stated that the occupying power was " in favour of the establishment in Palestine of a national home for the Jewish people, it being clearly understood that nothing should be done which might prejudice the civil and religious rights of existing non-Jewish communities in Palestine, or the rights and political status enjoyed by Jews in any other country".

There was no mention of Palestine in Transjordan. There was no mention of Israel. Only mention of Palestine, west of the Jordan, and Jewish people and "existing non-Jewish communities in Palestine. Truely, both the existing Non-Jewish and Jewish communities at the time, west of the Jordan River, were Palestinians, those communities of Palestine. There is no other historical interpretation. There is only other theoretical mis-interpreation.
BubbaC33
Jimmy Buffett is the greatest American
08:08 PM on 04/18/2012
In 1922 Transjordan was created to serve as a homeland fo those Arabs unwilling to live with us. Over 70% of the proposed Jewish Homeland was taken for this purpose. In simpler terms, a two-state solution is already in existence no matter what the King of Jordan wants to say or think.
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Wisdo
semantics shamantics
08:31 AM on 04/19/2012
or no matter what the people of Jordan might say or think, or the Palestinians might say or think, or the vast majority of the nations of the world might say or think - because the only people who matter, the only people with any rights whatsoever, are Likudnik Jewish Israelis, right?
BubbaC33
Jimmy Buffett is the greatest American
08:51 AM on 04/19/2012
The vast majority of the nations of the world allowed or helped over 6 million Jews die in the camps.
Jordan was created to be the Arab homeland, it should do what it was created to do.
The Arabs you wrongly label did not have a nation in Judea and Samaria. The land was won by us in a war against Jordan.
There are Arabs and there are Jews. The Arabs have their homeland and I cannot understand why folks like you are not willing to help them claim what is theirs, Jordan.
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tallen
panem et circenses
07:28 PM on 04/18/2012
>>the Jordanian government has initiated a controversial policy of rescinding the citizenship of thousands of Palestinians.

And as we can see from the lack of comments, no one cares---because Israel has nothing to do with it.

The hypocrisy of those who spend hours and post thousands of hateful comments about any story concerning Israel can be no clearer than the lack of those same people posting here.
A Jew with a View
Act justly, love mercy, walk humbly
11:48 PM on 04/18/2012
Leader of Pro-Palestinian Organiztion (LPO)- "We are going to protest the horrible treatment of Palestinians.

Pro-Palistinian activists (PPA)- "We're with you"

LPO - "We will bring the plight of the Palestinians to world attention"

PPA - "We're with you"

LPO - "We will have signs saying "Welcome to Palestine"

PPA - "We're with you"

LPO - "We will land in Amman, Jordan"

PPA - "Forget it"

.
This comment has been removed due to violations of our [Guidelines]
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Marcus047
given up on HP
07:13 PM on 04/18/2012
What a joke. From start to finish, though especially the punch line of israel joining a confederation with palestine and jordan.
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07:06 PM on 04/18/2012
His majesty's august father declared that Jordan is Jordan and Palestine is Jordan too.

And then promptly annexed it to itself.

But then, magnanimously Jordanian monarchy gave W. Bank to Palestinians... right after they lost control of that land.

And this is how it works in the Middle East.
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dogpaddle47
Cui Bono
08:54 AM on 04/19/2012
According to the Israeli Ministry for Public Diplomacy, AllegroTroppo's employer.
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Want2knowY
09:56 AM on 04/19/2012
Is there anything Allegro said that is not fact?
10:56 AM on 04/19/2012
Prove it.
06:27 PM on 04/18/2012
Dr Sharnoff - you state:

"Although Abdullah adamantly rejects the notion of Jordan becoming a new "Palestine," he might entertain the possibility of confederation with an independent Palestinian state. However, Abdullah and other Jordanian officials have not yet publicly stated that confederation could occur -- but only after -- and not before an independent Palestinian state is established."

There is already an independent Palestinian State that applied for and became a member state of UNESCO on 31 October 2011.

None of the 194 member states of UNESCO has sought to have that decision reversed or reviewed by the International Court of Justice on the grounds that Palestine is not a State and is therefore ineligible to be a member of UNESCO.

Until UNESCO's decision is reversed - recognition of the State of Palestine by all member states of UNESCO stands.

Have these facts somehow escaped your notice?

Any confederation between Palestine and Jordan can take place immediately.
12:58 AM on 04/19/2012
What you are describing is an anomaly and in no legal way is Palestine a state. The Palestinian bid for statehood seems to have no traction. How long has it been? Mahmoud Abbas delivered his manifesto last September.

So, what going on at the UN? A lot of it has to do with diplomacy favoring Israel. A host of states ringing the Arab states have new trade and military relations with Israel. First world states like Canada, the U.S., Germany, many more are hardened in the position that the PLO must negotiate its way to statehood.

The UNESCO vote was a way of letting off steam and in no way creates a Palestinian state.

One reason that a Palestinian state will not come into being is that Fatah doesn't want one. If it were to form a government at the head of such a state, an Arab Spring would immediately overthrow it since it comprises a corrupt bunch of thugs.

Israel certainly has no use for a Palestinian state on the West Bank. So, the Palestinian issue will fester until final recognition comes that Jordan is the second state of a two-state solution.
05:40 AM on 04/19/2012
bluebeyond

Only states can become members of UNESCO under its Constitution.

Now I don't personally agree that Palestine is a state - but 194 countries do. Until that decision is reversed or overthrown by the International Court - it stands.

The Palestinian Arabs got international recognition of their state on 31 October 2011 and no longer can claim to be stateless.

UNWRA can be disbanded, and Oslo and the Roadmap consigned to the dustbin of history.

Time to try and achieve statehood for the Tibetans, the Kurds and the Basques, They should use the Palestine application to UNESCO as a precedent.
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HUFFPOST COMMUNITY MODERATOR
Json
Cynical dreamer, sarcastic idealist...
11:38 AM on 04/19/2012
You can choose to believe that but no one else views it that way, including the Jordanians and the Palestinians themselves.
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Geo80
Truth. Reality. Smart, sane people agree with me
05:42 PM on 04/18/2012
80 percent of historic Palestine became Jordan. If the Palestinians refuse to work out a peace agreement with Israel (one that is agreeable to Israel and does not erase Israel's existence from the map), then should just push the world to let them merge with Jordan.

(Jordan wants no part of it, though.)
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HUFFPOST SUPER USER
NTT
Fighting rants with facts
05:19 PM on 04/18/2012
>>>"The King has frequently gone out of his way to assert that "Jordan is Jordan" and "Palestine is Palestine."

Well OF COURSE he did. His throne depends on it -- & likely his life too. This Saudi dynasty isn't part of the solution -- it's part of the problem. The Hashemites are the reason why "Jordan" (plus the predominantly Arab areas of West Bank, plus Gaza) isn't "Palestine".

After all, it's undeniable that:
- Palestinian Arabs constitute by far the major ethnic component of Jordan's population;
- There's absolutely no ethnic, linguistic or cultural difference between Palestinian Arabs inhabiting either bank of the Jordan River;
- Historically, there's never been a "Jordanian nation" (nor a "Palestinian Arab nation"). The Kingdom of Jordan is a contraption manufactured by British colonial interests in 1922, with the only purpose of establishing a British-friendly entity & finding a throne for the Hashemites -- a pro-British Saudi family.
- The West Bank was part of Jordan between 1949 & 1967; the vast majority of population accepted that union. West Bank Arabs were granted Jordanian citizenship & happily applied for Jordanian passports.

To those interested in a solution, there's a clear & feasible one: territorial compromise allowing full political rights for Palestinian Arabs in their own united country (whether they wish to call it "Jordan" or "Palestine" is their decision). Palestinian Arabs whose place of residence will place them within the Jewish state should have the option of choosing Palestinian/Jordanian citizenship while retaining rights of residence
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notmisaacm
That which is attributed to malice is often explai
04:51 PM on 04/18/2012
The Heshemites (the King's tribe) should exercise their right of return and go back to the Arabian Peninsula from where they came. Sovereignty over Mecca and Medina should be returned to them from the House of Saud, who were given sovereignty by the British Empire.

Of course all of this is never going to happen, it is just crazy talk. It makes about as much sense as the distant descendants of the Arabs who fled during the failed Arab conquest of Israel in 1948 moving to Israel (I think they call it the "Right of Return", or some such nonsense). The West bank should be reattached to Jordan, and Gaza to Egypt. Then the miserable people who live there can call it whatever they want. Then there will be an angry confederation of Jordan/the West Bank. I'm sure that the residents will still find someone to blame for their misery besides themselves.