iPhone app iPad app Android phone app Android tablet app More

Featuring fresh takes and real-time analysis from HuffPost's signature lineup of contributors
Mike Larsen

Mike Larsen

Posted: December 26, 2010 08:32 PM

Politicians, pundits and reporters often talk about the need to appeal to independent voters as if people who have the inability to articulate a clear position are capable of forming an organized group.

Voters who don't identify with either party don't have a unified platform or common point of view. So-called "independents" are registered that way for myriad reasons that have nothing to do with political philosophy.


IDEOLOGICAL BREAKDOWN OF "INDEPENDENT" VOTERS

Campaigns are misguided to think they can reach these disparate types by adopting some middle of the road, wishy-washy, one-size-fits-all position. Instead, the groups need to be marketed to in different ways:

GROUP 1 -- BANDWAGON VOTERS (32%): Don't understand politics but like voting for the
winner.

These geniuses have voted for every president since time began. They're the one group that is actually swayed by polls. They routinely vote against their own self-interest, such as the bigots who voted for Obama, the unemployed who back the Tea Party and the literate who chose Bush over Kerry. Outside of politics, these are America's Snuggie purchasers, tattooed hipsters and "fans" who put Lakers flags on their cars in time for the playoffs. They are followers and ass-kissers who, if they ever had an original thought, would need a Prozac prescription to tamp it down. How to reach them: Convince them you're going to win.

GROUP 2 -- BUM THROWERS (27%): Contrarians who vote against whoever's
in power.

What is Christmas dinner without an uncle showing his intelligence by declaring that all incumbents should be tossed out on their asses? Members of this group are blessed with the divine gift of making those with well-reasoned points of view feel like naive clods. Their sneering interrogatory, "Can't you see that Democrats and Republicans are all the same?" leaves us feeling like the playground narc justifying why we finked on the cool kids. Never mind that theirs is a fatally flawed proposition that acknowledges whomever they elect, no matter how virtuous, is instantly transformed into a bum the moment he or she takes office. How to reach them: Convince them the other guy is the incumbent.

GROUP 3 -- LESSER EVIL LOVERS (17%): Believe that everyone on the ballot is fatally
flawed, so they vote for the least qualified.

Similar to group 2 but caring less about incumbency, these are those magical gnomes known as "swing voters" who decide close elections based solely on the viciousness of a candidate's attack ads. These folks couldn't articulate the difference between Sarah Palin and Nancy Pelosi unless a TV commercial told them one of them boils kittens. It is this tiny slice of the electorate for which the lion's share of campaign cash is directed. How to reach them: Paint your opponent as a God-hating, terrorist-loving philandering tax cheat with ugly kids.

GROUP 4 -- DUMMIES (13%): Confused by the voter registration form and
intended to pick Democrat or Republican.

We run into these voters every primary election when they're in front of us in line at the polling place and can't understand why they don't get to vote for whichever party they think they belong to. Granted, voter registration forms are pretty complicated -- besides your name and address, you're required to check a box. How to reach them: Don't bother. Assuming they even make it into the polling booth and don't try to vote in a construction site port-a-potty, they're just going to vote based on party identification anyway.

GROUP 5 -- SYSTEM BEATERS (6%): Think that not picking a party makes them less
likely to be called for jury duty.

I personally know at least a dozen people in this group. They are convinced that the reason I get called for jury duty is because I chose a party on my voter registration. These folks like referring to themselves as "street smart, not book smart" and have no problem wasting hours a day trying to beat the system. How to reach them: Pay them to vote.

GROUP 6 -- COLLECTORS (3%): Don't care who gets elected, just in it for the
"I voted" sticker.

These guys might be on to something. There are bars in some cities that give you a free drink for wearing an "I voted" sticker and I'm not the first guy who's noticed that women tend to talk to you when you're sporting one of those puppies. Bit of advice, though: the stickers only work on election day, so strike while the iron's hot. How to reach them: Convince them that the real loose women support your candidate. Works best when a Kennedy is on the ballot.

GROUP 7 -- TRULY INDEPENDENT (2%): Actually oppose the two party system and are working to change it.
God bless the free thinkers, poets and coffee house barristas. Were there more of them, I would have high hopes for the future of democracy for I, too, believe that the two-party system is a sham. Unfortunately, I'm more concerned with selfish needs such as making sure the schools stay open long enough for my four-year-old to get an education. How to reach them: Does it matter? These are smart, incredibly informed people so, by definition, they're statistically insignificant.

 

Follow Mike Larsen on Twitter: www.twitter.com/writemikelarsen

Politicians, pundits and reporters often talk about the need to appeal to independent voters as if people who have the inability to articulate a clear position are capable of forming an organized grou...
Politicians, pundits and reporters often talk about the need to appeal to independent voters as if people who have the inability to articulate a clear position are capable of forming an organized grou...
 
 
  • Comments
  • 155
  • Pending Comments
  • 0
  • View FAQ
Comments are closed for this entry
View All
Favorites
Recency  | 
Popularity
Page: 1 2 3 4  Next ›  Last »  (4 total)
08:24 AM on 01/07/2011
My complaint with some Independent voters is when they don't prioritize their concerns. I'm all for thoughtful reflective consideration of the candidates, but I would hope that every voter has already developed a political philosophy. It seems from the comments that many people do have a philosophy but they have no consistency in how it's applied. I have seen several people list that they are pro-gay, pro-gun, pro-tax increase, anti-immigration people (or some similar variation). Now, in a list like this there have to be priorities. You have to prioritize your concerns and think strategically about the ones where maintaining consistency from year to year is most important. Hopefully, somewhere close to the top of the list would be the economy, as the consequences of one economic outcome over a different one generally has the most impact on the largest number of people's lives.

To vote without this kind of consideration, in my view, is very irresponsible. You wind up with a person who votes for a tax cutter in the senate and a tax raiser in the house because one candidate was pro-gun.

I suppose everyone is entitled to vote the issues they think are most important. It is demonstrable that certain issues bear greater immediate and long term consequences than others, and I suppose that's where the frustration comes in when people fail to accept that fact.
olddognewtrick
Half full or half empty...It's the same
12:26 PM on 12/29/2010
A voter free from chemical or pharmaceutical influence?
HUFFPOST SUPER USER
middleoftheroad
11:02 AM on 12/29/2010
LOl...you guys sound like the far right do. Rush and Mark Levin say THE SAME THING! Why, because they (and you) are total ideologues. If you want to win "independents" or the "middle", look at Clinton. Progresisves won't love it, but thats the only way. IF Obama runs to the progressive left, he will lose (unless Palin runs).
05:45 PM on 12/28/2010
The American voting public runs about 30-30-40. That's 30% always Repub, 30% always Demo and 40% Independent. And when I say always I mean always. I mean if Bush or Obama had strangled a baby with his bare hands, tore it to shreds, then devoured it on live TV, his party could still count on getting that 30%.
That 40% independent is a bit harder to quantify, but most of the groups listed seem about right.
As Yakv Smirnoff would say.., 'What a country!'
photo
HUFFPOST SUPER USER
DarthCalvin
02:58 PM on 12/31/2010
I would have said 25-25-50 but I agree with the premise...that middle group is hard to quantify, I know, I'm in it... ;-)
HUFFPOST SUPER USER
Cool Bam
02:43 PM on 12/28/2010
While entertaining, the author describes mythical voting blocks created to vent frustration at the last election rather than provide information that may help people understand (and even alter) the results of future elections. If your interest is informational (as opposed to emotional) I suggest you scroll down the linked page to "Independent Voters: Diverse Groups with Divergent Views". While these studies have a degree of error; they are not merely a fictional depiction of reality (as the author gives us) designed for entertainment. http://pewresearch.org/pubs/1739/independent-voters-typology-2010-midtersm-favor-republicans-conservative
04:41 PM on 12/31/2010
Sensitive much?
This user has chosen to opt out of the Badges program
photo
02:42 PM on 12/28/2010
From alot of the posts and childish attitudes I have read on this post, I truly understand why I dropped Dem from my affiliation.
Instead of sharing attitudes and ideas that might make a difference, the narrow-minded want to attack you like the Pubbies do.
Yeah, just sit there in front of your computer without giving any meaningful thought or suggestions on how to make a difference. Don't make an effort to change campaign finance reform, or write letters for the freedom of the internet. or support candidates who might really make a difference. Go along with the pack mentality is all I see on here. Hold your nose is your mantra.
Sure, I don't want the Pubs to take over again, either, but if a third party candidate witht the balls to stand up to the powers that be should come on the scene, such as Bernie Sanders, yes, he will get my vote. He was the only one who stood up and filibustered on the side of the Dems against the tax breaks for the ultra rich. How about that--- a man with the integrity to do the right thing.
Those of you who have attacked me for my comments and classified me as #1 or #2 , you rate a zero----meaning your wrong. If you took the time to evaluate my comments and leanings, you would realize I'm on your side, but looking for better leadership that supports our wish list.
photo
HUFFPOST PUNDIT
den1953
The National Inquire of Politics the GOP!
11:43 AM on 12/28/2010
As long as special interest money is allowed to buy the politicians even independents have no power, politics has turned into money making schemes and the more money thrown into the political arena the more popular the candidate. Our politicians are no longer political parties they are corporate advertisements run in media ads and sound bites, before long they won't even show up in public a true man behind the curtain society.
photo
HUFFPOST SUPER USER
LeftRight
TANSTAAFL
10:29 AM on 12/28/2010
You missed one group... Those like myself who live in a state with an open primary for those without a declared party affiliation. Thus in the general election I can vote for whom I like, and the same holds true in the primary.

Or I can vote for the other party and choose someone who has NO chance against my chosen candidate....
photo
HUFFPOST SUPER USER
Pleneras
08:43 PM on 12/27/2010
If they independent party is willing to change "it" why do they continue to vote... REPUBLICAN? Libertarians are also republican voters in hiding who hate revealing themselves as such because of the obvious racism in that party.
HUFFPOST SUPER USER
JuanCarlosysofia
11:28 PM on 12/27/2010
libertarians are minorities?..by the way, are you with "los pleneros de la 21"?..newyorican plena ensemble.
photo
HUFFPOST SUPER USER
Pleneras
08:37 PM on 12/27/2010
I love this! You are sooooo correct in every one of them.
photo
LMPE
I connect the most dissimilar things
06:19 PM on 12/27/2010
For that matter, is "libertarian" a good description? The idea is that libertarians want absolutely no government involvement in anything, which at first sounds progressive, until they start espousing views like those of Rand Paul.
01:32 AM on 12/28/2010
They want LESS government UNTIL they NEED government.

Nothing like getting sick on peanuts from a dirty processing plant (factory) or riding on a road full of potholes to make a person think......
..................about the value of government!
photo
HUFFPOST SUPER USER
Rogan
01:14 PM on 12/28/2010
Right. College dorms, are full of libertarians.
photo
HUFFPOST SUPER USER
NonCon
Musician and gonzo coder
05:39 PM on 12/27/2010
Hilarious, great post!
This user has chosen to opt out of the Badges program
photo
03:26 PM on 12/27/2010
If I had a choice right now, I'd vote for jesse Ventura, or Russ Feingold. Robert Reich for treasurer,
How about Julian Assange for foreign relations! hahaha--love that guy.
There are still a few good Dems left that aren't bought and paid for, like Dennis Kuchinch, who said a week ago he won't run against Obama, but I'd vote for him in a second!
Lets get real here, peeps, we have to shake up the present system if there is ever going to be change, because as it stands now, we are going down the tube at a very advanced speed.
Why do we have to side with one party or another. Why can't we open our minds to the alternatives of getting rid of the party system altogether, voting on who follows the constitution, and hold them to their promises. If they fail to adhere to our United States principles, remove them. The constitution allows this if the President isn't acting in the interest of it's citizens.
We are in illegal wars, banking and Wall St run the Gov. and the list goes on.
Is this the America we want or do we want to regain our reputation of a fair nation with principles and dedication to it's citizens and their well-being instead of indebtedness to China for our failures as a nation. No more pork, no more invading other countries for their resources as we do now.
"Confessions of an Economic Hit Man" reveals the truth.
photo
HUFFPOST SUPER USER
Michell Guzmn Talbot
Evolution. Atheism. Liberalism
09:34 AM on 01/02/2011
"Confessio­ns of an Economic Hit Man" reveals the truth.

Well said my friend. F&F
This user has chosen to opt out of the Badges program
photo
03:07 PM on 12/27/2010
I am an Independent, and I have worked on two campaigns in the last 8 years. I worked for John Kerry's in ABQ, NM, in 2004, and worked on Biden's in 2008.
I have never worked for a Repub in my life and never will with the attitude they have and what they represent.
I used to be a full fledged Dem from age 18 to 40, and then realized I had a mind and started paying attention to what was coming down the pike. I watched how money bought politics, how campaigners said one thing and did another just to get in office. I watched corruption take over in 2000 when Bush was bought into power. I read alot of books on who really runs the show, and why JFK was really killed.
If you think we are stupid, you are wrong. We want real change that honors our constitution, regulates banks, sets limits on gambling in Wall ST, ect. instead of handing our country over to them.
I'm not a teabagger. I want legal immigration, equal rights for all, universal healthcare, and a woman's right to choose.. I want transparency in Gov, abolishing the CIA dirty -doings, as well as the illegal wars we're in. I want fair trade that keeps our jobs in our country so our children have a future.
I will continue to lean Dem, but if a better alternative comes around, I'll work and vote for them.
Political Piggy
Free comments and ideas are worth every penny paid
03:14 PM on 12/27/2010
So, you are an "independent" but have only voted for and worked for Democrats. You are "independent" because?
This user has chosen to opt out of the Badges program
photo
03:56 PM on 12/27/2010
I haven't found a Republican I could vote for! Thought about Ron Paul, but he didn't make the cut on the ticket.
What I am saying is that I won't vote for a dem unless I have faith in them, meaning I will not vote for Obama a second time. Meaning I don't have to hold my nose as so many said they did this last election. Meaning I don't have to follow the pack because I have a brain and won't be told who to vote for.
If we have better alternatives than what we have now, I'll vote for them. I don't have to affiliate with someone who doesn't represent the Gov we're entitled to.
photo
Erdgeist
per omnia extrema
02:52 PM on 12/27/2010
Actually Mike your idea makes a lot of sense. A one-size fits all approach is probably the worst approach. It might even turn off a lot of voters and mis-portray candidates and undermine important issues.