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Mindy Pennybacker

Mindy Pennybacker

Posted: March 11, 2011 04:28 AM

Tsunami Watch, Hawaii in the Dark


It's 11 p.m. HST, and Hawaii has been on tsunami alert for about an hour following the tragic earthquake in Japan. A truck is circling our neighborhood, with a man giving an emergency management message over a loudspeaker: "Extremely dangerous waves are expected at 3 am. Occupants of high-rise buildings are advised to go to the third floor or above without delay."

We won't be evacuating our two-story house this year, having done the full drill last February when the Chilean earthquake struck and a 30-foot wave was predicted to hit Hawaiian shores (it turned out to be six inches). We live in a no man's land on the tsunami evacuation map -- on the far side of the evacuation line that follows Diamond Head Road, but only two short blocks from the water's edge. Do we trust the authorities and their maps? No. We're hedging our bets and ready to walk up the hill if we see the sea start to recede. Although, come to think of it, we probably won't see it, since it'll be dark at 3:07 am, estimated arrival time for the first wave.

It's a clear night, a quarter moon and scattering of stars. Through my window I can hear the couple next door, the one with the young toddler, packing supplies in their kitchen. Our new neighbor, the Hawaii 5-0 star, roars off in his pickup truck. At least our area "tidal wave" siren -- in Waikiki -- is working this year. And the TV news isn't telling us to go shopping, so roads will hopefully not be blocked with unnecessary traffic should emergency vehicles need to get through.

Apart from that, we've made no progress in disaster prep or survival smarts: Hawaii's no more food or energy secure than we were last year. We continue to import 85-90% of our food and 100% of the fossil fuels that produce 90% of our energy. To counter this, the utility and state government are heavily promoting the development of biofuels, which will commandeer agricultural land that could be used to grow more food.

Also in the name of sustainability, Honolulu last month broke ground on a long-deferred light rail project intended to reduce our reliance on petroleum. Ironically, the rail line begins in agricultural lands that are devoid of commuters -- for now. Obviously the plan is to rezone those lands for urban use to fuel the endless, mindless development that keeps some Hawaii citizens in short-term jobs. Which is not sustainable.

Sadly, the earthquake may arrive on the first day of a sustainability food and design weekend at the Halekulani Hotel on the beach at Waikiki, which celebrates local food producers and benefits the community college culinary institute that produces fine local-grown chefs.

I was planning on attending, so I didn't go food shopping earlier today, when I had the chance!

 
 
 

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HUFFPOST BLOGGER
Mindy Pennybacker
editor, greenerpenny.com
03:01 PM on 03/12/2011
Far from being irritated by warnings, I respect and appreciate Hawaii's Pacific Tsunami and government warnings, and the sound of the truck and loudspeaker bring back fond childhood memories of evacuating with my family, including my great-grandmother clutching her sewing machine on her knees. I agree that if one lives in the inundation zone, one should leave. As I said in my post, I live outside the official evacuation zone, albeit close to the sea. What irritates me is media scaremongering, which drove us in 2010 to leave our home unnecessarily. This time, t.v. news encouraged residents to buy gasoline before supplies ran out. Today's editorial in our only daily newspaper scolds us, not the press: "Another first instinct exhibited by some families was a poor one: to park in long gas lines or prowl through supermarket aisles for supplies." Those of us who don't live in evacuation zones should leave the roads clear instead of rushing out to stock up on toilet paper and Spam. Thankfully, where the tsunami did surge up to 11 feet and wash away houses, in Kealakekua on the Big Island, folks had left and no one was hurt.
yappnmutt
humping legs for liberty
09:36 PM on 03/11/2011
playing roulette with a tsunami is just not very smart. tying it in with food and energy sustainability is a stretch, especially living on an urban island in the middle of the pacific.

we live on the big island. there are many people here living the life you claim to support. it requires a somewhat minamalist life, off grid with a network of like minded people practicing a loose version of community supported agriculture. what you want is here and is working.
HUFFPOST SUPER USER
ftkl1234
08:41 PM on 03/11/2011
We were super lucky that the timing of our tsunami lite was when mostly everyone was tucked in bed at home and not out on the streets!

Mindy, you won't have to be too concerned you won't have enough word beforehand since the civil defense people really are on the ball, IMO.

There are still lolo folks who don't take tsunami seriously and think it's some kind of spectator sport where you have to have a ringside seat. Then there are those who feel that they have to gather their kids and head for home resulting in the big backup on the roads and even highways.

What really needs to be thought about seriously is the emergecy kits and plans you talk over with your kids. That and knowing what you're going to do when a big one does hit, not if but when.

Aloha, take care!
05:55 PM on 03/11/2011
I think some of these reactions are a bit unwarranted. The author does not seem to be giving any advice..she is just saying she is not evacuating her home, which happens to be on an inactive Volcano of several hundred feet (google Diamond Head). If anything she is telling people to be mindful of the environment and pointing out that a policy encouraging people to grocery shop before a tsunami is dumb (which it is, and could definitely slow any evacuation that is needed).

While there is a real case for being "safe than sorry" when it comes to emergencies, it's also worth noting that these evacuations can be very costly and it seems reasonable for people who don't need to evacuate for their safety (say someone living in a 20 story high rise, or someone living on a volcano) to stay put so those who do need to get to higher ground can get there safely and quickly.
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1IrishdeAztlan
03:54 PM on 03/11/2011
Maybe my geography ain't so good, but it seems to me that a tsunami generated by an earthquake in Chile comes from a different direction than one (of the biggest earthquakes in recorded history) generated in Japan, and could have different consequences. Kinda like how a north swell is different than a south swell and hits different beaches at different times of the year. I'd leave, but I'm not brave like some.
07:54 PM on 03/11/2011
While it's true tsunami direction is like swell direction in surfing, a tsunami is really a 360 degree energy pulse, so the wrap swell and frequency rebound can strike anywhere. Kinda like a side swell like the Wedge or Pounders. The other issue is time: waves from an event like this will actually circle the globe several times. Of course, they're very small and hardly dangerous, but it's still weird to think that the 2004 Indo tsunami affected NY harbor by a few inches almost 48 hours later... In Hawaii and California, the thing to remember is those harbors, coves and plains that have been hit before will always be hit again. No matter where the wave comes from.
03:18 PM on 03/11/2011
#1 - I hope no children are relying on you for safety
#2 - This tsunami is said to be a Positive Wave, which means that it leads with a giant wave and will not suck the harbor water first.
#3 - You dont trust their maps and plan, but you KNOW you live 2 blocks from the ocean. You dont need anything but common sense to know you could be in danger.
#4 - You are going to outrun the tsunami? REALLY?

Glad you are okay, but wish you used common and sense and I hope your post didnt encourage other to stay put too. Being safe is being smart. Sorry but this was SO frustrating to read.
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10:16 AM on 03/12/2011
Agreed. Also, think about the 3 people swept out to sea while watching the surge in CA, only two were recovered. This is not something to treat casually.
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lipps
Capitalist Pig Taxpayer
11:39 PM on 03/12/2011
I nominate those dudes for the 2011 Darwin awards.
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HUFFPOST BLOGGER
Mindy Pennybacker
editor, greenerpenny.com
02:42 PM on 03/11/2011
Thanks everyone, we are all well and we thank you for your thoughtful concern! We were up at 3 a.m. and watched the little surge and reef drain on t.v., ready to run up the mountain if need be. Our hearts and thoughts are with Japan, and working for true food and energy security here in Hawaii. Warmest aloha to all of you!
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04:38 PM on 03/11/2011
While I'm glad to hear that you are well, and happy about the reports showing little damage and (thus far) no injuries from the tsunami in Hawaii, I have to agree with meandjorge above. Emergency management services exist for a reason, and while you have the choice to ignore them, you may end up putting other people at risk. You're not Usain Bolt, and even if you were, you'd get perhaps 40 yards before being swept away by a tsunami, which can travel at over 500 mph.

Are the warning perfect in targeting their audience? No - it takes refined data, and time to process, to figure out the direction and magnitude of a tsunami. Lacking those, the 'precautionary principle' is in place. So 9 times out of 10, there will turn out to be little need for evacuation. So I suppose if Russian Roulette with 9 empty chambers is your kind of fun, just make sure that everyone knows it's your choice and you don't want anyone to put themselves in danger trying to rescue you later.
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CommonSenseBda
Resistance Is NOT Futile
02:27 PM on 03/11/2011
Ms. Pennybacker is a poster child of why when Natural Disasters hits the U.S., there is such a high death toll!

If the last warning only produced a six inch wave, will you be alive if a warning came and the wave was 30-100 ft?

Reminds me of a novel called "Rogue Wave" describing the reactions of the Hawaiian people to a Tsunami warning outlining the same views that Ms. Pennybacker spoke of, tired and irritated of warnings that when a truly horrific event occurred, HUNDREDS OF THOUSANDS were killed by a wave created when a meteor crashed in the Pacific Ocean.

Those warnings are given to save lives....not to inconvenience folks. We all know the wailing and screaming that would commence when NO warnings are issued and someone dies, don't we?
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kauaiphil
From the Alamo, to Sausalito, to St. Thomas VI, to
01:38 PM on 03/11/2011
I also woke up in the middle of the night, here on Kauai, the sirens were wailing and our dogs were barking. So, I began to follow the news reports. Fortunately, no damage here on the Garden Island. However, after moving back to Kauai 9 years ago, I've been preparing for the coming disaster of Monopoly Capitalsim. I am one of those people radicalized by what I learned working in the anti-war movement at the University of Texas, 40+ years ago. Events since then have only reinforced my beliefs. While the rest of the country acted like Germany in the 1930's in the last election, Hawaii went deep blue. And, although I consider Democrats to be simply Republican-light, it still made me proud of my adopted State. I came to Kauai the first time in 1971. It's been a constant struggle against the Capitalist Ruling-Class. Fortunately, there are people here that understand that, including Graham Nash and Buffy Sainte Marie, among others. When the corporatists tried to turn Kauai into a suburb of Honolulu, with the Superferry, there was a major act of civil disobedience in the form of a surfboard blockade. The Superferry went broke. Community gardens are springing up and the idea of sustainability is becoming more common. WORKERS OF THE WORLD, UNITE! Aloha and Peace.
03:24 PM on 03/11/2011
Always look for planes when you hear a siren
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NotStarvingArtist
"Art is the signature of civilizations."
04:21 PM on 03/11/2011
Do you really think this is the right place for your manifesto against monopoly capitalism? There are people injured and dying or already lost to this disaster and this is what you want to talk about right now? Mind boggling.
12:57 PM on 03/11/2011
Living in Santa Cruz, CA we got a tsunami warning by phone, 45 minutes before the first surge was expected. There was no report to evacuate as FOX first said, then changed their mind, then said again and again changed their minds. As they continuously showed the footage of Japan, you would have thought a 60 foot tidal wave was coming, ready to wipe out our entire area. Also while telling us they were showing live footage of Hawaii, they were actually showing old footage from Japan. Anyone walking into that would have suspected Hawaii was devastated. There was an interesting receding of the tide here that exposed the rocks about 50 yards off the coast, but beyond that nothing dramatic at all. No giant wall of ocean destruction as it seemed FOX News was actually hoping for, only a few extremely minor incidents in the local yacht harbor where a couple of small boats lost their mooring. Surfers remained surfing and people walking their dogs on the beach continued as usual, despite of warning. Of course it is good to know at least someone was there to phone us a warning and tell us where to go in case this incident became serious. But FOX News was a hoot. I noted their ticker tape going while reporting this tsunami. One segment said the anti union legislation was signed and the protests in Madison were over. Funny I expected things to be heating up over there and everywhere else..
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satanlite
If ur neibor wtchs Fox Nws wtch ur neibor
01:44 PM on 03/11/2011
Sounds like the normal accuracy of Fox News.
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grandma58
http://parkersnowefiberartblog.blogspot.com/
02:38 PM on 03/11/2011
I am not sure if my comment on another thread will get though but I thought you might like this link the sc 13ga on 2/14 is a good one.
http://investor.newscorp.com/sec.cfm
03:17 PM on 03/11/2011
I actually thought the morning anchors and CNN were disappointed that the "big Hawaiian tsunami" was a bust. Gee, what a bummer, hey? They were all pretty hilarious this morning, but its really a shame given what's happened in Japan.
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Kendall Hawley
Great stories, told well. www.blogfreako.com
11:27 AM on 03/11/2011
I just can't help but think about how mad we all were during the Rodeo-Chedeski fire in Arizona when all those firefighters' lives were put at risk rescuing people who had decided to ignore the evacuation order, and then again with the Station fire here in LA. The whole reason for these evacuation plans is so our emergency services can organize more effectively and quickly to rescue the people hit in more unexpected areas. It might be an inconvenience, especially when you've been through the drill before, but I think we all have a responsibility to our communities to work together and prepare ourselves appropriately so if/when the really bad stuff goes down, we've given ourselves the best chance of survival with the least reliance on emergency services. I don't mean to rant or scold, but we don't say these things enough when nothing bad happens.
01:08 PM on 03/11/2011
Good point. I live on the Louisiana gulf coast, and we get evacuation warnings from time to time due to imminent hurricanes. You can freely ignore them, but you then have no right to expect a rescue effort if you miscalculated.
But I can see the writer's point. The hyperbole about the Chilean "tsunami" breeds contempt for the warnings. After Katrina and Rita, we have been subjected to overly cautious "mandatory" evacuation orders for storms that anyone with a shred of intelligence could see was going to make dangerous impact far away from us. Those in charge of issuing the warnings are operating from liability concerns rather than serious risk assessment.
Japan is closer than Chile, and this is a stronger quake, so if you stay, be ready to flee to higher ground and be sure to watch carefully around the predicted time of arrival.
02:35 PM on 03/11/2011
I live in Jefferson Parish and I think we were under a mandatory evac order for Gustav. Just as with any other hurricane my spouse and I talked it over, looked at the weather reports on several stations, and decided to stay home. We were without power for 6 hours but other then that it was no worse then some of the thunderstorms we get. You have to know your area (my house is on high ground and well built) and keep an eye on the storm. We did evac for Katrina and that was a good decision, but had we stayed we would have gone 3 days without power and 14 days without running water.

I agree that often these mandatory evacuations are more from liability concerns then anything. It is up to individual to make the choice, but if you choose not to evac don't expect any help or feel you have a right to help.

Another issue with the mandatory evacs is that you can not return when you want to. Once you leave you are gone until the authorities say you can return, unless you can find a way to sneak back in.
11:20 AM on 03/11/2011
It is the author's decision, of course, to remain behind but considering the destruction in Japan, it seems foolish. Hopefully, everything will turn out safe for her and her family. For my own self, I don't see the point in risking mine or my loved ones' lives just to avoid a little discomfort.
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Lorianne
ama vitam
11:16 AM on 03/11/2011
Good points.
The new rail line is beng built to facilitate more sprawl on the Ewa plain, not to alleviate traffic.
If it were to only operate  in the already densely populated parts of the island, it might make a difference to traffic congestion and also encourage people to live in central city area.
 
Short term, mainland style (single family) sprawl development is what is feeding the rail development. Big mainland sprawl developers are the ones behind the scenes making this a go.  
 
Oahu could be food self sufficient or very nearly so if rich farmland were preserved.
 
It is very sad, but not surprising, to see such short term thinking.
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LynneSpreen
www.AnyShinyThing.com, For Smart Women
11:05 AM on 03/11/2011
I agree with your frustration about the shortsightedness re food, fuel and growth in the islands, but hope your decision not to leave is the right one.
http://anyshinything.com/2011/03/08/goals-schmoals/
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srheard
Life is full of a number of things.
10:54 AM on 03/11/2011
I sincerely hope we get an update from Ms. Pennybacker soon.