Mitchell Bard

Mitchell Bard

Posted: October 8, 2008 09:56 AM

The Second Debate Revealed a Fatal Flaw in McCain's Candidacy

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If an extraterrestrial beamed down to Earth at 8:59 p.m. Eastern time last night and watched the second presidential debate, I'm sure he would have thought John McCain had some good ideas. Sure, he would have thought that McCain was cranky. Definitely condescending (referring to Barack Obama as "that one" and assuming a questioner had never heard of Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac). And I'm sure he would have wondered why the organizers filled the audience with McCain associates, since he kept referring to everyone in the crowd as "my friends." But even the most ardent Obama supporter would have to admit that our ET acquaintance would think McCain had some good ideas to addresses the problems the country is now fighting, such as the need for energy independence, global warming, and reforming government and Wall Street. And our visitor from another solar system would have to be impressed with McCain's adamant assertions of the great judgement he has shown on foreign policy issues and his ability to work with Democrats.

But without the benefit of knowing the records of the two candidates, the ET wouldn't know that the John McCain he saw at the debate bore no resemblance to how John McCain, the senator from Arizona, has behaved. And based on the polls over the last two-plus weeks, it seems like the American people know the difference, at least enough of them to put McCain's hopes for the presidency in real trouble.

McCain said repeatedly during the debate that voters should check his record. One can only believe that he made that challenge hoping that nobody would actually do it.

McCain talked over and over again last night about how he had regularly opposed his party, but as Joe Biden pointed out in the vice presidential debate, McCain rarely went against George W. Bush on any issue of importance to Americans. In fact, McCain voted with Bush 95 percent of the time in 2007 and 89 percent of the time since Bush took office (according to a Congressional Quarterly voting study). As for making his fellow Republicans mad, McCain's words were pure fiction. He voted 98 percent of the time with his fellow Republicans (43 of 44) in 2007.

McCain's claims of working for energy independence were especially silly in light of his record. McCain took millions of dollars from oil companies, all while advocating for massive tax breaks for them and offshore drilling, their two pet issues. McCain also supported the actions of his key economic advisor, former senator Phil Gramm, when he forced through language in the Commodity Futures Modernization Act that allowed for the deregulation of oil speculating, which was directly responsible for much of the recent rise in gas prices. And, as Obama has pointed out throughout the campaign, as a senator, McCain voted against bills supporting renewable energy sources multiple times. McCain has been a senator and a candidate in the hip pocket of the oil companies. How would he ever go against them to advocate for green energies that would de-emphasize the oil companies' central product?

McCain's obsession with offshore drilling also demonstrates that he has no real interest in supporting alternative energy policies. There simply isn't enough oil in the U.S. to feed our oil addiction. Even if we did drill offshore, the Bush administration's Energy Information Administration has found that it would have little effect on the price of oil and would at best result in production in 2017. Offshore drilling is a boondoggle meant to divert people's attention from the larger energy issue that has to be addressed, all while giving oil companies what they want.

In light of McCain's love affair with big oil, it should come as no surprise that his claims of being a champion of global warming measures don't match up with his history in the senate. The League of Conservation Voters gave McCain a score of zero for 2007, and in his senate career, he voted against environmental measures three-quarters of the time. McCain cited his support of a global warming bill with Joe Lieberman, but that legislation lacked the teeth to really address the problem. When Lieberman and other Democrats proposed a tougher bill earlier this year, McCain opposed it. Yet again, McCain's debate rhetoric was not supported by his record.

What about McCain's strong claims that he was a reformer who would clean up the excesses on Wall Street? McCain condemned Obama for taking money from Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac, but McCain's hands are hardly clean. Rick Davis, McCain's campaign manager, accepted $2 million in fees from Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac, with payments reportedly made to his company as recently as August. As Obama said in the debate, he never lobbied for the lenders, but Davis did. McCain talks about adding oversight to the financial industry, but he has a long record supporting the very deregulation that allowed the current subprime mortgage debacle to occur in the first place. Even as the crisis was in full swing, McCain professed recently, "I'm always for less regulation ... I'm fundamentally a deregulator." Aside from the one bill McCain talked about in the debate, he has no record as a senator of trying to clean up the financial industry. Quite the opposite.

As for foreign policy, McCain accused Obama of being wrong on key decisions, but a check of the record shows that it was McCain who has gotten every important judgment of the last decade wrong. McCain, in supporting the war in Iraq, told us that victory would be easy and we would be greeted as liberators. (You can watch him say it here and here.) He also claimed that money from Iraqi oil would pay for the war. Well, five-and-a-half years, more than 4,000 lives, $700 billion, and a broken military later, we know how fatally wrong McCain was. Once the quagmire in Iraq had set in, McCain accused Obama of trying to "legislate" defeat by advocating that funding for the war in Iraq had to come with timetables for American troop withdrawals. Again, Obama turned out to be right, and McCain turned out to be wrong. Everyone seems to have come around to Obama's position, except McCain. Iraqi Prime Minister Nouri al-Maliki has said that timetables are necessary, and even the Bush administration has agreed to make them part of a security agreement with Iraq.

Even on McCain's pet issue, the surge, McCain got it wrong and continues to get it wrong. He can't go 30 seconds in a debate on foreign policy without insisting that the surge has worked and Obama was wrong to oppose it. But if the surge was successful, why are we still there? In Bush's January 10, 2007 address to the American people announcing the surge, he made it clear that the purpose of the increase in troops was not to provide a long-term force to suppress violence, but to temporarily quiet things down so the Iraqis could come together to solve their problems. Our military did its job (along with other unrelated factors cited for the improvement of the security situation), but coming up on two years later, most of the important benchmarks of success set out by Bush have not been met by the Iraqis. This point was noted in a report released by the nonpartisan U.S. Government Accounting Office (GAO), which I examined in a June 24 article.

McCain talks as if the drop in violence was the end goal of the surge, not a means to the end of political reconciliation and Iraqi independence. By the terms of Bush's original announcement, the surge has certainly not been a success.

And McCain's bad judgment has not been limited to Iraq. McCain called Obama naive and premature in July in response to Obama's point that the real war on terror is based in Afghanistan, and that more troops were needed there to secure the country. McCain also said that the war in Iraq was not affecting the ability of the U.S. to send a sufficient amount of troops to Afghanistan. But in early July, shortly after McCain mocked Obama, Michael Mullen, chairman of the Joint Chiefs of Staff, directly contradicted McCain, saying: "I don't have troops I can reach for, brigades I can reach, to send into Afghanistan until I have a reduced requirement in Iraq. Afghanistan has been and remains an economy-of-force campaign, which by definition means we need more forces there." Once again, McCain was wrong, and Obama was right.

McCain said that in these difficult times, America needs "a steady hand at the tiller." But "steady" is the one word that you cannot apply to John McCain. His campaign has careened from strategy to strategy, first touting experience, then going after Obama's celebrity, and then just outright lying about Obama's record. McCain was widely noted for not handling the financial crisis well, changing his assessments, sometimes within a single day (like when did performed a 180-degree turn on the bailout of AIG). He dubiously "suspended his campaign" (without actually changing any of his conduct), went to Washington (where he might have scuttled a deal that was in place), claimed he wasn't going to the first debate if the bailout wasn't passed, but then did so anyway. He has also flip-flopped on virtually every major issue (I collected some of the biggest ones here). McCain may be a lot of things, but if the last few months is any indication, "steady" certainly isn't one of them.

So if we take on McCain's challenge from the debate and check his record against his policy statements, we find that his positions on reform, regulation, energy, foreign policy, and a number of other key issues are at odds with what he has actually done while in the senate. It would seem that his newfound positions on these issues have come about only now that he wants to be president, with some of his proposals coming in the last week or two, as he has watched his prospects for election dim.

It's easy to take a position in a campaign. But the promises are empty if the candidate has a record opposing those very positions. As I've said before, McCain now claiming that he is the man to lead us through a period of reform and energy independence is like Wile E. Coyote asking to become the legal guardian of the Roadrunner while feathers spill from his mouth.

Our extraterrestrial debate visitor might think that McCain made sense, but it looks like the American people, who have watched McCain in action for the last 26 years, are starting to understand that McCain's history renders his current plans and promises empty. McCain might get the intergalactic vote, but he will need more than that to win the White House.

If an extraterrestrial beamed down to Earth at 8:59 p.m. Eastern time last night and watched the second presidential debate, I'm sure he would have thought John McCain had some good ideas. Sure, he wo...
If an extraterrestrial beamed down to Earth at 8:59 p.m. Eastern time last night and watched the second presidential debate, I'm sure he would have thought John McCain had some good ideas. Sure, he wo...
 
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- NHGranite I'm a Fan of NHGranite 57 fans permalink
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Some smart Alien. Illegally here, I'm sure, but isn't that an issue McCain does know about? Funny that the Alien can read and follow instructions like "go to my website"; bet they have better schools on the home planet. If it is so easy to look at the record and compare that to the rhetoric, what's wrong with us? Where do we sign up to be Aliens? and last: Can the Alien do tricks like predict anything that might change the direction of this election, maybe a new message from Old Sam Bin Laden?

    Favorite    Flag as abusive Posted 09:54 AM on 10/11/2008
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I thought you were going to say the "fatal flaw" was his herkyjerkyness. It almost looked choreographed and he was following some feet-marks on the stage. Maybe he was learning the "lindy-hop" again.

    Favorite    Flag as abusive Posted 11:29 AM on 10/09/2008

All right, listen up everybody: This is not over!
Not by a long shot. There are still almost four weeks left until the election. Did anyone else stay tuned after the debate and watch the debriefings with the groups of "typical" undecided voters? Talk about space aliens! These people are totally lost in a vacuum when discussing politics and issues. All the McCain campaign has to do is find the right shiny object to dangle in front of them (we'll pay your mortgage off for you!) or a slander that sticks (Obama was raised by cannibals!) and we're right back to everything hanging on New Hampshire and Colorado. The fact that McCain's record doesn't match his rhetoric doesn't matter one whit to these folks, because it's completely over their heads -- it is not his "fatal flaw." He's not dead yet!
The Reeps definitely are floundering right now, no question. But it's way to early to say, "Ha! They're toast!" What it is time to do is redouble our efforts -- and our donations -- and work that much harder. With any luck, we'll win this thing. With a little more luck, we can bury the Reeps so deep they'll never claw their way back to the surface. But if we start congratulating ourselves early, we're asking for disaster.

    Favorite    Flag as abusive Posted 01:18 AM on 10/09/2008
- Invox I'm a Fan of Invox 10 fans permalink
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Agreed. Never underestimate the stupidity of the American people. It's what worries me most with this election. I've never seen our voting populace so vulnerable due to ignorance. Neither do they put much effort into erasing their ignorance. Hopefully, some of them will stay home on November 4.

    Favorite    Flag as abusive Posted 11:51 AM on 10/09/2008

It is said that we do not see individual things, objects, or people. Rather, we see the relationship between that person and his environment. In Debate 2, we saw Senator McCain in that way. Managing the affairs of our nation's economic affairs, in fact, social policy more generally is not in McCain's sweet spot. He is a student and has been an active participant of the War, our foreign policy, our friends, our foes and he is a good soldier always referring to a General's opinion. He has not been a participant nor has he emerged to lead us through this difficult economic time. In another time, McCain would impress the American people with his knowledge but he is a man from the past. A 35 year veteran of COngress, soldier of the Vietnam War and all its philosophies of one side or the other. This is not the world view that faces the new American President. This is not the needs of America at this moment in history. The American People see McCain in this context and McCain see himself in this context. McCain left the stage after debate 2 quickly, I bet he understands that his time has past: he missed the window.

    Favorite    Flag as abusive Posted 01:16 AM on 10/09/2008
- UrbanRube I'm a Fan of UrbanRube 4 fans permalink

"McCain, in supporting the war in Iraq, told us that victory would be easy and we would be greeted as liberators. (You can watch him say it here and here.)"

It's hard for public figures to successfully be deceitful in the internet age. He hasn't figured any of this out yet.

    Favorite    Flag as abusive Posted 10:19 PM on 10/08/2008

"McCain said repeatedly during the debate that voters should check his record."

His Gary Hart moment...

    Favorite    Flag as abusive Posted 08:26 PM on 10/08/2008
- darker I'm a Fan of darker 43 fans permalink

McCain is FALSE. After agreeing with Congressional Republicans 98% of the time,
it's a LIE to tell Americans that he "suddenly changed" and is actually -- more like a Democrat!
STOLE some of Obama's agenda!

How much more can we take of REPUBLICAN ADDICTIONS to corruption,
power, smearing, enriching the rich and corporate welfare queens, destroying
the future of middle class Americans?? WE CAN'T AFFORD republicans any more.
Republicans can't govern. They proved it! ENOUGH IS ENOUGH.

-----------------

    Favorite    Flag as abusive Posted 06:34 PM on 10/08/2008

Good article with lings to back it up.
You could also have mentioned McCains references to his "good judgement".
The Senate Ethics Comitte disagrees with this evaluation, specifically castigating McCain for exercising poor judgement for his part in this scandal:
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Keating_Five
Thousands of people lost their life savings.

By his own admission he showed poor judgement as a pilot as well:
http://www.factcheck.org/askfactcheck/did_mccain_crash_five_planes_did_he.html
He refers to himself as a daredevil. I have a different description in mind for a man that needlessly risks life, limb, the safety of others and his aircraft.

    Favorite    Flag as abusive Posted 06:01 PM on 10/08/2008

Very good and thorough analysis.

But obviously meaning nothing to our die-hard Republican friends, my friend.

    Favorite    Flag as abusive Posted 04:51 PM on 10/08/2008
- OrionGal I'm a Fan of OrionGal 10 fans permalink

I am extremely upset with McCain and Palin (yet again TODAY) making False Statements and outright *LIES* about Obama's Proposed Tax Plan:

here is a link to the truth -
http://econ4obama.blogspot.com/2008/09/obama-tax-policy-and-mccain-tax-policy.html

    Favorite    Flag as abusive Posted 04:19 PM on 10/08/2008

The next time McCain agrees that we need more troops in Afghanistan for the "surge" he keeps talking about, I wish someone would simply ask him, "where will you get the troops?". If we stay in Iraq at the same levels, how are we supposed to increase our presence in Afghanistan or work with Pakistan. To me, it just shows that John McCain doesn't understand.

    Favorite    Flag as abusive Posted 02:41 PM on 10/08/2008

Oh he does understand..its called the DRAFT. But he won't say it out loud.

    Favorite    Flag as abusive Posted 03:24 PM on 10/08/2008
- Mitchell Bard - Huffpost Blogger I'm a Fan of Mitchell Bard 161 fans permalink

Excellent point, pacodog. It's amazing how little attention is paid to how much damage Bush/McCain did ot the military with the Iraq war, and how our readiness levels are scarily low.

I don't like to make charges I can't back up with evidence, so I can't totally agree with you Caligirl916 that McCain wants to institute a draft, but it wouldn't surprise me. I would hope that even if he's elected, he could never get it through a Democratic Congress.

    Favorite    Flag as abusive Posted 04:25 PM on 10/08/2008

If McCain did institute a draft, that would be perhaps the only thing he has proposed that would be a good idea.

People would not jingoistically support a crazy, ill-planned, unnecesary invasion of another Iraq if their own children might have to go to war. Today, overwhelmingly (though obviously not exclusively), the nation's poorest and most uneducated are the ones who are sent into harm's way. That makes it easy for a lot of middle America to treat wars like an exciting video game.

    Favorite    Flag as abusive Posted 05:51 PM on 10/08/2008
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It kind of reminds me of Conservative Party of Canada campaigning: lies that are backed up by nobody outside the Canadian Wingnut blogosphere wixed in with very occasional truths that are tremendously damaging to the "Average Joe" the candidate claims to speak for (and be one of).

At least you haven't been subjected to near daily tv ads featuring a grinning John McCain in a respectable sweater-vest, having a fireside chat (no subliminal imagery there, eh) while either surrounded by his family, holding an obscenely adorable pet (just purchased for the campaign no doubt) or casually chatting with some nice old people no "responsible" young person would dare consider politically misguided.

And yes, my disdain for Stephen Harper went up tenfold when he adopted this farce of a new image. I might just be biased to begin with, though.

    Favorite    Flag as abusive Posted 02:21 PM on 10/08/2008
- kathy001 I'm a Fan of kathy001 85 fans permalink

I just love the way McCain tries on new policy stances. It reminds me of me in a shoe store, trying on every shoe in the store because I can't decide which pair my boyfriend will like.

And speaking of trying on new things, McCain's "new" idea for buying up mortgages and refinancing them is not is his idea. I heard Bill Clinton bring this up on "The Daily Show with Jon Stewart" before the first vote on the bailout. And Bill said that this is what the government did during the Depression and that the government actually wound up making money on the deal.

Apparently, McCain has decided that his only contribution to the original bailout (excuse me, "Rescue") package - tax cuts for businesses - wasn't all that well received by the voters. So, he's now "borrowing" another idea from another party.

    Favorite    Flag as abusive Posted 02:17 PM on 10/08/2008
- gdcb1128 I'm a Fan of gdcb1128 7 fans permalink

I wonder if E.T. had landed a day earlier and saw all the smears directed toward Obama and the desperate attempts to nail him as a terrorist, if he might also have wonder why that old man (who knows how to get Bin Laden) will only attack Barack behind his back and not to his face. He might think humans lack integrity and courage...

    Favorite    Flag as abusive Posted 02:15 PM on 10/08/2008
- magen I'm a Fan of magen 16 fans permalink

The McSame campaign is like the opposite of the story of the boy who cried wolf.

In the boy who cried wolf, the boy signals a crisis before any real crisis has happened.

In the McSame campaign, a several crises are occurring, his votes in the Senate clearly indicate that he was for policies that created these crises, and McSame is crying wolf too late, after the wolf has already killed a kid and is eating him.

McSame-Buh, Bye!!!!!

    Favorite    Flag as abusive Posted 02:04 PM on 10/08/2008
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