Is this ever going to end?
Superdelegates who haven't yet declared for Obama or Hillary are waiting it out under the pretense of letting the remaining voters have their say. And then come June or perhaps July--when they feel like it, I guess, or when they're sure Hillary is toast and they can be assured of not alienating her--they'll happily weigh in.
That's all very democratic of them, but aren't they ignoring something? No matter how aggressively Hillary touts herself as a populist, the gal who can single-handedly repair the economy on Day One, the gal who can best terrify Iran, the gal who can best beat McCain in November, she won't have enough delegates to win the nomination. Even if Florida and Michigan by some miracle got to vote. Or she won every single contest here on out. Which is unlikely. The only way she can pass Obama is if the superdelegates throw it to her. As James Carville might say, it's the math, stupid!
This is a point the beleaguered Chuck Todd, NBC News' political director, has been repeatedly trying to make since Hillary scored in Pennsylvania. Setting off a frenzy of hope among her tireless supporters. I don't begrudge them their giddiness. But why are the superdelegates insisting she still has a shot? Are they delusional or am I missing something?
As one told AP: "I'm willing to give Sen. Clinton the opportunity to win the popular vote," said Rep. Jason Altmire, whose western Pennsylvania district favored Clinton by a 2-to-1 margin in Tuesday's balloting. "I think she's earned the right to continue."
Maybe so, but I'm beginning to feel like we're watching an endless loop of Deal or No Deal.
Meanwhile, John McCain is having a field day. While the Democrats battle it out, he gets to play a role that is totally out of character--the nice guy--while the media dutifully plays along. On his impeccably timed poverty tour through the South, McCain apparently discovered that New Orleans had been ravaged by a hurricane. Boy did that make him mad! He even got to take the high road and blame that another compassionate conservative George Bush.
But did the forgetful Republican nominee not know about Katrina? Did he not see the TV footage of people trapped on roofs holding up signs that read "HELP" while floodwaters threatened to drown them? Where was he the last three years while FEMA was shoving the city's poor into poisonous trailers?
And how does he explain fighting a bill that included $28 billion in hurricane relief?
During his so-called "fact-finding" trip McCain had a camera crew shooting footage for commercials and a film that will be shown at the Republican convention. But they skipped some of the worst neighborhoods in the Lower 9th Ward. Maybe McCain was afraid they'd get dirty?
Speaking of dirty, McCain is totally against those racially charged North Carolina TV ads showing Obama's former pastor. He's so upset he asked the state Republican Party to take them off the air. But strangely enough they haven't.
I wonder why.
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No, she's really good at losing though.
I'm getting scared that she's gonna pull a LIEberman and form the "America for Hillary" party, which would give the presidency to McSame. I wouldn't put this past them considering the way Hillary has run her "kitchen sink" campaign.
It's obviously not about what's right for America for the Clintons, its about what's good for THEM.
Any reasonable person wouldn't trust personal opportunists such as the Clintons to fight for their interests.
Maybe I just need to addle my ability to count with some Obama Kool-Aid?
It is Senator Clinton's own fault for running a terrible campaign during January and February, when it really mattered--but, the country is going to pay the price, when Senator McCain takes the oath of office.
http://www.sourcewatch.org/index.php?title=Portal:Superdelegate_Transparency_Project
www.superdelegateinfo.org
MA - Sen Ted Kennedy, Sen John Kerry, Gov Patrick
AZ - Gov Napolitano
NM - Gov Bill Richardson
PA - Sen Casey
It is my expectation that Obama will end the primary season June 3 with about a pledged delegate margin of about a hundred votes.
Shortly thereafter, the DNC and Obama's campaign will announce they will recommend that the credentials committee seat the Florida and Michigan delegations selected at their state conventions, giving Clinton a 60 net delegate gain. Obama will continue to lead the total pledged delegate count by about 40 votes.
A few hundred superdelegates will announce their committment to vote for Obama at the convention. Obama will be the presumptive nominee, AND Michigan and Florida will have been counted in the total.
If the situations were reversed, and Clinton was ahead by any number of pledged delegates, she would be the nominee. To do anything else would leave her supporters feeling severely alienated and cheated. The Democrats won't do that to either side. Since Obama will almost certainly be in the lead, he will be the nominee.
I hope that the Democrats can then unite around Obama, our nominee, and win in November.
We don't want you Hillary, the people have spoken. Delegates are what matters, the MATH is not there for you. Stop now so we can kick this old man's ass. He wants a freaking 100 year war, there is no telling what other war he will get us into. If this goes badly Hillary I am blaming your ASS.
Wonder why the media is not asking, "What's wrong with Clinton's Candidacy?"
Why would this tick someone off, it is the truth. We fall back on the things we feel comfortable with when we are threatened. Apathy has become a why of life, for more years then I am willing to admit. We have been screwed the republicans and the democrats equally. It is time for change. It is time to take a chance instead of sitting back and pointing fingers. We have so many problems in this country right now, that it is going to take more then a republican(same old same old) or a suto-president aka first lady(who want to obliterate Iran) to fix what it wrong. Maybe Barack is not the complete answer but he presents possibilities that do not exist with the others and wants us to be apart of it instead of sitting on the sidelines..........that is a big plus for alot of us...........
Only time will tell
War
Recession
insane oil prices
higher food costs
4000+ dead Americans BECAUSE of a lie
high unemployment (and getting higher)
Not something to look forward too just because someone THINKS they are entitled.
Just a thought ... she is so desperate!
Lillie
Your argument that John McCain is getting a free ride is the fault of the media, not the dem primary season.
There is no reason at all that the media couldn't be doing their job of covering more than one event at a time. The media is doing just as poor a job of covering the dem primary as they are of covering McCain, and they have done a poor job of boh throughout the entire primary.
It's not a secret that the media has always given McCain a free ride. And, it shouldn't take the dem party to get them to do their job covering him properly. Journalists are free to question McCain critcally without the dems giving them the questions to ask.
If the dem party wanted a primary system that didn't extend until June 3, then they should have scheduled one that ended earlier. Why was there 6 empty weeks before PA voted?
Mona should have listened to Howard Dean on Meet The Press this morning. He made it very clear that the candidate with the mose DELEGATES will win the nomination. And he clarified that so that no one would make the mistake of thinking he meant elected delegate. He was very clear in saying that super delegates have no rule to vote for the candidate leading in elected delegates. It was vey plain and very simple that the role of super delegates is to vote their conscience on who t hey feel has the best chance to win in Nov.
Neither I nor Mona Gable nor anyone else posting here knows what may happen between now and August to make EITHER candidate unable to win the election in Nov.