The Flames of Nemesis

Posted October 24, 2007 | 01:09 PM (EST)



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I've lived in California for thirty years near -- but not in -- the coastal Santa Monica mountains next to Malibu. With regularity the fall fire season comes.

The hot, dry "devil" winds howl in from the deserts into the canyons like the mistral in the south of France or the sirocco in north Africa. By October it usually hasn't rained for at least six months, so the chaparral shrubs that cover the mountains are dessicated, devoid of moisture like hay. The mountains that were green as a golf course in March are now dull gray and brown. Looking up in the sky, you see the Canadian geese migrating south -- and the bright yellow fire-fighting planes flying the other direction because someone has thrown a cigarette into the bushes, a power line has gone down in the wind or an arsonist has fulfilled his fantasy.

This year is no different, only worse. The winds persisted for days, some reaching hurricane force at more than 70 miles per hour. And, no doubt, the climate disarray from global warming has made it worse. Two years ago we had an unusual deluge of rainfall that caused a burst of wildflowers and grasses that, by now dried out by drought, only add more fuel for the flames.

Why, then, would people build houses on these perennially vulnerable hilltops and canyons? Every year as the plumes of smoke reach high into the sky, raining ash and darkening the daytime, we ask this question but never listen to the answer.

That's because a real answer undermines the whole improbable idea of southern California, a contrivance of the petroleum age and vanishing water resources.

John Steinbeck, the Nobel author known for his California stories, put down our native Indians, the Chumash, for being nutgatherers who didn't have the stuff of civilization that, for example, the Maya or Aztec did. But that is because, by necessity, they lived by the wisdom of natural limits. There was simply not enough water, and too many regular fires, to sustain a large population. The Chumash name for what is the LA area today was "the valley of smoke."

There were only a few thousands of them, not a huge civilization like the Maya's, because they lived in the environmental conditions of Mayan demise, after the demise! Even the Spaniards only built a few missions up and down the coast.

Long story short, all this was ignored in the optimistic American century. Water was brought down in huge pharoanic-scale canals from rivers far to the east and from the snow melt up north. Cheap energy from the petroleum age stimulated sprawl reaching into the wilderness as Los Angeles and San Diego became a vast space of flows instead of places, commuters crisscrossing immense arid tracts to get from home to work and shopping and back.

Even as developers pushed the sprawl into the danger zones, Californians famously rejected increased taxes to pay not only for protecting themselves from the flames licking at their folly, but investing in mass transit or water infrastructure.

(I remember the year Arnold Schwarzenegger was first elected governor in the recall. I was speaking to a group of businessmen in Orange County as flames crowned the surrounding mountains from yet another fire. I predicted with confidence that Schwarzenegger would reverse his position on the issue that made him popular -- cutting the car tax -- because those taxes went directly to firefighting. I couldn't have been more wrong. In 2007, more fires, but still no more taxes for the firefighters.)

All this has led some wags to rightly call California a plundered paradise. How many disastrous fires of this sort does it take to get the message through? When will we learn that building homes in fire-prone zones is an American delusion, not a dream.

The fires only signify a larger reality. The southern California region cannot sustain a population of 20 million people, still exploding with the great influx of Mexican peasants migrating northward. There is not enough water for that many people, as we are finding out. And how will we get around these vast spaces as the petroleum age winds down?

To be sure, it is easy to be irrationally apocalyptic when flames line the horizon; it is easy in such a time to imagine that California will one day look like one of those paintings in the museum of goatherders frolicking in the ruins of ancient Rome.

But I fear that is where it is all headed. Already the politicians are vowing to "rebuild" as if this were some terrorist attack like 9/11 instead of a self-inflicted wound. Though politically incorrect, it might be wiser to remind dreaming Californians that hubris invites the flames of nemesis.

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Fire-proof homes can be built. They may not look as "pretty" but they would be safe. Don't people there have enough money to do that, along with air filtration systems, so that it wouldn't matter if a fire swept through?

If I had the money, that's what I would do where I live. But, we don't have the fires they do.

    Favorite    Flag as abusive Posted 07:08 PM on 10/25/2007

This is going on all over. The Midwest got hit with a biblical-scale flood 14 years ago, and it was made far worse than it would have been due to the decades-long practice of draining the swamps and wetlands that would have siphoned off much of the excess rainwater.

This is the kind of thing that I recall was just dismissed with the phrase "well, that's progress" when I was growing up, but Nature will always have the last laugh. And take note: Nature can have a very cruel sense of humor. Unfortunately, I don't think it will stop until enough mega-disasters happen to make our nature-destroying civilization break down altogether. I'm selfish enough to be tempted to hope it happens after I'm dead, but a belief in reincarnation can be a real pain in the butt.

    Favorite    Flag as abusive Posted 01:42 PM on 10/25/2007

I notice that many commenters are aware that population is a worldwide issue. A Professor from San Diego wrote a book about population problems and if I remember correctly he did mention the dangers of fires in highly populated areas. The firefighters are working very hard to keep the fires away from population centers.

Planet of Slums by Mike Davis
http://www.versobooks.com/books/cdef/d-titles/davis_m_planet_of_slums.shtml

    Favorite    Flag as abusive Posted 01:35 PM on 10/25/2007

Damn politicians are grandstanding at the base closest to me right now, where Bush just landed.

Not that San Diegans want him here:
http://www.kusi.com/home/4323457.html

    Favorite    Flag as abusive Posted 12:34 PM on 10/25/2007

Californians are not alone in lacking long-range vision. Developers in Florida have built along the ocean communities sure to be ravaged by hurricanes. People are still living along the Mississipi and Ohio Rivers that flood with regularity. I'm not at all convinced the rest of America should be paying for these follies, or for the degrading of the natural American landscape in these areas. And, of course, Mad Prophet is right. Either we start self-limiting population practices, or someone or something else will do it for us.

    Favorite    Flag as abusive Posted 12:02 PM on 10/25/2007

Population density is not the problem with Southern California. Over-population itself is not the problem either. People have to live somewhere. (And the racist dig at Mexican peasants is quite uncalled for.) The problem is lifestyle. Many more people could live here safely and securely, if we didn't all have to drive large gas-guzzlers everywhere we go. New York City has a far higher population density, and is quite livable.

    Favorite    Flag as abusive Posted 10:02 AM on 10/25/2007

Population is a global problem. In America it doesn't matter whether you live in California or New York the problem is overpopulation. If there were one third as many people it would make a difference. Without any effort greenhouse gases would be cut by two thirds. You don't need to a rocket scientist to figure out the proplem is too many people everywhere.

    Favorite    Flag as abusive Posted 03:25 PM on 10/25/2007

They showed an experiment on TV with FOAM vs WATER on a wooden building. Fire charred the water laden section in no time but spared the side that had foam.
It would cost about $12k to equip fire trucks with this foam and of course there isn't enough money to do so.
Bush is visiting CA and I don't know WHY. He went to New Orleans about 8 times and its STILL a mess like it was. He'll come and look at CA then do nothing.

    Favorite    Flag as abusive Posted 07:11 AM on 10/25/2007

I responded basically the same on another post. I was not as eloquent and our comments are word limited. Just wanna say thank you for saying what desperately needs to be said.

I'm 57, born and raised in LA. I've seen at least 50 years of this crap. It's not fair to those of us who live in sensible places to see our beloved state go up in flames, with wasted resources, and injured firefighters, just so the rich can live on top of or right next to a foothill. I'm so disgusted.

All the wildlife, the flora and fauna, so many resources literally gone with the wind. I can't open my window because my computer and room will be covered with ashes. It's hotter and drier than normally due to the fire raising the temp.

Add to that the GAO report BushCo did nothing. Well, Dems haven't done much either, when they were in power. I'm just glad I'm not the only one calling out the tragic stupid stubbornness of the many who are gonna rebuild. And govt policies enabling/encouraging them. The cost is shouldered by everyone else, not only in Ca, but whole USA. Disgusting.

Oh yeah, Brownie says fault belongs to environmentalists who won't allow controlled burns. Well, people should not be living in or near FEDERAL forests. Or if they insist on it, they need to trim the natural kindling. They need to pay for all this!

Imagine firefighters risking their lives, climbing mountains with pick-axes, to save some dumb-asses house, who plans on building again. Great, now we all have to look forward to this again. And again. And again.

We have few pristine areas for the original inhabitants, the wild creatures and native plants. Now that's a tragedy.

    Favorite    Flag as abusive Posted 12:50 AM on 10/25/2007

Exactly why I have always opposed irrigation: it permits an unnaturally high carrying capacity. Ditto for anti-biotics.

    Favorite    Flag as abusive Posted 12:08 AM on 10/25/2007

Actually AMERICA is a plundered paradise.

The last billionaire out won't need to turn off the lights, he'll need his own flashlight to see the route.

    Favorite    Flag as abusive Posted 11:46 PM on 10/24/2007

Brilliant post! Having been born on Sunset Blvd. in 1953, I was fortunate to have grown up in SoCal in the '50's and '60's. The area's been going downhill ever since, and I got the hell out and moved to the beautiful Canadian prairies last year. Thanks anfractuous for your comment "Rome, at least, left splendid ruins", I agree 110%!

    Favorite    Flag as abusive Posted 11:42 PM on 10/24/2007

Columns of this type are a regular part of the cycle of disasters. Conflagration, followed by finger-pointing. Welcome to the history of the world. I find it curious that the author could not resist a dig at "Mexican peasants" flooding the area. As if, if it weren't for their crowding us we might get a handle on this water-shortage thing. Many people move to L.A. every year, and they're not all Mexican peasants.

    Favorite    Flag as abusive Posted 08:50 PM on 10/24/2007

Excellent post. I'm not ready to move though.
I wouldn't mind if a few million other people did though.

    Favorite    Flag as abusive Posted 08:27 PM on 10/24/2007

California indigenous people including the Chumash managed the landscape brilliantly. They used fire to suppress excess brush and to allow plants that were valuable to them, and to the wildlife to flourish. These fires were in part the results of two hundred years of European ignorance of proper landscape management. Of course global warming is playing a role and idiotic development in the hills is a factor as well.

    Favorite    Flag as abusive Posted 08:23 PM on 10/24/2007

I think this article can ring true for anyone living anywhere. I drive through the Chandler suburb of Phoeniz, AZ, and see fountains on every corner, that English gardening style and everywhere around is just dry, dusty desert. My city is sinking by roughly 3 cm a year which is horrible considered this could be avoided, much like the fires in Cali. Human beings have forgotten that they depend upon the earth for their existence, not politics or oil or money or opinions.

I love that Bush snapped to attention so quickly when it came to the rich suburbs of San Diego, but couldn't bring himself to sound interested when it came to the slums of New Orleans, and where did all those promises get him then? Where will they get California now? Are we so selfish and self-serving that we honestly believe this earth will put up with our abuse forever? Momma nature isn't going to allow us to take advantage of her forever.

    Favorite    Flag as abusive Posted 07:56 PM on 10/24/2007

Dear Mr. Gardels,

That was excellent, a wonderful essay/post, yet I am afraid it shall fall on deaf ears.

But it does not take away from the *Sage* effort of you wise words. Kudos! Agape.

    Favorite    Flag as abusive Posted 07:55 PM on 10/24/2007

Quite sadly, we didn't learn anything from the natives when we swept in, using coal and then oil power to exaggerate and supplement the area's carrying capacity. Seems like everything is imported into SoCal, including what fertility is left in the soil, and of course the water to make the drylands "bloom." But that bloom is fake.

Without in effect stealing water to maintain such a massive chlorophyll overload, it's history. Every year of major agricultural production in the desert is a year of over-running our resources, which leaves a progressively more brittle culture and society depending on more marginal and less reliable food, water, and energy resources.

So, the elephant in the canary mine is of course, population. That's what we avoid talking about the most, even while we continually add to the problem. Sure, we'll take down China for having so many people, but that stance can't stand, considering that China's one-child policy, though flawed, IS having an effect on pop growth in that country, and that no other nations (ourselves, for instance) are following suit. China is the responsible one in that comparison, and detracting them for the very thing that's working is a peculiarly American response (you know: we can do something just because we want to, but if you do it, it's bad for the planet, or for "democracy," or for the free market, or it's terrorism).

Once people admit (oh, about forty years too late) that we have to give up our profligate ways with energy and resources, we'll have about four billiooooooooon people too many on the planet to support using sustainable means.

But some of us have our UFO's parked with the motor on. When it gets too hot and dry down here, we'll run out for more ice -- or better yet, just find a new neighborhood to pollute. The rest of you suckers can just bake, if you're not greedy enough to steal what you need, and thereby sentence other people to die.

TTYL -- gotta go feed the kids!

-----------
Kill your TV, and free your mind!

    Favorite    Flag as abusive Posted 07:39 PM on 10/24/2007

"...you see the Canadian geese..."

They are called Canada geese.

    Favorite    Flag as abusive Posted 07:35 PM on 10/24/2007

Fire or no fire, California offers some of the finest living on earth.

This column is bereft of a cogent argument. Is sprawl the enemy? Aversion to taxes? petroleum and water usage?

I think Nate could have waited till the smoldering ashes of peoples homes were fully extinguished before calling them delusional.

Talk about Hubris, I would welcome Nathon's departure from paradise. Lead by example I always say. Perhaps his presence in Wichita would serve the global community.

I suppose next weeks article is about those arrogant sob's we call Eskimo's. Don't they know it's cold and there are minimal resources?

Also, the Chumash are a proud people with a fantastic heritage. The oldest human remains in North America were found on our Chanel Islands and belong to a Chumash.

The Chumash Casino has grown 500 fold in the last 15 years. It's a billion dollar operation located in the Santa Ynez Valley amongst the notorious Zaca Fire which was the nations largest wildfire this year.

This friday they are hosting "King of the Cage," mixed martial art prize fights.

    Favorite    Flag as abusive Posted 07:25 PM on 10/24/2007

The enemy is nature, and it is another war we cannot win. Nevertheless,I expect to see people like you throwing resources into the skirmish until they are all gone, much the same way Bush has handled Iraq.

    Favorite    Flag as abusive Posted 03:52 AM on 10/25/2007

"Is sprawl the enemy? Aversion to taxes? petroleum and water usage?"

Yes, yes and yes.

    Favorite    Flag as abusive Posted 09:07 PM on 10/24/2007

You take your chances everywhere. St. Louis and Memphis are basically on top of a super fault.

You can get killed walking down the street.

I would still rather build there than below sea level. How stupid is that?

    Favorite    Flag as abusive Posted 07:15 PM on 10/24/2007

Well, I tell you, building below sea level has been done, and it has been working in The Netherlands. All it takes is a few good dikes, and some ready thumbs to plug the holes ;)! We have had a drought on the East of the U.S. as well, so, I assume the Mississippi has not overflown this year yet. People are building there as well, in flood areas, which, by the way also happens in N.Carolina. This is just a defective old planet and we need to build a new one and shoot it up into orbit, with all of us on top. Oh, wait, is there not a scenario, somewhere, in the new testament, where such a planet comes down, ready made, to pick up all the good ol' people of a certain faith? That is it. Nobody is worried here. It is all taken care of, or will be, just relax. And for some very few of us, we have been warned some two years or so ago, by a very old rabbi, to get *outtah here, disasters acoming!* Nathan is either not really worried, or he thinks old guys do not know what they are talking about. Otherwise, why is he living where he is?

    Favorite    Flag as abusive Posted 10:10 PM on 10/24/2007

Mommamia - the Netherlands has been into serious limiting of greenhouse gases just because they are below sea level. The Netherlands has also been a terrible polluter. So why are they living where they live in spite of a terrible flood which killed tens of thousands. Why indeed does the Dutch government pay people to leave. Why did the Dutch move to Africa and other parts of the world?

    Favorite    Flag as abusive Posted 03:36 PM on 10/25/2007

Well to those folks that put all your eggs into one "dry" basket, what did you expect? Oh, you didn't!

I used to live in SoCal almost 40 years. I did what ever I had to to get the hell out. I just could never understand how people couldn't ....ah never mind.
Population density, traffic was/is absolutely insane.

Now, all you selfish republicans will find out how screwed up the system is. You're going to understand what the people of New Orleans found out. Let's see how long you can wait for the "Check-in-the-mail"!

Watch as the insurance companies fail to fulfill your expectations. Oh where was/is the State National Gaurd? Oh, you told Bush to send'm to the other side of the planet!

Oh, yah, the volunteers have been wonderful, up to now. How long can you tread wa..sand?

Wait until the rains wash the top soil away. When are you all going to realize "IT's A DESERT!!!!!!! That english landscaping is a stupid waste of water resource.

Now you will know what the Iraqis feel like being bombed out of their homes. 'Think FEMA will be there?
'Think Halburton will help? How much are you willling to pay for water? WHere are you going to steal it from this time? Good old LaCieniga The real estate/land exploiter.

Now you have to hire all the cheap mexican laborers to hold your wold together.

Sorry, I think the mass mentality of SoCal population are mentally lame. Why not go shopping ....for duct tape!

    Favorite    Flag as abusive Posted 06:42 PM on 10/24/2007

I read some comments last night by T.Boone Pickens, the billonaire oil tycoon, made at this year's ASPO conference down in Houston. Mr. Pickens and I apart from being on different ends of the economic scale are also on different ends of the political spectrum. But there is one thing we both agree on and that's peak oil. If you haven't heard that term as yet, you will with increasing regularity. Mr. Pickens stated that we have peaked oil, that is that the Earth has passed the mid point on the bell curve of oil production, some time in 2006. Peak oil theorists often debate the timing and the implications of the peak on pricing. Geologists all agree that given a certain price of oil, production should be a certain level. For me personally since I am not a scientist but a historian, I look at the impact long-term of a society facing the diminishing but required input for survival of said society. In my view, there will be a population crash globally most likely lagging peak oil by 30 to 50 yrs. So if we have peaked oil, we can expect population to continue growing until sometime 2050 and then crash off a cliff. If the world in 2050 has 9 billion people, within a 100 years after that, it will have to be somewhere around 900 million. Why 900 million? Because that's the number of people who can be supported in terms of food stuffs in a world without industrial pesticides and fertilizers made from petroleum.

    Favorite    Flag as abusive Posted 06:25 PM on 10/24/2007

So many of the same priorities and enterprises to mitigate global warming are what we should have been doing, ANYWAY. Everything is transpiring synergistically and geometrically on so many levels as we hear the drool runnning through the sinuses of our lying, punk-President and assuming representatives. You don't have to be an academic to see the systemic neglect, imbalances, and lack of foresight over the years - environment, infrastructure, energy, transportation, re-tooling, new vocational high schools, more equity to empower the people and economy, etc. The present unrepresentative, feudalistic, hyper-capitalist system where all institutions are politicized and dominated by end-games of power and money deflects us from any rational direction and priorities for what's best for our posterity. We are losing the intellectual and institutional capacity to adapt and take new directions for our own survival. Also, what is now burning in California is why many Americans have been wanting the borders closed after already receiving "the largest movement of aliens into a nation in the history of the world." Throwing money at our crises may soon become magical thinking. We are already way over the carrying capacity of our environment and don't even put-back grain the way we used to, rather using it for fuel. The corruption of our election process has front loaded the House and Senate with disconnected, self-interested lawyers who don't have a clue. The country reeks with lies, oppression, and a brewing revolution.

    Favorite    Flag as abusive Posted 10:57 PM on 10/24/2007

Factanonverba. Well, you are giving some facts and you are verbal too, teetering out on the wordy side! You know, all those old cardboard mansions, and the new ones as well, are not selling that fast any longer. Yes, I know, credit is an issue, but we will be going solar, mark my words, and we will be grinding up all those ol' mansions and build new ones, fireretardant at that! A whole new industry, and we will use solar to heat and cool our homes and cook on, as well as some nuclear energy. Fast transit lines will be crisscrossing the country. A project has already been in the planning for just exactly such a mass transit train connecting cities at the shores on the East side of the U.S. All the junk we have collected can be turned into good earth with the help of some energetic worms and we will all grow our own food right inside our solar homes. Fresh, and natural. Industrial junk, pesticides and fertilizers have been turning up in little babies' bodies, and if we will not die from drought, floods, or fires, plus contaminated foodsupply, we will all die a natural death early. Nature has a way of taking care of things.

    Favorite    Flag as abusive Posted 10:20 PM on 10/24/2007

Nathan, I've lived in California all my life, and your remarks are exactly right.

I grew up in the flats of the Inland Empire. I remember trick or treating, while the hills above us burned.

Ma Nature will be served.

    Favorite    Flag as abusive Posted 05:44 PM on 10/24/2007

I find it hard to feel empathy for people who CHOSE to live in an area THEY KNEW was likely to catch on fire. You know, like a PINE FOREST.

But I'm sure it won't take Cali YEARS to get any real money, the way Louisiana has.

    Favorite    Flag as abusive Posted 05:32 PM on 10/24/2007

the insurance companys get hit big time i don't feel sorry to bad blue cross/blue other don't get a slap like that.

    Favorite    Flag as abusive Posted 02:44 PM on 10/25/2007

Interesting!

    Favorite    Flag as abusive Posted 04:56 PM on 10/24/2007
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