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HUFFPOLLSTER: Republican Wins Outpace Predictions

HUFFPOLLSTER: Republican Wins Outpace Predictions

Mark Blumenthal  11. 5.2014
Polls correctly forecast a Republican Senate majority, but missed their margins nationwide by a mile. And exit polls show Americans remain...
Early Exit Polls Won't Tell You Who's Winning

Early Exit Polls Won't Tell You Who's Winning

Mark Blumenthal  11. 4.2014
Anyone watching Tuesday's midterms should be ready to settle in for a long election night -- a plethora of close races, slow ballot-counting...
HUFFPOLLSTER: What The Polls Tell Us On Election Day

HUFFPOLLSTER: What The Polls Tell Us On Election Day

Mark Blumenthal  11. 4.2014
It's Election Day. Americans are casting their ballots in the only poll that matters. And if you want to watch returns like a pollster,...
HUFFPOLLSTER: Odds of GOP Senate Takeover Grow

HUFFPOLLSTER: Odds of GOP Senate Takeover Grow

Mark Blumenthal  11. 3.2014
Last-minute polling finds the Republicans on track for a Senate victory tomorrow. Early voting, though, suggests it could be close. And...
U.S. House Polls Forecast Republican Gains

U.S. House Polls Forecast Republican Gains

Ariel Edwards-Levy  11. 3.2014
In 2014, the high-stakes battle for control of the U.S. Senate, rather than individual House races, has gotten most of the attention from...

Early Voting Pulling Into the Station

11. 2.2014
It's now possible to see how states are faring in their early vote compared to 2010. More than 17 million people have voted in the 2014...
Who are the Undecideds?

Who are the Undecideds?

11. 2.2014
There are many sources of uncertainty in election polling other than sampling error. One source of error that looms large in this year's...
Hidden Errors and Overconfident Pollsters

Hidden Errors and Overconfident Pollsters

11. 2.2014
Election forecasts report a margin of error of typically 3 percentage points. That means that 95 percent of the time the election outcome...
Polling Forecast: The Senate Is Leaning Republican

Polling Forecast: The Senate Is Leaning Republican

Mark Blumenthal  11. 2.2014
On Tuesday, Americans will head to the polls to determine 36 seats in the U.S. Senate. Although those contests will likely draw as many...
HUFFPOLLSTER: Margins Remain Tight In The Biggest Senate Battlegrounds

HUFFPOLLSTER: Margins Remain Tight In The Biggest Senate Battlegrounds

Mark Blumenthal  11. 1.2014
As final polls roll in, the contest to control the U.S. Senate continues to lean to the Republicans, but by very close margins in key states....
Brittany Maynard: A Tragedy, But Not a Controversy

Brittany Maynard: A Tragedy, But Not a Controversy

10.31.2014
Death with dignity is an issue with consistent majority support that somehow endures being described as "controversial." But a vocal minority...
HUFFPOLLSTER: Polls Narrow In Key Senate Race

HUFFPOLLSTER: Polls Narrow In Key Senate Race

Mark Blumenthal  10.31.2014
The North Carolina Senate race narrows to a near dead heat. Democrats say they're within the margin of error in Iowa and Colorado. And...
HUFFPOLLSTER: Final Florida Polls Give Crist The Edge

HUFFPOLLSTER: Final Florida Polls Give Crist The Edge

Mark Blumenthal  10.30.2014
A last batch of Quinnipiac polls gives cheer to Republicans in Colorado and Democrats in Florida. A survey in Georgia raises questions...
HUFFPOLLSTER: How The Senate Polls Could Be Wrong

HUFFPOLLSTER: How The Senate Polls Could Be Wrong

Mark Blumenthal  10.29.2014
With the most crucial Senate races remaining close, we look at how the polling might be disproved on Election Day. National polls show...