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Mark Blumenthal

HUFFPOLLSTER: Even Republicans Aren't Happy With The New GOP-Led Congress

HuffingtonPost.com | Mark Blumenthal | Posted 05.22.2015 | Politics

Democrats and Republicans alike are unhappy with the GOP-led Congress. Fox looks to the polls to narrow down contenders in the GOP debate, which coul...

Mark Blumenthal

Why The Polls Missed The Mark On The UK Elections

HuffingtonPost.com | Mark Blumenthal | Posted 05.13.2015 | Politics

The UK elections give polling a black eye. Is it time to start ignoring polls? And the Huffington Post joins AAPOR's Transparency Initiative. This is ...

Mark Blumenthal

The 'Margin Of Error' Is More Controversial Than You Think

HuffingtonPost.com | Mark Blumenthal | Posted 02.03.2015 | Politics

If you read polls in the news, you're probably familiar with the term "margin of error." What you may not know is that pollsters disagree fiercely abo...

Are Accurate Polls Really Accurate?

John Garrett | Posted 12.02.2014 | Politics
John Garrett

Regardless of how they choose to, pollsters are going to be forced to innovate if they want to continue providing accurate advice to their candidates and campaigns.

Modern Polling Requires Both Sampling and Adjustment

David Rothschild | Posted 10.03.2014 | Politics
David Rothschild

The American Association of Public Opinion Research is a justly well-respected organization whose publications and conferences are an important means ...

Mark Blumenthal

Award Rebuffs Critics Of DADT-Ending Survey

HuffingtonPost.com | Mark Blumenthal | Posted 07.16.2011 | Politics

PHOENIX -- When the Department of Defense released its Don't Ask Don't Tell survey of service members and their spouses in December of last year, Sen....

Does Survey Mode Still Matter?

Brian Schaffner | Posted 07.09.2011 | Politics
Brian Schaffner

Over the past several years, pollsters have been working to understand the best approach to conducting survey research in a world where no single tech...

Daily Kos: We Were 'Defrauded' by Research 2000

Mark Blumenthal | Posted 05.25.2011 | Politics
Mark Blumenthal

Daily Kos founder Markos Moulitsas today rocked the polling world by posting an analysis that he says shows "quite convincingly" that the national sur...

Murray: Are Nate Silver's Pollster Ratings 'Done Right'?

Guest Pollster | Posted 05.25.2011 | Politics
Guest Pollster

Patrick Murray is director of the Monmouth University Polling Institute The motto of Nate Silver's website, www.fiverthirtyeight.com, is "Politics Do...

AAPOR Adds Transparency Initiative Endorsements

Mark Blumenthal | Posted 05.25.2011 | Politics
Mark Blumenthal

And speaking of AAPOR's Transparency Initiative, the organization announced via email yesterday the names of 11 more survey organizations that recentl...

Column: AAPOR's Transparency Initiative

Mark Blumenthal | Posted 05.25.2011 | Politics
Mark Blumenthal

My new column reviews AAPOR's Transparency Initiative as described in detail this past weekend by outgoing AAPOR President Peter Miller. I hope you'l...

AAPOR2010 Interviews Wrap-Up

Mark Blumenthal | Posted 05.25.2011 | Politics
Mark Blumenthal

I'm back in DC and just filed a column that should appear on NationalJournal.com later this afternoon about the Transparency Initiative announced over...

AAPOR2010: George Bishop

Mark Blumenthal | Posted 05.25.2011 | Politics
Mark Blumenthal

One last AAPOR interview (from me) for tonight: On Saturday, I talked to University of Cincinnati Political Science Professor George Bishop, who pres...

AAPOR2010: Robert Erikson

Mark Blumenthal | Posted 05.25.2011 | Politics
Mark Blumenthal

This latest interview from the AAPOR Conference in Chicago features Columbia University Political Science Professor Robert Erikson discussing his pape...

AAPOR2010: David Rothschild

Mark Blumenthal | Posted 05.25.2011 | Politics
Mark Blumenthal

This latest interview from the AAPOR Conference in Chicago features David Rothschild, a PhD candidate at the Wharton School of the University of Penns...

AAPOR2010: Peter Miller & AAPOR's Transparency Initiative

Mark Blumenthal | Posted 05.25.2011 | Politics
Mark Blumenthal

Today at the AAPOR Conference in Chicago, I interviewed Peter V. Miller, Northwestern University professor and the organization's outgoing president j...

AAPOR2010: Jeff Jones

Mark Blumenthal | Posted 05.25.2011 | Politics
Mark Blumenthal

Today at the AAPOR Conference in Chicago, I interviewed Jeff Jones, managing editor of the Gallup Poll, on his work using the generic House vote to pr...

AAPOR2010: Peter Woolley

Mark Blumenthal | Posted 05.25.2011 | Politics
Mark Blumenthal

At the AAPOR Conference yesterday, I interviewed Peter J. Woolley, director of Fairleigh Dickinson University's Public Mind Poll, on an experiment he ...

AAPOR2010: Doug Rivers

Mark Blumenthal | Posted 05.25.2011 | Politics
Mark Blumenthal

Yesterday, I interviewed Douglas Rivers, President and CEO of YouGov Polimetrix and professor of political science at Stanford University, on a paper ...

AAPOR 2010: Public Opinion in Afghanistan

Kristen Soltis Anderson | Posted 05.25.2011 | Politics
Kristen Soltis Anderson

If you think pollsters in the US have it rough - difficulty getting folks to agree to participate, difficulty finding good samples given the rise of c...

Greetings from the AAPOR Conference

Mark Blumenthal | Posted 05.25.2011 | Politics
Mark Blumenthal

This post is the first of a series of video interviews we'll be doing over the next few days at this year's conference of the American Association for...

AAPOR's Transparency Initiative

Mark Blumenthal | Posted 05.25.2011 | Politics
Mark Blumenthal

Later this week, I'll be in Chicago for the annual conference of the American Association for Public Opinion Research (AAPOR). One of the more newswo...

AAPOR's Keeps 2011 Conference in Arizona

Mark Blumenthal | Posted 05.25.2011 | Politics
Mark Blumenthal

The American Association for Public Opinion Research (AAPOR) alerted its membership this afternoon that it will "continue with long-standing plans" to...

Minimal Disclosure and Pollster.com

Mark Blumenthal | Posted 05.25.2011 | Politics
Mark Blumenthal

My column today concludes with the argument that news media outlets, including Pollster.com, need to do a better job holding pollsters to the minimal ...

Strategic Vision: Back, But Not Here

Mark Blumenthal | Posted 05.25.2011 | Politics
Mark Blumenthal

They're back. As reported yesterday by Politico, Strategic Vision, LLC posted results** from what they claim is a survey of Georgia. As per our previo...