As three point underdogs that do not even lose by a full point on average, Chicago covers the spread 56.1 percent of the time. With 52.4 percent needed to justify a wager, this would warrant a $39 play from a $50 player.
Forget a QB rating system based on math Stephen Hawking wouldn't understand. Forget ESPN's new "Total Quarterback Rating." How many quarterbacks strike such fear into a coach's heart that he would choose Bill Belichick's desperate fourth-and-two play over a punt?