Despite my concern that no nominee should be that confident of victory, I have no choice but to stick to the data and models. My data and models have proven correct over and over, while hunches and guts checks are prone to failure.
A night filled with stars and studs, winners and losers, but mostly just a lot of double-sided tape. Bring your friends! Unless your friend is a shipwrecked tiger.
Today, there are many people who won't recognize the name of Edward G. Robinson. Of course, countless others will break into smiles and say, "Ahhhhh..." Almost no one, however, would not recognize his face.
For those of you brave enough to venture off into an Oscar viewing party, here are some tips on the dos, the don'ts and the things to look out for when viewing the Oscars with a large group of gays.
This year a record 71 countries submitted entries in the Best Foreign Language Film category. I managed to see 61 of these films. Although there were many entertaining movies, the overall mood was bleak.
An unusual number of films nominated for Oscars this year deal with real people, real histories, and real dilemmas. Artists brought the tools of big screen virtuosity, humor, beauty and sometimes brutality to images fished from the real world. At the same time, critics and members of the casual public asked that filmmakers be guardians of fact and responsible for the impact of their fiction. Interestingly, this movement dovetailed into calls for Hollywood to speak up about its role in gun violence. That artists are called to be more responsible and "true" is a tip of hat to their power. At this moment, the arts revealed our national politics, our ills and our triumphs. Could arts do yet more to influence our politics?
Call it Oscars Armageddon -- our final, fiercest battle of derby season. HuffPost editors Michael Hogan and Chris Rosen and I have clashed over predictions often during the previous months, but no one is vanquished -- yet.
We can hope our favorite movie will come away with the big prize, but in the long run, some of the best pictures ever made did not receive Best Picture Oscars.
Sometimes the success of a great film relies on the best pairing of idea and director. The same goes for business. It's part of the role of the studio executive and the VC to ensure that the right leader is in place to execute the right idea smoothly, on budget, and on time.
Barbra Queens like myself obsess over Barbra's every mundane coming and going, so you can imagine the hysterical level of excitement and anxiety among our ranks as we anticipate her performance at the Oscars this Sunday night.
It is an actor's job to enter the world of make believe and then in turn to make us believe. But I think we have to consider that a commitment to diversity in casting, especially when the role actually calls for a minority, will both enrich and add integrity to the mainstream American film experience.
It's awards season. Remember when you couldn't turn on an awards show and not see people wearing red ribbons? Well, David France's Oscar-nominated documentary How to Survive a Plague has brought AIDS back to the awards shows.
Can networking help us predict the contents of the envelopes? Let's base our algorithm on the assumption that it helps to have connections in Hollywood. More specifically, let's assume that better-connected actors will fare better in the final tally.
This year produced a relatively weak bunch of nominees skewed towards animators with big studio experience.
"The envelope please" had become synonymous with the Academy Awards, yet there had never been a specially designed envelope and card to announce the Oscar recipients in a manner befitting of this pinnacle moment.
Given that the torture scenes are so repulsive, but shown nonetheless, it is clearly Bigelow's goal to make us never forget the horror and demeaning nature of torture both for the victim and for the torturers.