Argo reminds us that whenever we are faced with what we perceive to be an insurmountable problem, we should not give up and reconcile ourselves to abandoning our mission or goals.
In category after category significant movement in the likely winner provides a window into the power of certain events that occurred on the road to the Oscars.
I spent several weeks this winter immersed in spreadsheets full of historical Oscar data to explore methods of using fundamentals to predict Oscar winners.
The most exciting movie-to-movie competition in this year's Oscars is between Ben Affleck's Argo and Steven Spielberg's' Lincoln, which will play out in three categories: Best Picture, Best Director, and Best Adapted Screenplay.
My theory on Ben Affleck's wholly undeserved Oscar snub: Cat fight! We hear so much about women's intramural squabbling, but straight dudes are just as prone to ridiculous bouts of "I'm so much prettier than he is!" unfounded jealousy.
Ben Affleck has made a real "movie-movie" that leaves its audience wrung out, exhilarated and misty-eyed. Bravo. Prepare for the Oscar, kid.
A lot of other leading 2012 Best Picture contenders have similar problems -- they don't fit classic Oscar theories -- and that's confounding a lot of us experts. Our crystal balls are suddenly cloudy.