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Bradley Effect

The "Fluke Effect": Remember Tom Bradley?

Richard Brodsky | Posted 05.15.2012 | Politics
Richard Brodsky

The repercussions of Rush Limbaugh's truly ugly attacks on Susan Fluke won't be known until November. But if you remember 1982, there was a voter phenomenon, "The Bradley Effect," that has lingered in the public consciousness ever since, and may well come into play in 2012.

As Prop 8 Trial Concludes, Study Shows Risk of Rushing to Ballot

Paul Hogarth | Posted 05.25.2011 | Politics
Paul Hogarth

Today, the Proposition 8 trial in San Francisco Federal Court will hear its long-awaited closing arguments -- as gay marriage advocates prepare to return to the ballot.

Forces in Obama Landslide

Ricardo Rossello | Posted 05.25.2011 | Politics
Ricardo Rossello

Ever since Obama's historic election as the first African-American President, the pundits have been trying to demystify the voter attitudes and behavior that led to this unprecedented outcome.

Voting Expert William Jacoby Knows How You're Going To Vote

Diane Tucker | Posted 05.25.2011 | Home
Diane Tucker

As the polls grow tighter, more people wonder what the electorate will be thinking on Nov 4. OffTheBus posed that question to political scientist Will...

The Bradley Effect? No Chance

Matt Littman | Posted 05.25.2011 | Politics
Matt Littman

If I'm wrong on this one, I know you'll let me know - but I'm not going to be wrong. The Obama victory on Tuesday is going to be bigger than the polls suggest.

Obama Is Dominating in the Polls, but Four Things Keep Me Awake at Night

Mitchell Bard | Posted 05.25.2011 | Politics
Mitchell Bard

As a lifelong Democrat who has seen my party lose winnable races, I can't help thinking about how things can go wrong this year. These are the four factors that keep me up at night.

McCain Campaign's Old White People Strategy

Miles Mogulescu | Posted 05.25.2011 | Politics
Miles Mogulescu

McCain's strategy is that there is enough of a "Bradley effect" that the election is 3%-5% closer than the polls indicate, and that scare tactics can convince another 3%-5% of white voters not to vote Obama.

Friday Talking Points [53] -- Why McCain Is Losing, And Why Democrats Shouldn't Say So

Chris Weigant | Posted 05.25.2011 | Politics
Chris Weigant

John McCain is losing the race for the White House. Now, this doesn't mean he has already lost it -- we've still got to go vote, after all. I'll cov...

How Pundits Get The Bradley Effect Wrong: Not Just About Race

Washington Independent | Posted 05.25.2011 | Politics

Political pundits are hyperventilating over the possibility that Sen. Barack Obama's lead in presidential polls is overstated and that the so-called "...

Debunking the "Bradley Effect"

Joel B. Schwartzberg | Posted 05.25.2011 | Media
Joel B. Schwartzberg

Analysts and pundits are resurrecting talk of the Bradley Effect as if it were a matter of science, when it may actually be pseudoscience. Are we digging deeply enough to find the truth?

Weekly Roundup, Readers Drowning in the Mud of McCain's Campaign

Chris Nelson | Posted 05.25.2011 | Home
Chris Nelson

While Obama continues to outspend and outcool his way to national polling margins that are increasingly insurmountable, McCain has latched on to Joe the Plumber as his last vestige of hope while his campaign continues the barrage of negativity through ads and robocalling.

What the Canadian Election Might Say About November 4th

Adam Rose | Posted 05.25.2011 | Politics
Adam Rose

Don't be surprised if election day brings a surprise or two. If Canada -- that liberal bastion -- can vote for a conservative government, so too can America.

Six Pollsters Can't Be Wrong! Bradley Effect Not Likely, Says Polling Panel

Huffington Post | Rachel Sklar | Posted 05.25.2011 | Media

CNN Political Director Sam Feist moderated a really interesting panel at yesterday's Time-CNN "Politics '08" summit called "The Power of Polling: Dail...

Drudge Report Incites "Kill A Mockingbird" Racial Fear Of Obama

Martin Lewis | Posted 05.25.2011 | Media
Martin Lewis

This photo does not appear anywhere in the linked story. It is only on the Drudge Report front page.

How the Coming Obama Landslide Will Trump the Bradley Effect

Steve Kettmann | Posted 05.25.2011 | Politics
Steve Kettmann

The Bradley Effect should be understood as one factor among many on Election Day, and we can probably assume that in the 26 years since Bradley lost that race, we have made some progress.

In A Climate Of Fear, Let's Remember To Breathe

Judy Muller | Posted 05.25.2011 | Home
Judy Muller

As Barack Obama pulls ahead in the polls, his supporters are holding their collective breath, afraid to speculate on the outcome, afraid to say it out loud, lest the polling Gods curse their arrogance and spin this thing the other way.

Bradley Who? Here Comes the Obama Effect

Daniel Okrent | Posted 05.25.2011 | Politics
Daniel Okrent

Everyone's fretting that the dreaded Bradley Effect will turn up in this election. But there's another shoe to drop on this issue -- and it may change the electoral map for years to come.

Projecting an Obama Victory

Norman Solomon | Posted 05.25.2011 | Politics
Norman Solomon

The poll numbers so far this month have fostered the belief that the current economic crisis is close to dooming the McCain campaign. But any crystal ball that offers assurance of an Obama victory is a piece of junk.

The Democratic Convention, From Evanston

Michael Jones | Posted 05.25.2011 | Chicago
Michael Jones

There was no joy in Evanston. The Democrats had found much to disagree on and little to unite around.

Obama and the Bradley Effect

Michael Fauntroy | Posted 05.25.2011 | Politics
Michael Fauntroy

Racism is the bully in the schoolyard of American politics and culture. One does not overcome a bully by ignoring it but, rather, by confronting it and exposing it for what it is.

The Bradley Effect v. The Obama Effect

Chris Weigant | Posted 05.25.2011 | Politics
Chris Weigant

Will Obama's white voter support in the polls be higher than his actual support on Election Day? Will this be a regional factor, or a nationwide factor? And how big a factor is it?

Fear of Islam Hurts Obama in Kentucky

Matthew Palevsky | Posted 05.25.2011 | Politics
Matthew Palevsky

One might have thought that the Wright scandal would have extinguished Obama's rumored connection to Islam. Instead, it has only strengthened the spurious claims about his faith.